Closing America's Infrastructure Gap:: The Role of Public-Private Partnersh
Closing America's Infrastructure Gap:: The Role of Public-Private Partnersh
Closing America's Infrastructure Gap:: The Role of Public-Private Partnersh
Table of Contents
Executive Summary ...................................................................... 1 Introduction................................................................................... 3 Options for Closing the Gap ........................................................ 6 Growth of a Trend ......................................................................... 8 A PPP Maturity Model .................................................................. 9 Benefits of Public-Private Partnerships ..................................... 10 Moving Up the Maturity Curve.................................................. 13 Go Beyond the Transaction: Adopt a Life-Cycle Perspective ... 14 Infrastructure Sector Opportunities .......................................... 21 Conclusion ................................................................................... 30 Appendix: Answers to the Most Common Objections to PPPs ..................................................................... 31 Insets How Did We Get Here ............................................................ 5 Choosing the Right Financing Model .................................... 6 Public Private Partnerships 101 .............................................. 8 Features of a Legislative Framework Conducive to PPPs .................................................................................. 16 Hybrid PPP Models ................................................................ 17 Choosing the Right Delivery Model .................................... 19 Port of Miami Tunnel ............................................................ 24 Endnotes ...................................................................................... 35
About Deloitte Research Deloitte Research, a part of Deloitte Services LP, identies, analyzes, and explains the major issues driving todays business dynamics and shaping tomorrows global marketplace. From provocative points of view about strategy and organizational change to straight talk about economics, regulation and technology, Deloitte Research delivers innovative, practical insights companies can use to improve their bottom-line performance. Operating through a network of dedicated research professionals, senior consulting practitioners of the various member rms of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, academics and technology specialists, Deloitte Research exhibits deep industry knowledge, functional understanding, and commitment to thought leadership. In boardrooms and business journals, Deloitte Research is known for bringing new perspective to real-world concerns. Disclaimer This publication contains general information only and Deloitte Services LP is not, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, nancial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should consult a qualied professional advisor. Deloitte Services LP its afliates and related entities shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this publication.
42
Executive Summary
Citizens across America confront the nations glaring infrastructure decit daily. Evidence of the large and growing gap between infrastructure needs and the resources that governments have historically invested in meeting those needs is everywhere: congested roads; bridges in need of repair; poorly maintained transit systems; and deteriorated schools and waste treatment facilities all in urgent need of rehabilitation and repair. These problems in turn impose huge costs on society, from lower productivity to reduced competitiveness to an increased number of accidents. Less well understood is the revolution taking place in the way that governments are trying to narrow the infrastructure decit. Increasingly governments around the world and state and local governments in the United States are turning to the private sector for nancing, design, construction, and operation of infrastructure projects. Once rare and limited to a handful of jurisdictionsmostly overseasand infrastructure sectors, these public-private partnerships (PPPs) have emerged an important model governments use to close infrastructure gaps (see gure 1). The United Kingdom has pioneered the trend. Through its Private Finance Initiative (PFI), the UK government makes use of partnership models to develop and deliver all manner of infrastructure, from schools to defense facilities.1 PFI projects now represent between 10 and 13 percent of all UK investment in public infrastructure, a sea change from a little more than 10 years ago when PPPs were barely a blip on the radar screen.2 One offshoot of the rapid worldwide growth of public-private partnerships for infrastructure is that countries remain at vastly different stages of understanding and sophistication in using partnership models. In the US, most states and localities are still at the rst stage of PPP development: designing the policy and legislative framework that enable successful partnerships, getting the deals right, building the marketplace, and so on. Being a latecomer to the PPP party can have its advantages, provided the right lessons are learned from the trailblazers overseasand to some extent, here in the USwho have moved to more advanced stages. Meanwhile, states that are higher up the maturity curve could benet from a deeper understanding of the challenges and potential solutions particular to each infrastructure area. Benefits of PPPs. Public-private partnerships are unlikely to fully replace traditional nancing and development of infrastructure, but they offer several benets to governments trying to address infrastructure shortages or improve the efciency of their organizations. First, public-private partnerships allow the costs of the investment to be spread over the lifetime of the asset and thus can allow infrastructure projects to be brought forward by years compared with the pay-as-you-go nancing typical of many infrastructure projects. Second, PPPs have a solid track record of on-time, on-budget delivery. Third, PPPs transfer certain risks to the private sector and provide incentives for assets to be properly maintained. Fourth, public-private partnerships can lower the cost of infrastructure by reducing both construction costs and overall life-cycle costs. Fifth, because satisfaction metrics can be built into the contract, PPPs encourage a strong customer service orientation. And nally, because the destination, not the path, becomes the organizing theme around which a project is built, public-private partnerships enable the public sector to focus on the outcomebased public value they are trying to create. Getting It Right. While PPPs hold signicant benets, they also present formidable challenges, both at earlier and later stages of market development. A big part of moving up the maturity curve entails improving government capacity to execute and manage innovative partnerships. Lessons learned from PPP leaders worldwide suggest several strategies for successful execution of PPPs. First, governments need a clear framework for partnerships that confers adequate attention on all phases of a life-cycle approach and ensures a solid stream of potential projects. This can help avoid problems of a poor PPP framework, lack of clarity about outcomes, inadequate government capacity to manage the process, and an overly narrow transaction focus. Second, a strong understanding of the new innovative PPP models developed to address more complex issues can help governments to achieve the proper allocation of riskeven in conditions of pronounced uncertainty about future needs. This allows governments to better tailor PPP approaches to particular situations and infrastructure sectors.
Last, in addition to providing higher-quality infrastructure at lower cost, governments can use PPP transactions to unlock the value from undervalued and underutilized assets, such as land and buildings, and use those funds to help pay for new infrastructure. Sector Opportunities. Jurisdictions that have reached the second and third stages of maturity typically employ partnerships in more than one or two infrastructure areas. Among the major infrastructure sectors where PPPs have been successfully applied are transport (including road, rail and ports), water, wastewater, schools, prisons and defense. Each sector carries with it different challenges across each phase of the PPP life cycle. Budgeting is a challenge for the education sector, for example, because of high procurement costs for small projects and the uncertainty of alternate revenue streams. Moreover, future demographic and policy changes make overly rigid, long-term contracts less suitable for schools. The bottom line: PPP policies, approaches and political strategies must be tailored to the unique characteristics of each individual sector.
Figure 1. US PPP Activity
Oregon: Signed agreements for 3 highway projects in October 2005
PPPs alone are not a panacea. Rather, they are one tool states, counties, cities and federal agencies have at their disposal for infrastructure deliverya tool that requires careful application. Without seeing the partnership as a true partnershipnot simply a different type of transactionand adopting a tailored approach that suits the relative uncertainty and scale of the project at hand, governments are likely to repeat the errors of those before them. By making the best use of the full range of delivery models that are available and continuing to innovate learning from failure instead of retreating from itthe public sector can maximize the likelihood of meeting its infrastructure objectives and take PPPs to the next stage of development. This development, in turn, will enable this relatively new delivery model to play a far larger role in closing the infrastructure gap confronting America.
