Research Methodology For ISM
Research Methodology For ISM
Research Methodology For ISM
By
B. CHANDRA
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES
ISM, DHANBAD
Research Methodology
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
BUILD DATA
WAREHOUSE
DATA MINING
Look for patterns of
Purchase, Behaviour,
Attitudes by analysing
Data from Warehouse
SEGMENTATION RESEARCH
PRODUCT RESEARCH
Test concept
Package tests
Product modification
Test marketing
PROMOTIONAL RESEARCH
0.00%
APR
Copy decisions
Media decisions
Claim substantiation
PRICING RESEARCH
Pricing policies
$ALE
DISTRIBUTION RESEARCH
Determine
Types of distribution
Attitudes of channel members
Intensity of wholesale & resale coverage
Channel margins
Location of retail and wholesale outlets
Personnel :
Manpower Planning
Performance appraisal systems
Conflict management
Design of incentive plans
Leadership styles.
Training methods
Change Management.
Job satisfaction. Etc.
Finance :
Financial performance .
Cost analysis model
Portfolio management.
Break- even analysis.
Working Capital management model.
Economic growth models. Etc.
Production :
Forecasting
Inventory control
Master production scheduling.
Quality control
Work design.
Maintenance management.
Method study.
Flow and job shop scheduling etc.
Types of Research
Basic Research (Fundamental/Pure
research)
Applied Research
Problem identification research
Problem solving research
Problem
Identification Research
Market Potential Research
Market Share Research
Market Characteristics Research
Sales Analysis Research
Forecasting Research
Business Trends Research
Problem Solving
Research
Segmentation Research
Product Research
Promotion Research
Distribution Research
Job satisfaction research
Dichotomous
Discrete
Continuous
Types of Data
Primary Data
Secondary Data
Collection purpose For the problems at hand not at hand
Collection process very involved
rapid and easy
Collection cost High
Low
Collection Time Long
Short
Quantitative Data
A) Descriptive
Survey Data
B) Causal
Observational
And other data
Experimental Data
Internal data
Consists of information that a business collects through its own systems
and processes.
It can consist of both quantitative and qualitative information and is
typically data type that provides the greatest insights for a business.
RESEARCH PROCESS
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
)
)
1)
2)
3)
4)
6)
)
)
Exploratory Research
Initial understanding of Possible
Causes of the Problem
Research Questions:
Research Objectives
RESEARCH PROPOSAL
Once the research gap is established by defining the problem,
the research proposal is made. Research proposal is a written
document which suggests the projects purpose and the
proposed methods of investigation. Time and budgets,
responsibilities and obligations are spelled out.
DEVELOPMENT OF AN APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM
Components of the approach :
1. Objective /Theoretical Framework.
2. Analytical Model .
a. Verbal Model
b. Graphical Model
c. Mathematical Model
3. Research Questions (RQ)
4. Hypotheses.
5. Specification of Information needed.
Objective/theoretical Framework : Research should be based
on objective evidence and supported by theory. Objective
evidence is gathered by compiling relevant findings from
secondary sources. Theory is a conceptual scheme based on
foundational statements called axiom, which are assumed to
be true. The researcher should rely on theory to determine
Graphical Model
Patronage
Preference
Understanding : Evaluation
Awareness
Mathematical model
n
y = a0 +
ai +xi
i=1
Where, y = Degree of preference
a0 , ai = Model parameters to be examined statistically.
xi = Store patronage factors that constitute the choice
criteria.
RESEARCH DESIGN
Conclusive
Objective:
Characteristics:
Findings
/Results:
Tentative.
Conclusive.
Outcome:
Descriptive
Causal
Objective:
Discovery of ideas
and insights
Determine cause
and effect
relationships
Characteristics:
Flexible, versatile
Manipulation of one
or more independent
variables
Preplanned and
structured design
Control of other
mediating variables
Expert surveys
Pilot surveys
Secondary data
Qualitative research
Secondary data
Surveys
Panels
Observation and other
data
Methods:
Experiments
Cross-sectional Designs
Involve the collection of information from any given
sample of population elements only once.
