IAPM Unit 2 - Fundamental Analysis

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Fundamental Analysis

Module – 2
IAPM
Profitability Ratios
• Profitability ratios are financial metrics used by analysts
and investors to measure and evaluate the ability of a
company to generate income (profit) relative to
revenue, balance sheet assets, operating costs,
and shareholders’ equity during a specific period of time.
• They show how well a company utilizes its assets to
produce profit and value to shareholders.
Cont.…
• A higher ratio or value is commonly sought-after
by most companies, as this usually means the
business is performing well by generating
revenues, profits, and cash flow.
• The ratios are most useful when they are analyzed
in comparison to similar companies or compared
to previous periods.
Types of profitability ratios
• They are broadly classified into Margin Ratio and Return
Ratio
• Margin ratios represent the company’s ability to convert
sales into profits at various degrees of measurement like
gross profit margin, net profit margin, EBITDA margin, etc…
• Return ratios are based on investments. There are mainly 3
return ratios: return on assets, return on equity and return
on capital employed.
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA)

• It is the profitability ratio which is used to


evaluate the company’s level of efficiency in
employing its assets to generate profit.
• The assets of the company if not used optimally
will not be able to make the desired amount of
profit and the return will also be lower. 
Question on ROA
• For example, Assume Shyam and Ram both start a chat
shop. Shyam spends Rs. 1,50,000 on setting up a kiosk;
while Ram spends Rs. 15,00,000 on setting up a theme
based chat shop. Let's assume that those were the only
assets each deployed. Over some given time period
Shyam had earned Rs. 15, 000 and Ram had earned Rs. 1,
20, 000. Use the ROA formula to identify whose business
is efficient.
Answer

• Shyam = 15,000/1,50,000*100 = 10%

• Ram = 1,20,000/15,00,000*100 = 8%

• Shyam’s business is more efficient because he


is able to generate more money with less
investment.
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE)

• Every equity investor looks for this ratio before investing in


any company as it gives the insight into the company’s
profit-generating ability to the investors.
• The potential, as well as existing investors, keep a check on
this ratio as it measures the return on the investment made
in shares of the company.
• In general, the higher the ratio, more favourable it is for the
investors to invest in the company.
Question on ROE

• Company A earned net income of Rs. 17,22,000


during the year ending march 31, 2018. The
shareholders' equity on April 30, 2017 and
March 31, 2018 was Rs. 1,45,87,000 and
Rs.1,63,32,000 respectively. Calculate its return
on equity for the year ending March 31, 2018.
Answer

• Average Shareholders' Equity =

• ( Rs. 1,45,87,000 + Rs.1,63,32,000 ) / 2 =


Rs. 1,54,59,500
• Return on Equity = Rs. 17,22,000 / Rs.
1,54,59,500 = 0.11 or 11%
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED (ROCE)

• This is a third ratio which covers the equity as


well as debt part too.
• In the place of equity capital, total capital
employed is used as the denominator to
calculate this ratio.
What is Fundamental Analysis
• Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic

value of an asset and analysing the factors that could

influence its price in the future.

• Intrinsic value or fundamental value is the "true, inherent,

and essential value“ of an asset independent of its market

value.

• Fundamental analysis is one of two major methods of

market analysis, with the other being technical analysis. 


• Fundamental analysts study anything that can affect the security's
value, from macroeconomic factors such as the state of the
economy and industry conditions to microeconomic factors like
the effectiveness of the company's management.

• The end goal is to arrive at a number (intrinsic value) that an


investor can compare with a security's current price in order to see
whether the security is undervalued or overvalued.

• If the intrinsic value is higher than the market price, the stock is
deemed to be undervalued and a buy recommendation is given.
Techniques of fundamental
equity valuation
• Equity valuation methods can be broadly classified into balance
sheet methods, discounted cash flow methods, and relative valuation
methods.

• Balance sheet methods comprise of book value, liquidation value, and


replacement value methods.

• Discounted cash flow methods include dividend discount models and free


cash flow models. 