Recently issued legislation and several PPP projects being planned Indianapolis: Military base PPP
Georgia: Evaluating two proposals for concessions Florida: Several transportation PPP projects underway
Doing PPP deals Have enabling legislation Evaluating PPP for projects Source: Nossaman, Gunther, Knox & Elliot
Texas: 10 major projects in various stages of PPP procurement Houston: 2 school PPPs
Introduction
Back in the 1960s, California was known for more than just Hollywood, the Beach Boys and some of the most beautiful scenery in the country. The state was also famous for its unparalleled infrastructure building. Led by Governor Pat Brown, California had one of the worlds most extensive transportation infrastructure programs in the late 1950s and early 1960s, paving the way for much of the states subsequent economic prosperity. Those times seem like ancient history. These days, annualized state transportation needs amount to around $16 billion, but California currently funds only about one-quarter of that. The result is a huge and growing backlog of projects$100 billion at last count.3 It is no wonder that trafc problems are huge in many of the states metropolitan areas. Los Angeles and San FranciscoOakland are the two most congested metropolitan areas in the country.4 Most of Californias fuel tax money is now used to maintain existing infrastructure, but even these annual revenuesabout
Figure 2. Infrastructure Deficit Facing States
Idaho: $734M transportation maintenance backlog Nevada: $387M transportation maintenance backlog Wisconsin: $64B to upgrade school, transportation, water and energy systems Illinois: $9.2B to modernize schools
$2 billionfall short of the $3 billion a year thats needed to maintain existing highways. The result: substantial deferred maintenance and reduced road quality.5 Thanks to the poor quality of their roads, San Jose, Los Angeles and the San FranciscoOakland area have the dubious distinction of being among the highest cost vehicle maintenance areas in the country.6 Recognizing the severity of the states current predicament, this past November California voters passed an infrastructure bond package to the tune of $42.7 billion setting a new public works nancing recordwith nearly half going to transportation improvement projects. While the magnitude of the problem may be bigger in California than elsewhere, the state is not alone in facing a widening gap between infrastructure needs and current spending. Across the nation, crowded schools, trafc-choked roads, corroding bridges, and aged and overused water and sewer treatment facilities erode the quality of American life. Nearly three-fourths of major roads in Massachusetts are in poor or mediocre condition, while more than half
New York: $20.4B in wastewater infrastructure needs New Jersey: $12B in transportation maintenance backlog
North Carolina: $28B over 25 years in highway and bridge funding California: $500B by 2026
Sources: Foley & Lardner LLP, Institute of Government Studies, University of California, Government Performance Project, Wisconsin Interest, American Society of Civil Engineers. Deloitte Research Closing Americas Infrastructure Gap 3
the bridges in Rhode Island are structurally decient or functionally obsolete.7 Recently, the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) graded the overall condition of the nations infrastructure a D and recommended investing $1.6 trillion in infrastructure over the next ve years.8 Roads, dams, wastewater, drinking water and navigable waterways top the list of infrastructure concerns. Since 1990, the total vehicle miles traveled on the nations highways has jumped by more than 35 percent. Growing transportation needs require major investment: $40 billion annually for roads alone. The bill for public transit, where demand has increased by 23 percent over the past decade, is also steep. According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, $20.6 billion in capital investment is needed annually just to improve current facilities without adding any new capacity.9 Meanwhile, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency estimates that local water and sewer infrastructure will need investments of $300$500 billion over the next 20 years.10 Yet the ability of governments to properly maintain and invest in new public infrastructure is constrained. Many states confront huge gaps between their infrastructure needs and their current rate of investment (see gure 2). North Carolina, for example, faces a projected shortfall of $28 billion over the next 25 years in highway and bridge funding.11 In Wisconsin, more than $64 billion is needed to upgrade the states school, transport, water and energy systems, with another $26 billion required for road safety and trafc improvements.12 U.S. Secretary of Transportation Mary Peters recently warned Arizona that, given its rapid population growth, it would soon have to turn to nontraditional revenue sources for new highway construction and maintenance.13
These infrastructure decits impose huge costs on society, from lower productivity and reduced competitiveness to an increased number of accidents. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago estimates that more than half of the decline in labor productivity growth rates in the United States during the 1970s and early 1980s resulted from infrastructure neglect.14 Today, driving on roads in need of repair costs U.S. motorists $54 billion every year in extra vehicle repairs and operating costs. This works out to an average of $275 per motorist each year. Moreover, this cost does not include the economic loss that occurs when productive workers are stuck in trafc rather than on the job. According to the U.S. Federal Highway Administration, outdated and substandard road and bridge design, pavement conditions, and safety features are contributing factors in one-third of the more than 43,000 highway fatalities that occur each year.
Federal law also encourages nancially constrained planning because projects generally cannot be pursued unless and until federal funding is available. States are constrained by this pay-as-you-go approach; it hampers their ability to do effective long-term planning for new projects. For states with budget pressures, funding for new projects may also fall to the bottom of the priority list. New projects often require funding from multiple authorizing authorities, each of which may be dealing with a different political situation. For example, existing funding for the Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) connection to the Oakland airport comes from ve sources.17 Budget shortfalls also undermine the ability of states to maintain existing facilities properly, leading to deferred maintenance. This shortens the useful lifespan of roads, bridges, ports and other infrastructure, necessitating expenditures of 6 to 20 times the maintenance costs for rehabilitation or reconstruction. Chronic deferred maintenance also results in reduced quality of services and generally worse nancial outcomes.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Closing state infrastructure gaps requires raising additional revenue, reducing costs or nding new nancing sources. Given government restrictions on tax-exempt bonds and the political difculty of raising taxes to secure new revenue, the most viable options for governments may be to draw upon private nancing for new projects or concession revenues through long-term leases of existing assets, where appropriate. Using innovative models can help to achieve greater efciency from infrastructure investments (see gure 4). A survey of managers conducted by the Federal Highway Administration estimates that design-build project delivery, which combines the design and construction phases of a project into one contract, reduces project duration by 14 percent and cost by 3 percent, compared to the traditional design-bid-build approach.19 Given the potential of design-build and other innovative models to reduce project costs and deliver higher quality transportation projects more quickly than with traditional nancing and contracting methods, governments are increasingly turning to private sector nancing, design, build and operation to meet their infrastructure objectives. These
Source: Transportation Research Board 6 Deloitte Research Closing Americas Infrastructure Gap
public-private partnerships (PPPs) typically rely on long-term contractual relationships between government agencies and their private sector partners for the provision and operation of an infrastructure asset. Once employed in only a handful of countries and in limited settings, public-private partnerships are now being used to deliver new and refurbished roads, bridges, tunnels, water systems, schools, defense facilities and prisons. The United Kingdom has pioneered the PPP trend. Through its Private Finance Initiative (PFI), the UK government makes use of partnership models to develop and deliver all manner of infrastructure, from schools to defense facilities.20 In a typical year, close to 100 PPP projects are initiated or completed in the United Kingdom. PFI projects now represent between 10 and 13 percent of all UK investment in public infrastructure.21 Yet little more than ten years ago, PPPs were barely a blip on the radar screen in the UK, and decades of neglect had resulted in deteriorated schools, hospitals and other public assets across Britain. The introduction of private nance reversed this trend, with more than 100 new schools and 130 new hospital projects alone developed though private nancing. Just as the United Kingdoms privatization program
Figure 4. Potential Sources of Efficiencies from PPPs Type Resource Allocation Efficiencies Definition
of the 1980s inspired governments worldwide to sell off stateowned enterprises, its PFI program has produced scores of imitators.22 In India, $47.3 billion is scheduled to be invested in highways alone over the next six years, 75 percent of it coming from public-private partnerships.23 Japan has 20 new PPP projects in the pipeline. In Europe, the volume of PPP deals is doubling, tripling and even quadrupling year to year in many countries. The United States has been slower to adopt this trend. However, this is rapidly changing. More than half the states now have PPP-enabling legislation on their books.24 Texas, Virginia and Florida have been especially active in using PPPs. Texas, for example, is relying on the PPP approach to develop the Trans Texas Corridor, a massive new statewide transportation network that includes roads, commuter and freight rail, and utilities infrastructure. Virginia, for its part, is negotiating PPPs for several new projects, including the Dulles Rail Corridor, high occupancy toll lanes and reconstruction of tolled truck lanes. Across the country, PPPs are now being considered for an increasing number of projects. In short, the PPP trend is global, accelerating and encompassing a broad range of infrastructure sectors.
Examples The private sectors motivation is on the completion of the project to a set of performance standards. Conversely, the public sector will have competing interests for operating resources, which may reduce the performance of the project over its life-cycle The construction and operation of infrastructure may be completed in less time and / or lower overall cost by using market-tested techniques and incentives for innovation
Efciencies are gained from the private sectors ability to allocate resources more effectively
Production Efficiencies
Resources for a specic application can also be used more effectively The ability to be more productive is developed during the private sector organizations years of practice delivering similar projects Access to more capital allows more projects to be funded on a xed capital budget Social benets of infrastructure accrue faster as infrastructure is built sooner
More efcient movement of goods and people Improved quality of life resulting from increased access to infrastructure
New Projects Build Transfer Build Lease Transfer Build Transfer Operate Build Operate Transfer Build Own Operate Transfer Build Own Operate
Public Responsibility
Private Responsibility
Concession
Divestiture
ts-all model to all infrastructure projects. And they can adopt from the outset some of the more exible, creative and tailored PPP approaches now being used in trailblazer countries. Doing so will allow state and local governments to leapfrog to more advanced stages of maturity. For jurisdictions higher up the maturity curve looking to expand their use of PPPs into new sectors such as education and defense, among others, it is important for them to develop a deep understanding of the challenges and potential solutions particular to each infrastructure area. This approach, in turn, will enable this relatively new delivery model to play a far larger role in closing the infrastructure gaps bedeviling America.Toward this end, we begin with a short discussion of the benets states and cities can achieve by using PPPs.
