India'S Trade Policy: Foreign Trade Balance of Payments Trade Policies Foreign Trade Policy (FTP)

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INDIAS TRADE POLICY

Foreign Trade
Balance of Payments
Trade policies
Foreign Trade Policy (FTP)

VOLUME OF FOREIGN TRADE


Year

Exports (Including Imports


Re exports)

Trade
Balance

1950-51

606

608

-2

1960-61

642

1122

-480

1970-71

1535

1634

-99

1980-81

6711

12549

-5838

1990-91

32553

43198

-10645

2000-01

203571

230873

-27302

2006-07

571779

840506

-268727

2008-09

840755

1374436

-533681

2009-10

845543

1363736

-518202

2010-11

1142649

1683467

-540818

2011-12

1024707

1651240

-626533

Year

Exports
Value

Imports

Terms of Trade

Volume

Unit
Value

Value

Volume

Unit

Net
Value

Income

2001-02 -1.6

0.8

1.0

1.7

5.8

2.8

-2.1

-1.3

2004-05 30.8

11.2

14.9

42.7

16.0

18.9

-3.5

7.3

2005-06 23.4

15.1

6.1

33.8

9.8

14.0

-6.0

8.2

2007-08 29.0

7.9

5.1

35.5

20.7

1.9

2.6

10.7

2009-10 -3.5

-1.1

1.0

-5.0

9.9

-10.0

12.3

11.1

2010-11 40.5

43.2

-5.1

28.2

10.1

11.2

-14.3

22.7

TERMS OF TRADE
Terms of Trade in India increased to 113 Index Points in 2011 from 91 Index
Points in 2010. Terms of Trade in India is reported by the Reserve Bank of
India. Historically, from 2000 until 2011, India Terms of Trade averaged 90
Index Points reaching an all time high of 113 Index Points in June of 2011 and a
record low of 77 Index Points in June of 2007. In India, Terms of Trade (ToT)
correspond to the ratio of Price of exportable goods to the Price of importable
goods.

Trade Deficit
Causes of Trade Deficit In India

Large size in
imports of
petroleum

Others
(fertilisers
and pearls,
precious
stones)

Disintegration
of Soviet
union

Low world
Demand

Import
restrictions in
Foreign
countries

High cost

Low quality

Growing
Competition

Rising
Imports

Large
increase in
Development
al Imports

Modest
growth
of
Exports
Cost and
Quality

MEASURES TO CORRECT DEFICIT


IN BALANCE OF TRADE
Import
Substitution
and
Restriction
Export
Promotion

Licensing of Imports
Tariff Restrictions
Quantitative Restrictions

Setting up Export processing Zones


Devaluation of currency in 1991
Income tax concessions to exporters
Setting up EXIM Bank

COMPOSITION OF TRADE
Composition of exports
S.
No

Commodity Group

Year 2010-11 ( in
%age)

Agriculture and allied products

9.9

Ores and minerals ( excluding coal)

4.0

Manufactured Goods

68.0

Crude and petroleum products( Including


coal)

16.8

Other and unclassified items

1.2

Total

100.0

Source : Economic Survey 2011-12

Composition of Exports

17%

1% 10%
4%

68%

Agriculture and allied


products
Ores and
minerals(excluding coal)
Manufactured Goods
Crude and petroleum
products (including coal)

COMPOSITION OF IMPORTS
S Commodity
. Group
N
o

Year
201011

Food and
allied
products

2.9

Fuel

31.3

Fertilisers

1.9

Paper Board,
0.6
manufacture
and newsprint

Composition of Imports

Food and allied


products

Capital Goods

13.1

Others

47.7

Total

100.0

3%

Fuel
32%

49%

Fertilisers
Paper Board

2%
13%

1%

Capital Goods
Others

DIRECTION OF TRADE

ANALYSIS OF DIRECTION OF TRADE

Constantly
evolving
directional
pattern of
trade

Bilateral
trade
Surplus
with 5
countries

Asia and
Asian
countriesimport as
well as
export

UAE is
Indias
largest
trading
partner
followed by
China

BALANCE OF TRADE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENT


Balance of Trade refers to difference in the export and import of
goods.
Balance of Payment refers to systematic record of all economic
transactions between the residents of a country and rest of the
world in a year
S. No. Balance of Trade

Balance of Payment

It records transactions
relating to trade of goods
only

It records transactions relating


to both goods and services.

Balance of trade account


does not record
transactions of capital
nature

BoP account records


transactions of capital nature
also.

It is a part of current
account of the balance of
payments.

It is more comprehensive and


has three accounts of which
BoT is a part.

CURRENT
ACCOUNT

Current Account to GDP in India is reported by the Ministry of Finance,


Government of India. The Current account balance as a percent of GDP
provides an indication on the level of international competitiveness of a
country. Usually, countries recording a strong current account surplus have
an economy heavily dependent on exports revenues, with high savings
ratings but weak domestic demand. On the other hand, countries recording
a current account deficit have strong imports, a low saving rates and high
personal consumption rates as a percentage of disposable incomes. This
page includes a chart with historical data for India Current Account to GDP.

CAPITAL ACCOUNT

TRENDS IN INDIAS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

STAGE I : 1951-52 TO 1975-76


This period covers the first four five year plans.
1. First Plan : Deficit in BoP on Current Account of Rs. 42
Cr.
2. Second Plan: Deficit in BoP rose to Rs. 1725 Cr.
3. Third Plan: Deficit in BoP increased Rs. 1951 Cr.
4. Three Annual plans wherein deficit rose to Rs. 2015 Cr.
5. Fourth Plan: BoP favourable to the extent of Rs. 100
Cr.

Stage II : 1976-1977 to 1979-80 (A


decade of comfort)

STAGE III: 1980-81 TO 1989-90

STAGE IV 1991-92 TO 2001-02


1991 : Eighth plan

2000: ninth plan

Foreign Exchange Crisis

Unfavourable BoP

Devaluation, decontrol, liberalisation


were introduced.

Main reasons for the deficit were:

(a)Import of Capital Goods


(b)Increase in price of crude oil

First four years of the plan


recorded deficit of 69,434
crores.
Last year recorded surplus of
6719 crore.

Reasons for good performance:

(a)Dynamic export performance


(b)Increase in software services
(c) Reduced non-oil import
demands

Stage V : 2002-03 till date


Year

Balance of

Balance of

Total Balance of

Current A/C

Capital A/C

Capital A/C)

Payments on

Payment on

Payments ( Current +

1990-91

-17,366

+12,895

-4,471

2000-01

-11,431

+39,093

+27,662

2004-05

-12,174

+1,28,081

+1,15,907

2005-06

-43,737

+1,09,633

+65,896

2006-07

-44,383

+2,08,017

+1,63,634

2008-09

-1,27,600

+30,500

-97,100

2009-10

-1,79,700

+2,43,900

+64,200

2010-11

-2,10,100

+2,69,600

+59,500

2011-12

-1,48,600

+1,74,200

+25,600

Trends :Balance of Payment ( Current A/C + Capital A/C)


200000

150000

100000

50000
Rupees in crores
0

-50000

-100000

-150000

Balance of Payment ( Current A/C +


Capital A/C)

POLICY MEASURES TO MANAGE


UNFAVOURABLE
BALANCE OF PAYMENT

Pre 1991 Trade Policy

1991 CRISIS

THE 1991 TRADE POLICY

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