Conflict in Mindanao
Conflict in Mindanao
Conflict in Mindanao
Asia DCHS Regional Workshop on Towards Liberating Democracy: Devolution of Power Matters
Organized by International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance
and Mahidol University Research Center on Peace Building
Siam City Hotel, Bangkok, Thailand January 16-17, 2007
Conflict situation in Mindanao
Comunist Party
Government forces Ideology-based
(CPP/NPA)
Muslims,
3,689,668 ,
22%
Others,
12,956,693 ,
78%
LANAO
DEL SUR
BASILAN
SULU
TAWI-TAWI
MAGUINDANAO
MINDANAO
Conflict-affected areas
Provinces Provinces
Muslims are majority Muslims are significant minority
North Cotabato
Sultan Kudarat
Lanao del Sur Lanao del Norte
Zamboanga del Sur
Maguindanao Zamboanga del Norte
Zamboanga Sibugay
Basilan South Cotabato
Davao del Sur
Sulu Davao Oriental
Compostela Valley
Tawi-Tawi Sarangani
Palawan
Nature of the conflict
Sovereignty-based
Bangsamoro claim for separate independent
state of their own
.
Incidence of Poor Families
80
60
40
20
0
1997 2000
Lanao Sur 55.6 55
Maguindanao 41.6 55
Sulu 67.1 63.2
Tawi-Tawi 35 56.5
Basilan 20.9 26.2
Human Development Index, 2003
National Rank Provinces HDI
76 Maguindanao 0.36
68 Lanao del Sur 0.48
77 Sulu 0.45
74 Basilan 0.41
75 Tawi-Tawi 0.36
Note: The HDI is a summary measure of human development. It measures the average achievement
in a country in three basic dimensions of human development, namely: Longevity as measured by
life expectancy at birth; Knowledge, as measured by basic enrollment ratio; Standard of Llving, as
measured by real income per capita (Philippine Human Development Report, 2005, UNDP
Source: Human Development Report 2005 (UNDP)
Experiences Under the Philippines
Peaceful struggle
Armed struggle
Peaceful assertions
When the U.S. planned to grant independence to the
Philippines, Bangsamoro leaders petitioned the U.S.
government that the Bangsamoro territories should not be
included in the would-be Philippine Republic.
50,000 deaths
2 million refugees
535 mosques destroyed
200 schools demolished
35 cities and towns destroyed
Costs of the conflict
Government spent P76 billion from 1970-
1996
In year 2000 all-out war against the MILF,
Government spent no less than P6 billion
Economic output lost directly
$2 billion to $3 billion from 1970-2001
(about P5 billion to P7.5 billion annually)
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
1. Negotiations
Ceasefire holds
Ceasefire mechanism in placed
Implementing guidelines on rehabilitation and
development signed
The issue of ancestral domain is under
discussion
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
1. Negotiations
1.2 GRP-MILF Negotiations (1997-present)
Discussions on the issue of ancestral
domain is divided into four strands
Concept
Territory
Resources
Governance
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
1. Negotiations
1.2 GRP-MILF Negotiations (1997-present)
Consensus on major issues in the four strands
were reached by GRP and MILF
Empasse in the negotiations due to
disagreements on territory and issue on
constitutional process
GRP offers to grant self-determination to the
Bangsamoro people, and to hold referendum in
the future to determine their political status.
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
2. Third party facilitation
2.1 GRP-MNLF Negotiations
Organization of Islamic Conference
OIC Secretariate
OIC Quadripartite Commission/Committee of the
Six/Committee of the Eight
Libya
Indonesia
2.2 GRP-MILF Negotiations
Malaysia
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
2. Third party facilitation
Importance of third party facilitation
Involvement of third party, as experience
in Mindanao peace process demonstrates,
is valuable to bring together conflicting
parties to talk peace. When negotiations
are at a stalemate, third party intervention
is useful to break the deadlock.
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
3. Monitoring (GRP-MILF Negotiations)
Local monitoring team (LMT)
Coordinating Committees on Cessation of Hostilities
(CCCH)
Ad Hoc Joint Action Group (AHJAG) - Coordinates action
against criminal groups
International Monitoring Team (IMT) Monitors
implementation of ceasefire and socio-economic
assistance in conflict-affected communities
Malaysia
Brunei
Libya
Japan (socio-economic)
Approaches to resolve the
conflict
3. Monitoring
600
559
500
400
300
200
100
15
10
0
2002 2003 2004 2005
Effects of the conflict to
democratic practices
Security
Inadequate security
Lack of security becomes incentive for many
to join vigilantes groups (private provision of
security without effective public oversight)
Human rights violations