Discounting, Compounding and Growth
Discounting, Compounding and Growth
DISCOUNTING, COMPOUNDING
AND GROWTH
COMPOUNDING + DISCOUNTING
You COMPOUND a sum if you’re interested in the FUTURE
VALUE of it Compounding interest rate once every couple
of months.
You DISCOUNT a sum if you’re interested in the PRESENT
value of it Discounting a future sum/stream of money.
m
r
i 1 1
m
COMPOUNDING + DISCOUNTING
When considering discrete sums of money, the
PRESENT VALUE can be worked out using the
following formulae:
F
P F
P rT
mT
r
1 e
m
Annual
Payments
d 1 e rT
m
1 1 1 r mT
P 1 P d P d r
r 1 r T 1 r m 1
m e 1
More
Frequent
d 1 1 1 mr mT 1 e rT
P 1 P d P d
r 1 r T r
r
COMPOUNDING + DISCOUNTING
The information in the previous slide can be used to
calculate:
ANNUITIES (‘d’ is the annuity).
MORTGAGES (‘d’ is the payment)
PENSIONS (‘P’ is the initial pension fund and ‘d’ is the
resulting annuity).
If payments are made multiple times in the year, then
simply divide ‘d’ by ‘m’ – ‘m’ being the number of
payments per year, which we assume to be the same as
the number of times interest is discounted.
Hence, for ‘more frequent’ discounting, we calculate the
MONTHLY/QUARTERLY/SEMI-ANNUAL rate of
interest r/m.
GROWTH
Growth can be CONTINUOUS OR DISCRETE.
Discrete growth is of the form:
F = P(1 + i/m)mT
Continuous growth is of the form:
F = PerT
We can relate the two rates of growth by assuming that the future values
are equal;
P(1 + i/m)mT = PerT
mT.ln(1+ i/m) = rT
Hence, the link between continuous and discrete growth rates is:
r = m.ln(1 + i/m)
If estimating the continuous growth rate, given two figures a couple of
years apart, simply use F = Pert to estimate ‘r’.
If calculating the PROPORTIONAL rate of growth, it is the time
differential of the function divided by evaluating the function at time ‘t’.
With exponential growth functions, proportional rate of growth is CONSTANT,
with other functions it may vary with time.