Stage One Establish policy & legislative framework Initiate central PPP policy unit to guide implementation Develop deal structures Get transactions right & develop public sector comparator model Begin to build marketplace Apply early lessons from transport to other sectors
Stage Two
Sophistication
Netherlands
Stage One
China India Slovakia Latvia Russia
Belgium South Africa Denmark Hungary Mexico Finland Czech Republic Brazil Bulgaria Poland Croatia Albania
Stage Two Establish dedicated PPP units in agencies Begin developing new hybrid delivery models Expand and help shape PPP marketplace Leverage new sources of funds from capital markets Use PPPs to drive service innovation PPP market gains depthuse is expanded to multiple projects & sectors
In the US, many states and localities are still at the rst stage of PPP development: designing the partnership policy and legislative framework, getting the procurements and contracts right and building the marketplace by encouraging the private sector to bid on these kinds of contracts. Unfortunately, some jurisdictions at this stage seem to be charging headlong into infrastructure partnerships without a deep understanding of what has worked and what hasnt in other placesputting themselves and others at risk of repeating earlier mistakes in other jurisdictions. Instead, governments at earlier stages of PPP development could benet from the opportunity to learn from the trailblazers who have moved to more advanced stages: the United Kingdom for schools, hospitals and defense facilities and Australia and Ireland for roads, for example. States and localities can avoid some of the mistakes often made in earlier stages of maturity, such as the tendency to apply a one-size-
Stage Three Rene new innovative models More creative, exible approaches applied to roles of public & private sector Use of more sophisticated risk models Greater focus on total lifecycle of project Sophisticated infrastructure market with pension funds & private equity funds Public sector learns from private partner methods as competition changes the way government operations function Underutilized assets leveraged into nancial assets Organizational & skill set changes in government implemented to support greater role of PPPs
Deloitte Research Closing Americas Infrastructure Gap 9
Cost Savings
Cost savings from PPPs typically materialize in several different forms: lower construction costs, reduced life-cycle maintenance costs, and lower costs of associated risks. Construction savings. Experience from several countries has demonstrated that PPPs cost comparatively less during the construction phase of the contract. The savings typically result from innovation in design and better dened asset requirements. A 2000 UK Treasury report found that among a sample of 29 PPP projects for which public sector comparisons were available, the average savings were close to 17 percent.28 In Colorado, the costs of completing construction for segments of the Denver E-470 Toll Road that used a PPP approach came in $189 million below the original cost estimate of $597 million. Through the use of an innovative design-build-nance contract, the Virginia Pocahontas Parkway (Route 895) project came in $10 million below the original $324 million estimated cost of the project.
10
Meanwhile, the construction costs of a primary school constructed through a public-private partnership in Pembroke Pines, Florida, was 22 to 34 percent lower than comparable primary schools.29 Reduced life-cycle costs. In traditional contracting, the private sectors role is typically limited to immediate construction. This can create a perverse incentive to economize on elements of construction today even though maintenance costs might be higher in the long run. Shifting long-term operation and maintenance responsibilities to the construction organization creates a stronger incentive to ensure long-term construction quality because the rm will be responsible for maintenance costs many years down the road. It also encourages more preventative maintenance and reduces the risk of future uctuations in operations costs. The public benets from this life-cycle efciency.
11
could have just chosen the usual route of getting bids from several contractors to build a school. Instead, they concluded that what they really wanted to buy was a quality learning environment and not just a physical assetin this case a school building.35 To that end, they entered a PPP with a consortium of private rms that provide cleaning, caretaking, security, grounds maintenance and information technology, leaving school teachers and ofcials free to spend all their time on the core mission, teaching children. Private partners not only help reduce the construction and maintenance costs (thereby reducing the overall cost of the building), they also negotiate other uses for the building after hours. Involvement of the private partner may also help avoid some of the conicts regarding acceptable after-school and nonacademic use of the facilities.36
While PPPs hold signicant benets as an infrastructure delivery tool, the model is not without its critics. Some of the criticisms are well-grounded and merit careful consideration when evaluating the relative pros and cons of delivery method alternatives. Others, however, are driven by a misunderstanding of PPPs or are based on outdated or incomplete information. For those who would like a fuller understanding of these issues, the most common objections to PPPs are taken up in the appendix. PPPs also present formidable challenges, both at earlier and later stages of market development. Addressing these challenges and maximizing the benets of PPPs require governments to operate in a new way. The remainder of the study examines what a successful PPP entails and how to implement it.
12
Inadequate planning. Without taking proper account of the market in the planning phase, governments may come out with more projects than bidders which in turn creates a noncompetitive environment. On the ipside, too few projects may result in industry moving on to a more active jurisdiction. Taking PPPs to the next stage means avoiding these mistakes and overcoming the challenges. While a step-by-step guide to designing and implementing PPPs is beyond the scope of this study, lessons learned from PPP trailblazers suggest several strategies for successful execution of these partnerships. First, governments need a full life-cycle approach to PPP planning that confers adequate attention to all phases of a PPPfrom policy and planning, to the transaction phase, and then to managing the concession. Such an approach can help avoid problems of poor setup, lack of clarity about outcomes, inadequate internal capacity, and too narrow a focus on the transaction. Second, a strong understanding of the new innovative PPP models available to address more complex issues can help governments achieve the proper allocation of riskeven in conditions of extreme uncertainty about future needs. Proper risk allocation allows governments to tailor PPP approaches to specic situations and infrastructure sectors. The third strategy involves using PPP transactions to unlock the value from undervalued and underutilized assets, such as land and buildings, and using it to help pay for new infrastructure. This strategy gives taxpayers more value for their money. It also encourages greater bidder competition because there is less risk associated with obtaining an interest in the revenue associated with the project. A closer look at each of these strategies follows.
A key requirement during this phase is establishing the necessary legislative and regulatory framework to support the PPP program. With governments worldwide competing to attract investment capital, a poor legislative and statutory environment will stymie a states efforts to engage private rms in planned PPPs. The main features of a legislative framework conducive to PPPs are outlined in the nearby sidebar. The Oregon Legislative Assembly established the Oregon Innovative Partnerships Program within its Department of Transportation (ODOT) in 2003 to pave the way for accelerating important transportation projects by bringing in new funding, expertise and technology. The legislation gave the ODOT authority to form contractual relationships by entering into partnerships with private sector rms and units of government, and removed barriers to the formation of PPPs.37 The program also allows for the fast-track study, design, funding and construction of state highway projects independent of the normal state procurement process. All in all, the Innovative Partnerships Program creates a platform for constructing new transportation infrastructure projects that might otherwise be decades away or might not be constructed at all.
Transaction Phase 1. Transaction process 2. Shortlist qualified bidders 3. Risk transfer and value for money 4. Payment mechanism/performance 5. Request for proposal 6. Finalize project agreement 7. Preferred bidder selection and negotiations 8. Financial close
Establish a Realistic Time Frame. Project objectives, the budget, market interest, the amount of risk shifting, project size, and the structure of the deal all affect the timeline for the project delivery. Secure the Best Value for Money. A fundamental objective in any project is to secure the best value for money. Creating comprehensive nancial models that allow you to evaluate value for money from both a qualitative and quantitative perspective is a critical component of this process. Establish Performance Standards. This often entails using penalties and rewards to achieve the desired behavior. Care must be taken with both rewards and penalties since they can drive unintended consequences. Setting performance standards will also help to develop the best payment approach for each project. Develop a Draft Project Agreement. These agreements are included with the request for proposal (RFP) and help to identify issues bidders may have before the selection of the successful bidder. Establish Construction Governance. Large infrastructure construction projects should have effective governance and controls in place before the project begins in order to avoid cost overruns, scheduling delays and litigation.
Construction and Concession Phase 1. Transition to construction (e.g., design/build) 2. Construction and monitoring 3. Facility operation (contract and relationship management) 4.Evaluate whether promised benefits materialized 5. Maintenance: hard and soft service provision 6. Asset hand back
Monitor Construction. Many entities believe that once they have entered into turnkey contracts with concessionaires their responsibility for construction monitoring and oversight has been transferred. The public will continue to hold the public sector accountable for the successful delivery of the project, however, so it is critical to establish sound monitoring programs throughout the construction phase without creating additional project risks. Monitor the Concession. Under traditional procurement approaches, monitoring substantially ends at the completion of construction. In the case of a PPP procurement, the contract monitoring needs to be far more sophisticated because it is required to address a wide range of issues relating to nance, operations and maintenance over an extended period of time. Prepare Staff. Most jurisdictions are used to undertaking these projects on their own. While PPPs may reduce the need for additional staff to do in-house design and engineering work, current staff are required to provide project management and long-term oversight. Establish the Concession Governance Model. Its important that effective project governance models are established and that skilled individuals are in place during both the construction and concession phase.
Key Activities
15
Transaction phase. The government needs to get a whole series of things right during the transaction phase (and subsequently during the concession phase) to ensure the success of the PPP project. This includes: establishing clear and achievable performance standards; building in the right mixture of nancial incentives for good performance and penalties for poor performance; and determining the optimal amount of risk to shift to the private sector.38 The emphasis should be on managing a competitive procurement that provides the best value for the state and meets the specic requirements of the project within dened procurement and contracting rules. An important requirement of the transaction phase is to protect the publics interests. At every stage of the process, from initiation to the ongoing management of the partnership, government ofcials must ask key questions such as: What are the core values that the government must protect? How can public ofcials maintain these values under a contracted model? Answering these questions requires working through important issues, such as access to services, cost to citizens, fairness and equity, nancial accountability, stability, and quality. Construction and Concession Phase. During this phase the private partner operates the infrastructure facility, while the government provides oversight. Two major activities encompass this phase: construction, and maintenance and operation. While the issues involved in each activity are substantially different, in both cases careful attention to the terms and conditions of the contract and incentive methods will pay off. Public ofcials will want to form a close partnership with the infrastructure provider in order to achieve the goals and objectives for the project. The key for ensuring that the private partner meets the project goals and objectives is to establish a series of performance measures as part of the concession agreement. These should be outcome-based and reect the goals and objectives for the infrastructure facility. The British Columbia Ministry of Transportation, for example, divides requirements into these categories: Key performance measures, which focus on key objectives for asset and corridor management. These should help governments answer the question: Is this facility meeting its transportation objective at multiple levels?39
Asset Preservation Performance Measures. Ensuring sound asset management takes place. Operational Performance Measures. These should focus on day-to-day serviceability. Its important to recognize that asking private partners to provide government services places morenot less responsibility on public ofcials. This requires governments to have a different set of abilities: managers skilled in negotiation, contract management and risk management who will focus on results rather than on defending bureaucratic turf.40 The presence of this cadre of managers with strong project management and change management skills will help to ensure that issues that arise in a long concession relationship can be addressed before litigation becomes necessary. When the Netherlands initiated its rst highway PPP, for example, the government and the private partner held alignment meetings when they faced cooperation problems. These informal meetings, attended by the key team members of both sides, were aimed at de-escalating problemsor working out conicts for the benet of the public.
