2nd Lesson Time Value Money
2nd Lesson Time Value Money
of money
2nd Lesson
Roberto Del Barco
After studying 2nd lesson, you should be able to:
1. Understand what is meant by "the time value of money."
2. Understand the relationship between present and future value.
3. Describe how the interest rate can be used to adjust the value of cash
flows – both forward and backward – to a single point in time.
4. Calculate both the future and present value of: (a) an amount invested
today; (b) a stream of equal cash flows (an annuity); and (c) a stream of
mixed cash flows.
5. Distinguish between an “ordinary annuity” and an “annuity due.”
6. Build an “amortization schedule” for an installment-style loan.
• “The greatest mathematical
discovery of all time is compound
interest.”
Albert Einstein
3
Decomposing Interest Rates
We often view interest rates as compensation for bearing risk.
• Interest rates can then be viewed as compensation for
• Delaying consumption “risklessly” (the risk-free real rate, Rf)
• Bearing inflation risk over the life of the instrument (inflation risk premium,
or IRP)
• The possibility that the borrower will not make the promised payments at the promised time (default risk
premium, or DRP)
• The possibility that the investor will need to convert the investment to cash quickly and will not receive a fair
value (liquidity risk premium, or LRP)
• The increased sensitivity of longer-maturity instruments to changes in prevailing market rates (maturity risk
premium, or MRP)
r = 𝑅𝑓 + IRP + DRP + LRP + MRP
Discounting
Time
Compounding
5
Different Interest Rates
The frequency with which interest is calculated is known as compounding.
• Simple interest is the amount of principal times the stated rate of interest for a single period with
no compounding.
• If the period of time for which we are examining simple interest is less than a year, the interest rate for a
single period is known as a periodic rate.
• If the instrument pays interest more than once a year, the interest rate will generally be known as
a stated annual interest rate or a quoted interest rate.
• The expression of the rate will then typically be followed by an indication of how often interest is
calculated.
• For example: 12% compounded monthly
• By convention, we can then calculate the monthly rate of simple interest (also known as the
monthly periodic rate) as 0.12/12 = 0.01.
6
Comparing Interest Rates
• You may encounter investments with different stated rates of interest and different compounding
frequencies.
• To compare such rates, you need a common reference time period and a method for combining
the rates and compounding periods such that a comparison is accurate.
• The equivalent annual rate (EAR) is just such a rate. Once calculated, EAR represents the interest
rate across one year that would have been earned on an equivalent stated rate of interest with no
intrayear compounding.
7
Comparing Interest Rates
Focus On: Calculations
No. Compounding
Stated Annual Rate Periodic Rate Periods EAR
10%
monthly compounding 0.8333% 12 10.4713%
10%
quarterly compounding 2.5% 4 10.3813%
10%
semiannual compounding 5% 2 10.25%
10%
annual compounding 10% 1 10%
8
Future Values of $100 with Compounding
Interest Rates
7000
6000 0%
5%
5000 10%
FV of $100
4000 15%
3000
2000
1000
0
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
0
9
Number of Years
The Power of High Discount Rates
1.00 0%
0.75
0.5
5%
0.25 10%
15%
20%
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Periods
10
Future Value (FV)
Given a present value (PV), we can compound to return a future value (FV).
• If we have $1,000 today that we put in an exchange-traded fund that will generate 12% per year
for the next two years, how much will we have in the account in two years?
PV0 = $1,000
11
Present Value (PV)
Given a future value (FV), we can discount it to return a present value (PV).
• If we expect to receive a check for $25,000 in three years and our opportunity cost of funds is 9%, the present value
of the future payment is
FVN
PV0 =
1+𝑟 𝑁
FV3 = $25,000
r = 9%
t=0 t=1 t=2 t=3
PV0 = $19,604.59
$25,000
$19,304.59 =
1 + 0.09 3
12
Changing the compounding frequency
Periodic Rates and the Time Value of Money
• Whenever we make TVM calculations, the period of time associated with the frequency of cash
flows must match the compounding frequency for our discounting or compounding rate. To
address any differences,
• Make any necessary adjustment to convert the stated annual rate to the appropriate periodic rate
Stated rate/Compounding frequency = Periodic rate
• Make any necessary adjustment to the time index to account for the compounding frequency Number
of years x Compounding frequency
• What is the present value of a single lump sum of $1,500 to be received in two years if the stated
rate of interest is 6% semiannually compounded?
• r 0.06/2 = 0.03 periodic rate
FV𝑁 $1,500
• N 2 x 2 = 4 periods PV0 = = 0.06 2 2 = $1,332.7306
1+𝑟 𝑁 1+ 2
13
FV of an Annuity (A)
Calculate the future value of a series of regular payments at regular intervals.
• If you invest $10,000 each year for the next two years at 11% starting in one year, how much will
you have at the end of the two years?
