DOE Course - Lecture #1

Design and Analysis of
Engineering Experiments
DOE - I
Introduction
Design of Engineering
Experiments
Introduction
Goals of the course and assumptions

An abbreviated history of DOE
The strategy of experimentation
Some basic principles and
terminology
Guidelines for planning, conducting
and analyzing experiments
3
Assumptions
You have
a first course in statistics

heard of the normal distribution
know about the mean and variance
have done some regression analysis or heard of it
know something about ANOVA or heard of it
Have used Windows or Mac based computers

Have done or will be conducting experiments
Have not heard of factorial designs, fractional
factorial designs, RSM, and DACE.
Some major players in DOE

Sir Ronald A. Fisher - pioneer
invented ANOVA and used of statistics in
experimental design while working at Rothamsted
Agricultural Experiment Station, London, England.
George E. P. Box - married Fishers daughter

still active (86 years old)
developed response surface methodology (1951)
plus many other contributions to statistics
Others
Raymond Myers, J. S. Hunter, W. G. Hunter, Yates,
Montgomery, Finney, etc..
Four eras of DOE
The agricultural origins, 1918 1940s

R. A. Fisher & his co-workers
Profound impact on agricultural science
Factorial designs, ANOVA
The first industrial era, 1951 late 1970s
Box & Wilson, response surfaces
Applications in the chemical & process industries
The second industrial era, late 1970s 1990
Quality improvement initiatives in many companies
Taguchi and robust parameter design, process
robustness
The modern era, beginning circa 1990
Wide use of computer technology in DOE
Expanded use of DOE in Six-Sigma and in business
Use of DOE in computer experiments
6
Course References
D. G. Montgomery (2008): Design and Analysis
of Experiments, 8th Edition, John Wiley and
Sons
one of the best book in the market. Uses DesignExpert software for illustrations. Uses letters for
Factors.
G. E. P. Box, W. G. Hunter, and J. S. Hunter

(2005): Statistics for Experimenters: An
Introduction to Design, Data Analysis, and
Model Building, John Wiley and Sons. 2 nd Edition
Classic text with lots of examples. No computer aided
solutions. Uses numbers for Factors.
Journal of Quality Technology, Technometrics,

American Statistician, discipline specific
journals
7
Introduction: What is meant

by DOE?
Experiment -
a test or a series of tests in which purposeful

changes are made to the input variables or factors
of a system so that we may observe and identify
the reasons for changes in the output response(s).
Question: 5 factors, and 2 response variables
Want to know the effect of each factor on the
response and how the factors may interact with
each other
Want to predict the responses for given levels of
the factors
Want to find the levels of the factors that
optimizes the responses - e.g. maximize Y 1 but
minimize Y2
Time and budget allocated for 30 test runs only.
8
Example
A metallurgical engineer is interested in
studying the effect of two different
hardening processes, oil quenching and
saltwater quenching, on an aluminum
alloy.
The objective of the experimenter (the
engineer)
is
to
determine
which
quenching
solution
produces
the
maximum hardness for this particular
alloy.
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Example (Cont.)
As we consider this simple experiment, a number of
important questions come to mind:
Are these two solutions the only quenching media of
potential interest?
Are there any other factors that might affect hardness that
should be investigated or controlled in this experiment
(such as, the temperature of the quenching media)?
How many coupons of alloy should be tested in each
quenching solution?
How should the test coupons be assigned to the quenching
solutions, and in what order should the data be collected?
What method of data analysis should be used?
What difference in average observed hardness between
the two quenching media will be considered important?
10
Strategy of Experimentation
Strategy of experimentation
Best guess approach (trial and error)
can continue indefinitely
cannot guarantee best solution has been found
One-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) approach

inefficient (requires many test runs)
fails to consider any possible interaction between
factors
Factorial approach (invented in the 1920s)

Factors varied together (In a factorial experiment, all
possible combinations of factor levels are tested)
Correct, modern, and most efficient approach
Can determine how factors interact
Used extensively in industrial R and D, and for
process improvement.
11
Statistical Design of Experiments

All experiments should be designed
experiments
Unfortunately, some experiments are
poorly designed - valuable resources are
used ineffectively and results
inconclusive
Statistically designed experiments permit
efficiency and economy, and the use of
statistical methods in examining the data
result in scientific objectivity when
drawing conclusions.
12
DOE is a methodology for systematically

applying statistics to experimentation.
DOE lets experimenters develop a
mathematical model that predicts how
input variables interact to create output
variables or responses in a process or
system.
DOE can be used for a wide range of
experiments for various purposes including
nearly all fields of engineering and even in
business marketing.
Use of statistics is very important in DOE
and the basics are covered in a first course
in an engineering program.
13
In general, by using DOE, we can:

Learn about the process we are
investigating
Screen important variables
Build a mathematical model
Obtain prediction equations
Optimize the response (if required)
Statistical significance is tested using
ANOVA, and the prediction model is
obtained using regression analysis.
14
Applications of DOE in Engineering

