Budget Analysis

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Budget Analysis

Hyundai

Economic Survey 2015


FISCAL DEFICIT

GROWTH

REFORMS

INFLATION

CURRENT
ACCOUNT
DEFICIT

India must meet its medium-term fiscal deficit target of 3 percent of GDP
Govt should ensure expenditure control to reduce fiscal deficit

2015/16 GDP growth seen at over 8 pct y/y


Total stalled projects seen at about 7 percent of GDP, mostly in private sector
Economic growth at market prices seen between 8.1 - 8.5 percent in 2015/16

There is scope for big bang reforms now


India can increase public investments and still hit its borrowing targets

Lower inflation opens up space for more monetary policy easing


Govt and central bank need to conclude monetary framework pact to consolidate gains in inflation control
Consumer inflation in 2015/16 likely to range between 5-5.5 percent

Estimated at about 1.3 percent of GDP in 2014/15 and less than 1.0 percent of GDP in 2015/16

Peoples Wish list

Rationalization of taxes is one key request. Implementation and speedy


action on GST
- Hyundai India
lowering of interest rates, long term stability in excise duty structure and
introduction of uniform tax structure
- Honda cars India
The consumer also has lot of favourable expectations from the Union
Budget in terms of Direct Taxes which will give extra money in the hands of
consumer and help revive the consumer sentiments.
Rollback in excise duty, implementation of GST and introduction of a
scrappage scheme
-Renault India

UNION BUDGET 2015-16


Salient Features of Budget
Focus on governance
Financial inclusion and conquering inflation

Ordinance for land acquisition, FDI in insurance, reform in coal sector


FDI liberalisation in defence and construction

Hassle-free business environment through non-adversarial tax regime


Focus on curbing black money
Merger of the Forwards Markets Commission with SEBI
Decision on capital account transactions centralised with FM
Revitalise PPP infrastructure

"The credibility of Indian economy has been re-established. The world is predicting
it is India's time to fly. We have turned around the economy. It is quite obvious that
incremental change is not going to take us anywhere. We have to think in terms of
a quantum jump.

UNION BUDGET 2015-16

5 Pros of the budget on the Automobile


Industry

GST implementation is expected to be a major boost for the automotive industry: Attract
good investment in the sector and also create demand.

Custom duty on import of completely built unit of commercial vehicles increased to 40% from
10%: This will help the local manufacturers by stemming imports.

Corporate Taxation cut to start from next year, trimmed to 25% from 30% for next year:
Companies will have more money to invest.

Rs 79,000 crore investment in infrastructure including construction of one lakh kilometres of


new road will give boost.

Investments and reform in agriculture will help farmers make more money thus boosting
demand for automobile products in the rural market. Specially this will help the two-wheeler
industry.

5 Cons of the budget on the Automobile


Industry

Only Rs 75 crore allocated for electric vehicle manufacturing that is seen as a disappointment
as the industry was expecting much more in this direction.

There was no announcement for the automotive sector in specific.

Nothing was offered to give boost to R& D in the automotive sector.

Increase in service tax cess on the petroleum products will also hurt the industry.

No announcement to correct the inverted tax structure. Some of the raw material attract
more duty than the finished goods such as rubber, ally etc. This puts Indian manufacturer in a
disadvantageous situation.

Automobile Sector

Allocation of INR 750 million to promote manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs).


Concessional customs and excise duties on hybrid and EV parts extended until
March 2016. Given the limited resources of crude oil and the need to diversify fuel
options, this move is commendable. Companies like M&M would benefit from this
measure. However, the impact would not be significant now, as sales of electric
vehicles are very low.
Increase in customs duty on fully-built commercial vehicles (CVs) from 10% to 20%.
Such significant increase in customs duty would give domestic players like Tata
Motors and Ashok Leyland an advantage over their foreign counterparts. However,
the impact would not be significant, as fully built commercial vehicles imports
Farm credit target increased by INR 500 billion to INR 8.5 trillion. Higher allocation
to rural financing agencies such as NABARD and RRBs, and to initiatives such as
MGNREGA, micro-irrigation watershed programs, etc. Such move is likely to be
favorable for tractor sales and sales of other agricultural vehicles. With more credit
at hand and potential work under various schemes, demand for tractors from rural
markets expected to go up considerably.

The impact on automobiles will be overall neutral because of the budget.


The budget has waived excise duty on electric and hybrid vehicles to
encourage auto companies to invest more in green and environment
friendly cars. It also tilts somewhat in favor of domestic players in the
commercial vehicles segment

Tax on royalty payments to foreign companies


Tax on royalty payments to foreign companies reduced
from 25% to 10%. The move seemingly aimed at
promoting manufacturing within national boundaries
under Make in India campaign.
Niche Segment- Ambulance manufacturing:
Reduction in excise duty on ambulance chassis from 24%
to 12.5%. However, the move would not have significant
impact on overall CV sales, as Ambulances form a small
portion of this large segment
Financing of trade receivables of MSMEs
Creation of an electronic platform for facilitating financing
of trade receivables of MSMEs will help improve liquidity
of auto component manufacturers. Move supposed to be
aligned towards providing ease of doing business.

Hyundai Quotes

Rakesh Srivastava, Sr. VP, Sales & Marketing,HyundaiMotor


India Ltd
We welcome Initiatives on ease of doing business, Enhancing the
global competitiveness of the Indian industry, Skill development for
creating employment in rural sectors mom, rationalization of taxes for
GST rollout & enhancing social security. will be a marginal increase of
basic duties. The service tax increase is not expected to have much
impact on manufacturing, since there is a facility to offset it.


Thanks

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