US Airline Industry: By: Rachel Andersen, Joe Bossert, Jarvez Hall, Jeff Hensley, Brandon Kirkbride and Adam Tolman

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US Airline Industry

By: Rachel Andersen, Joe Bossert, Jarvez Hall, Jeff Hensley, Brandon Kirkbride and Adam Tolman

Sector Information
The United States Airline industry is comprised of US based firms that transport people via air originating or concluding within its borders.

Major Competitors

Choice of Competitors

Largest 3 in America*
Largest (non American company)* The up and comer

* in terms of passengers

Delta Air Lines Inc

Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia


Second Largest in the world (AA)
Largest

Domestically Fourth Largest in Revenues

Operations in North America, South America, Europe and Asia Bankruptcy?

AMR Corp (American Airlines)

Largest in the world


Second

in revenues

Headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas

Operations in North America, South America, Central and Latin America, Europe and Asia

Southwest Airlines Co.

Operates In Unites States only


Headquartered in Dallas, Texas Bring a Scale The Unknown Flyer

Air France - KLM


Largest in total revenues Part French, Part Dutch Operate with a Profit

Air France

KLM

Jet Blue Airways


Headquartered in New York City Founded in 2000 DirectTV at every seat

Cost Structures

Macroeconomic Impacts

Minimal substitutes Ex. Car, train, boat Rivalry among competitors due to barriers to exit Price wars

Market size and growth


Expected growth rate according to the FAA is 4.2% each year for the next 12 years Market capitalization of 34 Billion

-South west leading with 11.2 billion

Scope of Competitive Rivalry


Competition (ADD pictures of rivals) Indirect competition

Business

Jets Small commercial airlines Car, Train, Bus, Boat

Issues
Sept 11th Internet helping to cut the costs Fuel prices Number of seats

Macroeconomy
Passengers Per Year
720,000,000 700,000,000

Number of Passengers

680,000,000 660,000,000 640,000,000 620,000,000 600,000,000 2000 2001 Year 2002 2003

Sector Health

Not attractive to new entrants


Capital needed Oil prices

Very attractive to new investors Major players control the market share

Delta, AA, Southwest Jet Blue, NWA, United

Cost Structure
Lay

offs

Sector Success Factors

Major Hubs

Carriers can offer travelers more choices while tying up less capital through their hubs.

Customer Loyalty

Frequent flyer miles

Established industry

Net Income
$500,000,000.00

Winners

$450,000,000.00 $400,000,000.00 $350,000,000.00 $300,000,000.00 $250,000,000.00

Southwest

$200,000,000.00 $150,000,000.00 $100,000,000.00 $50,000,000.00 $2002 2003 2004

$120,000,000.00

$100,000,000.00

$80,000,000.00

Jet Blue

$60,000,000.00

$40,000,000.00

$20,000,000.00

$2002 2003 2004

Net Income
$2002 2003 2004

Losers

$(1,000,000,000.00)

$(2,000,000,000.00)

$(3,000,000,000.00)

Delta
$(4,000,000,000.00) $(5,000,000,000.00)

$(6,000,000,000.00)

$400,000,000.00

$200,000,000.00

$2002 $(200,000,000.00) 2003 2004

$(400,000,000.00)

Northwest Airlines

$(600,000,000.00)

$(800,000,000.00)

$(1,000,000,000.00)

Fuel: Travelers are back from 9/11 but surging jet fuel costs are forcing many airlines to seek bankruptcy protection. Every penny increase in the price of jet fuel adds $186 million in additional annual expenses for the industry, Federal taxes and fees: According to the Air Transport Association, the industry will pay $15 billion in federal taxes and fees this year. Air traffic control, security, and other government services to name a few.

Pension obligations: During the next four years, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) said the carriers face $60 billion in fixed obligations, $10.4 billion of which are for pensions. The airline industry is currently seeking pension reform to avoid the risk of bankruptcy.

Competitor Actions and Reactions

Airlines have already been reducing rates competitively but others quickly follow suit. To the average customer, most airlines seem the same. Brand differentiation might be the key to success. Customers may be more loyal or willing to pay a premium for an airline that sets them apart.
JetBlue:

Cheap flights and airplanes equipped with leather seating and DIRECTV. Southwest: Cost leader on routes and great customer service.

Impact of Change
Working together, airlines are pushing Congress to change legislation to relieve some of the taxes, fees and pension obligations. Reducing some of these high fixed costs will contribute significantly to increased profits.

Porters 5

Threat of New Entrants - strong brand name and incentives Power of Suppliers - dominated by Boeing and Airbus. Power of Buyers - high costs of switching airplanes, Availability of Substitutes - What is the likelihood that someone will drive or take a train to their destination? Competitive Rivalry - highly competitive industries generally earn low returns because the cost of competition is high.

Questions?

Bibliography
Bureau of Transportation Statistics Federal Aviation Administration Yahoo Finance (Reuters) The Dallas Morning News Air Transport Association

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