USN

Code: MA411
S SCLENCE
S AN
UNIVNP

JSS MAHAVIDYAPEETHA
JSS SCIENCE AND
SRI
JAYACHAMARAJENDRA TECHNOLQGY UNIVERSITY
JSS Technical
Institutions
cOLLEGE OF ENGINEERING
Campus, Mysuru-570 006,
Karnataka
JULYIAUGUST-2021 Semester End Examinations
PROGRAMME: B.E.
BRANCH: CSE, ECE, EEE, EIE, ISE DATE:28-07-2021
SEMESTER: IV DAY: Wednesday
PAPER SETTER: TIME: 09:30-12:30 p
Manjunatha B J DURATION: 3 hours
MAX. MARKS: 100
PROBABILITY, RANDOMVARIABLES AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

NOTE: 1. Answer all the questions in PART-A

2. Questions in PART-B have
internal choice

PART-A
Q.NO CO CD QUESTION
An Um contains 2 white and 2 black balls and a second urn
MARKS
contains 2white and 4 black balls. If one ball is drawn at
1(a) CO1 2 random from each urn what is the
the same colour?
probability that they are of 05

Three Machines A, B and C

produce respectively 60%, 30%,
10% of the total number of items a of factory. The|
percentages of defective output of these machines are
(6) CO1 2,3 respectively 2%, 3% and 4%. An item is selected at random 05
and is found defective. Find the
produced by machine C.
probability that the item was

A random variable X has the

following probability function
for various value of x.
x 0 1 2 3
2(a) C02 3 Px) |k Sk 10k 10k Sk
05
Find the velue of k, Mean and variance.
Also find
P(1<x 4).

Findthevalueofksuch that fxkx,1<x<3

0 otherwise
(6) CO2 3
is a p.d.f. Also compute (i) Mean and Variance
(i)P(2<x<3) OS
 USN Code: MA4
distribution table for two random
The joint probability
variables Xand Yis as follows. 4
-2

0.1 0.2 0 0.3

3 (a) Co3 2,3,4 2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Determine the marginal probability distribution of Xand Y.

Also compute (a) expectation of X, Y and XY (6) Standard
Deviation of X, Y (c) Covariance of X and Y (d) Correlation
of X and Y.

A random sample of size 2 is drawn from the population 3,4,

5. Find (a) the mean and standard deviation of the population
4 (a) CO4 (6) the mean and standard deviation of the sampling
2, 3 05
distribution of means (i)With replacement
i) Without replacement.

A coin is tossed 1000 times and head

(b) C04 turns up 540 times.
2,3 Decide on the hypothesis that the coin is unbiased. 05

Define (i) Probability vector (ii)

Find the unique fixed
Stochastic matrix.
S (a) Co5 1,3
probability vector of the regular
stochastic
stochastic matrix
matrix A=34 1/4 05
A1/2 1/2]
The transition matrix
P. of a
Markov chain is given by
1/2 1/with the initial probability
COS 1,3 distribution
p=(1/4, 3/4). Define and find the following (i) P (i)
05
Pi (Gii) p

PART-E
Q.NO CO CD QUESTION
6 (a) CO1 3 The MARK
probability that a team wins a
match is 3/5. If this team
play
3 matches in a
tournament, what is the probability that the team
(a)win all the matches (b) win at least one match (c) win at most
one match 05

(6) CO1 3 There are 12 students of which 5 are

graduates. If a committee
of 6 is tobe formed, what is the
probability that there are (i)
only 4 graduates (ii) at least 4
graduates 05

