V2020 Final

INTERNATIONAL ISSUES
Terrorism
Terrorism of the Foreseeable Future..
Intensified Ideological Extremism
Enhanced Operational Capabilities
Expanded Transnational Associations
Flexible Organizational Networks
Emergent Independent Actors
Increased Weapon System Lethality
Targeted Economic Disruption
Exploited Mass Media Marketing
Disarmament
Possible Scenarios In 2020
Nuclear, chemical, bio weapons continue to proliferate.
Terrorism will continue
Increasing violence and political influence by non-state actors.
Proliferation of primitive as well as modern weapons/systems.
Disarmament of India by 2020 would be difficult.
In support of a non-discriminatory, verifiable FMCT (Fissile

Material Cut-off Treaty )
Foreseeable India’s Future
IT will help India overtake China as the fastest growing economy and become the
3rd ranked economy
Internet access will increase 6-10 times
Every Indian will have a UID (vs. none today)
300 M+ will have access to electronic fund transfer
India will have 2nd largest electronic payments volume.
Indian IT and Telecom companies will be global players
India will be the major IT product market

Possible Scenarios In 2020
Skills Shortage & Ubiquitous Data
Over 2200 Indian companies are projected to open operations outside the
country over the next fifteen years.
Cash& carry and supper market model will be more prominent
Medical tourism/global health care.
Tele-medication in rural and urban area.
9-10 percent expected growth in infrastructure.
Global infrastructure investment in India expected to increase considerably in

the next 10 years.
B
R
I
C
BRIC IN 2020
China and India dominant supplier of manufactured goods and services
Brazil and Russia dominant supplier of raw materials
BRIC maintain economic growth by trading with each other
BRIC investment in infrastructure projected over $22 tn
Growth of middle class in India and China,rising incomes will have much
greater impact on global demand
South Africa and Indonesia are the potential additions to the BRIC, forming
it a 6 nation congregation
International Financial Institutions
India’s borrowing likely to reduce by 2020 – source funding through
other means.
Poorest countries – African – need more funding.
Domestic funds
International Funds
Innovative approaches to raise capital
Domestic institutions forced to compete with the FIIs; Structural

issues will come to the fore with a plain message: reform or despair.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS
Subsides for
Conflict between political or Removal of
US & UK economical internal subsidies
reasons
Structural Piracy in global Controversial

adjustment trade monetary aid
GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM
GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM
The economic development of China.
An initiative for Asia Pacific Free Trade Area makes concrete progress.
2020 possibility of FTAA, African common market and Euro- Mediterranean Free trade
Area in existence.
Smaller groupings with closer integration might co-exist.
It moves mainly towards regional trade agreements.
The political differences between India have led Pakistan.
world moving to region-wide economic groupings.

UNITED NATION
RELEVANCE OF UNITED NATIONS
VISION FOR 2020:
Crisis prevention and recovery
HIV and development
Poverty reduction
Conservation energy and prevention
Mitigation plans for crisis management

ERADICATE REDUCE ENSURE
EXTREME CHILD ENVIRONMENT
POVERTY AND MORTALITY AL
HUNGER SUSTAINABILITY
ACHIEVE IMPROVE GLOBAL

UNIVERSAL MATERNAL PARTNERSHIP
PRIMARY HEALTH
EDUCATION
COMBAT HIV PROMOTE

AND OTHER GENDER
DISEASES EQUALITY
TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD
TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD
Double
taxation
Realistic
Not
policy
completely
For E-
automatic
commerce
Gov., need Gov., need

transparency revamped
LOGISTICS
LOGISTIC MANAGEMENT
TODAYS SCM THE VISION

• WEEKLY WEEKLY • DAILY BASIS
SOURCE MAKE DELIVARY SOURCE MAKE DELIVARY
ISSUES IN INTERNATIONAL
product product
International Domestic
Fluctuation rate, government policies, local collaborators

ultimately become competitors, danger of foreign government.
WTO in 2020
OPTIMISTIC APPROACH
LEGITIMACY
JUSTICE
LAWMAKING
ATTENTION TO POVERTY
PASCAL LAMY
DIRECTOR GENERAL WTO
WTO - 2020
Pessimistic Approach
Countries decide to pull out
Decision making and conflict of interest

