Chapter 3a: Aggregate Planning and Master Scheduling
Chapter 3a: Aggregate Planning and Master Scheduling
Aggregate Planning
and Master
Scheduling
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The Planning Sequence
LO 11.1 11-2
Why Use Aggregate Planning
Why do organizations need to do aggregate planning?
Planning
It takes time to implement plans
Strategic
Aggregation is important because it is not possible to predict
with accuracy the timing and volume of demand for individual
items
It is connected to the budgeting process
It can help synchronize flow throughout the supply chain; it affects
costs, equipment utilization; employment levels; and customer
satisfaction
LO 11.1 11-3
Aggregation
The plan must be in units of measurement that can be
understood by the firm’s non-operations personnel
Aggregate units of output per month
Dollar value of total monthly output
Total output by factory
Measures that relate to capacity such as labor hours
LO 11.1 11-4
Dealing with Variation
Most organizations use rolling 3, 6, 9 and 12
month forecasts
Forecasts are updated periodically, rather than relying
on a once-a-year forecast
This allows planners to take into account any changes in
either expected demand or expected supply and to
develop revised plans
11-5
Dealing with Variation
Strategies to counter variation:
Maintain a certain amount of excess capacity to handle increases in
demand
Maintain a degree of flexibility in dealing with changes
Hiring temporary workers
Using overtime
Wait as long as possible before committing to a certain level of
supply capacity
Schedule products or services with known demands first
Wait to schedule other products until their demands become
less uncertain
11-6
Overview of Aggregate Planning
Forecast of
Develop a Update the
aggregate
general plan aggregate plan
demand for
to meet periodically
the
demand (e.g.,
intermediate
requirements monthly)
range
11-7
Demand and Supply
Aggregate planners are concerned with the
Demand quantity
If demand exceeds capacity, attempt to achieve balance by
altering capacity, demand, or both
Timing of demand
Even if demand and capacity are approximately equal, planners
still often have to deal with uneven demand within the planning
period
LO 11.2 11-8
Aggregate Planning Inputs
Resources Costs
Workforce/production rates Inventory carrying
Facilities and equipment Back orders
Demand forecast Hiring/firing
Overtime
Policies
Inventory changes
Workforce changes
subcontracting
Subcontracting
Overtime
Inventory levels/changes
Back orders
LO 11.2 11-9
Aggregate Planning Outputs
Total cost of a plan
Projected levels of
Inventory
Output
Employment
Subcontracting
Backordering
LO 11.2 11-10
Aggregate Planning Strategies
Proactive
Alter demand to match capacity
Reactive
Alter capacity to match demand
Mixed
Some of each
LO 11.2 11-11
Demand Options
Pricing
Used to shift demand from peak to
off-peak periods
Price elasticity is important
Promotion
Advertising and other forms of
promotion
Back orders
Orders are taken in one period and
deliveries promised for a later period
New demand
LO 11.2 11-12
Supply Options
Hire and layoff workers
Overtime/slack time
Part-time workers
Inventories
Subcontracting
LO 11.2 11-13
Prominent Aggregate
Planning Strategies
1. Maintain a level workforce
2. Maintain a steady output rate
3. Match demand period by period
4. Use a combination of decision variables
LO 11.3 11-14
Aggregate Planning Pure Strategies
Level capacity strategy:
Maintaining a steady rate of regular-time output while
meeting variations in demand by a combination of
options:
inventories, overtime, part-time workers, subcontracting, and
back orders
Chase demand strategy:
Matching capacity to demand; the planned output for a
period is set at the expected demand for that period.
LO 11.3 11-15
Chase Approach
Capacities are adjusted to match demand
requirements over the planning horizon
Advantages
Investment in inventory is low
Labor utilization in high
Disadvantages
The cost of adjusting output rates and/or workforce levels
LO 11.3 11-16
Level Approach
Capacities are kept constant over the planning
horizon
Advantages
Stable output rates and workforce
Disadvantages
Greater inventory costs
Increased overtime and idle time
Resource utilizations vary over time
LO 11.3 11-17
Techniques for Aggregate Planning
General procedure:
1. Determine demand for each period
2. Determine capacities for each period
LO 11.4 11-18
Trial-and-Error Techniques
Trial-and-error approaches consist of developing simple
table or graphs that enable planners to visually compare
projected demand requirements with existing capacity
Alternatives are compared based on their total costs
Disadvantage of such an approach is that it does not
necessarily result in an optimal aggregate plan
LO 11.4 11-19
Cumulative Graph
LO 11.4 11-20
Mathematical Techniques
Linear programming models
Simulation models
Computerized models that can be tested under different
scenarios to identify acceptable solutions to problems
LO 11.4 11-21
Yield Management
Yield management
An approach to maximizing revenue by using a strategy
of variable pricing; prices are set relative to capacity
availability
During periods of low demand, price discounts are
offered
During periods of peak demand, higher prices are
charged
Users of yield management include
Airlines, restaurants, hotels, restaurants
11-22
Disaggregation
Aggregate
Aggregate
Plan
Plan
Disaggregation
Disaggregation
Master
Master
Schedule
Schedule
LO 11.7 11-23
Disaggregating the Aggregate Plan
Master schedule:
The result of disaggregating an aggregate plan
Shows quantity and timing of specific end items for a
scheduled horizon
LO 11.7 11-24
Master Scheduling
The heart of production planning and control
It determines the quantity needed to meet demand from all sources
It interfaces with
Marketing
Capacity planning
Production planning
Distribution planning
Provides senior management with the ability to determine whether
the business plan and its strategic objectives will be achieved
LO 11.7 11-25
The Master Scheduling Process
Inputs Outputs
Beginning inventory
Projected inventory
Master
Master
Forecast Scheduling
Scheduling Master production schedule
Uncommitted inventory
Customer orders
LO 11.7 11-26
Master Scheduling Process
The master production schedule (MPS) is one of the
primary outputs of the master scheduling process
Once a tentative MPS has been developed, it must be validated
LO 11.7 11-27