16
A variety of new and innovative PPP infrastructure delivery models have been developed in recent years to address various challenges posed to public-private partnerships in specic situations and sectors. Alliancing. Under this model, the public and private sectors agree to jointly design, develop, and nance the project. In some cases they also work together to build, maintain and operate the facility. Bundling. This entails contracting with one partner to provide several small-scale PPP projects in order to reduce the length of the procurement process as well as transaction costs. Competitive Partnership. Several private partners are selected, in competition with each other, to deliver different aspects of a project. The contract allows the public sector to reallocate projects among partners at a later date, depending upon performance. The public partner can also use the cost and quality of other partners outputs as a benchmark for all partners. Incremental Partnership. The public sector contracts with a private partner, in which certain elements of the work can be called off, or stopped, if deemed unproductive. The public sector can commission work incrementally, and it reserves the right to use alternative partners if suitable.
Integrator. The public sector appoints a private sector partner, the integrator, to manage the project development. The integrator arranges the necessary delivery functions and is rewarded according to overall project outcomes wherever possible, with penalties for lateness, cost overruns, poor quality, and so on. The integrator has a less direct role in service provision and in some cases is barred from being involved in direct delivery at all. In other cases, the integrator is appointed to carry out the rst phase of work, or specied works but is then barred from carrying out subsequent phases of work to remove the potential for conict of interest between achieving best value for the public sector and maximizing private returns through the supply chain. Joint Venture. A joint venture company is set up, a majority of which is owned by a private sector partner. The public sector selects a strategic partner through a competitive process that includes a bid to carry out the rst phase of work. The typical contract is for 20 years. Subsequent phases are commissioned by the public sector partner, but carried out by the strategic partner using the rst phase of work as a benchmark to determine the appropriateness of future costs. The United Kingdom has used a variant of this model, called local improvement nance trust (LIFT), for its hospital PPPs.
Source: Building Flexibility: New Delivery Models for Public Infrastructure Projects, Deloitte Research, 2005.
The traditional PPP model also has some limitations, however. The procurement process is sometimes long and costly, making it unsuitable for small projects or those with a short lead time.41 The length of the contracts and relative uncertainty about costs mean that a great deal of pressure is placed on both parties to negotiate a contract upfront that is acceptable in the long-term. Changing service requirements at a later stage often comes with a signicant price tag attached. The public sector also needs to be certain about the infrastructure and service requirements before it decides on the right infrastructure approach. If the public sector is not certain about these requirements, then achieving a fair contract price and ensuring that the infrastructure will continue to meet future demands might be difcult.
Uncertainties might be present as a result of latent defects (aws in the existing infrastructure that are not apparent until work begins), policy changes (implying a change in service requirements), demand risks (resulting from the introduction of user choice, for example), changes in public needs or rapid changes in technology. For projects that are especially vulnerable to these uncertainties, models with increased exibility and shorter contract periods can improve the likelihood of achieving public policy objectives for infrastructure development. Fortunately, recognition of these challenges has served to fuel innovation rather than frustrate further development. To accommodate varying degrees of uncertainty about the future and to lower transaction costs, many new PPP approaches
17
have been developed, thus expanding the options available for procurement. Between conventional procurement and full privatization, a wide range of nancing and delivery options exist. A full understanding of these different types of modelsand knowing how and when to use themcan help government agencies choose an appropriate approach and tailor it to meet their particular needs. Two nearby sidebars (Choosing the Right Delivery Model and Hybrid PPP models) provide an overview of a number of these models and how to choose the best one to meet different circumstances. (A more detailed examination of the models can be found in an earlier Deloitte Research paper titled Building Flexibility: New Delivery Models for Public Infrastructure Projects.) Below we take a closer look at how several of these PPP models work in practice. Alliancing. Where uncertainty about the nature of the infrastructure or services required to meet project objectives is irresolvable (unknown technological risks, for example), using an alliancing model can allow projects to go forward. Alliancing is a term used to describe delivery models in which the focus is on encouraging close collaboration between the public and private sector through the use of payment mechanisms that ensure that the interests of all parties are aligned with the project objectives. The aim is to avoid the adversarial relationships and acrimony that sometimes characterize more conventional procurement models, and instead seek to ensure that all parties work together collaboratively for the good of the project. This model can be particularly useful in the defense sector, where projects can be large and indivisible, and where well-dened outputs are often precluded from the outset. The Dutch have frequently used alliancing in economic development projects. Such projects often have diverse output requirements (a specic number of social and affordable housing units, designated areas for public space and community centers and a target level of growing economic activities and trafc ow, among others) that require expertise and resources from various public and private partners in order to meet project objectives and share risks. The Alliancing model connects exibility to effective project implementation to overcome the challenge of joint delivery. Bundling. For smaller projects, traditional PPP processes can be particularly costly when weighed against the projects modest revenue streams. This high cost can deter possible private partners from bidding if they feel future revenue is
unlikely to outweigh transaction costs. Bidding on building individual hospitals, for example, requires substantial investment but presents relatively small returns compared to the expense of construction and maintenance. One way to address this problem is by bundling together several projects. By contracting with just one partner to provide several small-scale projects, the public sector can reduce the length of the procurement process as well as transaction costs. In Australia, bundling sometimes takes the form of grouping hospital construction with ancillary structures and commercial activities, thereby creating enough revenue generation to balance against building and procurement costs. Bundling has also been used in Ireland to reduce the problem of disproportionately high transaction costs relative to the capital value of building new schools. Incremental partnership. Another option for smaller projects is an approach termed incremental partnership. Under this model, the government enters into a framework agreement with a private sector partner that procures the necessary infrastructure and services on behalf of the public sector. As its requirements become clearer, the government agency can call off, or stop specic projects if they appear unproductive. The private sector partner competitively procures the services and infrastructure from subcontractors but retains overall responsibility for service levels as assessed against clear performance measures. There is no exclusivity for the private sector partnerthe public sector retains the right to use alternative providers if it wishes. This avoids the weaknesses associated with big bang, large-scale contracts that are difcult to reverse and require a long-term commitment from both parties. The main point in introducing these models is to illustrate that no single approach addresses all infrastructure issues. Rather, a continuum of delivery models is available to accommodate varying degrees of risk and reduce both transaction costs and procurement time. This range will continue to widen as the eld evolves. In the United States, tax-exempt private activity bonds (PABs) and a more lenient regulatory environment are likely to catalyze innovation in delivery models. As experimentation with new innovative partnership models continues, the old way of approaching procurement as an either-or decision will continue to give way to new hybrid models that can help meet these challenges.
18
Certainty Continuum
Low Low The public sector is unsure about the infrastructure it needs (or even what is possible), let alone when or how it wishes to have it delivered.
Medium Medium The public sector knows the kind of infrastructure it needs, but is less certain about the timing and exact extent of work in wishes to undertake.
High High The public sector knows with confidence either the condition of the assets and/or the future asset and service requirements at a detailed level.
Scheme, Design-Build-Finance-Operate/Maintain, or Conventional Procurement). The integrator, joint venture, or competitive partnership models should be considered where certainty is more limited. The alliancing or incremental partnership models would be more appropriate when a low level of certainty exists. The decision tree below provides some guidance regarding the most appropriate model in certain circumstances. This list of models is by no means exhaustive; any decision to choose one model over another should always be derived from a robust appraisal of the options, based on the specic circumstances in which the project is being developed.
No
Medium
Yes
These public assets tend to be sited in prime locations and often have excess land or control of adjacent properties. The government can use these as equity to partner with the private sector to create new facilities and develop the existing assets. This not only unlocks value from these assets but also helps to meet critical infrastructure needs.43 In the UK, for example, the real estate asset base of local authorities is a huge untapped resource worth around 130 billion. While the authorities have only custodian role for 80 percent of total local government building stock (schools and social housing), they are examining ways to monetize the remaining 20 percentor 26 billion of the aggregate portfoliofor new or expanded infrastructure or services.44 One challenge in using land assets to help nance infrastructure is that property values tend to change dramatically over time, increasing the risk that the public sector is not obtaining maximum public value from the asset, while also heightening uncertainty for the private sector. The UK Ministry of Defense (MoD) is using an innovative hybrid structure in a PPP military base development to address this challenge.45 The massive project, called MoDEL, involves consolidating up to 14 MoD sites into a single location in Northolt in London. The consolidation will relocate up to 3,500 military and civilian personnel into modern facilities. The 200 million project uses receipts raised from selling surplus property over seven years.
