Bonds and Their Valuation: Key Features of Bonds Bond Valuation Measuring Yield Assessing Risk
Bonds and Their Valuation: Key Features of Bonds Bond Valuation Measuring Yield Assessing Risk
Bonds and Their Valuation: Key Features of Bonds Bond Valuation Measuring Yield Assessing Risk
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Bond markets
Primarily traded in the over-the-counter
(OTC) market.
Most bonds are owned by and traded among
large financial institutions.
Full information on bond trades in the OTC
market is not published, but a representative
group of bonds is listed and traded on the
bond division of the NYSE.
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Key Features of a Bond
Par value – face amount of the bond, which
is paid at maturity (assume $1,000).
Coupon interest rate – stated interest rate (generally
fixed) paid by the issuer. Multiply by par value to
get dollar payment of interest.
Maturity date – years until the bond must be repaid.
Issue date – when the bond was issued.
Yield to maturity - rate of return earned on
a bond held until maturity (also called the “promised
yield”).
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Effect of a call provision
Allows issuer to refund the bond issue
if rates decline (helps the issuer, but
hurts the investor).
Borrowers are willing to pay more,
and lenders require more, for callable
bonds.
Most bonds have a deferred call and a
declining call premium.
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What is a sinking fund?
Provision to pay off a loan over its life
rather than all at maturity.
Similar to amortization on a term
loan.
Reduces risk to investor, shortens
average maturity.
But not good for investors if rates
decline after issuance.
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How are sinking funds executed?
Call x% of the issue at par, for sinking
fund purposes.
Likely to be used if rd is below the coupon
rate and the bond sells at a premium.
Buy bonds in the open market.
Likely to be used if rd is above the coupon
rate and the bond sells at a discount.
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The value of financial assets
0 1 2 n
r%
...
Value CF1 CF2 CFn
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Other types (features) of bonds
Convertible bond – may be exchanged for common
stock of the firm, at the holder’s option.
Warrant – long-term option to buy a stated number
of shares of common stock at a specified price.
Putable bond – allows holder to sell the bond back
to the company prior to maturity.
Income bond – pays interest only when interest is
earned by the firm.
Indexed bond – interest rate paid is based upon the
rate of inflation.
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What is the opportunity cost of
debt capital?
The discount rate (ri ) is the
opportunity cost of capital, and is the
rate that could be earned on
alternative investments of equal risk.
ri = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP
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What is the value of a 10-year, 10%
annual coupon bond, if rd = 10%?
0 1 2 n
r
...
VB = ? 100 100 100 + 1,000
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The same company also has 10-year
bonds outstanding with the same risk but
a 13% annual coupon rate
This bond has an annual coupon payment of $130.
Since the risk is the same the bond has the same
yield to maturity as the previous bond (10%). In this
case the bond sells at a premium because the
coupon rate exceeds the yield to maturity.
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The same company also has 10-year
bonds outstanding with the same risk but
a 7% annual coupon rate
This bond has an annual coupon payment of $70.
Since the risk is the same the bond has the same
yield to maturity as the previous bonds (10%). In
this case, the bond sells at a discount because the
coupon rate is less than the yield to maturity.
INPUTS 10 10 70 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -815.66
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Changes in Bond Value over Time
What would happen to the value of these three
bonds is bond if its required rate of return
VB
remained at 10%:
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What is the YTM on a 10-year, 9%
annual coupon, $1,000 par value bond,
selling for $887?
Must find the rd that solves this model.
INT INT M
VB 1
... N
(1 rd ) (1 rd ) (1 rd )N
90 90 1,000
$887 1
... 10
(1 rd ) (1 rd ) (1 rd )10
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Using a financial calculator to
solve for the YTM
Solving for I/YR, the YTM of this bond is
10.91%. This bond sells at a discount,
because YTM > coupon rate.
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Find YTM,
if the bond price is $1,134.20
Solving for I/YR, the YTM of this bond is
7.08%. This bond sells at a premium,
because YTM < coupon rate.