In single cross-sectional designs, there is only one
sample of respondents and information is obtained
from this sample only once.
In multiple cross-sectional designs, there are two
or more samples of respondents, and information from
each sample is obtained only once. Often, information
from different samples is obtained at different times.
Cohort analysis consists of a series of surveys
conducted at appropriate time intervals, where the
cohort serves as the basic unit of analysis. A cohort is
a group of respondents who experience the same event
within the same time interval.
cohort
cohort
cohort
cohort
62.6
60.7
46.6
40.8
28.8
C1
prior to 1900
1901-10
1911-20
1921-30
73.2
76.0
67.7
58.6
50.0
C2
C5:
C6:
C7:
C8:
81.0
75.8
71.4
67.8
51.9
C3
cohort
cohort
cohort
cohort
born
born
born
born
C8
C7
C6
C5
C4
1931-40
1940-49
1950-59
1960-69
Longitudinal Designs
A fixed sample (or samples) of population
elements is measured repeatedly on the
same variables
A longitudinal design differs from a crosssectional design in that the sample or
samples remain the same over time
Evaluatio
n Criteria
Cross-Sectional Longitudinal
Design
Design
Detecting Change
+
Large amount of data
+
collection
+
Accuracy
+
Representative Sampling
+
Response bias
Note: A + indicates a relative advantage over the
other design, whereas a - indicates a relative
disadvantage.
Time Period
Period 1
Survey
Brand A
Brand B
Brand C
Total
200
300
500
1000
Period 2
Survey
200
300
500
1000
50
100
150
300
50
175
275
500
200
300
500
1000
Secondary Data
Internal
Ready to
Use
Requires
Further
Processing
External
Published
Materials
Computerized
Databases
Syndicated
Services
Direct (Non
disguised)
Focus Groups
Association
Techniques
Indirect
(Disguised)
Projective
Techniques
Depth Interviews
Completion
Techniques
Construction
Techniques
Expressive
Techniques
8-12
Group Composition
Homogeneous, respondents,
prescreened
Physical Setting
Time Duration
1-3 hours
Recording
Moderator
Observational, interpersonal, and
communication skills of the moderator
Word Association
In word association, respondents are presented
with a list of words, one at a time and asked to
respond to each with the first word that comes to
mind. The words of interest, called test words,
are interspersed throughout the list which also
contains some neutral, or filler words to disguise
the purpose of the study. Responses are analyzed
by calculating:
(1) the frequency with which any word is given
as a response;
(2) the amount of time that elapses before a
response is given; and
(3) the number of respondents who do not
respond at all to a test word within a reasonable
Word Association
EXAMPLE
STIMULUS
washday
fresh
pure
scrub
filth
bubbles
water
family
towels
MRS. M
MRS.
everyday
and sweet
air
don't; husband does
this neighborhood
bath
C
ironing
clean
soiled
clean
dirt
soap and
squabbles
dirty
children
wash
Completion Techniques
In Sentence completion, respondents are given
incomplete sentences and asked to complete them.
Generally, they are asked to use the first word or phrase
that comes to mind.
A
person
who
shops
______________________
at
Big
Bazaar
is
Construction Techniques
With a picture response, the respondents are
asked to describe a series of pictures of ordinary
as well as unusual events. The respondent's
interpretation of the pictures gives indications of
that individual's personality.
Expressive Techniques
In expressive techniques, respondents are
presented with a verbal or visual situation and
asked to relate the feelings and attitudes of other
people to the situation.
Role playing Respondents are asked to play the
role or assume the behavior of someone else.
Third-person technique
The respondent is
presented with a verbal or visual situation and the
respondent is asked to relate the beliefs and
attitudes of a third person rather than directly
expressing personal beliefs and attitudes. This
third person may be a friend, neighbor, colleague,
or a typical person.
