International Takeovers and Restructuring
International Takeovers and Restructuring
International Takeovers and Restructuring
International Takeovers
and Restructuring
Patterns of International M&As
Worldwide M&A Activity ($ Billions)
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500 1,779
2,000 979
749 478 920
1,500
338 397
1,000 297
500 1,005 998 1,308
846
0
1998 1999 2000 2001
US only US and Non US Non US only
Chapter 17-2
Patterns of International M&As
Reasons for recent international M&As
• Europe is moving toward a common market
• Globalization and increased intensity of international
competition
• Rapid technological change
• Consolidation of major industries
Characteristics
• Mainly horizontal or consolidating mergers
• Concentration in industries influenced by M&A
change forces: telecom (deregulation), media
(technology), financial (servicing international
clients), pharmaceutical (R&D scale), Autos (excess
capacity), etc.
Chapter 17-3
Examples of Cross-Border Deals
• Ford sought to expand economies of scale,
distribution network, distinctive brand
• Volvo (Swedish) strengthened Ford’s position
in Europe
• UBS (Swiss) wanted to improve worldwide
image and position in US market
• PaineWebber had strong distribution –
combined firm had opportunity and resources
to target “average investor
Chapter 17-4
Examples of Cross-Border Deals
• Orange (UK) was required to be divested from
Mannesmann (German) when it was acquired
by Vodafone (UK)
• France Telecom sought to strengthen its
European wireless network
• Nestle (Swiss) was the largest food company
and sought Ralston Purina to solidify its share
of pet food
• Pet food was forecast as one of the fastest
growing food segments
Chapter 17-5
Forces Driving Cross-Border M&As
Growth – most important force
• Enable firms to grow beyond domestic market
• May allow mid-sized firms to attain size
necessary to compete in industries
• Efficient global competition requires size for
economies of scale
Technology
• Ability for technologically superior firm to
exploit tech advantage worldwide
• Technology is easier to transfer across borders
because of lack of cultural baggage
Roll-ups – mergers in fragmented industries
Chapter 17-6
Forces Driving Cross-Border M&As
Extend advantages in differentiated products –
domestic reputation aids acceptance abroad
Consolidation – adjust to world excess capacity
Government policy – avoid tariffs, quotas, etc.
Exchange rates – affect relative prices of
foreign acquisitions and doing business abroad
Political/economic stability – increases certainty
of gaining return on investment
Following clients – service firms go
international to serve international clients
Diversification – foreign acquisitions allow
firms to diversify geographically, etc.
Chapter 17-7
Premiums Paid
Foreign bidders tend to pay higher premium for
US targets
• 1970-87, foreign higher by 10% partly due to high
foreign currency values (Harris, Ravenscraft,
1991)
• 1987-2001, foreign buyers pay 4% higher
premium
Possible reasons for higher premium
• US targets – less knowledge of foreign buyer
• Strong foreign currencies or anticipated favorable
exchange rate movement
• Foreign firm may need to preempt domestic buyer
Chapter 17-8
Event Returns
Generally similar results to domestic: large
returns to targets; buyer small, insignificant
Multinational firms gain largest when foreign
acquisitions diversify industry and geography
(Doukas, Travlos, 1988)
Japanese takeovers of US firms create wealth
for bidder and target (Kang, 1993)
US acquirers have lower returns in foreign
acquisitions (Moeller, Schligemann, 2002)
Chapter 17-9
Event Returns
Author Year Type Return
Eun et al 1996 US target 37.0%
Cakici et al 1996 Foreign buyer of US 0.63%
US buys US -0.36%
Doukas 1995 US buys foreign (q>1) 0.41%
US buys foreign (q<1) -0.18%
Seth et al 2000 Foreign buyer of US 0.11%
US target 38.3%
Markides, 1998 Foreign buyer of US 0.38%
Oyon European buyer 0.47%
Chapter 17-10
International Joint Ventures
Advantages
• May be requirement of local government –
possibly only way to obtain raw materials, etc.
• Local partners may reduce risks of operating in
foreign country
• Different countries may have better and
transferable technology, managerial skills, etc.
Disadvantages
• Transfers info which may create future
competitor
• Cultural differences may increase the tensions
inherent in joint ventures
Chapter 17-11
International Joint Ventures
Principles for management
• Should involve complementary capabilities
• Contracts should make it easy to terminate
relationship
• Control & decision makers should be specified
• Formulate terms under which one company can
buy out other
• Activities and information flows should be tied
into normal communications structures
• Define criteria for evaluation of performance
• Allocation of rewards and responsibilities under
different outcomes should be considered
Chapter 17-12
International Joint Ventures
Significant positive returns when US firms
invest relatively small amounts in JV – results
insignificant for large investments (Chen, Hu,
Shieh, 1991)
Case study of 7 steel JVs (Magnum, Kim,
Tallman, 1996)
• Most Japan/US, generally successful
• Tensions from cross-culture differences
Evidence of decline in US international JV
activity between 1982-97 – better worldwide
integration makes it easier for US firms to own
100% assets (Desai, Foley, Hines, 2002)
Chapter 17-13
Cost of Capital – International
Cost of debt relationships
• International parity relationships assume perfect and
efficient markets
• Interest rate parity theorem
X f 1 R f 0 E0
– Ratio of forwardX 0 and
1 spot
Rd 0 rates
E f equals current ratio
of foreign and domestic nominal interest rates
• Forward parity theorem
– Current forward exchange rates should be
unbiased predictors of future spot rates
– Xf should equal X1
Chapter 17-14
Cost of Capital – International
Cost of debt relationships
• Purchasing power parity theorem
– Expresses the law of one price – goods and assets
must have equal prices worldwide (after exchange
rates, info/transaction costs)
X1 Tf
X 0 Td– nominal interest rates
• International Fisher relation
reflect anticipated inflation (real rates should be the
same across countries
• In short-run, many
1 market imperfections;
Rn (1 r) T long-run
rates tend toward parity theorems
Chapter 17-15
Cost of Capital – International
Cost of equity and cost of capital
• Capital asset pricing model (CAPM):
Cost of capital = risk-free rate + (market price of
risk * beta measure of firm/project)
• Market definition: moving toward integrated
global markets (risk measured vs. world indices)
from segmented markets (risk measured vs. local
indices)
• Investors are still biased toward home market
(info costs, uncertainty in foreign markets)
• If markets not integrated, firms may gain from
international diversification, multinationals would
differ cost of capital between markets
Chapter 17-16
Cost of Capital – International
Procedure
• Cost of equity for a foreign investment in nominal
foreign currency terms should reflect risk differential
above cost of debt borrowing in that foreign country
• Cost of capital calculated based on an estimated
leverage ratio and tax rate
• Cash flows expressed in foreign currency units (FC)
discounted by the FC cost of capital gives present
value expressed in FC
• Present value in FC can be converted to dollars at the
spot exchange rate to give net present value of
investment in dollars
Chapter 17-17
Cost of Capital – International
Similar alternate procedure
• Begin with expected cash flows in FC
• Adjust expected cash flows by risk factors that
reflect foreign country's risk
• Convert risk-adjusted expected FC cash flows to
dollars over time by using expected foreign
exchange rates at time t based on interest rate
parity and relative inflation rates
t
Tf
X t X 0
Td
• Discount dollar cash flows by WACC of U.S. firm
Chapter 17-18