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The Time Value of Money

Financial management

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
54 views

The Time Value of Money

Financial management

Uploaded by

hemant023
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 66

The Time Value of Money

Lohithkumar B
What is Time Value?

 We say that money has a time value because that


money can be invested with the expectation of
earning a positive rate of return
 In other words, “a dollar received today is worth
more than a dollar to be received tomorrow”
 That is because today’s dollar can be invested so that
we have more than one dollar tomorrow

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


Why TIME?

TIME allows one the opportunity to postpone


consumption and earn INTEREST.
INTEREST

NOT having the opportunity to earn interest on


money is called OPPORTUNITY COST.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


The Time Value of Money

Which would you rather have -- $1,000 today or


$1,000 in 5 years?

Obviously, $1,000 today.


today

Money received sooner rather than later allows


one to use the funds for investment or
consumption purposes. This concept is
referred to as the TIME VALUE OF MONEY!!
MONEY

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


The Terminology of Time Value

 Present Value - An amount of money today, or the


current value of a future cash flow
 Future Value - An amount of money at some future
time period
 Period - A length of time (often a year, but can be a
month, week, day, hour, etc.)
 Interest Rate - The compensation paid to a lender (or
saver) for the use of funds expressed as a percentage
for a period (normally expressed as an annual rate)

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


Abbreviations

 PV - Present value
 FV - Future value
 Pmt - Per period payment amount
 N - Either the total number of cash flows or
the number of a specific period
 i - The interest rate per period

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


Timelines

 A timeline is a graphical device used to clarify the


timing of the cash flows for an investment
 Each tick represents one time period

PV FV

0 1 2 3 4 5
Today
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
Calculating the Future Value

 Suppose that you have an extra $100 today that you


wish to invest for one year. If you can earn 10% per
year on your investment, how much will you have in
one year?

-100 ?

0 1 2 3 4 5

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


Single Sum - Future & Present Value
FV3 = (1+i)3PV
FV2 = (1+i)2PV
FV1 = (1+i)PV
PV

0 1 2 3
 Assume can invest PV at interest rate i to receive future sum, FV
 Similar reasoning leads to Present Value of a Future sum today.
FV1 FV2 FV3

0 1 2 3
PV = FV1/(1+i)

PV = FV2/(1+i)2

PV = FV /(1+i)3
3
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B 9
Calculating the Future Value (cont.)

 Suppose that at the end of year 1 you decide to


extend the investment for a second year. How much
will you have accumulated at the end of year 2?

-110 ?

0 1 2 3 4 5

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
Generalizing the Future Value

 Recognizing the pattern that is developing,


we can generalize the future value
calculations as follows:

 If you extended the investment for a third


year, you would have:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
Compound Interest

 Note from the example that the future value is


increasing at an increasing rate
 In other words, the amount of interest earned each
year is increasing
• Year 1: $10
• Year 2: $11
• Year 3: $12.10
 The reason for the increase is that each year you are
earning interest on the interest that was earned in
previous years in addition to the interest on the
original principle amount
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
1
Compound Interest Graphically
4000
3833.76

3500
5%
3000
10%

15%
2500
Future Value

20%
2000
1636.65
1500

1000
672.75

500
265.33

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Years

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
The Magic of Compounding

 On Nov. 25, 1626 Peter Minuit, a Dutchman, reportedly


purchased Manhattan from the Indians for $24 worth of beads
and other trinkets. Was this a good deal for the Indians?
 This happened about 371 years ago, so if they could earn 5% per
year they would now (in 1997) have:

$1,743,577,261.65 = 24(1.05) 371


 If they could have earned 10% per year, they would now have:

$54,562,898,811,973,500.00 = 24(1.10) 371

That’s about 54,563 Trillion dollars!


December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
1
The Magic of Compounding (cont.)

