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Final C

The document provides an overview of currency derivatives and currency futures contracts. It discusses key concepts such as how currency pairs work, factors that affect exchange rates, contract specifications for currency futures, hedging and trading strategies using currency futures including long/short positions, spreads, arbitrage, and risk management measures for currency futures trading. The document is intended to educate readers about currency derivatives markets.

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Nandita Shah
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26 views

Final C

The document provides an overview of currency derivatives and currency futures contracts. It discusses key concepts such as how currency pairs work, factors that affect exchange rates, contract specifications for currency futures, hedging and trading strategies using currency futures including long/short positions, spreads, arbitrage, and risk management measures for currency futures trading. The document is intended to educate readers about currency derivatives markets.

Uploaded by

Nandita Shah
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 39

CURRENCY

DERIVATIVES
Presented By:-

Ruchi Parikh B-3


Karuna Pawar B-4
Foram Shah B-23
Kejal Shah B-26
Nandita Shah B-31
Pratima Tiwari B-51
OVERVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL
MARKETS…
 The timing of trading for each and every country differs.

 Due to the uneven flow of business around the clock,


market participants often will respond less
aggressively.

 24-hour market provides a continous real time market


assessment.

 As foreign exchange markets being opened for


participants from different countries, there is an
enormous amount of cross border foreign exchange
trading.
WHAT IS DERIVATIVES??
Derivative is a product whose value is
derived from the value of one or more
basic variables, called bases(underlying
asset, index, or reference rate), in a
contractual manner. The underlying asset
can be equity foreign exchange,
commodity or any other asset.
MAJOR CURRENCIES OF THE
WORLD
INTRO. TO CURRENCY MARKET
A foreign exchange deal is always done in currency
pairs, for
eg, US Dollar – Indian Rupee contract (USD – INR);
British Pound – INR (GBP – INR)

In a currency pair, the first currency is referred to as the


base currency and the second currency is referred
to as the ‘counter/terms/quote’ currency.
(e.g. 1 USD – INR 48.5000)
(e.g. 1 INR = 0.021 USD).

The exchange rate tells the worth of the base currency


in terms of the quote currency
FACTORS AFFECTING EXCHANGE
RATE…
1. Fundamental Factors :-
• Basic economic policies followed by the government.
• Normally, other things remaining constant the
currencies of the countries that follow sound
economic policies will always be stronger.

2. Technical Factors :-
• Interest rates
• Inflation rate
• Exchange rate policy and Central Bank
interventions
Contd…
3. Political factors:-
• Exchange rates are susceptible to political instability

4. Speculation:-
•Speculative activities by traders worldwide also affect
exchange rate movements
•Eg.,if speculators think that the currency of a country is
over valued and will devalue in near future, they will pull
out their money from that country resulting in
reduced demand
TRADING CURRENCY
FUTURES
 When the underlying is an exchange rate, the
contract is termed a “currency futures contract”.
 It is a contract to exchange one currency for
another currency at a specified date and a
specified rate in the future.
 Therefore, the buyer and the seller lock
themselves into an exchange rate for a specific
value and delivery date.
IRP & PRICING OF CURRENCY
FUTURES
For currencies which are fully convertible, the rate of exchange for
any date other than spot, is a function of spot and the relative
interest rates in each currency.

 The forward rate is the rate which neutralizes the effect of


differences in the interest rates in both the currencies.
Illustration:
Consider the following example from an Indian perspective.
On January 31 of a particular year,
the spot USD/INR rate was 43.50. The US interest rate was 3 % ,
the Indian interest rate was 6 %.
The time to expiration was 90/360 = 0.25.
Contd…
CONTRACT SPECIFICATION
CURRENCY FUTURES CONTRACT
SPECIFICATION
Contd…
STRATAGIES USING CURRENCY
FUTURES
1. Long position in Futures :-

 Long position in a currency futures contract without


any exposure in the cash market is called a speculative
position.

 Long position in futures for speculative purpose means buying


futures
contract in anticipation of strengthening of the exchange rate .

(which actually means buy the base currency (USD) and sell the
terms
currency (INR).
Example
On May 1, 2008, an active trader in the currency futures
market expects INR will depreciate against USD caused by
India’s sharply rising import bill and poor FII equity flows.
On the basis of his view about the
USD/INR movement, he buys 1 USD/INR August contract
at the prevailing rate of Rs. 40.5800.
He decides to hold the contract till expiry and during the
holding period USD/INR futures actually moves as per his
anticipation and the RBI Reference rate increases to
USD/INR 42.46 on May 30, 2008.
He squares off his position and books a profit of Rs. 1880
(42.4600x1000 - 40.5800x1000) on 1 contract of USD/INR
futures
contract.
Contd…
2. Short position in futures
Short position in a currency futures contract without any
exposure in the cash market is called a speculative
transaction.

Short position in futures for speculative purposes means


selling a futures contract in anticipation of decline in the
exchange rate .