Design
Experiments are conducted in the field of
engineering to:
evaluate and compare basic design
configurations
evaluate different materials
select design parameters so that the design
will work well under a wide variety of field
conditions (robust design)
determine key design parameters that
impact performance
15
INPUTS
(Factors)
X variables
OUTPUTS
(Responses)
Y variables
People
Materials
PROCESS:
Equipment
responses related
to performing a
service
Policies
responses related
to producing a
produce
Procedures
A Blending of
Inputs which
Generates
Corresponding
Outputs
responses related
to completing a task
Methods
Environment
Illustration of a Process
16
INPUTS
(Factors)
X variables
OUTPUTS
(Responses)
Y variables
Type of
cement
compressive
strength
Percent water
PROCESS:
Type of
Additives
Percent
Additives
Mixing Time
modulus of elasticity
Discovering
Optimal
Concrete
Mixture
modulus of rupture
Poisson's ratio
Curing
Conditions
% Plasticizer
Optimum Concrete Mixture
17
INPUTS
(Factors)
X variables
OUTPUTS
(Responses)
Y variables
Type of Raw
Material
Mold
Temperature
Holding
Pressure
PROCESS:
% shrinkage from
mold size
Holding Time
Gate Size
thickness of molded
part
Manufacturing
Injection
Molded Parts
number of defective
parts
Screw Speed
Moisture
Content
Manufacturing Injection Molded

Parts
18
INPUTS
(Factors)
X variables
OUTPUTS
(Responses)
Y variables
Brand:
Cheap vs Costly
PROCESS:
Taste:
Scale of 1 to 10
Time:
4 min vs 6 min
Power:
75% or 100%
Height:
On bottom or raised
Making the
Best
Microwave
popcorn
Bullets:
Grams of unpopped
corns
Making microwave popcorn

19
Examples of experiments from daily

life
Photography
Factors: speed of film, lighting, shutter speed

Response: quality of slides made close up with flash
attachment
Boiling water
Factors: Pan type, burner size, cover
Response: Time to boil water
Mailing
Factors: stamp, area code, time of day when letter
mailed
Response: Number of days required for letter to be
delivered
20
More examples
Cooking
Factors: amount of cooking wine, oyster sauce,
sesame oil
Response: Taste of stewed chicken
Basketball
Factors: Distance from basket, type of shot, location
on floor
Response: Number of shots made (out of 10) with
basketball
Skiing
Factors: Ski type, temperature, type of wax
Response: Time to go down ski slope
21
Basic Principles
Statistical design of experiments
(DOE)
the process of planning experiments
so that appropriate data can be
analyzed by statistical methods that
results in valid, objective, and
meaningful conclusions from the data
involves two aspects: design and
statistical analysis
22
Three basic principles of Statistical DOE

Replication
allows an estimate of experimental error
allows for a more precise estimate of the
sample mean value
Randomization
cornerstone of all statistical methods
average out effects of extraneous factors
reduce bias and systematic errors
Blocking
increases precision of experiment
factor out variable not studied
23
Guidelines for Designing

Experiments
Recognition of and statement of the problem

need to develop all ideas about the objectives of
the experiment - get input from everybody - use
team approach.
Choice of factors, levels, ranges, and response

variables.
Need to use engineering judgment or prior test
results.
Choice of experimental design

sample size, replicates, run order, randomization,
software to use, design of data collection forms.
24
Performing the experiment

vital to monitor the process carefully. Easy to
underestimate logistical and planning aspects
in a complex R and D environment.
Statistical analysis of data

provides objective conclusions - use simple
graphics whenever possible.
Conclusion and recommendations

follow-up test runs and confirmation testing to
validate the conclusions from the experiment.
Do we need to add or drop factors, change

ranges, levels, new responses, etc.. ???
25
Factorial Design
26
27

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Design and Analysis of

Goals of the course and assumptions

a first course in statistics

Have used Windows or Mac based computers

Some major players in DOE

George E. P. Box - married Fishers daughter

Four eras of DOE

The agricultural origins, 1918 1940s

G. E. P. Box, W. G. Hunter, and J. S. Hunter

Journal of Quality Technology, Technometrics,

Introduction: What is meant

a test or a series of tests in which purposeful

One-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) approach

Factorial approach (invented in the 1920s)

Statistical Design of Experiments

DOE is a methodology for systematically

In general, by using DOE, we can:

Applications of DOE in Engineering

Optimum Concrete Mixture

Manufacturing Injection Molded

Making microwave popcorn

Examples of experiments from daily

Factors: speed of film, lighting, shutter speed

Three basic principles of Statistical DOE

Guidelines for Designing

Recognition of and statement of the problem

Choice of factors, levels, ranges, and response

Choice of experimental design

Performing the experiment

Statistical analysis of data

Conclusion and recommendations

Do we need to add or drop factors, change

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