20
Transportation
Internationally, transportation has been the largest area of PPP investment. Public-private partnerships have begun to play a central role in answering the pressing need for new and wellmaintained roads, tunnels, bridges, airports, ports, railways and other forms of transportation infrastructure.46 Several factors make transportation infrastructure well suited for PPPs. First, the strong emphasis on the role of cost and efciency helps to align private and public interests. Second, the growing (but by no means universal) public acceptance of user fees for assets such as roads and bridges makes private nancing easier here. (In other sectors fees often come from the government.) The ability to limit participation to actual paying customers, in the form of train tickets or road or bridge tolls, ensures a revenue stream that can offset some or all of the cost of servicea format readily understood by the public. In cases where direct user fees are not desirable, politically or otherwise, fees can be levied indirectly (see Port of Miami Tunnel sidebar). Third, the scale and long-term nature of these projects are well served by PPPs. To date, nearly $21 billion has been invested in 43 highway facilities in the United States using various public-private partnership models during the last 12 years.47 California, Florida, Texas and Virginia are leaders in this eld, having accounted for 50 percent of the total dollar volume ($10.6 billion) through 18 major highway PPP projects.48 State Highway 130 in central Texas is the states rst highway developed under a Comprehensive Development Agreement which allows property acquisition, design and building to proceed simultaneously.49 The project costs around $3.66 billion and is being sponsored by the Texas DOT and Texas Turnpike Authority.50 To the West, the state of California has partnered with the San Diego Expressway, LP, to develop the SR 125 Toll Road San Miguel Mountain Parkway in San Diego County. The new highway will be built and nanced by the private partner. Upon completion, ownership will be transferred to the state. Through a leaseback, the private partner will operate and maintain the new facility for a 35-year period, after which control reverts to the public sector.51
Deloitte Research Closing Americas Infrastructure Gap 21
Table 2. PPP Sector Opportunities Sector Transport Leading Practitioners Australia, Canada, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, New Zealand, Spain, UK, US Main PPP Models Employed BOT, BOOT, Divestiture Challenges Demand uncertainty Supply market constraints Opposition to tolls Transporation network impacts Competing facilities
Upgrading costs and exibility Uncertainty about technology and need for innovation High procurement costs for small-scale projects Political sensitivity around privatization concerns High cost due to uncertainty about alternative revenue streams High procurement costs for small projects Uncertainty about future demographic or policy changes
Education
Defense
Uncertainty about future defense needs Rate of technological change High upfront costs in small-scale projects Securing value for money in noncompetitive situations
Prisons
22
PPP models are not only being applied to new projects, they are also being used for operating and maintaining existing assets. The City of Chicago struck a landmark long-term toll road lease with the Skyway Concession Company, a joint venture between Spanish toll road operator Cintra Concesiones de Infraestructuras de Transporte and the Australian Macquarie Infrastructure Group the rst of its kind in the United Statesthat brought in $1.83 billion to cash-strapped city coffers. In return for operating and maintaining the tollway for the next 99 years, the Skyway Company will collect toll and concession revenues. Subsequently, the CintraMacquerie venture partnered with the Indiana Department of Transportation to operate and maintain the Indiana Toll Road, paying the state $3.8 billion to lease the toll road over the next 35 yearsa windfall of cash thats being reinvested in the states 10-year Major Moves transportation plan. An ardent supporter of 21st century solutions for 21st century transportation challenges, U.S. Secretary of Transportation Mary Peters explains that, We cant assume that the methods of the past will work for the future.52 The federal government is actively encouraging states to experiment with PPPs by providing new federal tools to make private sector participation in transportation infrastructure projects easier and more attractive (see table 3).
Table 3. New Federal Tools for Innovative Partnerships The Transportation Infrastructure Financing Innovation Act (TIFIA)
While the reauthorization of the federal surface transportation program provides for modest increases in the share of federal funds states receive for transportation, states will continue to face a considerable funding shortfall absent the use of innovative approaches to close the gap. The signicance of this shortfall extends far beyond the immediate mobility crisis. As Texas learnedthe hard wayinadequate infrastructure can be a deal breaker for economic expansion. When PC maker Dell decided to locate its next expansion in Nashville rather than in Austin, the companys headquartersgiven the mediocre condition of Austins roadsthe city lost out on 10,000 new jobs. As a result, the state is stepping up its efforts to close its transportation gap to regain competitive advantage. The good news for states willing to learn from Texass experience is that by taking advantage of increased federal latitude, new nancing and available delivery tools, as well as capital markets eager to invest in the transportation sector, states can get a better handle on their own transportation backlogs.
Provides federal credit assistance to nationally or regionally signicant surface transportation projects. In 2005 the program was broadened. The qualifying project cost threshold was reduced to $50 million, or $15 million for Intelligent Transportation Systems projects, and program eligibility was extended to more projects, including private facilities deemed publicly benecial for highway users. Provide private developers and operators access to tax-exempt interest rates for highway and surface freight transfer projects, signicantly lowering the cost of capital. Highway facilities and surface freight transfer facilities are eligible for up to $15 billion in tax-exempt facility bonds. Enables states to obtain federal waivers to experiment with new public-private partnership approaches in four major areas of project delivery: contracting, right-of-way acquisition, project nance and compliance with the National Environmental Policy Act and other environmental requirements. Allow states to collect tolls on federally funded Interstate highways for the purpose of improving Interstate highway corridors.
Toll Credits
Source: U.S. Department of Transportation
23
Solutions
Because the transportation sector is the most advanced in the use of PPPs, several solutions to these challenges have already been tested. For example, shadow tolling and availability-based payments have been used in situations where demand uncertainty about road use makes pulling a nancing package together difcult. The public sector pays tolls to the private partner based on the availability of the asset to users and on service levels, such as the condition of the roads, thus transferring the demand risk to the public sector and allowing the project to go forward under conditions of uncertainty.
24
Solutions
Thinking creatively about the best nancing and delivery model can help overcome some of the challenges in this sector. For example, governments can reduce the length of the procurement process and attract companies with stronger nancial and operational capacity by using a bundling approach. This saves procurement time and effort as the public sector is no longer required to contract with different private partners in delivering individual small-scale projects. A key challenge in this sector is that the consumer is generally not exposed to the full cost of water. Moving to full cost pricing of water utilities before moving to a PPP approach can help to avoid rate shocks that may derail the project.
25
Education
The majority of public schools in America were built to accommodate the Baby Boomersmeaning these facilities, on average, are now more than 40 years old.55 The investment required to bring the nations schools up to good condition is estimated to run between $19.7 billion and $28.6 billion.56 Public-private partnerships could potentially help make up the funding shortfall and meet growing near-term enrollment demands. While there are variations, the private sector typically nances, designs, constructs and operates a public school facility under a contract with the government for a given time period, for example, 20 to 30 years. At the end of that concession period, ownership of the facility transfers to the government. The private sector often also provides related noncore services (school transport, food services, cleaning and so on) under contract, while the government continues to provide core services, namely, teaching. Sale-leaseback and lease-leaseback arrangements represent two other common PPP models used for schools. The school district typically either sells or leases surplus land to a developer who builds a school on the land and leases it back to the school district on favorable termsor in some cases provides the facility free of charge to the school district in exchange for development rights on this land or other surplus property. In 1996, the Houston Independent School District used a leaseleaseback arrangement with a private developer to obtain two new schools $20 million under budget and a year earlier than originally planned.57
Potential Benefits of School PPPs Faster construction Shift expenses from capital to operating budgets Focus attention on core educational goals and away from facilities management Innovative designs resulting in built-to-suit schools Enhanced community use from multi-use facilities
The United Kingdom is home to the worlds largest and most sophisticated PPP schools program. Most new schools are built using some variant of PPP model. All in all, more than 100 education PPP deals have been signed, with a value of $3.6 billion. The next frontier: using PPPs to refurbish and modernize every school in the country. Over the next 1015 years, every school in Britain will be brought up to 21st century standards through a program called Building Schools for the Future. Compared with those in the United Kingdom, school PPPs in the United States are still in their infancy. Several factors, however, point to continued growth here. First, the 2001 Economic Growth and Reconciliation Act passed by Congress allowed, for the rst time, private developers to nance new school building with tax-exempt private activity bonds, providing them access to preferred borrowing rates. Second, several states in recent years have passed laws explicitly authorizing and encouraging school PPPs. In 2002, for example, Virginia passed the Public-Private Education Facilities Act, enabling the public sector to enter into publicprivate partnerships for infrastructure projects. Stafford County was the rst to take advantage of the new authority. The county partnered with a private developer to build two new elementary schools, a high school and several revenueproducing community facilities. Other cities and counties in Virginia have followed suit, allowing both solicited and unsolicited proposals for design-build schools. Maryland passed similar legislation authorizing alternative nancing methods.58 The absence of authorizing legislation in a state could potentially signicantly delay school PPP projects. Despite the potential benets of using PPPs for school projects, Nova Scotia, Canada, which used PPPs to build 39 schools in the late 1990s, provides a cautionary tale. Originally, the government had planned to build 55 schools, but the number was scaled back when the initiative was beset by a variety of political and other problems, including cost overruns, weak government management and problems with the contract terms.60 Today privately operated schools represent approximately 14 percent of the square footage in the provinces schools.