 The Wall Street Journal (17 Jan. 92) says that all of New York city
real estate is worth about $324 billion. Of this amount,
Manhattan is about 30%, which is $97.2 billion
 At 10%, this is $54,562 trillion! Our U.S. GNP is only around $6
trillion per year. So this amount represents about 9,094 years
worth of the total economic output of the USA!
 At 5% it seems the Indians got a bad deal, but if they earned 10%
per year, it was the Dutch that got the raw deal
 Not only that, but it turns out that the Indians really had no
claim on Manhattan (then called Manahatta). They lived on
Long Island!
 As a final insult, the British arrived in the 1660’s and
unceremoniously tossed out the Dutch settlers.
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
1
Present Value

 Discounting is the process of translating a


future value or a set of future cash flows into
a present value.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
Calculating the Present Value

 So far, we have seen how to calculate the


future value of an investment
 But we can turn this around to find the
amount that needs to be invested to achieve
some desired future value:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
Present Value: An Example

 Suppose that your five-year old daughter has just


announced her desire to attend college. After some
research, you determine that you will need about
$100,000 on her 18th birthday to pay for four years of
college. If you can earn 8% per year on your
investments, how much do you need to invest today
to achieve your goal?

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
Present Value Example

 Joann needs to know how large of a deposit to make


today so that the money will grow to $2,500 in 5
years. Assume today’s deposit will grow at a
compound rate of 4% annually.
0 1 2 3 4 5
4%

PV0 $2,500

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


1
Present Value Solution

 Calculation based on general formula:


PV0 = FVn / (1+i)n
PV0 = $2,500/(1.04)5
= $2,054.81

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


2
Finding “n” or “i” when one knows
PV and FV
 If one invests $2,000 today and has
accumulated $2,676.45 after exactly five years,
what rate of annual compound interest was
earned?

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


2
Frequency of Compounding
General Formula:
FVn = PV0(1 + [i/m])mn

n: Number of Years
m: Compounding Periods per Year
i: Annual Interest Rate
FVn,m: FV at the end of Year n
PV0: PV of the Cash Flow today

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


2
Frequency of Compounding Example

 Suppose you deposit $1,000 in an account


that pays 12% interest, compounded
quarterly. How much will be in the account
after eight years if there are no withdrawals?

PV = $1,000
i = 12%/4 = 3% per quarter
n = 8 x 4 = 32 quarters

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


2
Solution based on formula:

FV= PV (1 + i)n
= 1,000(1.03)32

= 2,575.10

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


2
Annuities

 Regular or ordinary annuity is a finite set of


sequential cash flows, all with the same value
A, which has a first cash flow that occurs one
period from now.
 An annuity due is a finite set of sequential
cash flows, all with the same value A, which
has a first cash flow that is paid immediately.
immediately

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B 25


2
Annuities

 An annuity is a series of nominally equal payments


equally spaced in time
 Annuities are very common:
• Rent
• Mortgage payments
• Car payment
• Pension income
 The timeline shows an example of a 5-year, $100
annuity
100 100 100 100 100

0 1 2 3 4 5
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
2
The Principle of Value Additivity

 How do we find the value (PV or FV) of an


annuity?
 First, you must understand the principle of
value additivity:
• The value of any stream of cash flows is equal to
the sum of the values of the components
 In other words, if we can move the cash flows
to the same time period we can simply add
them all together to get the total value
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
2
Present Value of an Annuity

 We can use the principle of value additivity to find


the present value of an annuity, by simply summing
the present values of each of the components:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


2
Present Value of an Annuity (cont.)

 Using the example, and assuming a discount rate of


10% per year, we find that the present value is:

62.0
68.3
9
75.1
0
82.6
3
90.9
4
1
379.08
100 100 100 100 100

0 1 2 3 4 5
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
2
Present Value of an Annuity (cont.)

 Actually, there is no need to take the present


value of each cash flow separately
 We can use a closed-form of the PVA equation
instead:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
Present Value of an Annuity (cont.)

