Group-2 - ITC-NARMADA - Demand Assessment - FNL
Group-2 - ITC-NARMADA - Demand Assessment - FNL
Group-2 - ITC-NARMADA - Demand Assessment - FNL
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
• The hotel industry is one of the key drivers of the growth of the service sector.
• The number of tourists have been steadily increasing as the years pass by.
• The government is also supporting the sector by allowing 100 percent Foreign Direct Investment
through automatic route.
• The occupancy rate of hotels have witnessed a steady growth from 59.8 % in 2014 to 65.6 in 2017.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
MARKET
LOCATION
EXISTING SCENERIO
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
MACRO LEVEL- INDIA
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
FACTORS
• Demand-Supply change
• Net Income
• Market Mix
• Source Markets
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
DEMAND-SUPPLY
CHANGE
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
TRENDS IN KEY OPERATING STATISTICS
Composition 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Average Total 77 74 74 66 81
Rooms Per Hotel
Average Occupied 16864 15990 16126 17424 18543
Rooms Per Hotel
Average 60.9% 60.4% 60.4% 61..3% 62.1%
Occupancy Per
Hotel (%)
Average Rate Per 4677 4507 4729 4789 5128
Hotel (₹)
• An interesting trend is the correlation between the supply and demand growth, with the supply growing at
17.8% CAGR and demand at 17.3% from 2008-09 to 2012-13.
• The occupancy levels remained generally stable during this period despite strong increases in supply is indicative
of the healthy growth in demand.
• In 2012-13, the country experienced a slowdown in growth across sectors, as reflected in GDP growth of 5%.
• Despite this slowdown, the year saw hotels maintain occupancy levels at a steady 60.4% (60.9% in 2011-12).
• HVS estimated that major cities across the country witnessed a growth of 11% in hotel room supply in 2012-13,
while demand exhibited a strong increase of 9.2% during the same period.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
Occupancy and Average Rate
(2012-13 to 2016-17)
5200 62.5
5128
5100
62.1
5000 62
61.8
4900
4789 61.5
4800
Average Rate (₹)
4729 61.3
4700
61
4600
4507 4507
4500
60.5
60.4 60.4
4400
4300 60
4200
4100 59.5
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Years
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
SOURCES OF REVENUE
• The last few years had witnessed a steady decline in the contribution of the rooms division to the top line.
• However, 2015-16 did not follow this trend, with the rooms revenue showing an increased contribution
of 51.7% to the total revenue.
• On the other hand, contribution from Food & beverage and banquets declined to 41.5% from 42.6%
recorded in 2014-15.
• The contribution of the other operating departments has remained range-bound for the past five years.
• Exhibit 2 displays the contribution to total revenue by the different operating departments.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
Sources of Revenue
(2012-13 to 2016-17)
100%
6.6 6.9 6.6 6.8 6.9
90%
80%
Contribution To Total Revenue %
60%
50%
40%
30%
52.2 51.3 50.9 51.7 53.6
20%
10%
0%
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Years
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
F&B AND BANQUET REVENUES
• Hotels in India continue to receive a greater contribution from both F&B and the Banquets & Conference
department, as per the survey.
• The Banquets & Conference segment also recorded a year-on-year increase of 17% in PAR revenue in 2012-13
(Rs 2,26,793) over that in 2011-12, while F&B recorded an increase of 4.2% in the PAR revenue (Rs 5,41,494) for
the same period.
• However, revenue contribution from Rooms has seen a steady decline over the last five years, recording a negative
CAGR of 4% between 2008-09 and 2012-13.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
DEPARTMENTAL EXPENSES
Composition 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
50
40
37.1 36.6 35.8
35.4 32 35.1
30.4 29.2
30 28.5 28.6
20
0
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Years
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
NET INCOME
• The survey noted that in the last five years net income as a percentage of total revenue has consistently declined
year-on-year, as witnessed by a CAGR of 5.7%.
• The year 2012-13 has seen a decline of 4.7% in Net Income as a percentage of revenue over the previous year.
