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Binomial Distribution

The binomial distribution models experiments with two possible mutually exclusive outcomes, like heads/tails in a coin flip. It requires: 1) A fixed number (n) of independent trials; 2) Two possible outcomes for each trial (success/failure), with a fixed probability (p) of success; 3) The probability of success (p) stays the same across trials. The probability of getting x successes in n trials is calculated using the binomial distribution formula. Examples are given for calculating probabilities of outcomes for binomial experiments.
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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
217 views15 pages

Binomial Distribution

The binomial distribution models experiments with two possible mutually exclusive outcomes, like heads/tails in a coin flip. It requires: 1) A fixed number (n) of independent trials; 2) Two possible outcomes for each trial (success/failure), with a fixed probability (p) of success; 3) The probability of success (p) stays the same across trials. The probability of getting x successes in n trials is calculated using the binomial distribution formula. Examples are given for calculating probabilities of outcomes for binomial experiments.
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The Binomial Distribution is a discrete

probability distribution that models a


situation in which a single trial of some
process or experiment can result in only one
of two mutually exclusive outcomes the trial
(called a Bernoulli trial after the
mathematician Bernoulli).
Example 1
If a coin is tossed there are two mutually exclusive
outcomes, heads or tails.

Example 2
If a person is selected at random from the
population there are two mutually exclusive
outcomes, male or female.
Example
Hit or miss
Cure or no cure
Passed or failed

Success or failure
Strictly speaking, the Binomial Experiment
must possess the following properties:
The experiment consists of n repeated trials.
Each trial results in an outcome that may be
classified as a success or a failure
The probability of success, denoted by p, remains
constant from trial to trial. The probability of failure
q is such that q = 1 p
The repeated trials are independent
If the given 4 conditions were met and if we
let
X = No. of successes

then the probability of observing x successes


out of n trials is given by
If the probabilities of X are distributed in this
way, we write

Read as X follows a binomial distribution


with parameters n and p
Armed with this general formula we can
calculate many different probabilities
Suppose X Bin (10, 0.4), what is P(X=7)?

Suppose Y Bin (8, 0.15), what is P(X<3)?


The probability that a certain kind of
component will survive a given shock test is
. Find the probability that exactly 2 of the
next 4 components tested survive?
The probability that a patient recovers from a
rare blood disease is 0.4. If 15 people are
known to have contracted this disease, what
is the probability that
Exactly 5 survive?
From 3 to 8 survive?
At least 10 survive?
The mean and variance of the binomial
distribution b(x; n, p) are
Find the mean and variance of the binomial
random variable of the previous example, and
then use Chebyshevs theorem to interpret
the interval
Taking the square root of 3.6, we find that
. Hence the required interval is 6+/-
(2)(1.897). Or from 2.206 to 9.794.
Chebyshevs theorem states that the number
of recoveries among 15 patients has a
probability of at least of falling between
2.206 and 9.794 or because the data are
discrete, between 3 and 9 inclusive.

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