26
Solutions
As mentioned earlier, bundling can be used to address the issue of small-scale projects with high transaction costs. In school construction, PPP becomes nancially more attractive as the number of schools covered by the contract increases. This is particularly the case for the construction of primary schools, where projects tend to be small and of more limited scope. The incremental model, in which different elements of the work can be called off on an ad hoc basis, is one option for reducing the challenges of uncertainty. The public sector would retain the option to contract with other partners without incurring nancial penalties. This approach allows for some exibility to meet demographic or policy changes. In addition, PPP contractual terms should be made exible enough to provide for the possibility that the school may need to be enlarged. Last, a buy-back model can be used. Under this model the government purchases the school building from the private partner once it has been completed and then contracts back for maintenance services.
27
Solutions
In noncompetitive situations, renegotiating and extending an existing contract may be an option. The government needs to be sure, however, that the contract extension improves the contractual terms, lowers costs, and delivers better services. As in other sectors, alliancing and incremental partnership models work well when demand is uncertain because these models break the PPP work into phases. The integrator model could also be used to meet this challenge, as in the case of MoDEL in the United Kingdom. Under this model, the private sector partner has responsibility for project development and takes signicant project risk but has a less direct role in service provision. The integrator is appointed to carry out the initial phases of work but is barred from direct delivery and from carrying out the subsequent phases. To overcome the high levels of uncertainty in information technology projects, an alliancing strategy may be used, provided that the public sector is able to retain the signicant project risks and has the requisite negotiation and project management experience.
28
Prisons
Close to 7 percent of inmates in state and federal prisons in the United States are in private facilities, the highest number of prisons in any country in the world. As many as 34 states and the federal government have contracted with the private sector to provide prison services. In New Mexico, for example, around 45 percent of prisoners were in private prisons as of 2001. As public service contracting expert Gary Sturgess points out: The US prisons market is extraordinarily complex, with some facilities that are publicly owned but managed by the private sector under contract; some that are privately designed, built and operated under long-term contract to government; some that are privately owned but leased to other private (or public) providers; and a number that have been constructed by private companies (or by public-private joint ventures) on a speculative basis and offered through a spot market to governments with overcrowding problems.62 All in all, the number of prisoners in private prisons is increasing at four times the rate of growth of inmates in public sector prisons. Six states now hold at least one-quarter of their prisoners in private facilities.63 Texas, which has the largest number of prisoners in private prisons, compares its public and private prisons on a biannual basis and mandates that private prisons provide at least 10 percent more savings than publicly maintained prisons.64
Solutions
Government ofcials must pay close attention during each phase of the PPP life cycle to the core public values they must protect and to how they can maintain the integrity of these values in a partnership.65 Critical are well-written performance standards that reward the private partner for providing the kind of care required. Among the items that should be specied are minimum levels of health, food, and other necessities; the number of government employee monitors who will always be on site; what they will inspect; and how frequently the inspections should occur.
29
Conclusion
Looking at the infrastructure challenge facing America today may seem overwhelming. The historical boom-and-bust spending cycle in the states has created huge infrastructure decits, the consequences of which are signicant both for citizens who have to deal with decrepit facilities and for state governments ghting to stay competitive in todays at world. PPPs are not a panacea. Rather, they are one tool governments have at their disposal for infrastructure delivery; one that has produced several benets: faster construction; big gains in ontime and within-budget delivery; reduced life-cycle costs; better value for money; a vastly improved overall investment climate for infrastructure; and economic stimulus. By making the best use of the delivery models that are available and by continuing to innovate, the public sector can confront the infrastructure challenges ahead.
30
31
percent described value for money as poor.69 A more recent survey of Scottish local government authorities made similar ndings.70 Last, conventional procurement has resulted in very poor value for money, thanks to cost overruns, delays, and so on. Several factors contribute to value for money, but primary among them is efcient risk allocation. Risk allocation is based on the premise that risk should be transferred to the party that is best suited to manage it. Optimal risk allocation leads to reduced cost associated with risk, which in turn leads to better value for money. Evidence supports the view that PPPs transfer construction and maintenance risk to the private sector more effectively than traditional methods and is likely to deliver value for money where competition is strong and the projects are large. A review of eight Partnerships Victoria projects found a weighted average savings of 9 percent against the risk-adjusted Public Sector Comparator.71 In the case of smaller projects, bundling helps to spread procurement costs across several discrete projects.72
Time Overruns
Capital Costs
Debt
Design Costs
32
4. Customers of the Service Will End Up on the Short End of the Stick
Since the infrastructure facilities often are monopolies, the private sector can raise charges as much as they wish on consumers who end up disadvantaged by PPPs. This is a complicated issue because historically political considerations have often meant that increases in user fees did not keep pace with the rate of ination for toll roads and other public infrastructure and their associated operational and maintenance costs. This gap contributes to funding shortfalls and deferred maintenance. One goal for many governments in using PPPswhether explicit or implicithas been to move the issue of fee increases away from the political realm so that market, rather than political, considerations can guide fee increases. That said, governments have several options to limit excessive fee increases and protect consumers of the infrastructure. First, fee increases can be limited by contract to the rate of ination or some other predetermined rate, a common practice for toll road projects, or the government can retain the power to set rates based on objective criteria. Second, private investment presupposes a revenue stream from which the private investor can earn a return. The revenue stream, however, does not have to consist solely of an interest in tolls or other fees imposed directly on users of the project. In cases where governments want a toll lower than what is needed to service/repay project debt, they can pay an availability fee to the private sector to make up for the difference. Great Britain likewise has used shadow tolling to support its PFI program. Governments can also link the payment for the use of the infrastructure to the users ability to pay. To offset the hardship that particular groups might experience from toll charges, for example, public ofcials can consider transportation vouchers or other mechanisms, like subsidies, to ease the nancial burden, understanding that this will bring in less revenue.
33
Table 2. Types of Financing Category User fees, revenue sources Financing Type Tolls Characteristics Tolls (or similar user charges for use of a facility) are considered a revenue source for a project, thereby providing a stream of payments that the bidders can use to determine their return on investment and to obtain nancing. Shadow tolls are typically a means by which the government sponsor can make payments, based on usage of the facility, to the private sector operator. Availability payments are nancial payments from the government to the private partner stipulated in a transaction to make up the difference between the governmentimposed user fee (if any) and the cost of usage of the delivered service. Such payments can be in the form of tranches or in one lump sum (such as at the successful completion of the facility or for the agreed-upon maintenance requirements of the facility).
