Helen Group - Demographic Challenge

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The demographic challenge, porspects for 2100

HELEN GROUP

Table of Contents

Global Demographic Facts &

Evolution
ASIA CHINA INDIA

Global Demographic Facts


The Population growth is based on four basic factors:

The development of the birth rate The size of infant mortality The increasing or decreasing trend in life expectancy The direction of migration flows

Factors determining the progress and quality of life :

The geographical framework

The stability and legitimacy of institutions


The demographic trend

Global Population evolution

ASIA
The Asian continent has the 60,4% of the worlds

population (4,164 billion people)

China & India stand for 37,3%

Population has tripled over 1950-2010 with a rate of

2.3 children per woman in the last five years.

In 1950-55 perido it was 5,8 children/woman

Life expectancy has risen from 43 to 69 years of age

(close to the worlds average)

Record of 67% of the total population in working age (15-64)

CHINA
China is the most populated country in the world with

1,3 billion people (19,5% of the world)


Growth has slow down and soon it will face its

demographic decline.
(1950 to 2010: leaders of growth in average)
%

2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1950 to 1980 1980 to 2000 2000 to 2010 Growth

Demographic decline Birth rate droped from 6,1 children in 1950-50 to 1,6 in 2005-10

CHINA
Two main reasons for the Demographic decline: 1 Official one child policy

Launched in 1980 to limit the demographic birth rate. Only 90 M vs 400 M (if it hadnt been aplied) Possible consequences:
Population > 60 years old has increased (from 10% to 13%) Life expectancy at birth in 2010 is 72.7 years Population < 17 years old has declined (from 23% to 17%) Social economic development in danger Imbalance beteween sexes (lack of girls). 24 M boys will not find a partner over the next decade

2 Family size restricted

Due to transition towards economic development

CHINA

INDIA
Second largest population in the world1.22billion

17.8% of the worlds population on only 2.4% of the worlds land mass About 1/3 the size of the U.S. First in the world to adopt family planning programs in

1950s

1/3 (343 million) of the people are hungry

Indian Population
Life Expectancy is the expected number of years of life

remaining at a given age.

37.9 in 1950-55 , 64.2 in 2005-2010 for India

Infant mortality ratedeath rate among children one year

old or younger

India 60 per 1,000

Total fertility rate-average number of children that women

in a specific population will bear in a lifetime

Indiaaverage women bears 2.91 children, as of 2010.

Population pyramid

Indian Population v/s GDP

THANK YOU!

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