 We can use this equation to find the present


value of our example annuity as follows:

 This equation works for all regular annuities,


regardless of the number of payments

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
The Future Value of an Annuity

 We can also use the principle of value additivity to


find the future value of an annuity, by simply
summing the future values of each of the components:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
The Future Value of an Annuity (cont.)

 Using the example, and assuming a discount rate of


10% per year, we find that the future value is:

}
146.41
133.10
121.00 = 610.51
110.00
at year 5
100 100 100 100 100

0 1 2 3 4 5
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
3
The Future Value of an Annuity (cont.)

 Just as we did for the PVA equation, we could


instead use a closed-form of the FVA equation:

 This equation works for all regular annuities,


regardless of the number of payments

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
The Future Value of an Annuity (cont.)

 We can use this equation to find the future


value of the example annuity:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
Annuities Due

 Thus far, the annuities that we have looked at begin


their payments at the end of period 1; these are
referred to as regular annuities
 A annuity due is the same as a regular annuity,
except that its cash flows occur at the beginning of
the period rather than at the end

5-period Annuity Due 100 100 100 100 100


5-period Regular Annuity 100 100 100 100 100

0 1 2 3 4 5

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
Present Value of an Annuity Due

 We can find the present value of an annuity due in the


same way as we did for a regular annuity, with one
exception
 Note from the timeline that, if we ignore the first cash
flow, the annuity due looks just like a four-period
regular annuity
 Therefore, we can value an annuity due with:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


3
Present Value of an Annuity Due (cont.)

 Therefore, the present value of our example


annuity due is:

 Note that this is higher than the PV of the,


otherwise equivalent, regular annuity
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
3
Future Value of an Annuity Due

 To calculate the FV of an annuity due, we can


treat it as regular annuity, and then take it
one more period forward:

Pmt Pmt Pmt Pmt Pmt

0 1 2 3 4 5
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
3
Future Value of an Annuity Due (cont.)

 The future value of our example annuity is:

 Note that this is higher than the future value


of the, otherwise equivalent, regular annuity

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
Deferred Annuities

 A deferred annuity is the same as any other


annuity, except that its payments do not begin
until some later period
 The timeline shows a five-period deferred
annuity

100 100 100 100 100

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
PV of a Deferred Annuity

 We can find the present value of a deferred annuity


in the same way as any other annuity, with an extra
step required
 Before we can do this however, there is an important
rule to understand:
When using the PVA equation, the resulting PV is
always one period before the first payment occurs

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
PV of a Deferred Annuity (cont.)

 To find the PV of a deferred annuity, we first


find use the PVA equation, and then discount
that result back to period 0
 Here we are using a 10% discount rate

PV2 = 379.08
PV0 = 313.29
0 0 100 100 100 100 100

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
4
PV of a Deferred Annuity (cont.)

Step 1:

Step 2:

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
FV of a Deferred Annuity

 The future value of a deferred annuity is


calculated in exactly the same way as any
other annuity
 There are no extra steps at all

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
Uneven Cash Flows

 Very often an investment offers a stream of


cash flows which are not either a lump sum
or an annuity
 We can find the present or future value of
such a stream by using the principle of value
additivity

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
Uneven Cash Flows: An Example (1)

 Assume that an investment offers the following cash


flows. If your required return is 7%, what is the
maximum price that you would pay for this
investment?
100 200 300

0 1 2 3 4 5

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
Uneven Cash Flows: An Example (2)

 Suppose that you were to deposit the following


amounts in an account paying 5% per year. What
would the balance of the account be at the end of the
third year?
300 500 700

0 1 2 3 4 5

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
Non-annual Compounding

 So far we have assumed that the time period is equal


to a year
 However, there is no reason that a time period can’t
be any other length of time
 We could assume that interest is earned semi-
annually, quarterly, monthly, daily, or any other
length of time
 The only change that must be made is to make sure
that the rate of interest is adjusted to the period
length

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


4
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)

 Suppose that you have $1,000 available for


investment. After investigating the local banks, you
have compiled the following table for comparison. In
which bank should you deposit your funds?

