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Practice Quesions Fin Planning Forecasting

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FINANCIAL PLANNING

AND FORECASTING
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
BY
DR. SHAKEEL IQBAL
QUESTION # 1 2

 AFN equation Carter Corporation’s sales are expected to increase


from $5 million in 2005 to $6 million in 2006, or by 20 percent. Its
assets totaled $3 million at the end of 2005. Carter is at full capacity,
so its assets must grow in proportion to projected sales. At the end of
2005, current liabilities are $1 million, consisting of $250,000 of
accounts payable, $500,000 of notes payable, and $250,000 of
accrued liabilities. The after-tax profit margin is forecasted to be 5
percent, and the forecasted retention ratio is 30 percent. Use the
AFN equation to forecast Carter’s additional funds needed for the
coming year.
SOLUTION: 3

QUESTION # 1

AFN = (A*/S0)S – (L*/S0)S – MS1(RR)


 $3,000,000   $500,000 
=   $1,000,000 –  $1,000,000 – 0.05($6,000,000)(0.3)
 $5,000,000   $5,000,000 
= (0.6)($1,000,000) – (0.1)($1,000,000) – ($300,000)(0.3)
= $600,000 – $100,000 – $90,000
= $410,000.
QUESTION # 2 4

 AFN equation Refer to Problem 1. What would


the additional funds needed be if the company’s
year-end 2005 assets had been $4 million? Assume
that all other numbers are the same. Why is this
AFN different from the one you found in Problem
1? Is the company’s “capital intensity” the same or
different? Explain.
SOLUTION: 5

QUESTION # 2
 $4,000,000 
AFN =   $1,000,000  (0.1)($1,0 00,000)  ($300,000) (0.3)
 $5,000,000 
= (0.8)($1,000,000) – $100,000 – $90,000
= $800,000 – $190,000
= $610,000.

The capital intensity ratio is measured as A*/S0. This firm’s capital


intensity ratio is higher than that of the firm in Problem 17-1;
therefore, this firm is more capital intensive—it would require a
large increase in total assets to support the increase in sales.
QUESTION # 3 6

 AFN equation Refer to Problem 1 and assume that


the company had $3 million in assets at the end of
2005. However, now assume that the company
pays no dividends. Under these assumptions, what
would be the additional funds needed for the
coming year? Why is this AFN different from the
one you found in Problem 1?
SOLUTION: 7

QUESTION # 3
AFN = (0.6)($1,000,000) – (0.1)($1,000,000) – 0.05($6,000,000)(1)
= $600,000 – $100,000 – $300,000
= $200,000.
Under this scenario the company would have a higher
level of retained earnings, which would reduce the
amount of additional funds needed.
QUESTION # 4 8

1. Pro forma income statement Austin Grocers recently reported the following 2005
income statement (in millions of dollars):

Sales $700
Operating costs including depreciation 500
EBIT $200
Interest 40
EBT $160
Taxes (40%) 64
Net income $ 96
Dividends $ 32
Addition to retained earnings $ 64

This year the company is forecasting a 25 percent increase in sales, and it expects that its
year-end operating costs including depreciation will equal 70 percent of sales. Austin’s tax
rate, interest expense, and dividend payout ratio are all expected to remain constant.

a) What is Austin’s projected 2006 net income?


b) What is the expected growth rate in Austin’s dividends?
SOLUTION: 9

QUESTION # 4
a. 2005 Forecast Basis 2006
Sales $700  1.25 $875.00
Oper. costs 500  0.70 Sales 612.50
EBIT $200 $262.50
Interest 40 40.00
EBT $160 $222.50
Taxes (40%) 64 89.00
Net income $ 96 $133.50

Dividends (33.33%) $ 32 $ 44.50


Addit. to R/E $ 64 $ 89.00

b. Dividends = ($44.50 – $32.00)/$32.00 = 39.06%.


QUESTION # 5 10

 Excess capacity Walter Industries has $5 billion in sales and $1.7


billion in fixed assets. Currently, the company’s fixed assets are
operating at 90 percent of capacity.
a) What level of sales could Walter Industries have obtained if it
had been operating at full capacity?
b) What is Walter’s target fixed assets/sales ratio?
c) If Walter’s sales increase 12 percent, how large of an increase in
fixed assets would the company need in order to meet its target
fixed assets/sales ratio?
SOLUTION: 11

QUESTION # 5
Sales = $5,000,000,000; FA = $1,700,000,000; FA are operated at 90% capacity.
 
a. Full capacity sales = $5,000,000,000/0.90 = $5,555,555,556.
b. Target FA/S ratio = $1,700,000,000/$5,555,555,556 = 30.6%. 
c. Sales increase 12%; FA = ?
 