(which actually means sell the base currency (USD) and buy
the terms currency (INR)
Example
On August 1, 2008, an active trader in the currency futures
market expects INR will appreciate against USD, caused by
softening of crude oil prices in the international market and
hence improving India’s trade balance.
On the basis of his view about the USD/INR movement, he
sells 1 USD/INR August contract at the prevailing rate of Rs.
42.3600.

On August 6, 2008, USD/INR August futures contract actually


moves as per his anticipation and declines to 41.9975.

He decides to square off his position and earns a profit of Rs.
362.50 (42.3600x1000 – 41.9975x1000) on squaring off the
short position of 1 USD/INR August futures contract.
HEDGING USING CURRENCY
FUTURES
Hedging means taking a position in the future market that is opposite to a
position in the physical market with a view to reduce or limit risk associated with
unpredictable changes in exchange rate.

 Types of FX Hedgers using Futures

1. Long hedge:
• Underlying position: short in the foreign currency
• Hedging position: long in currency futures

2. Short hedge:
• Underlying position: long in the foreign currency
• Hedging position: short in currency futures
CORPORATE HEDGING
Long Futures Hedge Exposed to the Risk of Strengthening
USD
Short Futures Hedge Exposed to the Risk of Weakening
USD
TRADING SPREADS USING
CURRENCY FUTURES
Spread refers to difference in prices of two futures contracts

Spread movement is based on following factors:


• Interest Rate Differentials
• Liquidity in Banking System
• Monetary Policy Decisions (Repo, Reverse Repo and CRR)
• Inflation

 They are of 2 type:-


1. Intra Currency Pair Spread
2. Inter Currency Pair Spread
Example:

 A person is an active trader in the currency futures market. In September


2008, he gets an opportunity for spread trading in currency futures.
 He is of the view that in the current environment of high inflation and high
interest rate the premium will move higher and hence USD will appreciate far
more than the indication in the current quotes, i.e. spread will widen.
 On the basis of his views, he decides to buy December currency futures at
47.00 and at the same time sell October futures contract at 46.80; the spread
between the two contracts is 0.20.

 Let’s say after 30 days the spread widens as per his expectation and now
the October futures contract is trading at 46.90 and December futures
contract is trading at 47.25, the spread now stands at 0.35.

 He decides to square off his position making a gain of Rs. 150 (0.35 – 0.20
= 0.15 x $1000) per contract.
ARBITRAGE
 Arbitrage means locking in a profit by simultaneously entering
into transactions in two or more markets.

Example –

Let’s say the spot rate for USD/INR is quoted @ Rs. 44.325
and one month forward is quoted at 3 paisa premium to spot @
44.3550 while at the same time one month currency futures is
trading @ Rs.
44.4625.

An active arbitrager realizes that there is an arbitrage


opportunity as the one month futures price is more than the one
month forward price.
He implements the arbitrage trade where he;

• Sells in futures @ 44.4625 levels (1 month)


• Buys in forward @ 44.3250 + 3 paisa premium = 44.3550 (1 month)
with the same term period
• On the date of future expiry he buys in forward and delivers the
same on exchange platform

•In a process, he makes a Net Gain of 44.4625-44.3550 = 0.1075


i.e. Approx 11 Paisa arbitrage
• Profit per contract = 107.50 (0.1075x1000)
RISK MANAGEMENT
MEASURES
 Financial soundness of the members.
 Initial margin has been charged.
 Open positions based on mark to market.
 Monitoring the members open positions and
margins on real time basis.
 Provision of trading terminal.
 Alertness of his position for necessary adjustments.
 Settlement guarantees.
MARGIN REQUIREMENT
 Initial margin

 Portfolio based margin

 Real time computation

 Calendar spread margins

 Extreme loss margin


Contd…
 Liquid net worth

 Liquid assets

 Mark to market settlement

 Margin collection and enforcement


Contd…

 Safeguarding client’s money

 Periodic risk evaluation report

 Surveillance

 Unique client code


RBI-SEBI STANDING TECHNICAL
COMMITTEE
 To co-ordinate the regulatory roles
 To suggest eligibility norms
 To suggest eligibility criteria
 To review margin requirements
 To suggest surveillance mechanism
 To consider microstructure issues
TICK SIZE
Tick size refers to the minimum price differential at
which traders can enter bids and offers.
Purchase price: Rs. 52.2500
Price increases by one tick: + Rs.
00.0025
New price: Rs. 52.2525

Purchase price: Rs. 52.2500


Price decreases by one tick: Rs.
00.0025
New price: Rs. 52.2475

The value of one tick on each contract is Rupees 2.50. So if a trader


buys 5 contracts and the price moves up by 4 ticks, he makes Rupees
50.

Step 1: 52.2600 – 52.2500


Step 2: 4 ticks * 5 contracts = 20 points
Step 3: 20 points * Rs. 2.5 per tick = Rs. 50
Conclusion
YOU
ANK
T H

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