Secondary Data
Primary Data
Qualitative Data
Descriptive
Survey
Data
Observational
and Other
Quantitative Data
Causal
Experiment
al Data
Telephone
Personal
In-Home
Traditional
Telephone
Mall
Intercept
ComputerAssisted
Telephone
Interviewing
ComputerAssisted Personal
Interviewing
Mail
Interview
Electronic
Mail
Panel
Internet
Diversity of Questions
The diversity of questions that can be asked in a survey
depends upon the degree of interaction the respondent has
with the interviewer and the questionnaire, as well as the
ability to actually see the questions.
Response Rate
Survey response rate is broadly defined as the
percentage of the total attempted interviews that
are completed.
Perceived Anonymity
Perceived anonymity refers to the respondents'
perceptions that their identities will not be
discerned by the interviewer or the researcher.
Sample Control
Sample control is the ability of the survey mode to reach the
units specified in the sample effectively and efficiently.
Control of the Data Collection Environment
The degree of control a researcher has over the environment in
which the respondent answers the questionnaire.
Quantity of Data
The ability to collect large amounts of data.
Mall-
In-Home Intercept
Interviews Interviews CAPI
Flexibilityofdata
collection
Diversityofquestions
Moderate
tohigh
Low
High
High
High
High
Useofphysicalstimuli
Low
High
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
tohigh
Potentially
high
Moderate
tohigh
Low
High
High
Perceivedanonymityof
therespondent
Socialdesirability
Moderate
Low
Moderate
High
High
Obtainingsensitive
information
Potentialforinterviewer
bias
Speed
High
Low
Low
Moderate
High
High
High
Moderate
Cost
Moderate
High
Samplecontrol
Controlofdatacollection
environment
Controloffieldforce
Quantityofdata
Responserate
Phone/
CATI
Moderate
tohigh
Moderate
Mail
Panels
Internet
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
tohigh
High
Moderate Moderate Moderate
Moderate
tohigh
Moderate
tohigh
Moderate
High
Moderate Moderate
High
Mail
Surveys
High
Moderate Moderate
Low
Low
Moderate
tohigh
Low
Low
Low
Low
Lowto
moderate
Low
Moderate Moderate
High
High
High
High
Moderate Moderate Moderate
High
Moderate Moderate
High
High
Low
Moderate
Low
Very
Low
Low
Low
High
High
Moderate
High
Moderate
toHigh
Lowto
moderate
Low
Moderate Moderate
tohigh
tohigh
Moderate Moderate
tohigh
tohigh
Low
High
None
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Low
Moderate Moderate
toHigh
None
None
High
Lowto
moderate
Lowto
moderate
High
Low
None
Very
high
Low
For
structured
observation,
the
researcher specifies in detail what is to be
observed and how the measurements are
to be recorded, e.g., an auditor performing
inventory analysis in a store.
In
unstructured
observation,
the
observer monitors all aspects of the
phenomenon that seem relevant to the
problem at hand, e.g., observing children
playing with new toys.
A Classification of Observation
Methods
Observation Methods
Personal
Observation
Mechanical
Observation
Audit
Content
Analysis
Trace
Analysis
Observation Methods
Personal Observation
A
researcher
observes
actual
behavior as it occurs.
The observer does not attempt to
manipulate the phenomenon being
observed but merely records what
takes place.
For example, a researcher might
record traffic counts and observe
traffic flows in a department store.
Observation Methods
Mechanical Observation
Do not require respondents' direct participation.
the AC Nielsen audimeter
turnstiles that record the number of people entering or
leaving a building.
On-site cameras (still, motion picture, or video)
Optical scanners in supermarkets
Do require respondent involvement.
eye-tracking monitors
pupilometers
psychogalvanometers
voice pitch analyzers
devices measuring response latency
Observation Methods
Audit
The researcher collects data by examining
physical records or performing inventory
analysis.
Data are collected personally by the
researcher.
The data are based upon counts, usually of
physical objects.
Retail and wholesale audits conducted by
marketing research suppliers.
Observation Methods
Content Analysis
The objective, systematic, and quantitative
description of the manifest content of a
communication.
The unit of analysis may be words, characters
(individuals or objects), themes (propositions),
space and time measures (length or duration of
the message), or topics (subject of the
message).
