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Industry Analysis of Indian Defence Sector: Guided by

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INDUSTRY

ANALYSIS OF
INDIAN DEFENCE
SECTOR
Presented By: Guided by:
Jay Prajapati
Dr Maurvi Vasavada
Deepak Upadhyay
Dhruval Patel CMS-Ahmedabad.
Chirag Thakkar
• Introduction Of Indian Defence
• Factors
• Strategic Analysis
• Budget Analysis
• Conclusion
• Recommendations & Future Work
HISTORY

• During the early modern period France,United


Kingdom,Netherlands and some states in Germany became
self-sufficient in arms production.

• The modern arms industry emerged in the second half of


the nineteenth century as a product of the creation and
expansion of the first large military industrial companies
• The arms industry, also known as the defense industry or the arms
trade, is a global industry responsible for the manufacturing and sales
of weapons and military technology.
• Itconsists of a commercial industry involved in the research and
development, engineering, production, and servicing of military
material, equipment, and facilities.
• Arms-producing companies, also referred to as arms dealers, defense
contractors, or as the military industry, produce arms mainly for the
armed forces of states.
1 United States 1 India
2 Russia 2 Saudi Arabia
3 China 3 China
4 United Kingdom 4 Indonesia
5 France 5 Vietnam
Department of Defence Airforce,Navy,Army

Department of Defence Ordinance Factory Board,


Production DPSU
MINISTRY

OF
Department of Defence
DEFENCE DRDO
R&D

Department of Ex.
Serviceman Welfare
Defence Industry

 The production of defence equipment was, until relatively recently


entirely a government function. The Industrial Policy Resolution, 1948,
restricted the entry of the private sector into this industry.
 In May 2001, the sector was opened for private sector participation,
with 100 percent private sector ownership permissible and FDI of up to
26 percent.
 Foreign companies account for the majority of procurement from the
private sector in India, with approximately 70 percent of Indian defence
procurement coming from overseas sources.
 Of the 30 percent of orders placed in India, only an estimated percent is
attributed directly to the private sector.
 Establishment of a new procurement regime
 Push to domestic industry
 Simplification of offset regime
 Increasing involvement of states
 Maturity in Indian industry
Production

 Over the years, the Department has established wide ranging


production facilities for various defence equipments through the
Ordnance Factories and Defence Public Sector Undertakings .
The products manufactured include arms and ammunition, tanks,
armoured vehicles, heavy vehicles, fighter aircraft and helicopters,
warships, submarines, missiles, ammunition, electronic
equipment, earth moving equipment, special alloys and special
purpose steels.
• HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS LIMITED (HAL)
• BHARAT ELECTRONICS LIMITED (BEL)
• BHARAT DYNAMICS LTD. (BDL)
• BEML Limited
• MISHRA DHATU NIGAM LIMITED (MIDHANI)
• MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LIMITED (MDL)
• GOA SHIPYARD LTD. (GSL)
• GARDEN REACH SHIPBUILDERS AND ENGINEERS LTD. (GRSE)
• HINDUSTAN SHIPYARD LTD. (HSL)
• Private Sector Companies : TATAADVANCED SYSTEMS
LIMITED, MAHINDRA DEFENSE SYSTEMS
Company’s Name Specialization

Bharat Dynamics Ammunition and Missile systems

Bharat Electronics Avionics

Bharat Earth Movers Transport


Defence Research and Development
Research and Development
Organization

Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Naval ships

Goa Shipyard Shipbuilding

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited Aerospace manufacturer

Mazagon Dock Limited Shipbuilding

Mishra Dhatu Nigam Metallurgy

Ordnance Factories Board Defence Equipment and Support


PEST ANALYSIS

 POLITICAL & POLICY

• Government support
• Induction of GAAR (General Anti Avoidance Rule)
• Political stability, regulatory effectiveness, rule of law and Sovereign
debt
• Corruption
• Regional issues overpowering important country level Economic
decisions
• Defence Production policy & Defence Procurement Policy
• Defence of the country is of highest priority
 ECONOMICAL

