The document discusses several key concepts in international financial management. It describes the foreign exchange market and how currencies are exchanged. It then explains foreign exchange rates, including direct and indirect quotes, cross rates, and spot rates. It also outlines four international parity relationships: interest rate parity, purchasing power parity, forward rates parity, and the international Fisher effect. Finally, it discusses foreign exchange risk and how firms can analyze international capital investments.
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The document discusses several key concepts in international financial management. It describes the foreign exchange market and how currencies are exchanged. It then explains foreign exchange rates, including direct and indirect quotes, cross rates, and spot rates. It also outlines four international parity relationships: interest rate parity, purchasing power parity, forward rates parity, and the international Fisher effect. Finally, it discusses foreign exchange risk and how firms can analyze international capital investments.
The document discusses several key concepts in international financial management. It describes the foreign exchange market and how currencies are exchanged. It then explains foreign exchange rates, including direct and indirect quotes, cross rates, and spot rates. It also outlines four international parity relationships: interest rate parity, purchasing power parity, forward rates parity, and the international Fisher effect. Finally, it discusses foreign exchange risk and how firms can analyze international capital investments.
Copyright:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
The document discusses several key concepts in international financial management. It describes the foreign exchange market and how currencies are exchanged. It then explains foreign exchange rates, including direct and indirect quotes, cross rates, and spot rates. It also outlines four international parity relationships: interest rate parity, purchasing power parity, forward rates parity, and the international Fisher effect. Finally, it discusses foreign exchange risk and how firms can analyze international capital investments.
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International Financial Management
The Foreign Exchange Market
The foreign exchange market is the market where the currency of one country is exchanged for the currency of another country. Most currency transactions are channelled through the world-wide interbank market. Interbank market is the wholesale market in which major banks trade with each other. Participants Speculators Arbitrageurs Traders Hedgers
Foreign Exchange Rates A foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency quoted in terms of another currency. When the rate is quoted per unit of the domestic currency, it is referred to as direct quote. Thus, the US$ and INR exchange rate would be written as US$ 0.02538/INR. When the rate is quoted as units of domestic currency per unit of the foreign currency, it is referred to as indirect quote. A cross rate is an exchange rate between the currencies of two countries that are not quoted against each other, but are quoted against one common currency. Suppose that German DM is selling for $ 0.62 and the buying rate for the French franc (FF) is $ 0.17, what is the DM/FF cross- rate? It is:
$ 0.62 3.65 $ 0.17 US FF FF DM US DM = The spot exchange rate is the rate at which a currency can be bought or sold for immediate delivery which is within two business days after the day of the trade. Bid-ask spread is the difference between the bid and ask rates of a currency. The forward exchange rate is the rate that is currently paid for the delivery of a currency at some future date. The forward rate may be at a premium or at a discount. For a direct quote, the annualised forward discount or premium can be calculated as follows:
International Parity Relationships There are the following four international parity relationships: Interest rate parity (IRP) Purchasing power parity (PPP) Forward rates and future spot rates parity International Fisher effect (IFE).
Interest Rate Parity It states that the exchange rate of two countries will be affected by their interest rate differential. In other words, the currency of a high-interest-rate-country will be at a forward discount relative to the currency of a low-interest-rate- country, and vice versa. This implies that the exchange rate (forward and spot) differential will be equal to the interest rate differential between the two countries. That is: Interest differential = Exchange rate (forward and spot) differential
/ / (1 ) (1 ) F F D D F D r f r s + = + Purchasing Power Parity In absolute terms, purchasing power parity states that the exchange rate between the currencies of two countries equals the ratio between the prices of goods in these countries. Further, the exchange rate must change to adjust to the change in the prices of goods in the two countries. In relative terms, purchasing power states that the exchange rate between the currencies of the two countries will adjust to reflect changes in the inflation rates of the two countries. In formal terms, it implies that the expected inflation differential equals to the current spot rate and the expected spot rate differential. Thus: Inflation rate differential = Current spot rate and expected spot rate differential
/ / (1 ) ( ) (1 ) F F D D F D i E s i s + = + Thailand and South Korea are running annual inflation rates of 5 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively. The current spot exchange rate is Won 18.50/Baht. What should be the value of the Thai Baht in one year? If purchasing power parity holds, then the expected spot rate after one year will be: Won18.85/Baht.
/ / 1.07 ( )
1.05 18.5 1.07 ( ) 18.5 18.85 1.05 W B W B E s E s = = = International Fisher Effect In formal terms, the international Fisher effect states that the nominal interest rate differential must equal to the expected inflation rate differential in two countries. Thus: Nominal interest rate differential = Expected inflation rate differential
(1 ) (1 ) (1 ) (1 ) F F D D r E i r E i + + = + + Foreign Exchange Risk Foreign exchange risk is the risk that the domestic currency value of cash flows, denominated in foreign currency, may change because of the variation in the foreign exchange rate. There would not be any foreign exchange risk if the exchange rates were fixed. We can distinguish between three types of foreign exchange exposure: Transaction exposure Economic exposure Translation exposure
Transaction exposure involves the possible exchange loss or gain on existing foreign currency-denominated transactions. Economic exposure refers to the change in the value of the firm caused by the unexpected changes in the exchange rate. It is also referred to as operating exposure or the long-term cash flow exposure. A firm is exposed to translation loss if it uses current exchange rate to translate its assets and liabilities. There are four methods in use in translating assets and liabilities: Current/non-current method Monetary/non-monetary method Temporal method Current rate method
International Capital Investment Analysis The basic principles applicable to an international investment decision are similar to a domestic investment decision. The incremental cash flow of the investment should be discounted at an opportunity cost of capital appropriate to the risk of the investment. The investment should be accepted if the net present value is positive. One factor that distinguishes the international investment decisions from the domestic investment decisions is that cash flows are earned in foreign currency. This fact should be considered while estimating the incremental cash flows. International Capital Investment Analysis Beta of a foreign investment can be calculated by regressing the projects return to a benchmark market index. In fully integrated international financial markets, both the firms and the individual investors are free to invest anywhere in the world. In this case, the projects cost of capital does not depend on any country. Investors could diversify internationally and obtain the international diversification benefits themselves. In this case, beta is calculated relative the world market index. International Capital Investment Analysis POLITICAL RISK OF FOREIGN INVESTMENTS There are two ways in which a firm can handle the political risks in the investment evaluation. The firm may increase the cost of capital (discount rate) to allow for the political risks or adjust the investments cash flows to account for political risk. FINANCING INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS The most important sources of international finance are: Eurocurrency loans, Eurobonds, and American or Global Depository Receipts (ADRs or GDRs).