Analytical categories for classifying the units
are developed and the communication is broken
down according to prescribed rules.
Observation Methods
Trace Analysis
Data collection is based on physical traces, or evidence, of past
behavior.
Personal
Mechanical
Audit
Content Trace
Observation Observation
Analysis Analysis Analysis
Degree of structure
Low Low to high
High High Medium
Degree of disguise
Medium Low to high
Low High High
Ability to observe
High Low to high
High Medium Low
in natural setting
Observation bias
High Low
Low Medium Medium
Analysis Bias
High Low to
Low Low Medium
Medium
General remarks
Most
Can be
Expensive Limited to Method of
flexible intrusive
commulast resort
nications
Concept of Causality
A statement such as "X causes Y " will have the following
meaning to an ordinary person and to a scientist.
____________________________________________________
Ordinary Meaning
Scientific Meaning
____________________________________________________
X is the only cause of Y.
X is only one of a number of
possible causes of Y.
X must always lead to Y
The occurrence of X makes the
(X is a deterministic
occurrence of Y more probable
cause of Y).
(X is a probabilistic cause of Y).
It is possible to prove
We can never prove that X is a
that X is a cause of Y.
cause of Y. At best, we can
infer that X is a cause of Y.
____________________________________________________
Experimental Design
An experimental design is a set of
procedures specifying
the test units and how these units are to be
divided into homogeneous subsamples,
what independent variables or treatments
are to be manipulated,
what dependent variables are to be
measured, and
how the extraneous variables are to be
controlled.
Validity in Experimentation
Internal validity refers to whether the
manipulation of the independent variables
or treatments actually caused the
observed effects on the dependent
variables. Control of extraneous variables
is a necessary condition for establishing
internal validity.
External validity refers to whether the
cause-and-effect relationships found in the
experiment can be generalized. To what
populations, settings, times, independent
variables and dependent variables can the
results be projected?
Extraneous Variables
History refers to specific events that are external
to the experiment but occur at the same time as
the experiment.
Maturation (MA) refers to changes in the test
units themselves that occur with the passage of
time.
Testing effects are caused by the process of
experimentation. Typically, these are the effects
on the experiment of taking a measure on the
dependent variable before and after the
presentation of the treatment.
The main testing effect (MT) occurs when a
prior observation affects a latter observation.
Extraneous Variables
In the interactive testing effect (IT), a prior
measurement affects the test unit's response to
the independent variable.
Instrumentation (I) refers to changes in the
measuring instrument, in the observers or in the
scores themselves.
Statistical regression effects (SR) occur when
test units with extreme scores move closer to the
average score during the course of the
experiment.
Selection bias (SB) refers to the improper
assignment of test units to treatment conditions.
Mortality (MO) refers to the loss of test units
while the experiment is in progress.
Controlling Extraneous
Variables
Randomization refers to the random assignment
of test units to experimental groups by using
random numbers. Treatment conditions are also
randomly assigned to experimental groups.
Matching involves comparing test units on a set of
key background variables before assigning them to
the treatment conditions.
Statistical control involves measuring the
extraneous variables and adjusting for their effects
through statistical analysis.
Design control involves the use of experiments
designed to control specific extraneous variables.
A Classification of Experimental
Designs
Experimental Designs
Pre-experimental
One-Shot
Case Study
One Group
PretestPosttest
Static Group
True
Experiment
al
Pretest-Posttest
Control Group
Quasi
Experimental
Statistical
Time Series
Randomize
d Blocks
Posttest: Only
Control Group
Multiple
Time Series
Latin
Square
Solomon FourGroup
Factorial
Design
Statistical Designs
Statistical designs consist of a series of basic
experiments that allow for statistical control and
analysis of external variables and offer the following
advantages:
The effects of more than one independent variable
can be measured.
Specific extraneous variables can be statistically
controlled.
Economical designs can be formulated when each
test unit is measured more than once.
The most common statistical designs are the
randomized block design, the Latin square design, and
the factorial design.
