The Components of The Balance of Payments
The Components of The Balance of Payments
Economies are becoming more open (in terms of trade as % of GDP), but some countries are more open than others
Exports and imports as % of GDP 199 #auritius $ambia 'hi(e 'hina +, .rgentina /ang(adesh 0ndia /ra1i( +nited 2tates 153 99 &) !9 -1 15 ! 17 14 20 ! %& &* && -) ) "% 31 30 23 " 121
7 8igher degree of openness 9: structure of production and emp(o;ment, and economic gro<th, are more (i5e(; to be affected b; e=terna( e6ents 7 >he ba(ance of pa;ments pro6ides and indication of ho< international trade and external events feed bac5 into the macroeconom; 7 >his presentation describes how balance of payments acco nts are recorded and then e=p(ores the link bet<een the ba(ance of pa;ments and a countr;?s exc!an"e rate
>he 'apita( .ccount is further di6ided into short%term and long%term capita( f(o<s
7 >he exchange rate is the price of the B in terms of other currencies (eEgE A) 7 0f the e=change rate is freely floating then it <i(( adFust to ensure that the demand for Bs 9 the supp(; of Bs inf(o<s 9 outf(o<s in the /oP /oP is e=act(; 9 1ero 7 2ince /oP 9 'urrent .ccount G 'apita( .ccount3
@ a 'urrent .ccount surp(us 9: a 'apita( .ccount deficit @ a 'urrent .ccount deficit 9: a 'apita( .ccount surp(us
9: 0f the e=change rate is freely floatin", then the ba(ance for officia( financing is 0ero
7 >he ba(ance of pa;ments must a(<a;s ba(ance since the accounts are constructed such that this must be true b; definition
@ 8o<e6er, there can be measurement error and unreported borro<ing from abroad and other i((ega( acti6ities >he discrepanc; represents a combination of unrecorded current and capita( account transactions
7 >his reJuires the inc(usion of <hat is referred to as a balancing item& to ensure the accounts ba(ance in practice
(. % -) trade deficit
.n increase in go6tE e=penditure (,), or a reduction in pri6ate sa6ing (#) <orsens the trade ba(ance (iEeE raises trade deficit)
7 8o<e6er, if a countr; persistent(; runs a trade deficit this is something to <orr; about (eEgE 6u(nerabi(it; to (oss of foreign in6estors? confidence)
@ e=cessi6e borro<ing on capita( account to finance consumption on current account <i(( incur higher interest pa;ments and e6entua((; (ead to reduction consumption