OR
7(a)CO1 1,2,3 State and Prove Baye'stheorem on conditional probability.
(6)| CO1 The Chances that 4 students A, B, C, D 05
2,3 solve a problem are 1/2,|
1/3, 1/4, 1/4 respectively. If all of them try to solve the problem
what is the probability that the problem is solved? 05
 USN
Code: MA411
S ( 0 ) C o
2 2 The probability that a pen manufactured a
defective is 1/10. If 12 such by factory be
pens
probability tha (i) cxactly 3 are are
manufactured, what is the
defective (ii) none of them are defective (ii) at least 2 are 05
defective
CO2 In a test on
electric bulbs, it was found
(b) 3 that the life time of a
particular brand was distributed normally with an average life of
2000 hours and S.D s of 60
hours. If a firm purchases 2500
bulbs find the number
of bulbs that are likely to last for (i) more
than 2100 05
hours (ii) less than 1950 hours (ii) between 1900 to
2100 hours
Given that o (1.67) = 0.4525, ø(0.83) = 0.2967 where
0) eThdz.
OR
Ina certain factory turning out razor blades there is a small
9 (a) c02
probability of 1/500 for any blade to be defective. The blades are

3 supplied in a packets of 10. Use Poisson distribution to calculate 05

the approximate number of packets containing (i) no defective
consignment of
(ii) one defective (ii) two defective blades in a

10,000 pac:.ets. is exponentially

(6) CO2 2,3 In a certain town the duration of, a shower that a
distributed with mean 5 minutes. What is the probability 05
minutes or more (ii) less than 10
shower will last for (i) 10
minutes (ii) between 10 and 12 minutes.

variables

The joint density

function of two continuous random
10
(a) CO3 2,3
X and Y is given by
0SxS4, 1<y<5 05
fx,y)=y otherwise

(d) E(XY
Find (a) the value of k (b) E(X) (¢) E(Y)
variables X
continuous random
function of two
1,2,3The joint density
(b)CO3 and Y is given by
1 <y <5
O<x<4,
05
fx,y)=96 otherwise

Find P(X+Y<3)

OR variables with the

independent random
and Y are
Suppose X
CO3 1,2,3 following respective distribution
7
11(a) 2
1/2 /4 1/4
10
3
/3 1/3
1/3
distribution of X and
Y.
probability
(a) Find the joint covariance of X and Y is equal to zero.
Show thatthe
(b) of Z=X+Y
(c) Find the probability
 USN Code: MA4
a company A showed a
of 100 bulbs produced by
12 (a) CO4 |A sample and a standard deviation of 90
hours.
mean life of 1190 hours
a company B showed a
Also a sample of 75 bulbs produced by deviation of 120 hours.
and a standard
mean life of 1230 hours

Is there a difference between the mean life timesofthe bulbs

the two at (a) 5% level of significance
companies
produced by
(6) 1% level of significance.

and test the

(6) CO4 1,3 Fit aPoisson distribution for the following data
for 3 d.f
goodness X605 7.815
of fit given that
0
122 60 15

OR
13 (a) CO4 3 Random sample of 1000 engineering students from a city Aand
800 from city B were taken. It was found that 400 students in
each of the sample were from payment quota. Does the data 05
reveal a significance difference between the two cities in respect
of payment quotastudents?
(b) C04 2,3,4 Two horses A and B were tested according to the time (in
seconds) to run a particular race with the following results.
Horse A : 28 30 32 33 33 2934

Horse B: 29 30 30 24 27 29 0
Test whether you can discriminate between the two horses.
(to.os-2.2 for 11 d.f)

14(a)co5 1,2,3 Prove that the Markov chain whose t.p.m is

0 2/3 1/3
P=1/2 0 1/2 is ireducible. 0S
li/2 1/2 o
Find the corresponding stationary probability vector.

