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COVID-19 Future Forecasting Using Supervised Machine Learning Models

This document discusses using supervised machine learning models to forecast the spread of COVID-19. It introduces linear regression, LASSO, and SVM models for prediction and examines COVID-19 data. The document outlines collecting a COVID-19 dataset, preprocessing the data, training prediction models, and concluding that supervised learning can be used to predict outbreaks based on input data and known outputs.

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110 views13 pages

COVID-19 Future Forecasting Using Supervised Machine Learning Models

This document discusses using supervised machine learning models to forecast the spread of COVID-19. It introduces linear regression, LASSO, and SVM models for prediction and examines COVID-19 data. The document outlines collecting a COVID-19 dataset, preprocessing the data, training prediction models, and concluding that supervised learning can be used to predict outbreaks based on input data and known outputs.

Uploaded by

sowmya ecm
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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COVID-19 Future Forecasting

Using Supervised Machine


Learning Models
SUSMITHA (190050056)
S OW M YA ( 1 9 0 0 5 0 0 7 9 )
Abstract:
The spread of COVID-19 in the entire world has put the humankind in danger. Machine learning
(ML) based forecasting mechanisms have proved their significance to anticipate in perioperative
outcomes to improve the decision making on the future course of actions. The assets of probably
the biggest economies are worried because of the enormous infectivity and contagiousness of this
illness.

The ability of ML models to conjecture the quantity of forthcoming patients influenced by


COVID-19 which is by and by considered as a likely danger to humanity. Specifically, four
standard estimating models linear regression (LR), least total shrinkage and determination
administrator (LASSO) Support vector Machine (SVM) have been utilized in this examination to
figure the undermining components of COVID-19.
Introduction:
• COVID-19 is being built up and its nature and characteristics are being discovered especially, its very
quick ability to change its nature evolving new variants based on its accelerated genetic mutations.
Therefore, thoroughgoing observational studies are being performed to establish facts about COVID-
19 to find out treatment or a vaccine that may help in ending its pandemic.

• Many research studies on COVID-19 are published and others are on the lane, and floods of huge
data about it are constantly accumulating, without reaching a strong prediction about the transmission
and end of the pandemic. In our current study, we deployed machine learning approaches for
predicting the spread of the virus in several selected countries.
Requirements Elicitation:
->DATASET: Corona Virus

-> LANGUAGE: PYTHON

->ENVIRONMENT: JUPYTER NOTEBOOK(ANACONDA3)


Supervised Machine Learning:
Regression:
Regression

Regression algorithms are used if there is a relationship between the input variable and the output
variable.
•Linear Regression

•Regression Trees

•Non-Linear Regression

•Bayesian Linear Regression

•Polynomial Regression
Classification:
Classification algorithms are used when the output variable is categorical, which means there are two
classes such as Yes-No, Male-Female, True-false, etc.

Spam Filtering,
•Random Forest

•Decision Trees

•Logistic Regression

•Support vector Machines


Algorithm:
STEP-1: Load the dataset.

STEP-2: Import the necessary packages and Libraries.

STEP-3: Do the prediction of the dataset. { Positive; Negative; Recovered; deaths; }

STEP-4: Stationarity check the data using techniques.

STEP-5: Predict and tune the data.


Flowchart:
Models:
1.Linear Regression:

In regression modeling, a target class is predicated on the independent features . This method can be
thus used to find out the relationship between independent and dependent variables and also for
forecasting. Linear regression a type of regression modeling is the most usable statistical technique
for predictive analysis in machine learning.

2) Lasso

LASSO is a regression model belongs to the linear regression technique which uses shrinkage.
Shrinkage in this context refers to the shrinking of extreme values of a data sample towards central
values. The shrinkage process thus makes LASSO better and more stable and also reduces the error 
Conclusion:
In machine learning there are two types one is supervised learning and unsupervised learning.
Supervised learning builds the model which makes the predictions based on the input and the output.
Unsupervised learning develops the model from the input data alone. Outline: Here we are going to
use the SVM model and linear regression method to predict the outbreak of coronavirus for the
upcoming 10 days across different regions by using charts and graphs. Coronavirus doesn’t have the
ability to mobilize themselves from one host to another host. But it can able to multiply themselves
once it gets into a host. So by considering the above scenario, we can come to a conclusion that it
spreads via the physical network.
 

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