Heavy
A
B
C
Medium
A
B
C
Low
A
B
C
None
A
B
C
Block
Commercial
B
Store
A
C
A
Low
C
B
C
A
B
Factorial Design
Is used to measure the effects of two or
more independent variables at various
levels.
A
factorial
design
may
also
be
conceptualized as a table.
In a two-factor design, each level of one
variable represents a row and each level of
another variable represents a column.
Factorial Design
Amount of Humor
Amount of Store
No
Medium
Information
Humor
Humor
Low
Medium
High
A
D
G
B
E
C
F
High
Humor
Define the
Population
Determine the Sampling
Frame
Select Sampling Technique(s)
Determine the Sample Size
Execute the Sampling Process
Classification of Sampling
Techniques
Sampling
Techniques
Probability
Sampling
Techniques
Non probability
Sampling
Techniques
Convenience Judgmental
Sampling
Sampling
Simple
Random
Sampling
Quota
Sampling
Systematic
Sampling
Stratified
Sampling
Snowball
Sampling
Convenience Sampling
Convenience sampling attempts to obtain a
sample of convenient elements.
Often,
respondents are selected because they happen to
be in the right place at the right time.
use of students, and members of social
organizations
mall intercept interviews without qualifying the
respondents
department stores using charge account lists
people on the street interviews
Judgmental Sampling
Judgmental sampling is a form of convenience
sampling in which the population elements are
selected based on the judgment of the
researcher.
test markets
purchase engineers selected in industrial
marketing research
expert witnesses used in court
Quota Sampling
Quota sampling may be viewed as two-stage restricted
judgmental sampling.
The first stage consists of developing control categories, or
quotas, of population elements. List control characteristics
and determine the distribution of control characteristics in
the target population.
In the second stage, sample elements are selected based on
convenience or judgment.
Population
composition
Sample
composition
Control
Characteristic Percentage
Percentage
Sex
Male
48
48
480
Female
52
52
520
____
____
____
100
100
1000
Number
Snowball Sampling
In snowball sampling, an initial group of
respondents is selected, usually at random.
After being interviewed, these respondents are
asked to identify others who belong to the
target population of interest.
Subsequent respondents are selected based on
the referrals.
Systematic Sampling
Stratified Sampling
Cluster Sampling
The target population is first divided into mutually exclusive and
collectively exhaustive subpopulations, or clusters.
Then a random sample of clusters is selected, based on a
probability sampling technique such as SRS.
For each selected cluster, either all the elements are included in
the sample (one-stage) or a sample of elements is drawn
probabilistically (two-stage).
Elements within a cluster should be as heterogeneous as
possible, but clusters themselves should be as homogeneous as
possible.
Ideally, each cluster should be a small-scale
representation of the population.
In probability proportionate to size sampling, the clusters
are sampled with probability proportional to size. In the second
stage, the probability of selecting a sampling unit in a selected
cluster varies inversely with the size of the cluster.
Strengths
Weaknesses
NonprobabilitySampling
Conveniencesampling
Leastexpensive,least
timeconsuming,most
convenient
Lowcost,convenient,
nottimeconsuming
Samplecanbecontrolled
forcertaincharacteristics
Canestimaterare
characteristics
Selectionbias,samplenot
representative,notrecommendedfor
descriptiveorcausalresearch
Doesnotallowgeneralization,
subjective
Selectionbias,noassuranceof
Representativeness
Timeconsuming
Easilyunderstood,
resultsprojectable
Difficulttoconstructsampling
frame,expensive,lowerprecision,
noassuranceofrepresentativeness.
Candecreaserepresentativeness
Judgmentalsampling
Quotasampling
Snowballsampling
Probabilitysampling
Simplerandomsampling
(SRS)
Systematicsampling
Stratifiedsampling
Clustersampling
Canincrease
representativeness,
easiertoimplementthan
SRS,samplingframenot
necessary
Includeallimportant
subpopulations,
precision
Easytoimplement,cost
effective
Difficulttoselectrelevant
stratificationvariables,notfeasibleto
stratifyonmanyvariables,expensive
Imprecise,difficulttocomputeand
interpretresults