(b) 3 Three boys A, B, C are throwing the ball to each other. A

CO5 always throws the ball to B and B always throws the ball to C. C
is just as likely to throw the ball to B as to A. If B was the first
person to throw the ball find the probabilities that after three 05
throws(i)A has the ball (i) Bhas the ball (ii)C has the ball
OR
2,3 A student'sstudy habits are as follows. If he studies one night.
15(a) cO5 he is 70% sure not to study the next night. On the other hand if
he does not study one night, he is 60% sure not to study the next 0
night. In the long run how often does hestudy?
(6) CO5 2,3 A gambler's luck follows a patten. If he wins a game, the
loses
probability of winning the next game is 0.6. However if he
a game, the probability of losing the next game is 0.7. There is
an even chance of gambler winning the first game. If so
0
second game?
i)What is the probability of he winning the
What is the probability of hewinning the third game?
(ii)
 Co MA411
Course Outc
tcome: At the end of the course
the students
CO-1 Recognise analyze clementary will have the lityto
probability models
CO-2 ldentify discrete/
them.Understand continuous probability density situations and analysu
CO-3 Understand and usethe concepts of expectation,
concepts of joint probability,variance.
corTelation, independent random variable and alsocovariance,
given situation. compute these in a

CO-4 Apply sampling techniques, compute

and apply tests of sampling distribution paain eters
significance for large samples
CO-5 Understand and use concepts of stochastic
processes, probabiliy
vectors, Markov chains and transition
probabilities.

5
 UNIVERBIT
USN: 10
JSS MAHAVIDYAPEETHA
CIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY, MYSORE-570 006
(AUTONOMOUS)
IVsemester B.E-Supplementary Examination
ehes:CS/Ec/EFE/E & 1/IS Paper-Setter: Dr.M.Smitha
Probability and Statistics
ation: 3 Hours Day: Tuesday
Date: 01.12.2020
Answer all questions/930AM-12DP4 Max. Marks: 100
Blooms Cognitive
ise Outcome: Students will be able to: Domain
i . Recognise analyse elementary probability modelssituations and| 1. Knovwledge
2:Identiky discrete/continuous probability density 2. Comprehension
variance.
dyse them. Understand the concept of expectation, Application
probability, covariance, cor3.
3:Understand and use concepts of jointalso compute these in a given 4. Analysis
variable and 5. evaluation
aation, independent random
6. synthesis
mation. techniques, compute
sampling distribution pa-,
30-4:Apply sampling of sigmificance for large samples.
tests
aneters and apply processes,
ofstochastic
probability
and use concepts
gO-5:Understand transition probabilities.
chains and
ctors, markov
PART-AA
Marks
Questiona

QNo Co Cognitive| A,B,C,D

manu- 10
machines
domain there are four
bolt factory, 40%.of the total pro-
In
20%, 15%, 25%,
a
CO1CO1 |1,3 facturing
respectively
5%,4%, 3%, 2% are defective,. If a|
Out of these defective.
What is the
duction. found
is
bolt drawn at random
was

by both A and
B.
mistake in | 10
manufactured
probability that it was reader commits no
that a news that on a partic-
The probability the probability
CO2 3 the news is,. Find mistakes (ii) a t m o s t
reading commits (i)only two
the reader
ularday than 3 mistakes. 10
mistakes(ii)more -2,-1,1,2 'such
3 = variable take the values respec-
Let X be a random probabilities are i ii
Find
1,3 corresponding values 1,4.
take the
C03 that the variable
random (ii)E(X).
Let X be distribution of z&&Y
a
tively. 10
g of y(i) joint
(i)distributionconsists of four members 1,2,3,4. Consider
drawn from the
population can be
Co4 2,3 |A samples of
size 2
which
standard
deviation(S.D)
of |
all possible mean
and
Find the 10
of the regular |
population.
replacement.
population with vector
the fixed
probability

Find the
unique
CO5 1,3 stochastic matrix

are each
rows
whose
matrix
approaches
A", AS, A
Obtain
probability vector.
of the fixed
1
 PART-B
6 COl 1,3 State and prove Baye's theorem with usual notations
OR
CO1 2,3 In 500 fanilies with 4 children caci, how many
would be expected have
familioc
to
(i)3boys(i)4girls(ii)either 3 4 or
boys(ivatleast3girls by assuming probabilities for boys andi
girls are equal.
C02 1,3 Obtain expressions for mean and variance of
distribution.
exponential
OR
9C022,3 In a discrete
X take
probability distribution the random variable
values-3,-2,-1,0,1,2,3 such that k, 2k,3k, 4k, 3k,2, &
respectively. Find (i)the value of k(iüp(z < 1)(iü)p(-1
3) <i
10 CO3 1, 2 The joint probability function of two discrete random
ables XY vari-
are given
byf(7, y) cay for z 1,2,3 and
= =

y=1,2,3 find c, E(X)JandE(Y) .