• The reason is attributed to rising department costs, which are a result of rising inflation coupled with an increase in
Energy costs.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
REVENUE & NET INCOME
Composition 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
2000 1864 30 30
Net Income %
1500 29.5
(₹000)
29.3
1000 29
28.9
682
559 588 609 582
500 28.5
0 28
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Years
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
OPERATING EXPENSE
Composition 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
• The survey this year has revealed a rise of 13% in par energy cost (Rs 1,82,067) over the previous year (Rs 1,61,479).
• Similarly, employee to room ratios in India continue to be on the higher side when compared with global benchmarks,
almost twice as much.
• Hotels in India, the survey notes, provide services and facilities beyond their positioning
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
SOURCE MARKETS
• There has been almost 4.3% drop in visitations from two major source markets – the US and the UK.
• Although these two markets still contributes major chunk of Indian inbound (23%), there is an increasing
inbound from new markets like middle east, Russia, and the SAARC.
• The rise in visits from Asia and the middle east is attributed to improved connectivity, easier visa norms and
infrastructure development, etc.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
MARKET MIX
• The mix includes product line and quality, brand, packaging and services.
• For example, the purchase of a hotel room includes the guest room, fitness centre, pool, restaurants, valet service,
concierge, housekeeping service, etc.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
COMPONENTS 7P’s
• Product: Rooms & Restaurants.
• Pricing: Differential.
• Promotion: Advertising.
• People: Employees.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
Market Mix of Hotel Industry
Other
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: FHRAI, Indian Hotel Survey 2016-2017
CATEGORY OF HOTEL
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
TYPICAL ROOM PROFILE OF AVERAGE HOTEL
Five-Star Five- Four- Three- Two- One-
Composition Deluxe Star Star Star Star Star Heritage Others
Number of Responses 75 84 161 512 267 90 57 271
Air-Conditioned Rooms 179.0 138.7 87.7 48.4 31.6 19.5 21.0 25.1
Non -Air-Conditioned Rooms 2.6 1.3 0.5 3.5 5.9 6.9 2.3 4.7
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
NEED FOR HOTEL IN GUJARAT
• Gujarat which luxuriates the longest coastline of 1600 km in the country is a tourism 'tour de force' of
Western India.
• The walloping 44.8 million tourists in the year 2017 is a standing testimony for this (Source: Tourist
Corporation of Gujarat Ltd)
• There has been a 16.94 % growth in tourist arrivals in the year 2017 from the previous year.
• The warm hospitality of the Gujaratis, the well developed infrastructure well connected road and transport
facilities like the BRTS, upcoming MEGA project etc are all other favorable factors
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
NEED FOR HOTEL IN GUJARAT
• The culture rich state of Gujarat flaunts its heritage with major tourist attractions like Sabarmati Ashram,
Adalaj stepwells, Akshardham, Sun Temple, Gir Forest National Park etc which attracts local and foreign
tourists from round the globe.
• The industrial sector comprises of over 800 large industries and 453,339 micro, small and medium
enterprises extending from sectors such as chemicals, petrochemicals, dairy, drugs and pharmaceuticals.
• The state also is the home for the most reputed educational institutes of the country like IIMA, IITG,
NID, CEPT etc.
