BUC Axle Load Caluation
BUC Axle Load Caluation
BUC Axle Load Caluation
Objective:
Modified Binders
2. New Road Materials:
Tests on soil
AUTUMN
NATIONAL ROAD DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMES
The rate at which a country’s economy grows is very closely linked
to the rate at which the transport sector grows.
In the case of our country (India), it has been found that while
economy grows at a certain rate, say r% per annum, road transport has
grown at 2r%.
AUTUMN
Since, 1980, the economic growth has been around 5%, and the
road transport growth was around 10%.
India is the world's sixth-largest economy by nominal GDP and the third-
largest by purchasing power parity (PPP). After the
1991 economic liberalisation, India achieved 6-7% average
GDP growth annually. In FY 2015 and 2018 India's economy became the
world's fastest growing major economy, surpassing China.
As India is now poised for a 8-9% economic growth, road transport can be
expected to grow at 12-14%, even assuming it to be 1.5.
GDP & GNP COMPARISON
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP)
Railways
Roads and Road Transport
Air transport
Ports
Inland Waterways
Shipping
Pipelines
The tranport sector plans in the Five Year Plans was the only attempts made in the
country to evolve national transport plans. These plans have poised few limitations
such as:
1. Being part of overall national economic plan, it is not possible to detail out the plan
of various sub-sectors. It is left to the individual Ministries to details out the plan of
their sub-sector.
2. The plans have a short horizon period of five years. Since transport needs can be
visualized to a degree on a longer time horizon, of say 20 years, the short-term
plans suffer from a limited vision and perspective.
Therefore, Twenty Year Road Plans have been introduced.
TWENTY YEAR ROAD PLANS (long-term national plan)
Under this plan, the future road development was based on the revised classification
of road system consisting of primary, secondary, and tertiary road systems
IRC VISION 2021
The Indian Roads Congress have prepared a Vision-2021 document for road
development in India. The salient features of the Plan are:
2. Half the National Highway length should have four/six lanes, and the remaining
half should have two-lane carriageway with hard shoulders.
3. 10,000 Km of State Highways should have four-lanes and the balance should
have two lanes
4. Forty percent of the major District Roads should have two lane carriageways.
5. The target for basic access to village shall be as under:
(i) Villages with population above 1000 ------ Year 2003
(ii) Villages with population 500-1000 ---------Year 2007
(iii) Villages with population below 500 ---------Year 2010
6. Maintenance of existing assets should receive adequate attention.
7. Research and Development activities in the road sector should receive good
attention.
IRC VISION 2021
11. Environments concerns caused by road and road traffic should be addressed.
The Indian Roads Congress have drafted a Rural Road Development Plan, Vision
2025. The salient features of the Plan are:
1. Master Plans should be prepared for Rural Roads showing the Core Network
which gives accessibility to each village. All future programmes should strictly
conform to this network.
2. All habitations with a population of above 100 will be connected by all weather
roads.
3. It is estimated that length of 2,90,000 Km of new roads will be needed to
achieve full connectivity. Out of this 40,000 Km will be black-topped and the
remaining 2, 50,000 Km will be gravel. The outlay required is Rs. 26,000 crores,
besides Rs. 66,000 crores already taken up.
RURAL ROADS, VISION 2025
4. Upgradation of existing Rural Roads (about 1,237, 000 Km length) shall be taken
up, at a cost of Rs.1,64,000 crores.
5. The maintenance of the Rural Road network will require Rs. 7,500 crores every
year.
6. Strategies to cut the cost of Rural Roads shall be worked out, which include
maximum use of locally available materials, soil-stabilization, adoption of gravel
road and use of low cost water crossings, and adoption of stage construction
concepts.
Construction of a six-lane expressway may cost Rs. 5-10 crore per kilometer.
Interest Rate:
Money earns its interest intrinsically. Interest rate is the return obtained
after the end of the year as % of the capital invested at the beginning of
the year. It can either be at a simple rate or be compound rate.
Inflation:
At the same time, due to inflation, the Vehicle Operating Cost (VOC) increases,
thereby reducing the benefit.
Thus while deciding the benefit-cost aspects, the effect of inflation also needs
to be considered in all cost and benefit components.
Salvage Value
Salvage value, S, is the worth of the structure at the end of the analysis period.
If, after the expiry of the first analysis period, it is assumed that the pavement
materials would be recycled, than the costs of existing pavement materials (to
be used for recycling) are considered in computation of salvage value.
Salvage Value
Alternatively, if the pavement life is extended further by overlaying, in the
next analysis period, the salvage value can be calculated as
S = [ 1- (Y/X)] Onm
Where Y is the number of years between the last overlay (which is done in the
year nm) and the analysis period for which Onm was the cost incurred, and X is
the number of years the pavement is expected to actually serve.
This is based on the assumption that the service life of the last resurfacing
overshoots the analysis period, and accordingly a proportionate salvage is
estimated.