• Major economic reforms done in last 20 years


• One of the fastest growing economy in the world
• Increase in defence budget on an yearly average of 8%
• One of the highest saving fund
• Defence Offset Policy
• Recently DEFENCE sector opened for private players with
Investment up to 100% and FDI 100%
• Largest importer of Arms
• Founding member of WTO
 SOCIAL & LEGAL

• Constant threat from terrorists


• Many international disputes with neighbours
• Second largest army of the world
• Low cost labour
• Pool of second largest English speakers
• Large pool of skilled manpower required for Defence industry
is available
• Better quipped legal system
• Highest no. of scientist engineers
 TECHNOLOGICAL

• Availability of foundations for developing a robust industrial Base in


the defence sector for R&D, MROs (Maintaince Repair and
Operations) ie. DRDO, HAL
• Indigenized development of Helicopters by (HAL) and Aircraft
(LCA/TEJAS) is under progress
• Experience of producing robust Defence equipment at low cost
• Availability of talent suitable for Defence Industry
• Knowledge & Implementation of International Quality Standards
required for DEFENCE Industry is available
SWOT ANALYSIS
 STRENGTH

• Government supports very much


• Knowledge and implementation of international quality
standards required for Defence industry is available
• Better equipped legal system
• Adaptability to changed scenario
 WEAKNESS

• Corruption
• Difficulty in starting a business specially in DEFENCE sector
• Low innovation
• Very long product cycle time as many approvals & checks to
be done
• Political instability, regulatory in effectiveness, rule of low
and sovereign debt
• Lack of infrastructure and the increase in energy deficient
 OPPORTUNITIES

• It is one of the fastest developing market and so the items can be


manufactured as all required resources are available
• India is strategically located and developing market of middle east,
Asian and Asia can be targeted
• Largest number of scientist and engineers
• Increase in overseas supplier‘s involvement in Indian defence
Industry
 THREATS

• Strategic barriers for critical techonologies and source codes


• Exchange change risk like Depreciation in dollar
• Tough competition from Brazil, China and Russia
• Reduction in overall budget
• Degradation of India‘s rating by International Agencies
 PORTER’S FIVE FORCES
Threat of new
enterants
MEDIUM
TO HIGH

Bargaining Rivalry
among Bargaining
power of power of
supplier existing
competitors buyers
LOW TO HIGH
HIGH HIGH

Threat of
substitute
MEDIUM
TO HIGH
Revenues and Capital

Total Defence Share of Defence


Revenue Capital
Year Expenditure Expenditure in GDP
(%)

79,146 60,306 1,39,452


2010-11 2.12
(7.0) (10.0) (8.3)

84,686 66,337 1,51,023


2011-12 2.03
(7.0) (10.0) (8.3)

90,614 72,971 1,63,585


2012-13 1.94
(7.0) (10.0) (8.3)

96,957 80,268 1,77,225


2013-14 1.85
(7.0) (10.0) (8.3)

1,03,744 88,295 1,92,039


2014-15 1.76
(7.0) (10.0) (8.4)
120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000 Revenue
Capital

40,000

20,000

0
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15
2.5
Share of Defence Expenditure in GDP (%)
2.4

2.3

2.2

2.12
2.1

2.03
2

1.94
1.9

1.85
1.8
1.76

1.7

1.6

1.5
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15
• Defence Budget

2015-2016
246727

2014-2015
229000

2013-2014
203673

Budget(in cr.)

2012-2013
193407.29

2011-2012
164415.49

2010-2011
147000

50000 150000 250000


• Growth of Defence Budget
20

18
17.63

16

14

12.4
12
11.59

10
Growth of Defence budget

8
7.74

6
5.31

4 3.98

0
2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016
• Rev and Cap of department-wise budget
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
Actuals
(Rev+ Cap)

