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Conditional Probability: Unit 12 Lesson 2

This document defines conditional probability and provides examples of how to calculate it. Conditional probability is the probability of an event occurring given that another event has occurred. It can only be used with dependent events, where the occurrence of one event affects the probability of the other. The document gives formulas for calculating conditional probability and provides three sample problems worked out as examples.

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Madona T. Villanueva
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150 views13 pages

Conditional Probability: Unit 12 Lesson 2

This document defines conditional probability and provides examples of how to calculate it. Conditional probability is the probability of an event occurring given that another event has occurred. It can only be used with dependent events, where the occurrence of one event affects the probability of the other. The document gives formulas for calculating conditional probability and provides three sample problems worked out as examples.

Uploaded by

Madona T. Villanueva
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Conditional Probability

Unit 12 Lesson 2
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Students will be able to:


find the conditional probability of an event.

Key Vocabulary:
• Independent events
• Dependent events
• Conditional Probability
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

•   events, and, are INDEPENDENT EVENTS if the fact that event


Two
occurs does not affect the probability of occurring.

• Rolling a die and getting a 4, and then rolling a second die and
getting a 5.
• Drawing a card from a deck and getting a jack, replacing it, and
then drawing a second card and getting an ace.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

•   the outcome or occurrence of the first event affects the


When
outcome or occurrence of the second event in such a way that the
probability is changed, the events are said to be DEPENDENT
EVENTS.

• Drawing a card from a deck, not replacing it, and then drawing a
second card.
• Having a high grades and getting a scholarship.
• Selecting a ball from a jar, not replacing it, and then selecting a
second ball.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

A CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY of an event is used when the


probability is affected by the knowledge of other circumstances. It
can only occur to dependent events.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

A CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY of an event is used when the


probability is affected by the knowledge of other circumstances. It
can only occur to dependent events.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Conditional Probability
The conditional probability of that the second event occurs given
that the first event has occurred can be found by dividing the
probability that both events occurred by the probability that the
first event has occurred. It is denoted by , and is given by

where .
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Sample Problem 1: Black and white chips are placed in a box. Jack
selects two chips without replacing the first one. If the probability of
selecting a black chip and white chip is 30/67, and the probability of
selecting a white chip on the first draw is 6/11, find the probability
of selecting a black chip on the second draw, given that the first chip
is white.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Sample Problem 1: Black and white chips are placed in a box. Jack
selects two chips without replacing the first one. If the probability of
selecting a black chip and white chip is 30/67, and the probability of
selecting a white chip on the first draw is 6/11, find the probability
of selecting a black chip on the second draw, given that the first chip
is white.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Sample Problem 2: 9 red balls and 3 green marbles are place in a


bag. Find the probability of randomly selecting a red marble on the
first draw and a green marble on the second draw.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Sample Problem 2: 9 red balls and 3 green marbles are place in a


bag. Find the probability of randomly selecting a red marble on the
first draw and a green marble on the second draw.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Sample Problem 3: The probability Nathan buys butter is 0.10, and


the probability that he buys bread and butter is 0.20. Find the
probability that he will buy butter, given that he already bought
bread.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

Sample Problem 3: The probability Nathan buys butter is 0.10, and


the probability that he buys bread and butter is 0.20. Find the
probability that he will buy butter, given that he already bought
bread.

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