FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS

1. INTRODUCTION
Financial analysis is a process of selecting, evaluating, and interpreting
financial data, along with other pertinent information, in order to formulate an
assessment of a company’s present and future financial condition and
performance.

Financial
Market Data Disclosures

Economic
Data

Financial Analysis

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 2. COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Common-size analysis is the restatement of financial statement information in
a standardized form.
- Horizontal common-size analysis uses the amounts in accounts in a
specified year as the base, and subsequent years’ amounts are stated as a
percentage of the base value.
- Useful when comparing growth of different accounts over time.
- Vertical common-size analysis uses the aggregate value in a financial
statement for a given year as the base, and each account’s amount is
restated as a percentage of the aggregate.
- Balance sheet: Aggregate amount is total assets.
- Income statement: Aggregate amount is revenues or sales.

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 EXAMPLE: COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Consider the CS Company, which reports the following financial information:
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash $400.00 $404.00 $408.04 $412.12 $416.24 $420.40
Inventory 1,580.00 1,627.40 1,676.22 1,726.51 1,778.30 1,831.65
Accounts receivable 1,120.00 1,142.40 1,165.25 1,188.55 1,212.32 1,236.57
Net plant and equipment 3,500.00 3,640.00 3,785.60 3,937.02 4,094.50 4,258.29
Intangibles 400.00 402.00 404.01 406.03 408.06 410.10
Total assets $6,500.00 $6,713.30 $6,934.12 $7,162.74 $7,399.45 $7,644.54

1. Create the vertical common-size analysis for the CS Company’s assets.

2. Create the horizontal common-size analysis for CS Company’s assets, using
2008 as the base year.

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 EXAMPLE: COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Vertical Common-Size Analysis:
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Inventory 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22%
Accounts receivable 16% 16% 16% 15% 15% 15%
Net plant and equipment 50% 50% 51% 51% 52% 52%
Intangibles 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Total assets 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Graphically:
100%

Proportion 50%
of Assets
0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Fiscal Year

Cash Inventory Accounts receivable

Net plant and equipment Intangibles

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 EXAMPLE: COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Horizontal Common-Size Analysis (base year is 2008):
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash 100.00% 101.00% 102.01% 103.03% 104.06% 105.10%
Inventory 100.00% 103.00% 106.09% 109.27% 112.55% 115.93%
Accounts receivable 100.00% 102.00% 104.04% 106.12% 108.24% 110.41%
Net plant and equipment 100.00% 104.00% 108.16% 112.49% 116.99% 121.67%
Intangibles 100.00% 100.50% 101.00% 101.51% 102.02% 102.53%
Total assets 100.00% 103.08% 106.27% 109.57% 112.99% 116.53%

Graphically:
130%
120%
Percentage
of Base 110%
Year 100%
Amount 90%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Fiscal Year

Cash Inventory Accounts receivable Net plant and equipment Intangibles Total assets

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 3. FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS
• Financial ratio analysis is the use of relationships among financial statement
accounts to gauge the financial condition and performance of a company.
• We can classify ratios based on the type of information the ratio provides:

Liquidity Solvency Profitability

Activity Ratios
Ratios Ratios Ratios

Ability to
Effectiveness
Ability to meet manage
in putting its Ability to
short-term, expenses to
asset satisfy debt
immediate produce
investment to obligations.
obligations. profits from
use.
sales.

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 ACTIVITY RATIOS
• Turnover ratios reflect the number of times assets flow into and out of the
company during the period.
• A turnover is a gauge of the efficiency of putting assets to work.
• Ratios:
Inventory turnover = How many times inventory is
created and sold during the
period.

How many times accounts

receivable are created and
collected during the period.

The extent to which total

assets create revenues during
the period.

The efficiency of putting

working capital to work

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 OPERATING CYCLE COMPONENTS
• The operating cycle is the length of time from when a company makes an
investment in goods and services to the time it collects cash from its accounts
receivable.
• The net operating cycle is the length of time from when a company makes an
investment in goods and services, considering the company makes some of its
purchases on credit, to the time it collects cash from its accounts receivable.
• The length of the operating cycle and net operating cycle provides information
on the company’s need for liquidity: The longer the operating cycle, the greater
the need for liquidity.
Number of Days of Inventory Number of Days of Receivables

| | | |

Buy Inventory on Pay Accounts Sell Inventory on Collect Accounts

Credit Payable Credit Receivable

Number of Days of Payables Net Operating Cycle

Operating Cycle

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 OPERATING CYCLE FORMULAS

Average time it
takes to create
and sell
inventory.
Average
Average time
time it
it
takes to
takes to collect
collect
on
on accounts
accounts
receivable.
receivable.

Average
Average time
time it
it
takes to
takes to pay
pay
suppliers.
suppliers.

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 OPERATING CYCLE FORMULAS

Time from investment in

inventory to collection
of accounts.

Time from investment in

inventory to collection
of accounts,
considering the use of
trade credit in
purchases.