Army 91450.51 99464.21 119434.94 130658.33 1,39,700.43

Navy 29593.53 33393.21 32442.86 40528.88 39,424.88

Air Force 50509.13 57708.63 53896.54 56686.84 53,451.25

DGOF 267.86 1298.39 2332.89 3644.30 1,953.29

DGQA 695.67 766.02 815.58 850.16 975.37

R&D 9794.80 10868.89 13447.19 14358.49 13,593.78


2010-11
• Due to rising social and political tensions in different parts of
the country, there is far greater need for inclusive growth.
• Considering the security environment in and around India,
the government will have to provide more funds under the
Capital budget required for modernization of forces.
• Thus, Defence authorities will have to work out how to
function with a minimal increase in the Revenue budget.
2011-12
• The growth in the defence budget has provided extra
resources, particularly for the modernization of the armed
forces.
2012-13:
• The increase in the latest defence budget was made possible
by the expansionary fiscal policy adopted by the government
in general. Further, although the increase looks impressive at
first glance, it is not however driven by the modernization
needs as much as by manpower needs.
• The surrender of funds under such critical heads and of such
magnitude not only reflects poorly upon budgetary
management and the procurement system, but is also a
cause of concern given the huge gap in national military
capability and the rapid modernization in neighbouring
countries.
• China
which is pursuing an unprecedented level of military
modernization with a double-digit annual increase in defence
expenditure for two decades.

2013-14:
•A mismatch of huge proportions is expected in the coming
years between the allocation to and expectation by the
defence ministry.
• One of the paths that the Ministry of Defence is now
expected to take is to rework its future expenditure based on
the current reality. This would mean a bit of reprioritization of
its main items of expenditure.
2014-16:

• The latest defence allocation comes in the wake of the Modi


government’s all-out push for the ‘Make in India’ initiative,
the ‘heart’ of which, as noted by the Prime Minister himself
at the Aero India 2015, is the defence industry.
• The modest increase would most likely enlarge the already
huge gap existing between the MoD’s resource requirement
and the allocation made in successive budgets.
• The stagnation of capital expenditure, which is crucial for
building new capability, would further delay the on-going
modernization process.
• From both the short- and long-term perspectives, this is a
major cause of concern for sectors like defence, which are
completely dependent on the central government for their
resource requirement.
• The 2015-16 defence budget is also disappointing on account
of the lack of a defence-specific ‘Make in India’ initiative.
• As India is moving towards transformation from a regional
power to a global power, the Defense sector is increasingly
occupying even bigger space in the country’s long term strategic
planning.
• Indiais gaining power it is increasing its purchasing power as
well with several high-end Defense deals either in the pipeline
or being envisioned to strengthen India’s force structure.
• Asan emerging economic superpower, India’s spending on
Defense is on a rapid upward trajectory.
• The main driver appears to be emerging rivalry with China –
especially as Beijing seeks to increase its presence in the
Indian Ocean.
• However, traditional rivalry with Pakistan as well as increasing
internal security issues are also factors.
• indian defense industry\Project\images\india-outline-
map.jpg
• With skilled intensive manufacturing capabilities and a world
class IT base, India has the right ingredients to become a key
link in the global defence supply chain.
• The defence opportunity is a win-win situation for the
country.
• With stronger focus on IT, high tech engineering and research
and design capabilities, India can leverage its IT infrastructure
and manufacturing potential to be one of the key global
sourcing destinations for defence systems and equipment.
Make in India
Rising up to the huge expectation generated since the launch of
‘Make in India’ initiative in September 2014, the Union Budget
has made a number of provisions to incentivise Indian industry,
particularly the manufacturing sector.
Make in India - Defence.mp4

REASONS TO INVEST
• India’s current requirements on defence are catered largely by
imports.
• The opening of the defence sectorfor private sector
participation will help foreign original equipment
manufacturers to enter into strategic partnerships with Indian
companies and leverage the domestic markets as well as aim
at global markets.
• The offset policy introduced in the capital purchase
agreements with foreign defence players. It would also ensure
that an eco-system of suppliers is built domestically.

• Favorable government policy which promotes self-reliance,


indigenisation, technology upgradation and achieving
economies of scale including development of capabilities for
exports in the defence sector.

• The country’s extensive modernization plans with an


increased focus on homeland security and India’s growing
attractiveness as a defence sourcing hub.

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