Ocean Connections: Mapping Potential Pathways Between The Spill in The Gulf of Mexico and The Jersey Shore

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Ocean Connections:

Mapping potential pathways between the spill in the


Gulf of Mexico and the Jersey Shore

Dr. Josh Kohut


Rutgers University
School of Environmental and Biological Sciences
New Jersey Agriculture Experiment Station

Dr. Alan Blumburg


Stevens Institute of Technology
Center for Marine Systems
Oil Spill Status : NOAA Guidance
Accounting for uncertainty
Deep ocean leak
• Extreme pressure (2,170 psi)

• Difficult access (5,000 ft deep)

• Unknown distribution of oil

• Continuous oil supply


On the Impact

"We've never dealt with this kind of deep water, we've never dealt with this amount of
dispersants, we've never dealt with the Gulf," Helm said. "We're in a very early phase of the
science here; there is not a lot of experimental work or practical work upon which to base
the work we're doing."

Roger Helm, chief of the contaminants division of the Fish and Wildlife Service
Accounting for uncertainty
Weather

Named Storms:

2005: 28

2009: 9

2010: Outlook to be released


today at 10:00 am by NOAA
Ocean Connections: Gulf of Mexico to New Jersey
Gulf of Mexico Oceanography
The Loop Current
Gulf being sampled with ships, drifters, and gliders
Spatial information provided by satellites.
Ocean Connections: Gulf of Mexico to Florida Straits

May 8, 2010

May 26, 2010


Typical ocean velocities: 2-3 mph

Estimated Arrival at the Florida Straits: ~ Mid June


Ocean Connections: Florida Straits to Cape Hatteras

Typical ocean velocities: 2-4 mph

Estimated arrival at the Cape


Hatteras: ~ End of June
Ocean Connections: Cape Hatteras to New Jersey
Oil Spill Weathering: Slicks to Tarballs

• During the first few hours of a spill, the oil spreads


into a thin slick.

• Winds and waves stretch and tear the oil patches


into smaller pieces, or tarballs.

• Weathering processes eventually create a tarball that

is hard and crusty on the outside and soft and gooey


on the inside.

• As air and water temperatures increase, tarballs


become more fluid and, therefore, sticky--similar to
an asphalt road warmed by the summer sun.

• The more sand and debris attached to a tarball, the


more difficult it is to break the tarball open.
Regional Ocean Observing System
Surface Trajectories

July, 2009

August, 2009

September, 2009
Ocean Models

HOPS
U. Massachusetts, Dartmouth

NYHOPS ROMS
Stevens Institute of Technology Rutgers University
Modeled Particle Trajectories

Particles released September 1, 2009 to September 15, 2009


Local Predications: New Jersey Observations and Models

Observations focused
on optimizing forecasts
off the NJ Coast

HF Radar Gliders

Water Monitoring and


Standards

NYHOPS
Stevens Institute of Technology

Circulation Model GNOME Oil Trajectories

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