Water Environmental Model
Water Environmental Model
Water Environmental Mo
del and Inverse Problem
1 Methods field
observation
Field work at Lake Tai 2003
Lake Tai or Lake Taihu is a large freshwater lake in the Yangtze Delta plain
near Shanghai, China. The lake belongs to Jiangsu province With an area of
2,250 square kilometers and an average depth of 2 meters (6.6 ft), it is the
third-largest freshwater lake in China, after Poyang and Dongting. In
Taihu recent years, Lake Tai has been plagued by pollution as a result of rapid
October 2007
economic growth in the surrounding region.
Location
Lake
Taihu
Ya
ng
t
Taihu
ze
Ri
ve
r
Taihu Sensors
Vaisala
WXT 510
Air T,
WD, WS,
Rain, AP
ZebraTech
DO
SeaPoint
Turbidity
and
Chlorophyll
a
Apogee
Solar
Radiation
Instrument
Northwest
pH
iQuest
Datalogger
and GPRS
NexSens
Temp
Chain
10
Lake high
watertech
quality
of monitoring!
field observation
1 Real time monitoring 2 Remote Sensor
11
Remote Sensing
12
2 Experimentation
13
Sediment flume
Sediment flume
Phytoplankton growth
14
3 Modeling
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What is a model?
- All models are wrong, but some are us
eful.
George Edward Pelham Box FRS
(born 18 October 1919) is a
statistician, who has made
important contributions in the areas
of quality control, time-series
analysis, design of experiments,
and Bayesian inference. Box
famously wrote that "essentially, all
models are wrong, but some are
useful" in his book on response
surface methodology with
Norman R. Draper.
17
Understanding Models
What is a model?
A model is a simplified r
Equilibrium Yield
Fishing Effort
Developed by: Hagley
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Conceptual Models
What are they?
Qualitative, usually based on graphs
Represent important system:
components
processes
linkages
Interactions
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Conceptual Models
When should they be used?
As an initial step
For hypothesis testing
For mathematical model development
As a framework
For future monitoring, research, and management
actions at a site
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Conceptual Models
How can they be used?
Design field sampling and monitoring programs
Ensure that all important system attributes are measured
Determine causes of environmental problems
Identify system linkages and possible cause and effect relati
onships
Identify potential conflicts among management objectives
Anticipate the full range of possible system responses to
management actions
Including potential negative effects
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Primary productivity
Macrophytes
Algal biomass
Increased pH
Transparency
+
% blue-green algae
Fish cover
Grazing impact
+
Sedimentation rate
Nutrient release
due to anoxia
Mean zooplankton
size
Zooplankton refuges
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Mathematical Models
What are they?
Mathematical equations that translate a conceptual unde
Prediction
E.g., How long will it take for lake water quality to improve, o
nce controls are in place?
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Mechanistic
Mathematical descriptions based
on theory
Time Factor
Static or steady-state
Time-independent
Dynamic
Describe or predict system
behavior over time
Stochastic
Address variability/uncertainty
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Mathematical Models
When should you not use a model?
If you do not understand the problem or system well eno
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Mathematical modeling
.
27
28
Teamwork!!!
29
Common used
Environmental model
1 EFDC (EPA)
2 CAEDYM (CWR)
3 WASP (EPA)
4 ECOPATH (
)
5 MIKE (DHI)
6 QUAL2E (EPA)
7 Delft3D
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31
HYDRODYNAMIC EQUATIONS
The equation of continuity, based on the
conservation of water mass, predicts water
heights (heads) and velocities
33
Methods model
CASE-Lake Tai
wind-driven circulation
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y
x
C U x C U y C U z C
t
x
y
z
x
Ex
C
C
C
z
S
y
x y
y z
z
36
WEM
Solve
rs
Output
38
Categories of WEM
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40
42
Reynolds
test
Straight line
Turbulence flow pattern
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44
uniform
flow
shear
flow
45
Shear
u
O
Dispersion
y
y
u(y)
O
y
y
c(y)
c(y)
X
O
6/30/15 01:57:17 PM
u(y)
47
C U x C U y C U z C
C
C
C
E z
Ex
E y
S
t
x
y
z
x
x y
y z
z
Advection
Diffution
48
Diffusion Coefficients
E hu
Ex x hu
E y y hu
Ez z hu
49
x y z
Ez 0.067hu*
E y a y hu*
0.1 ~ 0.2 0.15
ay
0.4 ~ 0.8 0.6
Ex f E y
Ez
Mixing in Rivers
Consider a stream of effluent discharged into a river,
as sketched in the figure.
C
B
A
A-
B-
C-
E
x
z
S
y
t
x
y
z
x
x y
y z
z
E
x
t
x
y
x
x y
y
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
effluent
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WEM
Output
C(x,y,z
,t)
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Output
C(x,y,z
,t)
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Determination of Ex
The one-dimensional dispersion equation
M
V
x
o
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Determination of Ex
Inverse
Model
Ex=?
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CASE STUDY...
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1D
river
model
2D
Yangzi
River
model
Model Verification
Water quality models must be tested with real field data
under baseline conditions to ensure that they work!
Field sampling must consider several dimensions:
Depth
Sampling location
Seasonality
Annual variation
Model Verification
x y 150m
3
Sampling
location
Mesh
Model Verification
TN
V3
V1
V4
V2
V5
V6
Thanks
Lake Hamilton, NZ
66