By 2020…….
World Peace Organization
• Focus of UN towards maintaining world

peace both within the countries and
world wide.
• Including the “Rogue States” as an
integral part.
• UN  UN Terra
UN Universal
By 2020…….
Weapon Reserves
• Nuclear weapons  created and operated

from Moon.
• Extended use of the ISS for military.
• Operations from IDC ( International Defense
Centre ) which would be in the geo-
synchronous orbit of planet Earth
POVERTY
POVERTY
• In 2020,
• Poverty related to monetary
benefits will surely come
down
• Poverty may get a new face
of recognition (other than
money).
• It is a relative process and
will exist.
POVERTY - 2020
(a)Consistent Approach Which
Includes Participation Of People
Of Faith Government And
Business .
(B) Protect Human Dignity.
(C) Avoiding Disparity

Between
The Rich And Poor.

MULTI NATIONAL COMPANIES
FACE OF INDIAN MNC’S IN 2020
Indian companies progress over the next 20 years will be

intimately linked to events within the region as well as around
the world.
Both opportunities and challenges will arise as the result of

transformations in the regional and global political and
security environments.
INDIAN MNC’S
TATA IN 2020
Acquisition of JAGUAR in auto sector(TOYOTA,VOLKSWAGON)
Acquisition of CORUS in metal sector(ARCELORMITTAL)
MAHINDRA IN 2020
Acquisition of REVA(G-WHIZ) in HYBRID sector(RISING OIL PRICES).
MICROMAX IN 2020
Surpassing NOKIA in terms of sales in world market.
FACTORS THAT WILL LEAD TO FURTHER
GROWTH OF MNC’S
Population Growth
Economic Expansion
Growth of World Trade
Growth of Services Sector
Capital Flows
Technology & Infrastructure

Expansion of software market
Thank You
Presented By
Sowmya P(1021452)
Samuel Norman(1020759)
Varghese John(1021035)

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INTERNATIONAL ISSUES

Terrorism will continue

Increasing violence and political influence by non-state actors.

Proliferation of primitive as well as modern weapons/systems.

Disarmament of India by 2020 would be difficult.

In support of a non-discriminatory, verifiable FMCT (Fissile

Internet access will increase 6-10 times

Every Indian will have a UID (vs. none today)

300 M+ will have access to electronic fund transfer

India will have 2nd largest electronic payments volume.

Indian IT and Telecom companies will be global players

India will be the major IT product market

Cash& carry and supper market model will be more prominent

Medical tourism/global health care.

Tele-medication in rural and urban area.

9-10 percent expected growth in infrastructure.

Global infrastructure investment in India expected to increase considerably in

Brazil and Russia dominant supplier of raw materials

BRIC maintain economic growth by trading with each other

BRIC investment in infrastructure projected over $22 tn

Poorest countries – African – need more funding.

Innovative approaches to raise capital

Domestic institutions forced to compete with the FIIs; Structural

Structural Piracy in global Controversial

Smaller groupings with closer integration might co-exist.

It moves mainly towards regional trade agreements.

The political differences between India have led Pakistan.

world moving to region-wide economic groupings.

Crisis prevention and recovery

HIV and development

Conservation energy and prevention

Mitigation plans for crisis management

ACHIEVE IMPROVE GLOBAL

COMBAT HIV PROMOTE

Gov., need Gov., need

TODAYS SCM THE VISION

SOURCE MAKE DELIVARY SOURCE MAKE DELIVARY

Fluctuation rate, government policies, local collaborators

Countries decide to pull out

Decision making and conflict of interest

• Focus of UN towards maintaining world

• Nuclear weapons  created and operated

(B) Protect Human Dignity.

(C) Avoiding Disparity

The Rich And Poor.

Indian companies progress over the next 20 years will be

Both opportunities and challenges will arise as the result of

Technology & Infrastructure

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