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Application of Matrix To Estimate Growth of Population

This document discusses using the Leslie matrix model to estimate population growth over time. The Leslie matrix uses birth rates and survival rates for different age groups to model how a population will change each year. An example Leslie matrix is provided showing birth rates along the first row and survival rates along the diagonal. The initial population is multiplied by the Leslie matrix to estimate the population over multiple years. An example problem applies the model to estimate the 1-year and 2-year future populations of a rat population with given age groupings, birth rates, survival rates, and initial populations.

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90 views11 pages

Application of Matrix To Estimate Growth of Population

This document discusses using the Leslie matrix model to estimate population growth over time. The Leslie matrix uses birth rates and survival rates for different age groups to model how a population will change each year. An example Leslie matrix is provided showing birth rates along the first row and survival rates along the diagonal. The initial population is multiplied by the Leslie matrix to estimate the population over multiple years. An example problem applies the model to estimate the 1-year and 2-year future populations of a rat population with given age groupings, birth rates, survival rates, and initial populations.

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THE GR8 HUB
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© © All Rights Reserved
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• APPLICATION OF MATRIX TO ESTIMATE

GROWTH OF POPULATION
• WILL USE LESLIE MATRIX TO ESTIMATE
POPULATION GROWTH
• THE LESLIE MATRIX USE BIRTH RATE AND
SURVIVAL RATE
• IT CAN BE USED TO ESTIMATE POPULATION ABOUT
BY
ANY NUMBER OF YEARS
1. ADITYA TIWARI
2. UJJWAL TIWARI
3. SANCHIT TRIPATHI
4. HARI OM YADAV
• HISTORY

• IT WAS PRESENTED BY BRITISH ECOLOGIST P.H. Leslie


• IN 1945
• IT WAS FIRST USED TO ESTIMATE THE POPULATION GROWTH OF ROTTEN
• CONTENT

• PREREQUISITES
• WHAT IS LESLIE MATRIX ?
• WHAT IS POPULATION MATRIX ?
• AN OVER VIEW TO USE THIS MODEL
• EXAMPLE
• PROBLEM TO UNDERSTAND MODEL
• PREREQUISITES

• WE ASSUME THE START OF ANY POPULATION FROM GIVEN DATA TO BE INITIAL POPULATION

• WE ASSUME THE BIRTH RATE,SURVIVAL RATE AND MORTALITY FOR GIVEN AGE GROUP TO NOT
FLACTUATE WITH TIME

• THIS METHOD IS APPLICABLE ONLY TO DEAL WITH FEMALE FOR ANY SPIECIES
•
• THE ROLE MATRIX IN THIS METHOD IS JUST TO MINIMIZE THE LONG CHAINS OF PRODUCT AND
THEIR VAST ADDITION
• WHAT IS LESLIE
MATRIX ?
• IT’S A MATRIX WHICH USES BIRTH RATE AND SURVIVAL RATE TO GIVE DESIRED NUMBER
OF SPIECIES AT PARTICULAR AGE

• AN OVERVIEW TO LESLIE MATRIX

1. IN THE FIRST ROW WE JUST PUT THE BIRTH RATE OF THE GIVEN POPULATION AS PER AGE
GROUP
• ALL THE OTHER ROW JUST CONTAIN THE SURVIVAL RATE

• TO ESTIMATE POPULATION WE JUST DO PRODUCT OF LESLIE MATRIX AND POPULATION


MATRIX
• WHATS POPULATION MATRIX ?
• It contain only one column
• FOLLWING SHOWS AN MATRICE
• We just use given data to form initial matrix
• Initially from given data we just make population matrix
• The next population matrix is (after a desired number of year ) is
N0
obtained by following algorithm
N0 = N1F1 + N2F2 +N3F3 ….+FsNs N1

• Newborns(N0) = (Number of age 1 females) times (BIRTH RATE of N2


age 1 females) plus
N3
• (Number of age 2 females) times (BIRTH RATE of age
….
2 females) plus
….. Ns

• Note: BIRTH RATE here is defined as number of female offspring s+1 rows by 1 column
produced by a particular age group
(s+1) x 1
F1 = BIRTH RATE OF AGE 1
F2 = BIRTH RATE OF AGE 2
. Where, s=maximum age
.
.
• AN OVER VIEW TO USE THIS MODEL
• LETN0 BE INITIAL POPULATION MATRIX OBTAINED BY GIVEN DATA

• LETNN BE DESIRED POPULATION MATRIX AFTER N NUMBER OF YEARS


•
• THE POPULATION MATRIX IS THE THING WHICH WE WANT TO KNOW

• NOW LET L BE THE LESLIE MATRIX

THE FOLLOWING FORMULA IS USED


  𝑵 N0
❑
NN = L
• THE BELOW SHOW AN
EXAMPLE
N0 F0 F1 F2 F3 …. Fs N0

N1 S0 0 0 0 …. 0 N1

N2 0 S1 0 0 …. 0 N2

N3
= 0 0 S2 0 …. 0 N3
…. …. ….

Ns 0 0 0 0 Ss-1 0 Ns

N0 F0 F1 F2 F3 …. Fs N0

N1 S0 0 0 0 …. 0 N1

N2 0 S1 0 0 …. 0 N2

N3
= 0 0 S2 0 …. 0 N3
…. …. ….

Ns 0 0 0 0 Ss-1 0 Ns
• SOLVE A PROBLEM TO ANALYSE THE MODEL
• LETS CONSIDER AN SPICIES OF RAT FROM AN HABITAT

AGE GROUP 0< >2 2< >4 4< >6

BIRTH RATE 0.5 0.32 .01


POPULATION 50 60 40

SURVIVAL RATE .6 .4 0

N0< >2 0.5 0.32 .O1 50

0.6 0 0 60
N2< >4
=
0 0 .01 40
N4< >6
N0< >2 0.5 0.32 .O1 50 48.2

N2< >4
= 0.6 0 0 60 = 30

40 24
N4< >6 0 .4 0

• IN ABOVE PROBLEM WE JUST FOUND POPULATION AFTER 1 YEAR

• TO FIND POPULATION AFTER 2 YEAR WE JUST NEED TO MULTIPLY OBTAINED


POPULATION
MATRIX BY LELIES MATRIX
𝑵
• NN = L N0

• HERE N IS THE NUMBER OF YEAR AFTER WE WANT TO CALCULATE THE POPULATION


THANK
YOU

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