Prachi Chhabra - Garima Verma
Prachi Chhabra - Garima Verma
Prachi Chhabra - Garima Verma
- GARIMA VERMA
•India with 1,220,200,000 (1.22 billion) people is the second most
populous country in the world, while China is on the top with over
1,350,044,605 (1.35 billion) people.
• India is predicted to have more than 1.53 billion people by the end
of 2030.
•India crossed the one billion mark in the year 2000, one year after
the world's population crossed the six billion threshold.
NATIONAL SUMMARY DATA OF CENSUS OF 2011
Note:
•Between 1911 and 1920, the birth and death rates were virtually
equal--about forty-eight births and forty-eight deaths per 1,000
population. The increasing impact of curative and preventive
medicine (especially mass inoculations) brought a steady decline
in the death rate.
•By themid-1990s, the estimated birth rate had fallen to twenty
•eight per 1,000, and the estimated death rate had fallen to ten per
1,000.
Change in
Population Between Percent Change Annual Growth Rate
Census Years Population Censuses Between Censuses (percent)
1901 238,396,327 — — —
•India has 28 states & 7 Union Territories with varying population size.
•In 1997 there were almost as many babies born in india(about 25 million) as
in all of sub saharan africa and morethan china(21 million).
•India is adding one australia to its population every year and one japan in
every census.
•India became the first country in the world to launch a family planning
•programme to check the population growth.
MOST POPULOUS COUNTRIES IN THE WORLD
• In 1950, China with 22 percent share of the world population was the world’s
most populous country, followed by India, which had a share of 14.2 percent.
The population of India is almost equal to the combined population of U.S.A.,
Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Japan put together- the
population of these six countries totals 1214.3 million!
•A point that is striking is that while India accounts for a meagre 2.4 percent of
the world surface area of 135.79 million square kms, it supports and sustains a
whopping 17.5 percent of the world population.
•In contrast, the USA accounts for 7.2 percent of the surface area with only 4.5
percent of the world population. As such, among the ten most populous
countries of the world, only Bangladesh has a higher population density
compared to India.
World’s 20 largest population in 2050
•Population growth
•Birth rate
•Death rate
•Infant mortality rate
•Total fertility rate
POPULATION
GROWTH IN INDIA
DEFINITION OF POPULATION GROWTH :
The average annual percent change in the population, resulting from a
surplus (or deficit) of births over deaths and the balance of migrants
entering and leaving a country. The rate may be positive or negative.
The growth rate is a factor in determining how great a burden would be
imposed on a country by the changing needs of its people for
infrastructure (e.g., schools, hospitals, housing, roads), resources (e.g.,
food, water, electricity), and jobs. Rapid population growth can be seen
as threatening by neighboring countries.
The population of India, at the turn of the twentieth century, was only around 238.4
million. This has increased by more than four times in a period of one hundred and
ten years to reach 1210 million in 2011. Interestingly, the population of India grew by
one and half times in the first half of the twentieth century, while in the later half it
recorded a phenomenal three-fold increase.
POPULATION GROWTH RATE 2000-2010
BIRTH RATE IN INDIA
DEFINITION OF BIRTH RATE :
This entry gives the average annual number of births during a year per
1,000 persons in the population at midyear; also known as crude birth
rate. The birth rate is usually the dominant factor in determining the rate
of population growth. It depends on both the level of fertility and the age
structure of the population.
•Efforts are being made to reduce the epidemics like plague, malaria
etc.
Count
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
ry
India 8.88 8.74 8.62 8.49 8.38 8.28 8.18 6.58 6.4 6.23 7.53 7.48
INFANT MORTALITY
RATE
•According to the data, Goa has reported the lowest IMR of 11 followed
by Kerala with 12.
•While there has been a drop of three points in the national average for
IMR, states like Bihar, Karnataka, Orissa, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh,
Jammu and Kashmir, Andaman and Nicobar Islands have reported a
dip of four points in the rate.