Present Worth
Present worth is the total cost of the project, when investments in various years
(during the analysis period) are brought back to the equivalent worth of the
present year.
The present worth can be expressed in the form of the following equation
nm
1 1
Present worth = C + ∑ Ok x -Sx nm -- (1)
K = n1 (1 + r) nm (1 + r)
C is the cost of construction
n1 is the first year in which major maintenance (say, overlay) is done
nm is last year within the analysis period in which a maintenance job is carried out
Ok is the cost of maintenance in the kth year
S is the salvage value and r is the discount rate
As a routine maintenance work, a sum of Rs. 20,00,000 each year is to be
spent on a particular stretch of a highway during the third year, fifth year, and
the seventh year. Calculate the total present worth of these expenditures, if the
annual discount rate is 12% (compound).
Take the example of the middle term of eq. (1), using the following simplifications:
(a) Maintenance is done periodically in each year
(b) The maintenance expenditure is always the same, say x.
(c) The total maintenance expenditure calculated taking the first year as the base
year is equivalent to a one-time expenditure y. Then,
N
1 Where N is the analysis period. Or
Y=∑Xx
K=1 (1 + r )N -1
(1+r)k Y=Xx (2)
r(1 + r )N
The construction expenditure of a new highway was estimated to be Rs. 200
crore. It was decided that this money be raised from loans. Calculate the
installment to be paid each year, such that the loan is repaid in 15 years?
Assume the compound rate of interest as 10%.
Using capital recovery eq. (2)
(1 + r )N -1
Y=Xx
r(1 + r )N
(1 + .10)15 -1 = Rs 26.294 crore
200 = X x
0.1(1 +0.1 )15
ROLE OF ECONOMIC EVALUATION
For a developing country like India, there is serious shortages of resources
needed for economic development
Within the allocation earmarked for the highway sector, a number of schemes
can be taken up, each enjoying its own urgency and attractiveness.
It ensures that the most worthwhile projects are given the highest priority.
The following are some of the specific objectives in carrying out an economic
evaluation:
ROLE OF ECONOMIC EVALUATION
1. This makes it possible to choose the best of the various alternatives. The
question before the analyst is to suggest the most attractive of them.
3. In highway projects, the appraisal is carried out from the view-point of the
nation as a whole, and is not restricted to any sub-set like the highway
agency, truckers, private motorists and bus operators.
Some basic principles of economic evaluation
4. Economic analysis should not be mis-understood with financial analysis.
5. Economic evaluation should take place within a set of established criteria such as
minimum attractive rate of return, interest rate etc.
6. Opportunity cost of capital and resources should be considered wherever they are
important.
7. The period of analysis need not be too long in view of the uncertainties associated
with the future traffic and benefits. In such case, the discounted cash flows of a
distant future period are insignificant. For highway projects, it is enough if the
analysis covers a period 15- 25 years after opening to traffic.
COSTS AND BENEFITS
1. In economic evaluation, the main objective is to compare the costs and
benefits of various alternative schemes and select the one, most
advantages.
The Government, which is often the agency providing the facility, incurs
expenditure on constructing a road.
This includes land acquisition, earth work, road pavement and structures.
Govt. also invests money on maintenance and upkeep annually.
The road user cost, which is born by the actual user of the
Highway facility (Passenger, crew of vehicles, operator, consigner
of goods, pedestrian, cyclist etc.), is composed of:
1. Vehicle operating costs: 8. Fixed costs such as:
1. Fuel (i) Interest on capital
2. Lubricants (ii) Taxes
3. Tyre (iii) Insurance
4. Maintenance Labour (iv) Registration fee
5. Spare Parts (v) Fines, tolls, etc.
6. Depreciation (vi) Garaging charges
7. Crew costs (vii) Permit charges
(viii) Commission on booking
(ix) Loading and unloading charges
(x) Overhead charges such as rent,
salary, electricity, postal,
telephone, stationery etc.
2. Travel time costs
a) Time value of vehicle occupants
b) Time value of goods in transit
c) Time value of vehicles in transit
3. Accident Costs
a) Cost of fatality
b) Cost of injuries
c) Cost of damages to property
Cost to the society
4. Environmental factor:
(i)Altitude
(ii) Rainfall
(iii) Temperature
ECONOMIC EVALUATION TECHNIQUES
In this method, the stream of costs and benefits associated with the project
over its time horizon is calculated and is discounted at a selected discount
rate to give the present value.
If the B/C ratio is more than one, the project is worth undertaking.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Method
IRR is the discount rate which makes the discounted future benefits equal
to the initial outlay.
In other words, it is the discount rate which makes the stream of cash flows
to zero.
Equation (1) can be arranged as below, assuming B0 = 0
Assuming a discount rate of 10%, find out whether the project is economically
justifiable.