• All these leads increased inflow of business class and professionals and tourists.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
TOURISM POLICY
GUJARAT (2015-20)
INCENTIVES AND CONCESSIONS
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
CAPITAL SUBSIDY TO ELIGIBLE TOURISM UNITS
• Quantum of capital investment subsidy – 15% for investment above 50 crores with maximum limit
of 10 crores.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
REGISTRATION OR STAMP DUTY CONCESSION
• 100% reimbursement of stamp duty and registration fee on sale/lease/transfer of land for the
first transaction only.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
SUPPORT FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM
• Assistance up to 75% of the cost of carrying out Energy Audit by a recognized
institution/consultant, and Environment-friendly practices like Green Buildings, to a maximum
token amount of Rs 50,000 per unit.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
TOURISTS INFLOW IN GUJARAT
7%
9%
28%
2002-03
2003-04
14%
2009-10
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
22% 20%
Source: GITCO Reports of 2002-03, 2008-09, 2009-10, 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13, 2013-14
PURPOSE-WISE TOURIST INFLOW TO GUJARAT
Years
Purpose
2002-03 2003-04 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Business 34.71 42.12 77.58 88.01 92.41 111.85 123.46 139.94 171.01
Pilgrimage 2.93 3.19 10.35 8.42 7.61 10.89 12.16 17.5 20.48
Leisure 20.63 30.51 47.41 56.17 66.05 70.67 82.18 89.82 88.72
Others 3.36 3.97 5.89 5.47 4.04 4.71 5.84 6.83 7.67
Total 61.63 79.79 141.23 158.07 170.11 198.12 223.64 254.09 287.88
Modhera
Rani ki Vav
4% 3% Pavagadh
19% 2%
3% Chotila
1%
1%
2% Champaner
1%
1% Tithal
4% Buddhist Cave
3% Lothal
Kankaria Lake
Sardar Sarovar
14% 34%
Akshardham
Gandhi ashram
8% Gir Forest
White
Nal Sarovar
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
MAP
The following four popular cities of
Gujarat have been analysed for deciding
the final location of the five star hotel.
1. Gandhinagar
2. Ahmedabad
3. Surat
4. Vadodara
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
AHMEDABAD
• India’s first city to be declared as UNESCO World Heritage City
• The ever-increasing business opportunities, footfall and strategic location makes Ahmedabad a hub
for business ventures and foreign investment.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
SURAT
• Commercial centre for textiles in the country
• First smart IT city in India and is also known as the Diamond city of India
• Boasts tourist attraction with destinations like Dumas beach and Gopi talav
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
VADODARA
• Major industrial, cultural and educational centre of the western India
• Houses Maharaja Sayajirao University of Baroda, the largest university in the state of Gujarat
• Numerous institutes of national and regional importance and industries ranging from petrochemical
engineering to plastics and pharmaceuticals
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
GANDHINAGAR
• One of the foremost planned cities and the administrative centre of Gujarat
• Known for the rich traditional temples and carvings and sculptures
• Emerging knowledge hub with renowned institutes like IIT and NID
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
FACTORS-DATA
FACTORS-RANKING
AHMEDABAD
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
WHY AHMEDABAD ?
• Ahmedabad, the largest city in India before the constitution of Madras and Kolkata by the British
Empire, is currently the fifth largest city in the country.
• Ahmedabad which is the third fastest growing city of the decade according to Forbes was also
selected as India’s best city to live in by The Times of India.
• India’s first city to be declared as UNESCO World Heritage City, the city was one among the
hundred first smart city projects of the country.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
WHY AHMEDABAD?
• The ever-increasing business
opportunities, footfall and strategic
location makes Ahmedabad a hub
for business ventures and foreign
investment..
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
WHY AHMEDABAD?
• Proximity to the upscale
neighborhood and the real
estate hub the city
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
DEMAND GENERATORS
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
BRAND STRENGTHENING
• Having already had 11 luxury hotels across India, ITC looks to spread their brand to Ahmedabad,
currently the country’s 5th largest city
LOCATION
• Vastrapur an upscale area is famous for various shopping malls, gardens, hospitals, bungalow and
educational institutions
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
BUSINESS GROWTH
• With an increased FDI from foreign countries for the bullet train projects there is a spike in entry of
foreign businessmen to the state
TOURIST INFLOW
• First city in India to be declared as UNESCO world heritage site
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
URBAN POPULATION
• Denotes the extent of development and urbanization
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
TOURISTS INFLOW IN AHMEDABAD
5000000
4599488
4500000 2002-03
2003-04
4000000
2008-09
3500000 3246987 2009-10
3100558
3000000 2010-11
2689971
2011-12
2500000 2213750 2012-13
2000000 1895777 2013-14
1479648
1500000 1362231
1000000
500000
0
2002-03 2003-04 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Source: GITCO Reports of 2002-03, 2008-09, 2009-10, 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13, 2013-14
SUPPLY
Ahmedabad had a total inventory of 4,500 keys as of 2014, with the organised* segment comprising 85
percent of the total inventory.
The total organised inventory increased by 10 percent over 2013.