This entry gives a figure for the average number of children that would be
born per woman if all women lived to the end of their childbearing years and
bore children according to a given fertility rate at each age. The total fertility
rate (TFR) is a more direct measure of the level of fertility than the crude
birth rate, since it refers to births per woman.
This indicator shows the potential for population change in the country. A
rate of two children per woman is considered the replacement rate for a
population, resulting in relative stability in terms of total numbers. Rates
above two children indicate populations growing in size and whose median
age is declining.
•It is important to note that the Planning Commission has never considered a
population control program as an alternative to socio-economic development.
•While recognizing that with improved public health programs and lower death
rates, the population pressure was likely to increase, it accepted the need for
curbing the birth rates.
•"This highlights the need for a large and active programmed aimed at
restraining population growth, even as it reinforces the case for a massive
developmental effort."
THIRD FIVE YEAR PLAN
(1961-1966)
•The Fourth Five-Year Plan viewed population not only from the point of
view of economic development, but also from that of social change.
•"Under Indian conditions, the quest for equality and dignity of man
requires as its basis both a high rate of economic growth and a low rate of
population increase.
•Even far- reaching changes in social and economic fields will not lead to a
better life unless population growth is controlled. The limitation of family is
an essential and inescapable ingredient of development."
•In 1966, a separate Department of Family Planning was carved out in the
Ministry of Health in order to strengthen the population control program.
FIFTH FIVE YEAR PLAN
(1974-1979)
The Draft Fifth Five-Year Plan included family planning in the context of the
National Minimum Needs Programme. It accorded d a high priority to
population control, and based the demographic projections for the Plan
period on certain assumptions regarding a reduced growth rate, a birth rate
declining much faster than the death rate and an effective family planning
programme.
It concluded
"if family planning is less of a success than assumed above, the total
increase in population would be even larger. It is of the utmost importance
that family planning must achieve at least that much success as has been
assumed for the above projections. Given the needed effort, it is an
attainable target.“
The final version of the Fifth Plan was published only in 1976, and it
incorporated the National Population Policy announced in April 1976.
The Government that was voted into power in March 1977 made it explicitly
clear that it was firmly committed to the programme of population in the
programme did not arise. Some of the measures announced in the National
Population Policy in 1976, especially those relating to compulsion, were
dropped, while some others were retained.
SIXTH FIVE YEAR PLAN (1980-
1985)
The Sixth Five-Year Plan earmarked Rs. 10,100 million for the family planning
program. It involves reducing the net reproduction rate (NRR) to one by 1996
for the country as a whole and by 2001 in the states. The implications of this
long-term demographic goal are as follows:
• The average size of the family would be reduced from 4.2 children to 2.3
children.
• The birth rate per thousand populations would be reduced from the level of
33 in 1978 to 21.
• The death rate per thousand populations would be reduced from about 14 in
1978 to 9 and the infant mortality rate would be reduced from 129 to 60 or
less.
It was stated in the Eighth Five Year Document that the NRR of one would now
be achievable only in the period 2011-16 A.D. and not by the year 2000 A.D., as
envisaged in the National Health Policy declared in 1983.
Accordingly, the goals of the crude birth rate, crude death rate and natural
population growth rate to be achieved by the end of the Eighth Plan Period
(i.e., 1997) were also revised. The revised goals to be achieved by 1997 and
2000 A.D. respectively were as follows:
•crude birth rate: 26 and 21;
•crude death rate: 9 and 9;
NINTH FIVE YEAR PLAN
(1997-2002)
The objective of the ninth five year was to achieve rapid reduction in
population growth rate by:
•Meeting all the felt needs for contraception.
•Reducing the infant and maternal morbidity and mortality so that there is
reduction in the desired level of fertility.
During the Tenth Plan, the major focus of the Family Welfare programme
will be on ensuring that families have improved access to health-care
facilities providing appropriate high quality of health care to enable them
to achieve their reproductive goals. This in turn will enable the country to
achieve the goals set in the National Population Policy 2000.