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 LIQUIDITY
• Liquidity is the ability to satisfy the company’s short-term obligations using
assets that can be most readily converted into cash.
• Liquidity ratios:

Ability to satisfy current

liabilities using current assets.

Ability to satisfy current

liabilities using the most liquid
of current assets.

Ability to satisfy current

liabilities using only cash and
cash equivalents.

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 SOLVENCY ANALYSIS
• A company’s business risk is determined,
in large part, from the company’s line of
business. Risk
• Financial risk is the risk resulting from a
company’s choice of how to finance the
business using debt or equity. Business Financial
• We use solvency ratios to assess a Risk Risk
company’s financial risk.
• There are two types of solvency ratios:
component percentages and coverage Sales Risk
ratios.
- Component percentages involve
comparing the elements in the capital
structure. Operating
Risk
- Coverage ratios measure the ability to
meet interest and other fixed financing
costs.

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 SOLVENCY RATIOS
Proportion of assets financed with debt.
Proportion of assets financed with long-
term debt.

Debt financing relative to equity

financing.
Reliance on debt financing.
Component-Percentage Solvency Ratios

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 PROFITABILITY
• Margins and return ratios provide information on the profitability of a company
and the efficiency of the company.
• A margin is a portion of revenues that is a profit.
• A return is a comparison of a profit with the investment necessary to generate
the profit.

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 PROFITABILITY RATIOS: MARGINS
•Each
  margin ratio compares a measure of income with total revenues:

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 PROFITABILITY RATIOS: RETURNS
•  
Return ratios compare a measure of profit with the investment that
produces the profit:

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THE DUPONT FORMULAS Return on Equity

• The DuPont formula uses the relationship

among financial statement accounts to
decompose a return into components. Net Profit Total Asset Financial
Margin Turnover Leverage
• Three-factor DuPont for the return on
equity:
- Total asset turnover
- Financial leverage Operating Profit
Margin
- Net profit margin
• Five-factor DuPont for the return on
equity:
Effect of
- Total asset turnover Nonoperating
- Financial leverage Items
- Operating profit margin
- Effect of nonoperating items
Tax
- Tax effect
Effect

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 FIVE-COMPONENT DUPONT MODEL
•  

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 EXAMPLE: THE DUPONT FORMULA

Suppose that an analyst has noticed that the return on equity of the D
Company has declined from FY2012 to FY2013. Using the DuPont
formula, explain the source of this decline.

(millions) 2013 2012

Revenues $1,000 $900
Earnings before interest and taxes $400 $380
Interest expense $30 $30
Taxes $100 $90

Total assets $2,000 $2,000

Shareholders’ equity $1,250 $1,000

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 EXAMPLE: THE DUPONT FORMULA

2013 2012
Return on equity 0.20 0.22
Return on assets 0.13 0.11

Financial leverage 1.60 2.00

Total asset turnover 0.50 0.45
Net profit margin 0.25 0.24
Operating profit margin 0.40 0.42

Effect of nonoperating items 0.83 0.82

Tax effect 0.76 0.71

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 OTHER RATIOS
•  Earnings per share is net income, restated on a per share basis:

• Basic earnings per share is net income after preferred dividends, divided by
the average number of common shares outstanding.
• Diluted earnings per share is net income minus preferred dividends, divided
by the number of shares outstanding considering all dilutive securities.
• Book value per share is book value of equity divided by number of shares.
• Price-to-earnings ratio (PE or P/E) is the ratio of the price per share of equity
to the earnings per share.
- If earnings are the last four quarters, it is the trailing P/E.

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 OTHER RATIOS
•Measures
  of Dividend Payment:

Plowback ratio = 1 – Dividend payout ratio

- The proportion of earnings retained by the company.

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 EXAMPLE: SHAREHOLDER RATIOS

Calculate the book value per share, P/E, dividends per share,
dividend payout, and plowback ratio based on the following
financial information:

Book value of equity $100 million

Market value of equity $500 million
Net income $30 million
Dividends $12 million
Number of shares 100 million

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 EXAMPLE: SHAREHOLDER RATIOS

Book value per share $1.00 There is $1 of equity, per the books, for
every share of stock.
P/E 16.67 The market price of the stock is 16.67
times earnings per share.
Dividends per share $0.12 The dividends paid per share of stock.

Dividend payout ratio 40% The proportion of earnings paid out in the
form of dividends.
Plowback ratio 60% The proportion of earnings retained by the
company.

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 EFFECTIVE USE OF RATIO ANALYSIS
• In addition to ratios, an analyst should describe the company (e.g., line of
business, major products, major suppliers), industry information, and major
factors or influences.
• Effective use of ratios requires looking at ratios
- Over time.
- Compared with other companies in the same line of business.
- In the context of major events in the company (for example, mergers or
divestitures), accounting changes, and changes in the company’s product
mix.

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 4. PRO FORMA ANALYSIS

Estimate Construct
Estimate
typical Estimate future
sales-
relation fixed period
driven Estimate
between burdens, Forecast income
accounts fixed
revenues such as revenues. statement
based on burdens.
and sales- interest and and
forecasted
driven taxes. balance
revenues.
accounts. sheet.