• Lastly, relative valuation methods are a price to earnings ratios, price to


book value ratios, price to sales ratios etc.
Book Value Method

• In this method, book value as per balance sheet


is considered the value of equity.
• Book value means the net worth of the company
divided by number of outstanding shares
• Net Worth = Assets – Liabilities (or) Shareholders
fund (capital + reserves and surplus)
Liquidation Value
• Value realised from liquidating all the assets of the firm
– Amount to be paid to all the creditors and preference
shareholders/ No. of outstanding equity shares
• Major disadvantage of this method is that the
liquidation value does not reflect the earnings capacity.
Replacement Cost

• This method takes into account ‘the amount


required to replace the existing company’ as the
valuation of a company. In other words, if one is to
create a similar company in the same industry; all
costs required to do so will form part of the value of
the firm. This is also called as “Substantial Value”. 
Dividend Discount Model
• The dividend discount model (DDM) is a method of
valuing a company's stock price based on the theory that
its stock is worth the sum of all of its future dividend
payments, discounted back to their present value.
• In other words, it is used to value stocks based on the net
present value of the future dividends.
• https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowled
ge/valuation/dividend-discount-model/
• It attempts to calculate the fair value of a stock
irrespective of the prevailing market conditions and
takes into consideration the dividend pay-out factors
and the market expected returns.
• If the value obtained from the DDM is higher than the
current trading price of shares, then the stock is
undervalued and qualifies for a buy, and vice versa.
* Refer your class notes for problems on this topic
Relative Valuation Technique
• Valuation ratios are usually computed as a ratio of the
company’s share price to an aspect of its financial
performance. Three important valuation ratios:
• Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio
• Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio and

• Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio


Price/Sales Ratio

• In many cases, investors may use sales instead of earnings to value their

investments.

• The earnings figure may not be true as some companies might be experiencing a

cyclical low in their earning cycle.

• Additionally due to some accounting rules, a profitable company may seem to

have no earnings at all, due to the huge write offs applicable to that industry.

• So, investors would prefer to use this ratio. This ratio compares the stock price of

the company with the company’s sales per share.

• The formula to calculate the P/S ratio is:

• Price to sales ratio = Current Share Price / Sales per Share


Price/Book Ratio
• BV = [Share Capital + Reserves / Total Number of
shares]
• Price-to-book is only effective when evaluating certain
types of businesses. Specifically, if much of a business'
assets are intangible, as is the case with many
technology companies, price-to-book isn't terribly
meaningful. 
P/E ratio or Earnings Multiplier approach

• The earnings multiplier, also called the price-to-earnings


ratio (P/E).

• The price-earnings ratio (PE Ratio) is the relation between


a company’s share price and earnings per share (EPS).

• It denotes what the market is willing to pay for a


company’s profits.

• P/E ratio = Market Price per share/Earnings per share


• Suppose the current market price of the stock of
ABC Ltd. is Rs.90 and it’s earning per share is
Rs.9. The Price Earning Ratio of ABC Ltd. will be
calculated as follows:
• P/E = 90 /9 = 10
• Now, it can be seen that the P/E ratio of ABC Ltd.
is ten times, which means that investors are
willing to pay Rs.10 for every rupee of earnings.
• The P/E ratio varies across industries and therefore,
should either be compared with its peers having
parallel business activity (of similar size) or with its
historical P/E to evaluate whether a stock is
undervalued or overvalued.
• For instance, the IT and telecom sector companies
have a higher P/E ratio compared to companies from
other industries like manufacturing, textile, etc.
High P/E
• Companies with high price-earnings ratio are often considered to be growth

stocks.

• It means that investors have higher expectations for future earnings growth and

are willing to pay more for them as it indicates a positive future performance.

• However, the disadvantage of high P/E is that growth stocks are often

unpredictable, and this puts a lot of pressure on companies to do more to justify

their higher valuation.

• Therefore, investing in growth stocks will more likely be a risky investment.

• Also, in some cases, it can even be interpreted as an overpriced stock.


Low P/E
• Companies having a low price-earnings ratio are often considered to

have undervalued stocks.

• A low P/E may indicate a “vote of no confidence” by the market or it

could mean that the market has just overlooked the stock.

• Many investors made their fortunes spotting these overlooked but

fundamentally strong stocks before the rest of the market discovered

their true worth.

• In conclusion, the P/E tells us what the market thinks of a stock. It

indicates whether the market likes or dislikes the stock.

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