1+𝑟 𝑁−1
FV𝑁 = 𝐴
𝑟
FV3 = $21,100
A2 = $10,000 A3 = $10,000
r = 11% r = 11%
14
PV of an annuity (a)
Calculate the present value of a series of regular payments received at regular intervals.
• If you expect to receive $10,000 each year for two years starting in one year, and your opportunity
cost is 11%, how much is it worth today?
1
1− 𝑁
1+𝑟
PV0 = 𝐴
𝑟
A2 = $10,000 A3 = $10,000
r = 11% r = 11%
t=0 t=1 t=2
PV0 = $17,125.23
15
Annuity Due Values
An annuity due is just like an annuity except that the first payment is received (paid) at the beginning
of a period rather than the end.
• You can find the PV (FV) of an annuity due in several ways:
• Take the PV (FV) of each individual part to a common point in time
and use value additivity to combine them.
• Treat it as an annuity, combine the cash flows at the annuity origin
in time, and then move the resulting cash flow to the desired point
in time
• Treat it as a single lump sum and an ordinary annuity of one
period shorter, and then calculate the PV (FV) of each component
and add them together, again using value additivity.
• Depicted: Three-period annuity due as a two-period annuity and a single
lump sum. +
16
Annuity Due Values
Focus On: Calculations
A0 = $1,000 A1 = $1,000 A2 = $1,000
1 + 𝑟 𝑁−1
FV2 = PV0 1 + 𝑟 𝑁 + 𝐴
𝑟
t=0 r = 2% t=1 r = 2% t=2
+
2
1 + 0.02 − 1
FV2 = $1000 1 + 0.02 2 + $1000
0.02 A1 = $1,000 A2 = $1,000
FV2 = $3060.40
t=0 r = 2% t=1 r = 2% t=2
17
Present Value of a perpetuity
Cash flows that never end are known as perpetuities.
• These can occur with many types of investments, including stocks and bonds.
• A type of perpetual bond is a “consol.”
• Suppose you plan to invest in a utility stock that will pay a $2 dividend for the life of the company.
You don’t expect the dividend to ever grow, and similar stocks have an 8% required rate of return.
How much should the stock be worth today?
A2 = $2 A3 = $2
∞
1 𝐴 r = 8% r = 8%
PV0 = 𝐴 ≅
(1 + 𝑟)𝑖 𝑟
𝑖=1 t=1 t=2
t=0
18
Present Value of a Growing Perpetuity
If we assume growth stays constant and it is less than the discount rate, then we can calculate the
present value of a growing perpetuity.
• Suppose you plan to invest in a different utility stock that will pay a $2 dividend for the life of the
company. You expect the dividend to grow (g) by 2% per year, and similar stocks have an 8%
required rate of return. How much should the stock be worth today?
A3 = $2(1.02)(1.02)
A3 = $2(1.02)
A2 = $2 r = 8%
g = 2%
r = 8% r = 8% r = 8%
t=0 g = 2% g = 2% g = 2%
t=1 t=2 t=3
∞
1+𝑔 𝑖 𝐴1 2 1 + 0.02
PV0 = 𝐴 ≅ = = $34
1 + 𝑟 𝑖 𝑟 − 𝑔 0.08 − 0.02
𝑖=1
19
Solving complex TVM problems
We can use value additivity and cash flow diagrams to solve complex TVM problems more easily.
• Consider a stock that currently pays no dividend. In one year, it is expected to pay a $1 dividend.
The year after, it will pay $2 for three years. After that, the dividends will grow at a constant rate of
2% per year forever. If you require a 8% rate of return on the stock, what is its value to you today?
A5 = $2(1.1)
= $2.20
A2 = $2 A3 = $2 A4 = $2
r = 8%
A1 = $1 r = 8% r = 8% g = 2%
g = 2% g = 2%
t=0
t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4 t=5 t=6
Nonconstant growth Constant growth
PV = ?
20
Solving complex TVM problems
We can use value additivity and cash flow diagrams to solve complex TVM problems more easily.
A5 = $2(1.1)
= $2.20
A2 = $2 A3 = $2 A4 = $2
A1 = $1
t=0
t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4 t=5 t=6
Nonconstant growth Constant growth
PV = ?
21
Solving Complex TVM Problems
Focus On: Calculations
1
1−
• Solution for approach 1: $2
1 + 0.08 3 $2(1.02)
$1 0.08
PV0 = 1
+ + 0.08 − 0.024
1 + 0.08 1 + 0.08 1 1 + 0.08
$1 $5.1542 $34
PV0 = + + = $30.6893
(1 + 0.08)1 (1 + 0.08)1 (1 + 0.08)4
PV0 = $30.6893
22
Moving away from the origin
Focus On: Calculations
• We can modify our existing time value of money calculations to determine values at points in time
other than the origin (t = 0).
