Introduction To Business Valuation

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Introduction to

Business Valuation
Introduction to Business Valuation

 Business valuation refers to estimation of business value

Valuation is just to estimate


What (cash flow) + When (time period) + How (risk),
we receive in future out of the business
“Values of business” derived by different perceptions

Fair Value of all company Assets

Replacement Value of recorded Assets

Book Value (Balance Sheet)

Added Value
Approaches to Valuation

 Asset Approach / Cost Method


 Market Approach / Relative Valuation / Multiplier
 Income Approach / Discounted Cashflow
 Option pricing / Contingent Claim
Asset Approach
 Book Value = Assets – Debt
 Shareholder’s Equity

Cash = 200
LT Liability = 350
LT Assets = 400
Current Liability = 150
Other Current Assets = 250

Book Value = ?

Used for valuing Banks, Brokerages etc.


Multiplier Approach
 Valuation using the comparable assets
Price relative to book Value, Cashflow etc.
e.g Price to Earnings, Price to Book

InfoTele has an expected earnings of INR 20 / share. The tele industry


stocks trade at a Price-to-Earnings multiple of 14x. What is the value of
InfoTele stock? Total number of shares for InfoTele are 1 million

Next year InfoTele is expected to earn a profit of INR 25 million. What is


the one year forward P/E for the stock ?

Useful for comparing multiple companies


Usually multiples are compared wrt to benchmarks

Are Low P/E Stocks Really a Bargain?


Multiplier Approach
Advantages
 Reflects the market perception. Useful for IPO valuation
 Segregate undervalued and overvalued securities
 Portfolio managers are judged based on their performance on a relative
basis. This approach is inline with this evaluation

Drawbacks
 Built on the assumption that market corrects any imperfections in
individual securities
 Approach is based on implicit assumptions that may be wrong
Cashflow Approach
 Cash flow is normally defined as earnings before interest, taxes,
depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). 
 Focuses on the operating Business

In the cashflow approach, the value is derived as the present value of the
expected cash flows.
To use discounted cash flow valuation, We need to estimate
•life of the asset
•cash flows during the life of the asset
•discount rate to apply to these cash flows to get present value

Commonly used to value industries that


 involve tremendous up-front capital expenditures
 companies that have large amortization burdens
Cashflow Approach

Firm Valuation / Going Concern


Value Entire business
Asset Liability

Assets in Place Debt

Liquidation Valuation
Growth Assets Equity

Equity Valuation
Value Equity claim in
the business
Cashflow Approach
Advantages
 Based on asset’s fundamentals, not affected by market movements
 Needs better understanding of the underlying business

Drawbacks
 Requires more information and inputs compared to other methods
 Final valuation subject to manipulation as it is sensitive to the inputs.
 Valuation is unsatisfactory if the cashflows are negative or if firm has
large number of unutilized assets
Option Pricing Approach
 Any security that exhibit characteristics  of an option can be valued
using the option pricing approach
 Value is derived from an underlying asset
 Option has a fixed life
 Payoff occurs when the value derived from the underlying is greater
than the price of the option paid. Otherwise the options is worthless

e.g A mining company buying mining lease, Patent owned by a firm

A pharma company invests 8 crs in researching a new molecule. The


probability of success is 5%. If the molecule is successful, the company
will have to spend 3 crs more as marketing expenses and expects to earn a
revenue of 300 crs. Should the company invest in this molecule research ?
Option Pricing Approach
Advantages
 Allows us to value assets, which otherwise cannot be valued using
other methods
 Introduces a fresh insight into valuation. Higher risk & variability
increases the value of the asset that exhibits option like characteristics

Drawbacks
 Inputs required for valuation are difficult to obtain
 Valuation is based on an underlying asset. So there is an additional
valuation step
 Danger of double counting e.g DCF valuation may assume higher
growth rate accounting for Patents. Again the patents may be valued
using option pricing, thereby causing double counting.
Competitive advantage period
Assets in Place
Profit Margin
Regulatory environment
Taxes

firm’s Investment
Expected Return on
Managers, people
and corporate culture
Value Drivers

Actual business, barriers to entry

Acquisition / Disposal

Industry, Competitive structure


growth

New Business & Products


Technology
Expected Company
Expectation of Future Cash flows

Real options
Risk-free
VALUE OF FIRM

Interest Rate Premium


Market risk

Industry & Country Law


Control on Operations
Risk

Buyer / Target
Operating
Required return

Risk perceived by the market


Financing
Liquidity
Risk

Size
Financial

Risk Management
Market Communication

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