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Definitions
Annual coupon payment
Current yi eld (CY)
Current price
Change in price
Capital gains yield (CGY)
Beginning price
Expected Expected
Expected total return YTM
CY CGY
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An example:
Current and capital gains yield
Find the current yield and the capital
gains yield for a 10-year, 9% annual
coupon bond that sells for $887, and
has a face value of $1,000.
= 0.1015 = 10.15%
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Calculating capital gains yield
YTM = Current yield + Capital gains yield
CGY = YTM – CY
= 10.91% - 10.15%
= 0.76%
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20
YTM (%)
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What is reinvestment rate risk?
Reinvestment rate risk is the concern that rd
will fall, and future CFs will have to be
reinvested at lower rates, hence reducing
income.
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Conclusions about interest rate and
reinvestment rate risk
Short-term AND/OR Long-term AND/OR
High coupon bonds Low coupon bonds
Interest
Low High
rate risk
Reinvestment
High Low
rate risk
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Semiannual bonds
1. Multiply years by 2 : number of periods = 2n.
2. Divide nominal rate by 2 : periodic rate (I/YR) =
rd / 2.
3. Divide annual coupon by 2 : PMT = ann cpn / 2.
INPUTS 2n rd / 2 OK cpn / 2 OK
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT
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What is the value of a 10-year, 10%
semiannual coupon bond, if rd = 13%?
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Would you prefer to buy a 10-year, 10%
annual coupon bond or a 10-year, 10%
semiannual coupon bond, all else equal?
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Yield to call
3.568% represents the periodic
semiannual yield to call.
YTCNOM = rNOM = 3.568% x 2 = 7.137%
is the rate that a broker would quote.
The effective yield to call can be
calculated
YTCEFF = (1.03568)2 – 1 = 7.26%
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If you bought these callable bonds, would
you be more likely to earn the YTM or YTC?
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When is a call more likely to occur?
In general, if a bond sells at a premium,
then (1) coupon > rd, so (2) a call is
more likely.
So, expect to earn:
YTC on premium bonds.
YTM on par & discount bonds.
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Default risk
If an issuer defaults, investors receive
less than the promised return.
Therefore, the expected return on
corporate and municipal bonds is less
than the promised return.
Influenced by the issuer’s financial
strength and the terms of the bond
contract.
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Types of bonds
Mortgage bonds
Debentures
Subordinated debentures
Investment-grade bonds
Junk bonds
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Evaluating default risk:
Bond ratings
Investment Grade Junk Bonds
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Factors affecting default risk and
bond ratings
Financial performance
Debt ratio
TIE ratio
Current ratio
Bond contract provisions
Secured vs. Unsecured debt
Senior vs. subordinated debt
Guarantee and sinking fund provisions
Debt maturity
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Other factors affecting default risk
Earnings stability
Regulatory environment
Potential antitrust or product liabilities
Pension liabilities
Potential labor problems
Accounting policies
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Bankruptcy
Two main chapters of the Federal
Bankruptcy Act:
Chapter 11, Reorganization
Chapter 7, Liquidation
Typically, a company wants Chapter 11,
while creditors may prefer Chapter 7.
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Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
If company can’t meet its obligations …
It files under Chapter 11 to stop creditors from
foreclosing, taking assets, and closing the business
and it has 120 days to file a reorganization plan.
Court appoints a “trustee” to supervise
reorganization.
Management usually stays in control.
Company must demonstrate in its
reorganization plan that it is “worth
more alive than dead”.
If not, judge will order liquidation under Chapter 7.
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Priority of claims in liquidation
1. Secured creditors from sales of
secured assets.
2. Trustee’s costs
3. Wages, subject to limits
4. Taxes
5. Unfunded pension liabilities
6. Unsecured creditors
7. Preferred stock
8. Common stock
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Reorganization
In a liquidation, unsecured creditors
generally get zero. This makes them more
willing to participate in reorganization even
though their claims are greatly scaled back.
Various groups of creditors vote on the
reorganization plan. If both the majority of
the creditors and the judge approve,
company “emerges” from bankruptcy with
lower debts, reduced interest charges, and
a chance for success.
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