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 PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT
Imaginaire Company Income Statement (in millions)
    One Year  
Year 0 Ahead
Sales revenues €1,000.0 €1,050.0  Growth at 5%
Cost of goods sold 600.0 630.0  60% of revenues
Gross profit €400.0 €420.0  Revenues less COGS
SG&A 100.0 105.0  10% of revenues
Operating income €300.0 €315.0  Gross profit less operating exp.
Interest expense 32.0 33.6  8% of long-term debt
Earnings before taxes €268.0 €281.4  Operating income less interest exp.
Taxes 93.8 98.5  35% of earnings before taxes
Net income €174.2 €182.9  Earnings before taxes less taxes
Dividends €87.1 €91.5  Dividend payout ratio of 50%

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 PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET

Imaginaire Company Balance Sheet, End of Year (in millions)

    One Year  
Year 0 Ahead
Current assets €600.0 €630.0  60% of revenues
Net plant and equipment 1,000.0 1,050.0  100% of revenues
Total assets €1,600.0 €1,680.0  
       
Current liabilities €250.0 €262.5  25% of revenues
Long-term debt 400.0 420.0  Debt increased by €20 million
to maintain the same capital
structure
Common stock and paid-in 25.0 25.0  Assume no change
capital
Treasury stock   (44.0)  Repurchased shares
Retained earnings 925.0 1,016.5  Retained earnings in Year 0,
plus net income, less
dividends
Total liabilities and equity €1,600.0 €1,680.0  

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 5. SUMMARY
• Financial ratio analysis and common-size analysis help gauge the financial
performance and condition of a company through an examination of
relationships among these many financial items.
• A thorough financial analysis of a company requires examining its efficiency in
putting its assets to work, its liquidity position, its solvency, and its profitability.
• We can use the tools of common-size analysis and financial ratio analysis,
including the DuPont model, to help understand where a company has been.
• We then use relationships among financial statement accounts in pro forma
analysis, forecasting the company’s income statements and balance sheets for
future periods, to see how the company’s performance is likely to evolve.

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 The DuPont Equation
 
( NetProfit
margin
NI
)( TA
turnover )( Equity
multiplier ) = ROE
Sales x TASales x TA
= ROE
CE

Case 1: Assets=$10, Sales=$10, Equity=$10, Profit=$2

20%x1x1=20%
Case 2 :Assets=$10 ,Sales=$100, Equity=$10, Profit=$2
2%x10x1=20%
Case 3: Assets=$10 ,Sales=$100, Equity=$5, Profit=$2
2%x1x10=20%
Case 4: Assets=$10 ,Sales=$10 ,Equity=$2, Profit=$1
10%x1x5 =50%

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• Net profit margin (operational Efficiency)
Why people pay the margin? Can we sustain it?
Can the competitors replicate it ?
 Assets use efficiency
Is this higher than competitors ?why ?
Is it easy to replicate it?
• Leverage factor
Is this expected / acceptable? Banking sector!
Is the debt generated or supplier finance terms ? Risk?

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The DuPont Equation (cont’d)
NI Sales TA = ROE
Sales x TA x CE

2013: 3.8% x 1.5 x 2.23 = 12.7%

ROA=NI/TA =Profit margin x TATO
= NI/Sales x Sale/TA
Equity Multi= TA/CE
Alternatively,
ROE = ROA × equity multiplier
= 5.7% x ($2,000/$896) = 12.7%

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 INCOME STATEMENT
2003 2004E
Sales 5,834,400 7,035,600
COGS 4,980,000 5,800,000
Other expenses 720,000 612,960
Deprec. 116,960 120,000
Tot. op. costs 5,816,960 6,532,960
EBIT 17,440 502,640
Int. expense 176,000 80,000
EBT (158,560) 422,640
Taxes (40%) (63,424) 169,056
Net income (95,136) 253,584
 BALANCE SHEETS: ASSETS
2003 2004E
Cash 7,282 14,000
S-T invest. 20,000 71,632
AR 632,160 878,000
Inventories 1,287,360 1,716,480
Total CA 1,946,802 2,680,112
Net FA 939,790 836,840
Total assets 2,886,592 3,516,952
 BALANCE SHEETS: LIABILITIES & EQUITY
2003 2004E
Accts. payable 324,000 359,800
Notes payable 720,000 300,000
Accruals 284,960 380,000
Total CL 1,328,960 1,039,800
Long-term debt 1,000,000 500,000
Common stock 460,000 1,680,936
Ret. earnings97,632 296,216
Total equity 557,632 1,977,152
Total L&E 2,886,592 3,516,952
 OTHER DATA
2003 2004E
Stock price $6.00 $12.17
# of shares 100,000 250,000
EPS -$0.95 $1.01
DPS $0.11 $0.22
Book val. per share $5.58 $7.91
Lease payments 40,000 40,000
Tax rate 0.4 0.4