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)

 To solve this problem, you need to determine which


bank will pay you the most interest
 In other words, at which bank will you have the
highest future value?
 To find out, let’s change our basic FV equation
slightly:

In this version of the equation ‘m’ is the number of


compounding periods per year
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
5
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)

 We can find the FV for each bank as follows:

First National Bank:

Second National Bank:

Third National Bank:

Obviously, you should choose the Third National Bank


December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
5
Perpetuities
Perpetuity is a series of constant payments, A, each period
forever.
A A A A A A A

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
PV1 = A/(1+r)
PV2 = A/(1+r)2
PV3 = A/(1+r)3
PV4 = A/(1+r)4
etc.
etc.

PVperpetuity = [A/(1+i)t] = A [1/(1+i)t] = A/i


Intuition:
Present Value of a perpetuity is the amount that must invested today at the
interest rate i to yield a payment of A each year without affecting the value
of the initial investment.
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B 53
5
Perpetuities
 A perpetuity is an annuity that has no definite
end, or a stream of cash payments that continues
forever.
 A perpetuity is an annuity in which the periodic
payments begin on a fixed date and continue
indefinitely.
 Fixed coupon payments on permanently
invested (irredeemable) sums of money are
prime examples of perpetuities.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Methods of Calculating Interest

 Simple interest: the practice of charging an


interest rate only to an initial sum (principal
amount).
 Compound interest: the practice of charging
an interest rate to an initial sum and to any
previously accumulated interest that has not
been withdrawn.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Simple Interest Formula
F  P  (iP ) N
where
P = Principal amount
i = simple interest rate
N = number of interest periods
F = total amount accumulated at the end of period N

F  $1, 000  (0.08)($1, 000)(3)


 $1, 240

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Compound Interest

 Compound interest: the practice of charging


an interest rate to an initial sum and to any
previously accumulated interest that has not
been withdrawn.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Compound Interest Formula

n  0: P
n  1: F1  P (1  i )
n  2 : F2  F1 (1  i )  P (1  i ) 2


n  N : F  P (1  i ) N

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Compound Interest
$1,259.71

0 1 2

F  $1, 000(1  0.08)3


$1,000
 $1, 259.71

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


5
Amortized loan

 Installment loan in which the monthly payments


are applied first toward reducing the interest
balance, and any remaining sum towards the
principal balance. As the loan is paid off, a
progressively larger portion of the payments goes
toward principal and a progressively smaller
portion towards the interest. Also called
amortizing loan.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


6
Continuous Compounding

 There is no reason why we need to stop increasing


the compounding frequency at daily
 We could compound every hour, minute, or second
 We can also compound every instant (i.e.,
continuously):

 Here, F is the future value, P is the present value, r is


the annual rate of interest, t is the total number of
years, and e is a constant equal to about 2.718
December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B
6
Continuous Compounding (cont.)

 Suppose that the Fourth National Bank is offering to


pay 10% per year compounded continuously. What
is the future value of your $1,000 investment?

 This is even better than daily compounding


 The basic rule of compounding is: The more frequently
interest is compounded, the higher the future value

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


6
Continuous Compounding (cont.)

 Suppose that the Fourth National Bank is offering to


pay 10% per year compounded continuously. If you
plan to leave the money in the account for 5 years,
what is the future value of your $1,000 investment?

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


6
Congratulations!

 You obviously understand this material.


Now try the next problem.

 The Interactive Exercises are found in book.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


6
Comparing PV to FV

 Remember, both quantities must be present


value amounts or both quantities must be
future value amounts in order to be
compared.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


6
How to solve a time value of money problem.

 The “value four years from today” is a future


value amount.
 The “expected cash flows of $100 per year for
four years” refers to an annuity of $100.
 Since it is a future value problem and there is
an annuity, you need to solve for a FUTURE
VALUE OF AN ANNUITY.

December 8, 2021 © Lohithkumar B


6

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