CH 16 Hull OFOD8 TH Edition

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Chapter 16 Options on Stock Indices and Currencies

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Index Options (page 345-347)


The most popular underlying indices in the U.S. are The S&P 100 Index (OEX and XEO) The S&P 500 Index (SPX) The Dow Jones Index times 0.01 (DJX) The Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX)
Exchange-traded contracts are on 100 times index; they are settled in cash; OEX is American; the XEO and all others are European
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Index Option Example


Consider a call option on an index with a strike price of 880 Suppose 1 contract is exercised when the index level is 900 What is the payoff?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Using Index Options for Portfolio Insurance


Suppose the value of the index is S0 and the strike price is K If a portfolio has a b of 1.0, the portfolio insurance is obtained by buying 1 put option contract on the index for each 100S0 dollars held If the b is not 1.0, the portfolio manager buys b put options for each 100S0 dollars held In both cases, K is chosen to give the appropriate insurance level
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 4

Example 1
Portfolio has a beta of 1.0 It is currently worth $500,000 The index currently stands at 1000 What trade is necessary to provide insurance against the portfolio value falling below $450,000?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Example 2
Portfolio has a beta of 2.0 It is currently worth $500,000 and index stands at 1000 The risk-free rate is 12% per annum The dividend yield on both the portfolio and the index is 4% How many put option contracts should be purchased for portfolio insurance?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Calculating Relation Between Index Level and Portfolio Value in 3 months


If index rises to 1040, it provides a 40/1000 or 4% return in 3 months Total return (incl. dividends) = 5% Excess return over risk-free rate = 2% Excess return for portfolio = 4% Increase in Portfolio Value = 4+31=6% Portfolio value=$530,000
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Determining the Strike Price (Table 16.2,


page 347)

Value of Index in 3 months 1,080 1,040 1,000 960 920

Expected Portfolio Value in 3 months ($) 570,000 530,000 490,000 450,000 410,000

An option with a strike price of 960 will provide protection against a 10% decline in the portfolio value
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 8

European Options on Assets Providing a Known Yield


We get the same probability distribution for the asset price at time T in each of the following cases: 1. The asset starts at price S0 and provides a yield = q 2. The asset starts at price S0eqT and provides no income
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 9

European Options on Assets Providing KnownYield


continued
We can value European options by reducing the asset price to S0eqT and then behaving as though there is no income

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

10

Extension of Chapter 10 Results


(Equations 16.1 to 16.3)

Lower Bound for calls:

c S 0 e qT Ke rT
Lower Bound for puts

p Ke
Put Call Parity

rT

S0e

qT

c Ke rT p S 0 e qT

c Ke rT p F0 e rT
11

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

Extension of Chapter 14 Results


(Equations 16.4 and 16.5)

c S 0 e qT N (d1 ) Ke rT N (d 2 ) p Ke rT N ( d 2 ) S 0 e qT N ( d1 ) ln( S 0 / K ) (r q 2 / 2)T where d1 T ln( S 0 / K ) (r q 2 / 2)T d2 T

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

12

Alternative Formulas (page 353)


c e rT [ F0 N (d 1 ) KN (d 2 )] p e rT [ KN ( d 2 ) F0 N ( d 1 )] ln( F0 / K ) 2T / 2 d1 T d 2 d1 T where F0 S 0 e ( r q )T

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

13

Valuing European Index Options


We can use the formula for an option on an asset paying a dividend yield Set S0 = current index level Set q = average dividend yield expected during the life of the option

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

14

Implied Forward Prices and Dividend Yields


From European calls and puts with the same strike price and time to maturity
F0 K (c p)e
rT

1 c p Ke rT q ln T S0

These formulas allow term structures of forward prices and dividend yields to be estimated OTC European options are typically valued using the forward prices (Estimates of q are not then required) American options require the dividend yield term structure
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 15

The Binomial Model


S0 S0u u S0d d

f=e-rT[pfu+(1p)fd ]
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 16

The Binomial Model

continued

In a risk-neutral world the asset price grows at rq rather than at r when there is a dividend yield at rate q The probability, p, of an up movement must therefore satisfy pS0u+(1p)S0d = S0e (rq)T so that

e( r q ) T d p u d

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

17

Currency Options
Currency options trade on NASDAQ OMX There also exists a very active over-thecounter (OTC) market Currency options are used by corporations to buy insurance when they have an FX exposure

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

18

Range Forward Contracts


Have the effect of ensuring that the exchange rate paid or received will lie within a certain range When currency is to be paid it involves selling a put with strike K1 and buying a call with strike K2 (with K2 > K1) When currency is to be received it involves buying a put with strike K1 and selling a call with strike K2 Normally the price of the put equals the price of the call
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 19

Range Forward Contract continued


Figure 16.1, page 348
Payoff Asset Price K1 K2 K1 K2 Asset Price Payoff

Short Position

Long Position

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

20

The Foreign Interest Rate


We denote the foreign interest rate by rf When a U.S. company buys one unit of the foreign currency it has an investment of S0 dollars The return from investing at the foreign rate is rf S0 dollars This shows that the foreign currency provides a yield at rate rf
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

21

Valuing European Currency Options


A foreign currency is an asset that provides a yield equal to rf We can use the formula for an option on a stock paying a dividend yield :
S0 = current exchange rate q = r

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012

22

Formulas for European Currency Options (Equations 16.11 and 16.12, page 355)
c S0e p Ke
rf T rT

N (d1 ) Ke rT N (d 2 ) N (d 2 ) S 0e
rf T

N (d1 )

ln( S 0 / K ) (r r 2 / 2)T f where d1 T ln( S 0 / K ) (r r 2 / 2)T f d2 T


Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 23

Alternative Formulas (Equations 16.13 and 16.14)


Using F0 S0 e
ce
rT

( r rf ) T

[ F0 N (d1 ) KN (d 2 )] [ KN (d 2 ) F0 N (d1 )]

pe

rT

ln( F0 / K ) 2T / 2 d1 T d 2 d1 T
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2012 24

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