5. Government is Forced to Bail Out PPP Projects When Demand Fails to Meet Projections
Underestimating future demand jeopardizes project returns and the fiscal solvency of the project itself. As explained earlier, shifting risk to the private sector is a major part of the rationale for PPPs. In the United States, most road PPPs transfer all or most of the demand risk to the private sector. Down under, Melbournes EastLink project transfers 100 percent of the project risk to the private sector. To be sure, when the private provider faces problems with demand and is unable to continue the contract, it may terminate the partnership, but it cannot take the facility with it. In most cases, the facility reverts to the public sector. A variation on the conventional DBFO/M is the DB/FO/M model, a two-stage model used in the Highway 407 project in Canada, which has been successful in bringing projects with uncertain revenue streams to the market. The model is usually employed in situations when there is uncertainty about the future needs. Initially the public sector nances a DB project undertaken by the private partner and later sells the completed facility to a private consortium responsible for its operations. This model is dependent, however, on the availability of public funds.76
Shadow tolls
Availability payments
For sectors where future needs are less certain, like water and wastewater, the public sector can enter into an arrangement where it buys back the facility from the private partner immediately after it is completed. The public sector can then enter into a long-term leasing agreement with the private sector to operate the facility and sell water to customers at a xed price. Both the public and the private sector gain from this arrangement and the customer is not adversely affected. The public sector gains ownership of the facility without having to make upfront capital investments; the private sector gains more certainty about its future revenue.75
34
Endnotes
Grahame Allen, The Private Finance Initiative (PFI), Research Paper, Economic Policy and Statistics Section, House of Common Library, December 2001 (http://www.parliament.uk/commons/lib/research/ rp2001/rp01-117.pdf). 2 World Bank Infrastructure Governance Roundtable, UK, PPP Forum (www.worldbank.org/.../presentations/UK%20- %20PPP%20Beazley%2 0Long%20-%20On-YeeTai%20PRESENTATION.ppt). 3 California Transportation Commission Annual Report 1999, California Transportation Commission, Sacramento, CA, 1999. 4 Texas Transportation Institute, Texas Transportation Institute Mobility Report 2005 (tti.tamu.edu/documents/mobility_report_2005.pdf). 5 Interview with Andrew Fremier, deputy executive director, Bay Area Toll Authority, April 13, 2006. 6 TRIP (a national transportation research group), Rough Ride Ahead: Metro Areas with the Roughest Rides and Strategies to Make Our Roads Smoother, May, 2005 (www.tripnet.org/national.htm). 7 American Society of Civil Engineers, Massachusetts and Rhode Island State Infrastructure Report Cards, 2005 (http://www.asce.org/ reportcard/2005/states.cfm). 8 American Society of Civil Engineers, 2005 Report Card for Americas Infrastructure (http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/index.cfm). 9 William W. Millar, Statement on Texas Transportation Institutes (TTI) Annual Congestion Report, Transit News, American Public Transportation Association, May 9, 2005 (http://www.apta.com/media/ releases/050509urban_mobility.cfm). 10 Kent Kirk, Clean Water ThreatenedAs Federal Dollars Decline the Cost of Clean Rises, Urban Water Council: Newsletter of the Urban Water Council of The United States Council of Mayors, spring 2006 (http://www.usmayors.org/urbanwater/newsletters/spring06.pdf). 11 American Society of Civil Engineers, States Report 2005 (http://www. asce.org/reportcard/2005/states.cfm). 12 Pete Millard, The $64 Billion Question: Wisconsins Looming Infrastructure Costs, Wisconsin Interest 13(2), spring 2004 (http://www.wpri. org/WIInterest/Vol13no2/Mil13.2.pdf). 13 Simon Ferrie, New Head of USDOT Recommends Tolling, Americas News, October 23, 2006, p. 3. 14 From an average of 2.8 percent between 1958 and 1969, to 1.4 percent between 1970 and 1986. See Robert Rider, Maintaining Wisconsins Competitiveness---Corridors 2020, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau, 1st Quarter 1991 (http://www.uwsp.edu/business/CWERB/ 1stQtr91/SpecialReportQtr1_91.htm). 15 Scott M. Kozel, Roads to the Future (http://www.roadstothefuture. com/Road_Funding_US.html). 16 CA Legislative Analyst 2004, California Transportation Commission testimony 2005, Sacramento, CA, 2004. 17 The sources: $93.2 million from the California Transportation Commission; $76.3 million from the Alameda County Transportation Improvement Authority; $31.5 million from the Metropolitan Transportation Commission; $25 million from the Port of Oakland; and $30 million from SB 916 3rd Dollar Bridge Toll. 18 Governor Mitch Daniels, Transforming Government Through Privatization, Annual Privatization Report 2006, Reason Foundation, April 2006. 19 Design-Build Effectiveness Study, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, January 2006 (http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ reports/designbuild/designbuild.htm). 20 Allen, The Private Finance Initiative (PFI). 21 World Bank Infrastructure Governance Roundtable, UK, PPP Forum (www.worldbank.org/.../presentations/UK%20-%20PPP%20Beazley%20 Long%20-%20On-YeeTai%20PRESENTATION.ppt). 22 With the increased PPP activity, a rapidly growing private market in infrastructure provision has developed. Rapidly expanding multinational rms with billions in annual revenues and specializing in roads, water, prisons, schools and other infrastructure areas are bringing innovation, best practices and capital to bear across the world.
1
Private Sector to Play Signicant Role in Indian Infrastructure: Assocham, Projects Today, July 7, 2006 (http://www.projectstoday.com/ newsr.asp?newsid=15667). 24 Government Accountability Ofce, Highway Finance: States Expanding Use of Tolling Illustrates Diverse Challenges and Strategies, GAO-06554, June 2006, pp.20-25. 25 Allison Padova, Federal Commercialization in Canada, Parliamentary Research and Research Services, Library of Parliament, December 20, 2005 (http://www.parl.gc.ca/information/library/PRBpubs/prb0545e.html). 26 PFI: Construction Performance, National Audit Ofce, 2003. Note: Previous experience based on 1999 government survey. PFI experience is based on NAO survey of 37 projects. 27 Some of the risks that are transferred: meeting required standards of delivery; cost overrun risk during construction; timely completion of the facility; underlying costs to the operator of service delivery and the future costs associated with the asset; risk of industrial action or physical damage to the asset; and certain market risks associated with the project. 28 Allen, The Private Finance Initiative (PFI). 29 Cliff Woodruff, Gross State Product, 2004, (data for 19972004), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce (www.bea. gov/bea/newsrel/gspnewsrelease.htm). 30 Chapter 3 of Report to Congress on Public Private Partnerships, U.S. Department of Transportation, December 2004, p. 51 (http://www.fhwa. dot.gov/reports/pppdec2004/pppdec2004.pdf). 31 Report to the Congress on PPPs, 2004 (http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/reports/ pppdec2004/#ftnref65). 32 A Study of Innovations in the Funding and Delivery of Transportation Infrastructure Using Tolls, Durbin Associates, November 14, 2005. 33 PFI: Meeting the Investment Challenge, UK Treasury, July 2003 (http:// www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media//648B2/PFI_604a.pdf ). 34 Illinois Tollway Partners with Mobility Technologies to Help ChicagoArea Motorists Improve Travel Plans, Company News, December 15, 2003 (http://mobilitytechnologies.com/press/december_15_2003.html). 35 Stephen Goldsmith and William D. Eggers, Governing by Network: The New Shape of the Public Sector (Washington, DC: Brookings Press, 2004), p.57. 36 Ronald D. Utt, New Tax Law Boosts School Construction with PublicPrivate Partnerships, Heritage Foundation, August 8, 2001 (http://www. heritage.org/Research/Taxes/BG1463.cfm). 37 Ofce of the Innovative Partnerships and Alternative Funding, Background of Innovative Partnerships Program, Oregon Department of Transportation (http://www.oregon.gov/ODOT/HWY/OIPP/ background.shtml). 38 Goldsmith and Eggers, Governing by Network, chapter 5. 39 Highway Asset Preservation Performance Measures for Highway Concessions, British Columbia Ministry of Transport, October 2004. 40 Goldsmith and Eggers, Governing by Network, chapter 7. 41 PFI: Meeting the Investment Challenge, UK - HM Treasury, July 2003 (www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/648B2/PFI_604.pdf). 42 21st Century School Fund, Building Outside the Box: Public-Private PartnershipA Strategy for Improved Public School Buildings, 1999 (http://www.21csf.org/csf-home/Documents/Oyster/Building_Outside_ Box.pdf). 43 John F. Williams, Development Partnerships: Sharing Risk and Rewards on Publicly Sponsored Projects, National Council for Public Private Partnerships paper, June 2005 (http://ncppp.org/resources/papers/development_williams.pdf). 44 Andrea Carpenter and others, Ten Principles for Creating Value from Local Government Property, Urban Land Institute, sponsored by Deloitte, 2006.
23
35
Innovations in Defence Procurement: Lessons Learnt from Four Recent Projects, Deloitte Research UK (internal publication), 2006. 46 Doyin Abiola et al. Solutions to International Challenges in PPP Model Selection: A Cross-Sectoral Analysis, paper prepared for Deloitte Research and the London School of Economics, March 13, 2006. 47 Bryan Grote, Understanding Contemporary Public-Private Highway Transactions: The Future of Infrastructure Finance?, testimony to Highways, Transit and Pipelines Subcommittee, Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, U.S. House of Representatives, May 24, 2006 (http://www.house.gov/transportation/highway/06-05-24/Grote. pdf). 48 Nationwide, PPPs have accounted for more than one-quarter of the total user-backed private investment in U.S. highways (nearly $13 billion of the total $49 billion). See Grote, Understanding Contemporary Public-Private Highway Transactions: The Future of Infrastructure Finance? 49 To be considered a CDA, a project has to follow the characteristics of design-build (DB) contracting, dened as follows: A comprehensive development agreement is an agreement with a private entity that, at a minimum, provides for the design and construction of a transportation project and may also provide for the nancing, acquisition, maintenance, or operation of a transportation project. 50 PPP Case Studies: Texas State Highway 130, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation (http://www.fhwa. dot.gov/ppp/sh130.htm). 51 PPP Case Studies: South Bay Expressway (SR 125), Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation (www.fhwa.dot.gov/ ppp/sr125.htm). 52 Ken Orski, Beyond the Tipping Point VII, Innovation Briefs, November December 2006. 53 Peter Fitzgerald, Review of Partnerships Victoria Provided Infrastructure, January 2004 (http://www.gsg.com.au/pdf/PPPReview. pdf). 54 Elizabeth Brubaker, Revisiting Water and Wastewater Utility Privatization, paper prepared for the Government of Ontario Panel on the Role of Government and presented at Public Goals, Private Means, Research Colloquium Faculty of Law, University of Toronto, October 2003 (http://www.environmentprobe.org/enviroprobe/pubs/ev561.pdf). 55 U.S. Department of Education, Conditions of Americas Public School Facilities, Institute of Educational Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, 1999 (http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/frss/ publications/2000032). 56 American Society of Civil Engineers, 2005 Report Card for Americas Infrastructure, March 2, 2005 (http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/ page.cfm?id=31). 57 Evergreen Freedom Foundation, School Construction: Building a Better Schoolhouse, School Directors Handbook, 2003, p. SC-3 (http://www. effwa.org/pdfs/Construction.pdf). 58 Need Space? School-Facility Public-Private Partnerships: An Assessment of Alternative Financing Arrangements, Appleseed Foundation, 2004, p.12 (http://www.edfacilities.org/pubs/appleseed.pdf). 59 Adrian Moore and Lisa Snell, forthcoming policy brief from the Reason Foundation, 2006. Also see: Jennifer Tell Wolter, Lease-Leaseback Construction: The Sudden School, Prosper, At Work, In Life, May 2006 (http://www.prospermag.com/go/prosper/The_Magazine/may_2006/ leaseleaseback_construction/index.cfm); Thomas York, A Lesson in Saving Energy: Geothermal System at Inderkum High School, One of the Largest in Nation, California Construction, September 2004 (http:// california.construction.com); and Mary Lynne Vellinga, Old Is New Again, Sacramento Bee, May 16, 2004 (http://www.sacbee.com). 60 Jim Meek, Schools Out, Summit 4(1), March 2001 (http://www.summitmagazine.com/Articles_Columns/Summit_Articles/2001/0301/0301_ Schools_out.htm). 61 Stephen Goldsmith and William D. Eggers, Governing by Network: The New Shape of the Public Sector (Washington, DC: Brookings Press, 2004), p.160. 62 Gary L. Sturgess and Briony Smith, Designing Public Service Markets: The Custodial Sector as a Case Study, Policy Study 2, Serco Institute, 2006, p.8.
