Biostatistic For Dummies
Biostatistic For Dummies
Data
Medicine
Biology
What is “Biostatistics”?
Knowledge of
biological process
Biological data
Common Applications
(Medical and otherwise)
Stochastic modeling
Time series
Spatial statistics*
The Application
Of interest Objectives
Cancer incidence rate Suitably adjust
Pesticide exposure cancer incidence
rate
Of concern
Determine if
Age relationship exists
Gender Develop model
Race Explain relationship
Socioeconomic status Estimate cancer rate
Predict cancer rate
The Data
MS State Dept. Health
Central Cancer Registry
(1996 – 1998, by person)
Tumor type
N.S.S. & U.S. Dept. of Age
Commerce National Gender
Race
T.I.S. (1972-2001, by
County of residence
county) Cancer morbidity
Number of acres Crude
incidence/100,000
harvested
Age adjusted
Type of crop incidence/100,000
Why (Bio)statistics?
Statistics Entropy
Science of uncertainty
Model order from
disorder
Chaos
Disorder exists
Large scale rational
explanation
Smaller scale residual x0
uncertainty Deterministic
equation Randomness
(Bio)statistical Data
Independent identically distributed
Inhomogeneous data
Dependent data
Time series
Spatial statistics
Time Series
Identically distributed
Time dependent
Equally spaced Randomness
Objectives in Time Series
Graphical description
Time plots
Correlation plots
Spectral plots
Modeling
Inference
Prediction
Time Series Models
Linear Models Covariance
stationary
Constant mean
Constant variance
Covariance function
(t) ~ i.i.d of distance in time
Zero mean
Finite variance
square summable
Nonlinear Time Series
Amplitude-frequency Biomedical
dependence applications
Jump phenomenon Respiration
Harmonics Lupus-erythematosis
Urinary introgen
Synchronization excretion
Limit cycles Neural science
Human pupillary
system
Some Nonlinear Models
Nonlinear AR Amplitude-
Additive noise dependent
Threshold exponential AR
AR Bilinear
Smoothed TAR AR with conditional
Markov chain driven heteroscedasticity
Fractals Functional
coefficient AR
A Threshold Model
A Threshold Model
Describing Correlation
Autocorrelation
AR: exponential decay
MA: 0 past q
Partial autocorrelation
AR: 0 past p
MA: exponential decay
Cross-correlation
Relationship to spectral density
Spatial Statistics*
Data components Data structures
Spatial locations Geostatistical
S = {s1,s2,…,sn} Lattice
Observable variable Point patterns or
{Z(s1),Z(s2),…,Z(sn)} marked spatial point
s D Rk processes
Objects
Correlation
Assumptions on Z
and D
Biological Applications
Geostatistics
Soil science
Public health
Lattice
Remote sensing
Medical imaging
Point patterns
Tumor growth rate
In vitro cell growth
Spatial Temporal Models
Combine time series with spatial data
Application
Time element
time
Pesticide exposure develop cancer
Spatial element
Proximity to pesticide use