The document discusses a dean testing whether the quality of incoming freshmen students has changed since entrance exams were suspended. A random sample of 15 students scored an average of 83% on the old entrance exam. Using a t-test at a 1%
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SIMPLEtestofhypothesis
The document discusses a dean testing whether the quality of incoming freshmen students has changed since entrance exams were suspended. A random sample of 15 students scored an average of 83% on the old entrance exam. Using a t-test at a 1%
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Jocelyn A. Coronado – Barradas Ph. D.
The manufacturer of electric bulbs has established
that the average life of the bulbs that his firm produces is 1450 hours with a Standard Deviation of 150 hours. The production of bulbs are closely monitored so that the bulbs’ lifetime are maintained close to the average. The manufacturer would not want bulb lifetimes to fall too much below the average as this affects the quality. Neither does he want the lifetime to be much higher as this will reduce sales. Occasionally, he takes a random sample of bulbs to see if the average lifetime of bulbs may have significantly changed (that is, higher or lower than the average). On one particular occasion, he took a sample of 100 bulbs and found the average to be 1390 hours. At 5% Level of Significance, has the life of the bulbs manufactured by his company changed? 1. Ho: The life of the bulbs produced by the company has not changed Ha: The life of the bulbs produced by the company has changed 2. Level of Significance: =0.05 3. Type of Test to be Used: z-test, two tailed test 4. Tabular Value: z = +1.96 5. Computed Value Z = (X - µ) √n Ó Z = (1450-1390)(√100) 150 Z= (60)(10) 150 Z= 4 6. Decision: 4> 1.96 7. Reject Ho 8. Conclusion: The life of the bulbs produced by the company has changed A College within a University used to give entrance examinations to incoming freshmen. Students whose scores were equal to or better than a cut-off score were accepted. The rest were turned down. The average score of first year students in the entrance examinations when it was still being administered was established to be 80%. Due to a dwindling population however, the entrance examinations were suspended for the past three years. Because of the suspension, one would think that the “quality” of first year students who are being accepted has diminished. However, the Dean has observed that the college continues to attract quite a number of students with good grades from good high schools, due in part to the college’s continued commitment to quality instruction and facilities. The Dean is curious as to whether the “quality” of freshmen students has changed (either improved or deteriorated) compared to the years when entrance examinations were being administered. To test his hypothesis, he takes a small random sample of 15 freshmen students and administers the same entrance examination to them. He finds that their average score is 83 percent with a Standard Deviation of 5 percentage points. Using a 1% Level of Significance, has the quality of freshmen students changed, based on the result of the test scores of the examination that was just administered? 1. Ho: The quality of freshmen students has not changed Ha: The quality of freshmen students has changed 2. Level of Significance: =0.01 3. Type of Test to be Used: t-test, two tailed test 4. Tabular Value: df= 15-1 = 14 t = 2.624 5. Computed Value t = (X - µ) √n - 1 s t = (83-80) √15 – 1 5 t = (3)(3.74) 5 t = 2.24 6. Decision: 2.24< 2.624 7. Accept Ho 8. Conclusion: The quality of freshmen students has not changed A professor of Statistics teaches the subject in a conventional way in one of his classes. However, he has begun to teach Statistics with the use of computers using Statistics software in a second class. At the end of the course, he gives the same examination to both classes. He has observed that students who are taught with computers tend to get higher scores during examinations although this is not true every time. The professor decides to test the hypothesis, 1% Level of Significance, that those students who are taught Statistics with computers learn better, that is, they score higher during examinations. He takes a random sample of 15 corrected final examination papers in the first class and 10 randomly picked and corrected final examination papers in the second class. He gets the average score and Standard Deviation for each sample. The results are: Conventional Method Use of Computers S Mean X1 = 84 X2 = 92 S SD s1 = 8 s2 = 5 S Size n1 = 15 n2 = 10 1. Ho: There is no significant difference between the scores of students taught using computers and those taught using the conventional way. Ha: Students who are taught Statistics using computers learn better 2. Level of Significance: =0.01 3. Type of Test to be Used: t-test, one tailed test 4. Tabular Value: df= 15+ 10 -2 = 23 t = 2.500 5. Computed Value t= X1 – X2 √ (n1-1)(S1)2 + (n2-1)(S2)2 √1/n1 + 1/n2 n1+n2-2 t = ____84- 92__________________ √ (15-1)(64) + (10-1)(25) √1 + 1 15 +10 – 2 15 10 t= ________8________________________ √(14)(64) + (9)(25) √0.07 + 0.10 23 t= 8 (6.28)(0.41) t= 2.79 6. Decision: 2.79> 2.5 7. Reject Ho 8. Conclusion: Students who are taught Statistics using computers learn better All freshmen in a particular school were found to have variability in grades expressed as a SD of 3. Two samples among these freshmen, made up of 20 and 50 students each, were to have means of 90 and 87 respectively. Based on their grades, is the first group really brighter than the second group at .01 significance level? 