S1 = $5,000,000,000  1.12 = $5,600,000,000.
No increase in FA up to $5,555,555,556.
  FA = 0.306  ($5,600,000,000 – $5,555,555,556)
= 0.306  ($44,444,444)
= $13,600,000.
QUESTION # 6 12
Pro forma income statement At the end of last year, Roberts Inc. reported the following
income statement (in millions of dollars):
Sales $3,000
Operating costs excluding depreciation 2,450
EBITDA $ 550
Depreciation 250
EBIT $ 300
Interest 125
EBT $ 175
Taxes (40%) 70
Net income $ 105

Looking ahead to the following year, the company’s CFO has assembled the following
information:

 Year-end sales are expected to be 10 percent higher than the $3 billion in sales
generated last year.
 Year-end operating costs, excluding depreciation, are expected to equal 80 percent
of year-end sales.
 Depreciation is expected to increase at the same rate as sales.
 Interest costs are expected to remain unchanged.
 The tax rate is expected to remain at 40 percent.

On the basis of this information, what will be the forecast for Roberts’ year-end net income?
SOLUTION: 13

QUESTION # 6
Actual Forecast Basis Pro Forma
Sales $3,000  1.10 $3,300
Oper. costs excluding depreciation 2,450 0.80
Sales 2,640
EBITDA $ 550 $ 660
Depreciation 250  1.10 275
EBIT $ 300 $ 385
Interest 125 125
EBT $ 175 $ 260
Taxes (40%) 70 104
Net income $ 105 $ 156
QUESTION # 7 14
 Long-term financing needed At year-end 2005, total assets for Ambrose Inc.
were $1.2 million and accounts payable were $375,000. Sales, which in 2005
were $2.5 million, are expected to increase by 25 percent in 2006. Total assets and
accounts payable are proportional to sales, and that relationship will be
maintained; that is, they will grow at the same rate as sales. Ambrose typically
uses no current liabilities other than accounts payable. Common stock amounted
to $425,000 in 2005, and retained earnings were $295,000. Ambrose plans to sell
new common stock in the amount of $75,000. The firm’s profit margin on sales is
6 percent; 60 percent of earnings will be retained.
a) What was Ambrose’s total debt in 2005?
b) How much new, long-term debt financing will be needed in 2006? (Hint:
AFN _ New stock _ New long-term debt.)
SOLUTION: 15

QUESTION # 7 Part (a)

Total liabilitie s = Accounts payable + Long-term debt + Common stock + Retained earnings
and equity
$1,200,000 = $375,000 + Long-term debt + $425,000 + $295,000
Long-term debt = $105,000.

Total debt = Accounts payable + Long-term debt


= $375,000 + $105,000 = $480,000.

Alternatively,
Total debt = Total liabilities and equity – Common stock – Retained earnings
= $1,200,000 – $425,000 – $295,000 = $480,000.
SOLUTION: 16

QUESTION # 7 Part (b)


Assets/Sales (A*/S0) = $1,200,000/$2,500,000 = 48%.

L*/Sales (L*/S0) = $375,000/$2,500,000 = 15%.

2006 Sales = (1.25)($2,500,000) = $3,125,000.

S = $3,125,000 – $2,500,000 = $625,000.

AFN = (A*/S0)(S) – (L*/S0)(S) – MS1(RR) – New common stock


= (0.48)($625,000) – (0.15)($625,000) – (0.06)($3,125,000)(0.6) – $75,000
= $300,000 – $93,750 – $112,500 – $75,000 = $18,750.
QUESTION # 8 17

 Sales increase Pierce Furnishings generated $2.0 million in sales


during 2005, and its year-end total assets were $1.5 million. Also, at
year-end 2005, current liabilities were $500,000, consisting of
$200,000 of notes payable, $200,000 of accounts payable, and
$100,000 of accrued liabilities. Looking ahead to 2006, the company
estimates p that its assets must increase by 75 cents for every $1
increase in sales. Pierce’s profit margin is 5 percent, and its retention
ratio is 40 percent. How large a sales increase can the company
achieve without having to raise funds externally?
SOLUTION: 18

QUESTION # 8
S2005 = $2,000,000; A2005 = $1,500,000; CL2005 = $500,000; NP2005 = $200,000; A/P2005 = $200,000;
Accrued liabilities2005 = $100,000; A*/S0 = 0.75; PM = 5%; RR = 40%; S?

AFN = (A*/S0)S – (L*/S0)S – MS1(RR)


 $300,000 
$0 = (0.75)S –   S – (0.05)(S1)(0.4)
 $2,000,000 
$0 = (0.75)S – (0.15)S – (0.02)S1
$0 = (0.6)S – (0.02)S1
$0 = 0.6(S1 – S0) – (0.02)S1
$0 = 0.6(S1 – $2,000,000) – (0.02)S1
$0 = 0.6S1 – $1,200,000 – 0.02S1
$1,200,000 = 0.58S1
$2,068,965.52 = S1.

Sales can increase by $2,068,965.52 – $2,000,000 = $68,965.52 without


additional funds being needed.
19

THE END!!!

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