4. Reduce maternal mortality ratio to below 100 per 100,000 live births.
6. Promote delayed marriage for girls, not earlier than age 18 and preferably
after 20 years of age.
7. Achieve 80 percent institutional deliveries and 100 percent deliveries by
trained persons.
12. Promote vigorously the small family norm to achieve replacement levels of
TFR.
IMR fell by 5 per cent per year over the 2006–11 period, an improvement
over the 3 per cent decline per year in the preceding five years, but short
of the target of 28. The decline in IMR has accelerated, but is short of the
required
pace. While seven states have achieved the target, IMR is still high in MP,
Odisha, UP, Assam, and Rajasthan.
Reduction of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) to 2.1: India is on track for the
achievement of a TFR target of 2.1 by 2017, which is necessary to
achieve net replacement level of unity, and realise the long cherished goal
of the National Health Policy, 1983 and National Population Policy of 2000.
PROGRAMS AND POLICIES FOR CONTROLLING
POPULATION
•The objective of the programme was to give through the lilting government
hospitals and some new clinics, advice on family planning to those who came
to seek it and to conduct research different aspects of family planning.
•Under the Second Plan the program received greater attention and about 5000
rural clinics were opened.
•The Third Five-Year Plan saw a major breakthrough in the area of family
planning. It was recognized that the objective of estabilizing the growth of
population over a reasonable period must be at the very centre of the planned
development. With this end in view a massive campaign was launched and
family planning services were expanded vastly to reach the door-steps of the
people. The figures of 1961 census showed a higher rate of growth of
population than anticipated.
•During the Fourth Five-Year Plan and the three years preceding it, which
were not covered by any of the Five-Year Plans, Family Planning
Programme was given great importance and urgency. The programme was
reconsolidated, expanded and made goal-oriented. Time-bound plans were
formulated.
• A sum of Rs. 516 crores was earmarked for this programme in the Draft
Fifth Five-Year Plan as against Rs. 14 Lakhs in the First Plan, Rs. 215
crores in the Second Plan, Rs. 244 crores in the Third Plan and Rs. 280
crores in the Fourth Plan
•The efforts did produce positive results, however, failed to achieve the
ultimate goal and the population of India since getting independence from
Britain in 1947 increased almost three times.
•Whereas India has missed almost all its targets to bring the rate of
population growth under control, China's 'One Child Policy' in 1978, has
brought tremendous results for the latter. The policy claims to have
prevented between 250 and 300 million births from 1978 to 2000 and 400
million births from 1979 to 2010.
NATIONAL POPULATION POLICY 2000
The new national population policy of 2000 was announced by the Govt, on
First February. Its main features were under stated.
•Redress the unmet needs for basic reproductive and child health services,
supplies and infrastructure.
•Make school education up to age 14 free and compulsory, and reduce drop
outs at primary and secondary school levels to below 20 percent for both
boys and girls.
•Reduce infant mortality rate to below 30 per 1000 live births.
•Reduce maternal mortality ratio to below 100 per 100,000 live births.
•Achieve universal immunization of children against all vaccine preventable
diseases.
•Promote delayed marriage for girls, not earlier than age 18 and preferably
after 20 years of age.
•Achieve 80 per cent institutional deliveries and 100 percent deliveries by
trained persons.
•Achieve universal access to information/counseling, and services for fertility
regularization and contraception with a wide basket of choices.
•Prevent and control communicable diseases.
•Promote vigorously the small family norms to achieve replacement levels of
TFR.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND POPULATION GROWTH IN INDIA
•That may seem like a small difference, but compounded over a period
of time, the difference this makes to per capita income is considerable.
•If the population growth rate slows down, the per capita income will
increase faster. The percentage below the poverty line will decline
faster.
•Economists are torn between two theories; one that states population
increase and growth help a nation’s economy by stimulating economic
growth and development and another that bases its theory on Robert
Malthus’ findings.