Measuring Inflation

Measuring Inflation:
The Consumer Price

Index
Price Index
To measure changes in the economy,
we use a tool called a price index.
For GDP, we used a price index to
measure changes: the GDP deflator
For inflation, we can use one of two:
Consumer Price Index
Producer Price Index
THE CONSUMER PRICE

INDEX
The consumer price index (CPI)
is a measure of the overall cost of
the goods and services bought by
a typical consumer.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics
reports the CPI each month.
It is used to monitor changes in the
cost of living over time.
FYI: Whats in the CPIs Basket?

16%
Food and
beverages
17%
Transportation
Education and
communication
6%
41%
Housing
6%
6% 4% 4%
Medical care
Recreation
Apparel
Other goods
and services
Copyright2004 South-Western
THE CONSUMER PRICE

INDEX
When the CPI rises, the typical
family has to spend more dollars to
maintain the same standard of
living.
How the Consumer Price

Index Is Calculated
Fix the Basket: Determine what
prices are most important to the
typical consumer.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
identifies a market basket of goods and
services the typical consumer buys.
The BLS conducts monthly consumer
surveys to set the weights for the
prices of those goods and services.

Index Is Calculated
Find the Prices: Find the prices of
each of the goods and services in
the basket for each point in time.

Index Is Calculated
Compute the Baskets Cost:
Use the data on prices to calculate
the cost of the basket of goods and
services at different times.

Index Is Calculated
Choose a Base Year and
Compute the Index:
Designate one year as the base year,
making it the benchmark against
which other years are compared.
Compute the index by dividing the
price of the basket in one year by the
price in the base year and multiplying
by 100.
Calculating the Consumer Price Index

and the Inflation Rate: An Example




Index Is Calculated
Compute the inflation rate: (
%)
The inflation rate is the percentage
change in the price index from the
preceding period.

Index Is Calculated
The Inflation Rate (%)
The inflation rate is calculated as
follows:
C P I in Y e a r 2 - C P I in Y e a r 1
In fla tio n R a te in Y e a r 2 =
100
C P I in Y e a r 1


Index Is Calculated
and the Inflation Rate: Another Example
Base Year is 2002.

Basket of goods in 2002 costs $1,200.
The same basket in 2004 costs $1,236.
CPI = ($1,236 - $1,200)/$1,200 100 =
103.
Prices increased 3 percent between 2002
and 2004.
Problems in Measuring the

Cost of Living
The CPI is an accurate measure of
the selected goods that make up
the typical bundle, but it is not a
perfect measure of the cost of
living.

Cost of Living
Substitution bias
Introduction of new goods
Unmeasured quality changes

Cost of Living
Substitution Bias
The basket does not change to reflect
consumer reaction to changes in
relative prices.
Consumers substitute toward goods that
have become relatively less expensive.
The index overstates the increase in cost
of living by not considering consumer
substitution.

Cost of Living
Introduction of New Goods
The basket does not reflect the change
in purchasing power brought on by the
introduction of new products.
New products result in greater variety,
which in turn makes each dollar more
valuable.
Consumers need fewer dollars to maintain
any given standard of living.

Cost of Living
Unmeasured Quality Changes
If the quality of a good rises from one year
to the next, the value of a dollar rises, even
if the price of the good stays the same.
If the quality of a good falls from one year to
the next, the value of a dollar falls, even if
the price of the good stays the same.
The BLS tries to adjust the price for
constant quality, but such differences are
hard to measure.

Cost of Living
The substitution bias, introduction of
new goods, and unmeasured quality
changes cause the CPI to overstate the
true cost of living.
The issue is important because many
government programs use the CPI to adjust
for changes in the overall level of prices.
The CPI overstates inflation by about 1
percentage point per year.
Summary
The consumer price index shows the
cost of a basket of goods and services
relative to the cost of the same basket
in the base year.
The index is used to measure the
overall level of prices in the economy.
The percentage change in the CPI
measures the inflation rate.
Summary
The consumer price index is an
imperfect measure of the cost of living
for the following three reasons:
substitution bias, the introduction of
new goods, and unmeasured changes in
quality.
Because of measurement problems, the
CPI overstates annual inflation by about
1 percentage point.

Measuring Inflation

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Measuring Inflation:

The Consumer Price

THE CONSUMER PRICE

FYI: Whats in the CPIs Basket?

THE CONSUMER PRICE

How the Consumer Price

How the Consumer Price

How the Consumer Price

How the Consumer Price

Calculating the Consumer Price Index

Calculating the Consumer Price Index

Calculating the Consumer Price Index

Calculating the Consumer Price Index

How the Consumer Price

How the Consumer Price

Calculating the Consumer Price Index

How the Consumer Price

Base Year is 2002.

Problems in Measuring the

Problems in Measuring the

Problems in Measuring the

Problems in Measuring the

Problems in Measuring the

Problems in Measuring the

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