• When we do this, “N” becomes the number of intervening periods between our time of interest
and each cash flow.
• Say you want to withdraw $75,000 a year for two years, starting at the end of four years. How
much money must you have in your account at the end of three years to do so if the account earns
5% interest?
• You have a two-period annuity, so N = 2 with the payments starting at t = 4.
1
1− 𝑁
PV3 = 𝐴4 1−𝑟
𝑟
23
Moving away from the origin
Focus On: Calculations
• You have an annuity that begins at t = 4 for which you want to know the value at t = 3.
PV3 = FV3 = ?
t=4 t=5
A4 = –$75k A5 = –$75k
1
1− 2
1 + 0.05
PV3 = $75,000 = $139,455.7823
0.05
24
Solving for unknown values in TVM Problems
Focus On: Calculations
• You have decided to start your own firm. Being prudent, you want to have enough money saved to
use for living expenses for two years before you quit. You can currently put away $45,000 a year.
You know that you will have living expenses of $75,000 a year for each of the two years (paid at
the end of the year, simplifying assumption). You would like to quit in three years. If you put
$45,000 into an account bearing 5% interest each of the next two years, how much must you put
into the account at the end of Year 3 so that you can quit?
t=4 t=5
A4 = –$75K A5 = –$75K 25
SOLVING FOR UNKNOWN VALUES IN TVM PROBLEMS
• Solution 1: Realize that the total amount of inflows = total outflows at any point in time once you
have accounted for timing (interest) differences.
1 — $45,000.00 — $45,000.00
2 $45,000.00 $45,000.00 $2,250.00 $92,500.00
3 $92,500.00 $42,593.2823 $4,612.50 $139,455.7823
4 $139,705.7823 –$75,000.00 $6,972.7891 $71,428.5714
5 $71,428.5714 –$75,000.00 $3,571.4286 $0.00
27
Present value of a series of unequal cash flows
Using value additivity, we can break down complex cash flows into component parts.
• You can invest today in a financial instrument that will pay you $40 every year starting at the end
of this year for the next five years and $1,000 at the end of the five years. If you require a 12%
return, how much should you be willing to pay for this instrument?
• This is an annuity of $40 for five years and a future lump sum of $1,000 at the end of the five years.
FV5 = $1,000
1
1− 5 $1,000
1 + 0.12
PV0 = $40 + 5
= $711.62
0.12 1 + 0.12
28
Cash flow diagrams
Organizing TVM problems with cash flow diagrams helps us visualize and solve complex problems.
These are also known as time lines.
Ir = r= r= r= r=
t=0
PV0 =
29
1+𝑟 𝑁−1
Cash flow diagrams FV5 = 𝐴
𝑟
• You are saving for a new car and have calculated that you will be able to make five payments
before you need to buy the car. Your stock market account is expected to earn 8% each year, and
you will need $45,000 to buy the car you want. How much must you save each year to buy the car
at the end of five years?
FV5 = $45,000
r = 8% r = 8% r = 8% r = 8% r = 8%
t=0
30
1
Cash flow diagrams PV0 = 𝐴
1−
1+𝑟
𝑟
𝑁
• Along with your new car in five years, you have decided to buy a new house now. Current mortgage
rates are 4% per month, and you have decided to finance the house for 30 years. The house you
want is $860,000, and you are able to finance 80% of that. How much will your payment be?
31
Basic Principles of TVM
• You cannot add or subtract cash flows that occur at different times without first compounding or
discounting them to the same point in time.
• Once at the same point in time, we can add or subtract the resulting equivalency cash flows.
• This is known as the cash flow additivity principle: If two or more cash flows occur at the same point in
time, we can add or subtract them together.
• One implication of this is that we can add cash flow patterns together once we account for the differences in timing.
• The period of time associated with the cash flows must match the period of time associated with
the discounting or compounding rate (use periodic rates for compounding and discounting).
• Pay close attention to the “when” in time for which you need an answer.
32
summary
• The quantitative processes underlying the time value of money and its associated calculations are
central to the investment process.
• Using the time value of money concepts, we can
• Determine the value of a series of future cash flows today (present value)
• Determine the value of a series of cash flows in the future (future value)
• Determine the value of a regular series of cash flows, known as an annuity, that is equivalent to a specific value today
or in the future (annuitizing)
• Valuation, a key function in the investment process, is often performed using the time value of
money calculation known as present value.
33
Time Value of Money Equations
Annual Compounding
Time Value of Money Equations
Ejercicios
fin de capítulo
Ejercicios fin de
capítulo
Tema: Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Problema 2
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Problema 3
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
Valor del Dinero en el Tiempo
The Time value
of money
2nd Lesson
Roberto Del Barco