International Finance 5
International Finance 5
International Finance 5
Forward Market
• A forward contract is an agreement
between a firm and a commercial bank to
exchange a specified amount of a
currency at a specified exchange rate
(called the forward rate) on a specified
date in the future.
• Forward contracts are often valued at $1
million or more, and are not normally used
by consumers or small firms.
Forward Market
• When MNCs anticipate a future need for or
future receipt of a foreign currency, they can
set up forward contracts to lock in the
exchange rate.
• The % by which the forward rate (F )
exceeds the spot rate (S ) at a given point in
time is called the forward premium (p ).
F = S (1 + p )
• F exhibits a discount when p < 0.
Forward Market
Example S = $1.681/£, 90-day F = $1.677/£
annualized p = F – S 360
S n
= 1.677 – 1.681 360 = –.95%
1.681 90
The forward premium (discount) usually
reflects the difference between the home
and foreign interest rates, thus preventing
arbitrage.
Forward Market
• A swap transaction involves a spot transaction
along with a corresponding forward contract that
will reverse the spot transaction.
• A non-deliverable forward contract (NDF) does
not result in an actual exchange of currencies.
Instead, one party makes a net payment to the
other based on a market exchange rate on the
day of settlement.
• http://www.bmo.com/economic/regular/fxrates.ht
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Forward Market
• An NDF can effectively hedge future
foreign currency payments or receipts:
April 1 July 1
Expect need for 100M Buy 100M Chilean
Chilean pesos. pesos from market.
Negotiate an NDF to buy
100M Chilean pesos on Index = $.0023/peso
Jul 1. Reference index receive $30,000 from
(closing rate quoted by bank due to NDF.
Chile’s central bank) = Index = $.0018/peso
$.0020/peso. pay $20,000 to bank.
Currency Futures Market
• Currency futures contracts specify a
standard volume of a particular currency to
be exchanged on a specific settlement
date.
• They are used by MNCs to hedge their
currency positions, and by speculators
who hope to capitalize on their
expectations of exchange rate movements.
Currency Futures Market
• The contracts can be traded by firms or
individuals through brokers on the trading
floor of an exchange (e.g. Chicago
Mercantile Exchange), automated trading
systems (e.g. GLOBEX), or the over-the-
counter market.
• Brokers who fulfill orders to buy or sell
futures contracts typically charge a
commission.
Comparison of the Forward & Futures
Markets
Forward Markets Futures Markets
Contract size Customized Standardized
Delivery date Customized Standardized
Participants Banks, brokers, Banks, brokers,
MNCs. Public MNCs. Qualified
speculation notpublic speculation
encouraged. encouraged.
Security Compensating Small security
deposit bank balances or deposit required.
credit lines needed.
Clearing Handled by Handled by
operation individual banks exchange
& brokers. clearinghouse.
Daily settlements
to market prices.
Comparison of the Forward & Futures
Markets
Forward Markets Futures Markets
Marketplace Worldwide Central exchange
telephone floor with worldwide
network communications.
Regulation Self-regulating Commodity
Futures Trading
Commission,
National Futures
Association.
Liquidation Mostly settled by Mostly settled by
actual delivery. offset.
Transaction Bank’s bid/ask Negotiated
Costs spread. brokerage fees.
Currency Futures Market