Medium Term Planning: Medium Term 6 Months-2 Years Techniques - Correlation Analysis - Buyers Intension Survey
Medium Term Planning: Medium Term 6 Months-2 Years Techniques - Correlation Analysis - Buyers Intension Survey
Medium Term Planning: Medium Term 6 Months-2 Years Techniques - Correlation Analysis - Buyers Intension Survey
MEDIUM TERM
6 months-2 years
Techniques
• Correlation Analysis
• Buyers Intension Survey
Correlation Analysis
• Check for relation among the data.
• If there is a relation establish the nature of relation.
• Check if the relation is significant.
• Establish a cause effect relationship.
Buyers Intension Survey
• Employs sample survey techniques for gathering data.
• Data is collected from end users of Goods.
• Data portrays preferences of End users.
• It is cost effective and reliable.
ADVANTAGES
• Approximating future requirements without any past data.
• Buyers needs and wants are clearly identified.
• Most effective way for new firms.
LIMITATIONS
People may not know what they are going to purchase
They may report what they want to buy, but not what they
are capable of buying
Customers may not want to disclose real information
Effects of derived demand may make forecasting difficult
Long Term planning
LONG TERM
Above 2 years, Strategic Decision
E.g.- Research and Development
Techniques
Delphi Technique
Market Survey
Product Life cycle
Delphi Method
1. Choose experts representing a variety of knowledgeable people in
different areas to participate
2. Through a questionnaire (or E-mail), obtain forecasts anonymously
(and any premises or qualifications for the forecasts) from all
participants
3. Summarize the results and redistribute anonymously along with
appropriate new questions/conditions
4. Repeat Step 3 until consensus or none to be found
Decision Makers
(Evaluate responses
and make decisions)
Staff
(Administering
survey)
Respondents
(People who can
make valuable
judgments)
ADVANTAGES
Eliminates need for group meetings.
Eliminates biases for group meetings.
Participants can change their decisions anonymously.
LIMITATIONS
Time Consuming.
Participants may drop out.
Market Survey
• The market forecast shows existing and expected market demand.
• Coupons are issued to customers.
• Proximity with customers makes data collected reliable.
• The data collected is used for forecasting.
• Best used if the sales personnel are specialised and well trained.
ADVANTAGES
• Helps estimating actual potential for future sale.
• Provides feedback for improving customizing
Product Life Cycle
• The product life cycle reflects sales and profits of a product over a
period of time.
• It examines the introduction, growth, maturity and decline during
its phase of existence.
BENEFITS OF DEMAND FORECAST
• Early recognition of market trends.
• Improved production planning.
• Better market positioning.
• Improved customer service level.
• Higher revenues.