Cost of Capital: © 2003 The Mcgraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Cost of Capital: © 2003 The Mcgraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Cost of Capital: © 2003 The Mcgraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved
– SML or CAPM
The Dividend Growth Model Approach
Estimating the cost of equity - dividend growth
model approach.
According to the constant growth model:
D1
P0
RE - g
Rearranging:
D1
RE g
P0
Dividend Growth Model Example
• Suppose that your company is expected to pay
a dividend of $1.50 per share next year. There
has been a steady growth in dividends of 5.1%
per year and the market expects that to
continue. The current price is $25. What is the
cost of equity?
1.50
RE .051 .111
25
Example: Estimating the Dividend Growth Rate
• One method for estimating the growth rate is
to use the historical average
– Year Dividend Percent Change
– 1995 1.23
– 1996 1.30 (1.30 – 1.23) / 1.23 = 5.7%
– 1997 1.36 (1.36 – 1.30) / 1.30 = 4.6%
– 1998 1.43 (1.43 – 1.36) / 1.36 = 5.1%
– 1999 1.50 (1.50 – 1.43) / 1.43 = 4.9%
R E R f E ( E ( RM ) R f )
Example - SML
• Suppose your company has an equity beta of .
58 and the current risk-free rate is 6.1%. If the
expected market risk premium is 8.6%, what
is your cost of equity capital?
– RE = 6.1 + .58(8.6) = 11.1%
• Since we came up with similar numbers using
both the dividend growth model and the SML
approach, we should feel pretty good about
our estimate
Advantages and Disadvantages of SML
• Advantages
– Explicitly adjusts for systematic risk
– Applicable to all companies, as long as we can
compute beta
• Disadvantages
– Have to estimate the expected market risk
premium, which does vary over time
– Have to estimate beta, which also varies over time
– We are relying on the past to predict the future,
which is not always reliable
Example – Cost of Equity
• Suppose our company has a beta of 1.5. The
market risk premium is expected to be 9% and
the current risk-free rate is 6%. We have used
analysts’ estimates to determine that the
market believes our dividends will grow at 6%
per year and our last dividend was $2. Our
stock is currently selling for $15.65. What is
our cost of equity?
– Using SML: RE = 6% + 1.5(9%) = 19.5%
– Using DGM: RE = [2(1.06) / 15.65] + .06
= 19.55%
Cost of Debt
• The cost of debt is the required return on our
company’s debt
• We usually focus on the cost of long-term debt or
bonds
• The required return is best estimated by
computing the yield-to-maturity on the existing
debt
• The cost of debt is NOT the coupon rate
Example: Cost of Debt
• Suppose we have a bond issue currently
outstanding that has 25 years left to maturity.
The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid
semiannually. The bond is currently selling for
$908.72 per $1000 bond. What is the cost of
debt?
– N = 50; PMT = 45; FV = 1000; PV = -908.75;
CPT I/Y = 5%; YTM = 5(2) = 10%
Cost of Preferred Stock
• Reminders
– Preferred generally pays a constant dividend every
period
– Dividends are expected to be paid every period
forever
• Preferred stock is an annuity, so we take the
annuity formula, rearrange and solve for R P
• RP = D / P 0
Example: Cost of Preferred Stock
• Your company has preferred stock that has an
annual dividend of $3. If the current price is
$25, what is the cost of preferred stock?
• RP = 3 / 25 = 12%
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital
• We can use the individual costs of capital that
we have computed to get our “average” cost
of capital for the firm.
• This “average” is the required return on our
assets, based on the market’s perception of the
risk of those assets
• The weights are determined by how much of
each type of financing that we use
Capital Structure Weights
• Notation
– E = market value of equity = # outstanding shares
times price per share
– D = market value of debt = # outstanding bonds
times bond price
– V = market value of the firm = D + E
• Weights
– wE = E/V = percent financed with equity
– wD = D/V = percent financed with debt
Example: Capital Structure Weights
• Suppose you have a market value of equity
equal to $500 million and a market value of
debt = $475 million.
– What are the capital structure weights?
• V = 500 million + 475 million = 975 million
• wE = E/D = 500 / 975 = .5128 = 51.28%
• wD = D/V = 475 / 975 = .4872 = 48.72%
Taxes and the WACC
• We are concerned with after-tax cash flows, so
we need to consider the effect of taxes on the
various costs of capital
• Interest expense reduces our tax liability
– This reduction in taxes reduces our cost of debt
– After-tax cost of debt = RD(1-TC)
• Dividends are not tax deductible, so there is
no tax impact on the cost of equity
• WACC = wERE + wDRD(1-TC)
Extended Example – WACC - I
• Debt
EquityInformation
Information
– $1
50 billion
millioninshares
outstanding debt (face value)
– Current
$80 per share
quote = 110
– Coupon
Beta = 1.15
rate = 9%, semiannual coupons
– 15
Market
yearsrisk
to maturity
premium = 9%
– Risk-free
• Tax rate = 5%
rate = 40%
Extended Example – WACC - II
• What is the cost of equity?
– RE = 5 + 1.15(9) = 15.35%
• What is the cost of debt?
– N = 30; PV = -1100; PMT = 45; FV = 1000; CPT
I/Y = 3.9268
– RD = 3.927(2) = 7.854%
• What is the after-tax cost of debt?
– RD(1-TC) = 7.854(1-.4) = 4.712%
Extended Example – WACC - III
• What are the capital structure weights?
– E = 50 million (80) = 4 billion
– D = 1 billion (1.10) = 1.1 billion
– V = 4 + 1.1 = 5.1 billion
– wE = E/V = 4 / 5.1 = .7843
– wD = D/V = 1.1 / 5.1 = .2157
• What is the WACC?
– WACC = .7843(15.35%) + .2157(4.712%) =
13.06%
Cost of Equity
Cost of Debt
WACC
Divisional and Project Costs of
Capital
• Using the WACC as our discount rate is only
appropriate for projects that are the same risk as
the firm’s current operations
• If we are looking at a project that is NOT the
same risk as the firm, then we need to
determine the appropriate discount rate for
that project
• Divisions also often require separate
discount rates
Using WACC for All Projects - Example
• What would happen if we use the WACC for
all projects regardless of risk?
• Assume the WACC = 15%
Project Required Return IRR
A 20% 17%
B 15% 18%
C 10% 12%
The SML and the WACC
SML
Expected
return (%)
16 = 8%
15 WACC = 15%
14 Incorrect
B acceptance
A
Incorrect
rejection
Rf =7
Beta
A = .60 firm = 1.0 B = 1.2
If a firm uses its WACC to make accept/reject decisions for all types of projects, it will have a
tendency toward incorrectly accepting risky projects and incorrectly rejecting less risky projects.
The Pure Play Approach
• Find one or more companies that specialize in
the product or service that we are considering
• Compute the beta for each company
• Take an average
• Use that beta along with the CAPM to find the
appropriate return for a project of that risk
• Often difficult to find pure play companies
Subjective Approach
• Consider the project’s risk relative to the firm
overall
• If the project is more risky than the firm, use a
discount rate greater than the WACC
• If the project is less risky than the firm, use a
discount rate less than the WACC
• You may still accept projects that you shouldn’t
and reject projects you should accept, but your
error rate should be lower than not considering
differential risk at all
Subjective Approach - Example
Risk Level Discount Rate