• There are no luxury hotels in the city
• There are 31 branded hotels existing in the city with a total inventory of over 3,200
• Out of the total branded hotels, 49 percent belong to midscale, 28 percent to upscale, 14 percent to
economy and 9 percent to upper upscale.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group
Supply Segmentation
9%
28%
14%
Upper Upscale
Upscale
Midscale
Economy
49%
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group
LIST OF BRANDED HOTELS IN AHMEDABAD
S. No. Hotel Name Category Segment Inventory
1. ITC Narmada 5 star deluxe Luxury 307
2. Hyatt 5 star Upper Upscale 178
3. Radisson Blu 5 star Upper Upscale 116
4. Courtyard By Marriott 5 star Upscale 164
5. Park Plaza 4 star Upscale 90
6. Royal Orchid Regenta 4 star Upscale 129
7. Pride Hotel 4 star Upscale 164
8. Crowne Plaza Hotel 5 star Upscale 200
9. Eastin Hotel 4 star Upscale 156
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group
LIST OF BRANDED HOTELS IN AHMEDABAD
S. Hotel Name Segment Inventory
No.
10. Cambay Grand 4 star Midscale 120
11. Fortune Landmark 4 star Midscale 95
12. The Fern 5 star Midscale 96
13. The Gateway Hotel – Ummed 4 star Midscale 91
14. Eastin Easy Hotel 4 star Midscale 52
15. Four Points by Sheraton 4 star Midscale 103
16. Ramada 4 star Midscale 92
17. Formule 1 3 star Economy 132
18. Tune Hotel 3 star Economy 100
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group
Inventory Growth
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group
MICRO LOCATION
1. Asarwa
2. Navrangpura
3. Vastrapur
4. Sola
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
FACTORS-RANKING
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
LOCATION
Land Road
Land Cost Attractive Micro Cleanline
Road Railway Airport Area Land Use Security Acesss to
(per sqft) View Climate ss
Demand site
Vastrapur
Very Commerc Very
Vastrapur Good Good 10084.32 Very High High Lake Dense High
Good ial Good
Garden
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
LOCATION
PROXIMITY
Very Good Good Very Good Very Good Very Good Very Good Very Good
Vastrapur Lake
New Mac Synthesis The First
Garden - 2km
Chemical - 0km
Vikram Sarabhai Ahmedabad One -
Industries - 2km GCP Business IIMA - 1.5 km Sanjivini Hospital -
Space Exhibition - 2km Along the town
Synergy Centre - 4km CEPT - 3.3 km 2.5 km Parth
2.3 km Sundarvan Himalaya Mall - centre
Pharmaseuticals - BSQUARE NID - 5.7km Hospital - 1.8 km
- 1.9 km 3km
1.9km Piplaj - 10 Business Centre -
Lalbhai Dalpatbhai
km 4.5 km
Museum - 3km
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
WHAT ITC NARMADA HAS IN STORE
• ITC Narmada is aiming to synchronize the “Grand” traditional language with the classic
contemporary style.
• The five star luxury hotel building consists of 3 level basement + ground floor + mezzanine floor +
18 floors with building height of 78 m.
• The design reflects the cultural vernacular architecture of the ancient villages that surround the city
• The stepping architecture of the walls and the intricate stone carvings provided a rich vein of
patterns and textures.
• ITC Narmada will look to achieve LEED Platinum certification to comply with the highest
environment standards.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: ITC Hotels
CONT..
The hotel has total BUA of 636,186 sq ft. and consists of:
• 307 rooms (294 guest rooms and suites)
• All-day dining restaurant
• 3 other specialty restaurants
• Pub/bar
• 2,000-square-metre ball room
• Banquet hall
• Spa
• business centre
• 8 meeting rooms
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
Source: ITC Hotels
SITE SURROUNDINGS
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
SITE SURROUNDINGS
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
CONCLUSION
• From the demand studies, 5 star hotels have market potential in Ahmedabad.
• ITC Narmada has major edge over other competitors in terms of inventory & features.
• It would lead to increase in employment opportunities, cater to ever increasing flow of tourists.
DEMAND ASSESSMENT
REFERENCES