1. Ho: The first group is not really brighter than the second group. Ha: The first group is really brighter than the second group. 2. Level of Significance: =0.01 3. Type of Test to be Used: z-test, one tailed test 4. Tabular Value: z = +2.33 5. Computed Value Z= X1 – X2 Ó√1/n1 + 1/n2 Z = 90-87 3(1/20 + 1/50) z= ____3_______ 3√(.05 + .02) z = 1/0.26 z = 3.78 6. Decision: 3.78> 2.33 7. Reject Ho 8. Conclusion: The first group is really brighter than the second group. Perfume manufacturers almost always would like to determine the degree of acceptance to a new product between younger women (teenagers) and older women. Brand X is being tested for acceptance. Of 300 randomly-selected younger women that were asked, 105 said that they will buy the product while among 250 randomly-selected older women, 65 said they will use the product. At 5% level of significance, is there a significant difference in the level of product acceptance between the younger and older group of women? (Note: as we are not particularly interested in finding out whether the acceptance rate of one group is higher (or lower) than the other group, we shall be using a two-tailed test. Thus the alternative hypothesis is stated as, Ha: P1 P2 1. Ho: There is no significant difference in the level of product acceptance between the older and younger group of women Ha: There is a significant difference in the level of product acceptance between the older and younger group of women 2. Level of Significance: =0.05 3. Type of Test to be Used: z-test, two tailed test 4. Tabular Value: +1.96 5. Computed Value Z = P1 – P2 P1Q1 + P2Q2 n1 n2 =0.35 – 0.26___________ (0.35)(0.65) + (0.26)(0.74) 300 250 = 0.09 0.04 =2.25 6. Decision: 2.25> 1.96 7. Reject Ho 8. Conclusion: There is a significant difference in the level of product acceptance between the older and younger group of women You are a superintendent of the public schools and have conducted an experiment to investigate whether the reading proficiency of high school seniors living in your city is deficient. A random sample of 100 high school seniors from this population had a mean reading score of 72 (xobt = 72). National norms of reading proficiency for high school seniors show a normal distribution of scores with a mean of 75 (μ = 75) and a standard deviation of 16 (Ó = 16). Is the sample significantly different from the population? A gasoline manufacturer believes a new additive will result in more miles per gallon. A large number of mileage measurements on the gasoline without the additive have been made by the company under rigorously controlled conditions. The results show a mean of 24.7 miles per gallon and a standard deviation of 4.8. Tests are conducted on a sample of 75 cars using the gasoline plus additive. The sample mean equals 26.5 miles per gallon. a. Let’s assume there is adequate basis for one-tailed test. What is the directional alternative hypothesis? b. What is the null hypothesis? c. What is the conclusion? Use ∞ = 0.051 tail . Suppose you have a technique that you believe will affect the age at which children begin speaking . In your locale, the average age of first word utterances is 13.0 months. The standard deviation is unknown. You apply your technique to a random sample of 15 children. The results show that the sample mean age of first word utterances is 11.0 months, with a standard deviation of 3.34. a. What is the non-directional alternative hypothesis? b. What is the null hypothesis? c. Did the technique work? Use ∞ = 0.052 tail . To motivate citizens to conserve gasoline, the government is considering mounting a nationwide conservation campaign. However, before doing so on a national level, it decides to conduct an experiment to evaluate the effectiveness of the campaign. For the experiment, the conservation campaign is conducted in a small but representative geographical area. Twelve families are randomly selected from the area, and the amount of gasoline they use is monitored for 1 month before the advertising campaign and for 1 month after the campaign. The following data are collected: Family Before the Campaign (gal/mo.) After the Campaign (gal/mo.) A 55 48 B 43 38 C 51 53 D 62 58 E 35 36 F 48 42 G 58 55 H 45 40 I 48 49 J 54 50 K 56 58 L 32 25 The End