With Impr. Without With Impr. Without Impr. With Impr. Without
Year (t) Impr. Impr.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0 - - - - - -
1 105.5 126.5 1.1 3.1 3.5 2.5
2 110.3 132.2 1.1 3.1 3.5 2.5
3 115.8 138.9 1.2 3.5 3.5 2.5
4 121.6 145.8 1.2 3.7 3.5 2.5
5 127.6 153 1.3 3.8 3.5 2.5
6 134 161 1.3 4 3.5 2.5
7 140.7 168.9 1.4 4 3.5 2.5
8 147.8 177 1.5 4.4 3.5 2.5
9 155.1 186.2 1.6 4.7 3.5 2.5
10 162.9 195.2 1.6 4.9 3.5 2.5
Solution:
Benefits (Bt)
Costs without Costs with
Improvement Improvement Bt-Ct Bt-Ct/(1+0.1)t
Year (t) Cols 3 +5+7 Cols 2 +4+6
0 0 100 -100 -100
1 132.10 110.10 22.00 20.00
2 137.80 114.90 22.90 19.92
3 144.90 120.50 24.40 18.33
4 152.00 126.30 25.70 17.55
5 159.30 132.40 26.90 16.70
6 167.50 138.80 28.70 16.20
7 175.40 145.60 29.80 15.29
8 183.90 152.80 31.10 14.51
9 193.40 160.20 33.20 14.08
10 202.60 168.00 34.60 13.34
165.92
-100
(+) 65.4
Cost of improvements = Rs. 20 x 5 = Rs. 100 lakhs
Discounted Benefits
Year (t) Cols (3)+(5)+(7) Cols (2)+(4)+(6) (A) - (B) (Bt)/(1+0.12)t
1 171.8 114.0 57.8 51.61
2 179.4 118.2 61.2 48.8
3 187.6 122.9 64.7 46.05
4 196.6 129.0 67.6 42.93
5 201.5 135.2 66.3 37.6
6 210.5 141.3 69.2 35.05
7 221.6 148.6 73.0 33.02
8 231.2 156.3 74.9 30.25
9 240.0 162.3 77.7 28.01
10 251.9 167.8 84.1 27.07
380.39
Cost of the project = Rs 30 x 10 = Rs. 300 lakhs
(i) It requires an assumption of a discount rate, which should bear relation to the
opportunity cost of capital. It is, however, rather difficult to know the opportunity cost
of capital accurately.
(ii) The significance of the B/C ratio is ambiguous, and its relative value is difficult to
understand and interpret. For instance, if there are two proposals, one with a B/C
ratio of 1.05 and other with a ratio of 1.10, the difference is very difficult to
appreciate.
(iii) It is somewhat confusing and difficult to decide which items should be
termed as costs and placed in the denominator and which as benefits and
placed in the numerator.
2. IRR Method:
This method is popular with international lending agencies like the World
Bank. It lends itself admirably well for use in a computer-aided design
model.
It avoids the need for selecting a discount rate initially. The rate derived
from computations can be easily compared with the market rate of
interest, with which economists, financial experts and bankers are familiar.
2. IRR Method:
Its disadvantage is that the computations are tedious and a solution can
be obtained only by trial and error.
3. NPV Method:
This method suffers from the same disadvantage as in case of B/C ratio
method in that a rate of discount has to be assumed.
Toll Roads
A toll road is a privately or publicly built road for which the road users
have to pay a fee.
Fees were traditionally collected by hand at toll booth, toll house, toll plaza,
toll station, toll bar or toll gate, but nowadays more tolls are implementing some
form of automatic or electronic toll collection.
1. Since toll roads are constructed with borrowed capital, their costs
are high
2. The cost of toll collection is additional component of road cost
3. Delays are caused at toll collection plazas due to queuing
4. Roads are public goods and must be free. It is the duty of the
government to build and maintain good roads for general use of the
public. Tolling is double taxation, the road user having already paid
road taxes
INDIA’S EXPERIENCE ON TOLL ROADS
The Government of India and State Governments have over the past Ten
years turned their attention to throw open roads to the private sector to
supplement the budgetary provision.
11. Real estate development can made integral part of BOT projects to
enhance their financial viability
12. NHAI can provide capital grants to the developers of a road project for
project cost on case to case basis
13. NHAI can participate upto 30% of total equity of a company floated to
develop a road project
14. The ownership of the land for the highway construction and road side
facilities would continue to vest in Government. Mortgaging and
subleasing of this land for raising finances is not allowed. However, land
will be given on lease to entrepreneurs
15. Disputes resolution and arbitration would be under the Indian Arbitration
and Conciliation Act, 1996.
16. Entrepreneurs would be protected against force majeure situations
including political, non-political and legislative changes
The private entrepreneur build the road with his own funds (and in certain
cases augments his funds by the grant provided by the Govt.), operates
the road collecting toll for a specified concession period (20-30 years)
and transfer the facility at the end of the concession period to the Govt.
The NHAI are now privatizing the operations and maintenance of selected
sections of four-laned National highways.
The private operator collects the toll and maintains the facility over a specified
concession period , and pays the Government a quoted amount.