45
Bureau of Justice, Prisoners in 2004, U.S. Department of Justice, Washington, DC, October 2005, p. 5. 64 Geoffrey F. Segal and Adrian T. Moore, Weighing the Watchmen: Evaluating the Costs and Benets of Outsourcing Correctional Services, Part II, Reason Public Policy Institute, January 2002 (http://www.rppi. org/ps290.pdf). 65 PPP Forum (http://www.pppforum.com/faq.html#faqs). 66 Allen, The Private Finance Initiative (PFI). 67 CGF Technical Note (http://www.hmtreasury.gov.uk/media/548/7D/CGF_ technicalnote1.pdf). 68 Taylor Wessing, PFI and PPP Projects Update, September 2004. 69 PFI: Meeting the Investment Challenge, July 2003. 70 Caroline Low, Daniel Hulls and Alan Rennison, Public Private Partnerships in Scotland: Evaluation of Performance Final Report 2005, Cambridge Economic Policy Associates Ltd, May 13, 2005 (http://www. scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2005/05/05153704/37067). 71 Peter Fitzgerald, Review of Partnerships Victoria Provided Infrastructure, January 2004 (http://www.gsg.com.au/pdf/PPPReview. pdf). 72 Tom Startup, Building Flexibility: New Models for Public Infrastructure Projects, Deloitte Research UK, March 2006. 73 Focus Infrastructure, Allens Arthur Robinson, September 2003 (http://www.aar.com.au/pubs/pdf/infra/foinfsep03.pdf). 74 Allen, The Private Finance Initiative (PFI). 75 Abiola, et al. Solutions to International Challenges in PPP Model Selection: A Cross-Sectoral Analysis. 76 Ibid.
63
36
In addition, dozens of Deloitte practitioners from DTT member rms across the globe offered important insights into how to make this relatively new delivery model work better for governments. Several colleagues in particular played major roles: Michael Flynn of Deloitte Ireland helped from the outset to shape the framework and key elements of the study and provided hundreds of helpful comments. Saad Ra of Deloitte Canada developed the project life-cycle approach. Other Deloitte colleagues who made signicant contributions to the study include: Greg Pellegrino and Bob Campbell of Deloitte Services LP, Charlie Thompson and Sukumar Kalmanje of Deloitte Consulting LP, Paul Stephen, Glen McCauley and Mike Kerr of Deloitte United Kingdom, Hans Bossert of Deloitte Russia, Erik Boels and Kees Zachariasse of Deloitte Netherlands, Bernard Nauta and John Nicholson of Deloitte Slovakia and Roger Black of Deloitte Australia. Mark Pighini of Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP and Vince Loose of Deloitte Consulting LLP provided several helpful comments and leadership. Several outside experts also graciously agreed to review the study and offer insights. Thanks especially go to Gary Sturgess of the Serco Institute, who contributed detailed comments on many aspects of the study. Brian Chase of The Carlyle Group Karen Hedlund and Geoff Yarema of Nossaman, Gunther, Knox and Elliot, and Dr. Adrian Moore and Geoff Segal of the Reason Foundation also contributed helpful comments and advice.
Acknowledgements
This study was the result of a team effort in every sense of the word. First of all, Deloitte Researchs Tom Startup of Deloitte United Kingdom and Venkataramana Yanamandra of Deloitte Services LP contributed greatly to the research and development of the study. The study would not have been possible without their help. Second, the study was the result of academic partnerships with two venerable universities. Much of the in-depth research in the sector opportunities and challenges section of the report was conducted by graduate students at the London School of Economics as part of their Capstone program. These students, Doyin Abiola, David Cai, Kelsey Froehlich, Cathy Han and Carolyn Huynh, now graduates of LSE, did a superb job sorting through an extremely complex subject. Also making an important contribution to the study was David Kwok, a gradate student at the Goldman School from the University of California-Berkeley, who spent three months helping us look at the benets and theoretical underpinnings of PPPs.
Contacts
Robert N. Campbell III U.S. Public Sector Industry Leader Deloitte Services LP Tel: 512.226.4210 Email: [email protected] Greg Pellegrino Global Public Sector Managing Director Deloitte Services LP Tel: 202.378.5405 Email: [email protected] Jessica Blume U.S. Public Sector Industry Consulting Leader Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 404.631.2900 Email: [email protected] John Skowron State Government Segment Leader Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 412.402.5228 Email: [email protected] Illinois, Minnesota and Wisconsin Pat Hagan Deloitte Services LP Tel: 312.486.3044 Email: [email protected] Indiana Todd Higgins Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 412.402.5068 Email: [email protected] Louisiana, New Mexico and Texas George Scott Deloitte Services LP Tel: 512.691.2397 Email: [email protected] Maine and New Hampshire Michael Marino Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 617.437.2310 Email: [email protected] Massachusetts Gail McNaughton Deloitte & Touche LLP Tel: 617.437.2291 Email: [email protected] Michigan Dennis Nickels Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 616.336.7937 Email: [email protected] New York Stew Rog Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 908.673.5275 Email: [email protected] North Carolina and South Carolina Bob Andrews Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 404.631.2691 Email: [email protected] Ohio Eric Friedman Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 216.589.5420 Email: [email protected] Pennsylvania Tim Wiest Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 717.651.6300 Email: [email protected]
Mark Pighini U.S. Public Sector Industry Financial Advisory Services Leader Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Tel: 404.220.1983 Email: [email protected] Vincent M. Loose Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 717.651.6250 Email: [email protected] Canada Saad Rafi
State Contacts
Alabama and Florida Tom Walker Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 404.631.3300 Email: [email protected] California Carlo Grifone Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 916.288.3156 Email: [email protected] Colorado Tim Davis Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: 303.312.4062 Email: [email protected]
38
39
About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, a Swiss Verein, its member rms and their respective subsidiaries and afliates. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu is an organization of member rms around the world devoted to excellence in providing professional services and advice, focused on client service through a global strategy executed locally in nearly 150 countries. With access to the deep intellectual capital of approximately 135,000 people worldwide, Deloitte delivers services in four professional areas, audit, tax, consulting and nancial advisory services, and serves more than one-half of the worlds largest companies, as well as large national enterprises, public institutions, locally important clients, and successful, fast-growing global growth companies. Services are not provided by the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Verein and, for regulatory and other reasons, certain member rms do not provide services in all four professional areas. As a Swiss Verein (association), neither Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu nor any of its member rms has any liability for each others acts or omissions. Each of the member rms is a separate and independent legal entity operating under the names Deloitte, Deloitte & Touche, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu or other related names. In the United States, Deloitte & Touche USA LLP is the U.S. member rm of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu and services are provided by the subsidiaries of Deloitte & Touche USA LLP (Deloitte & Touche LLP, Deloitte Consulting LLP, Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP, Deloitte Tax LLP, and their subsidiaries), and not by Deloitte & Touche USA LLP. The subsidiaries of the U.S. member rm are among the nations leading professional services rms, providing audit, tax, consulting, and nancial advisory services through nearly 40,000 people in more than 90 cities. Known as employers of choice for innovative human resources programs, they are dedicated to helping their clients and their people excel. For more information, please visit the U.S. member rms Web site at www.deloitte.com Copyright 2007 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.