11 OR
CO3 1,3 Suppose tthat the joint density function of two
random variables X&Y is continuous 10

S(a,y)= *+,0Sr 1,0Syg2

0, otherwise

12 CO4 1,2 thenfind p(y <)

=

In an
elementary school examination the
boys was 72 with a standard deviation mean grade of 32 | 10
grade of 36 girls was 75 with a of 8, while the mean
the hypohtesis that the standard deviation of 6. test
boys at both 5% and performance of girl is better than
1% level of significance by one
test. tailed

13 C04 |1,3 Random sample of 1000

OR

A and 800 engineering

students from a city | 100
frora city
B were taken. It was found that 400
students in each of the
Does the data reveal a
sample were from payment quota.
cities in respect of the
significant difference between the two
and 1% level of
payment quota students at both 5%
14 CO5 2,3 A
significance by two tailed test.
gambler'sluck follows a
pattern. if he
probability of he winning the next game iswins a game, the| 10
0.6. However if
he loses a game,
the probability of losing the next game is
0.7. There is an even chance of
gambler winning the first
game. if so,i) what is the
probability of he wins the second
game?(i) what is the probability of he wins the third game?
OR
15 CO5 1,3 A man's smoking habits
are as follows.
If he smokes filtur| 10
cigarettes one week, he switches to non filter cigarettes the|
nextweek with probability 0.2. On the other hand, if he
smokes non filtered
cigarette one week there is a probability
of0.7 that he will smoke non filtered cigarette the next week
as well. In the long run how often does he smoke filter
|
cigarattes?

2
 JSS
411
ONIVRRIT
USN
JSS MAHAVIDYAPEETHA
OO6
sS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY, MYSORE-570
semester B.E -Supplementary Examination
anches:CS/EC/EEE/E & 1/1S Paper-Setter: Dr.M.Smitha

Probability, Random Variables and Stochastic Processes

:30AM 12ibo pM Day: Tuesday
uration: 3 Hours Date: 01.12.2020 Max. Marks: 100
|Answer all questions
Blooms Cognitive
ourse Outcome: Students will be able to:
co-1: Recognise analyse elementary probability models. Domain
1. Knowledge
CO-2:ldentify discrete/continuous probebility density situations and 2. Comprehension
variance.
Bnalyse them. Understand the concept of expectation, 3. Application
CO-3:Understand and use concepts of joint probability, covarance, cor 4. Analysis
also compute these in a given
relation, independent random variable and 5. evaluation
situation. sampling distribution pa-
6. synthesis
CO-4:Apply sampling tec.niques, compute
and apply tests of significance for large
samples.
rameters probability
CO-5:Understand and use concepts of stochastic processes,
markov chains and transition probabilities.
vectors,
PART-A

Marks
Question
QNo CO Cognitive
domain 10
machínes A,B,C,D manu-|
In factory, there are four
bolt
CO1 1,3 a

facturing respectively 20%, 15%,

25%, 40% of the total pro-
are defective,. If a
duction. Out of these 5%, 4%, 3%, 2%
What is the
bolt drawn a random is was found defective.
manufactured by both A and B
probability that it was
reader commits no mistake in | 10
The probability that a
news
2 CO2 |3 Find the probabilitythat on a partic
reading the news is.
two mistakes (i) atmost
ular day the reader cominits (i)only
mistakes.
3 mistakes(i)more than 3 10
take the values -2,-1,1,2 such
Let X be a random variable
3 CO3|1,3 that the corresponding probabilities
are respec-
variable take the values 1,4. Find
tively. Let X be a random
g ofy(i) joint distribution of zcY (ü)EX).
) distributionconsists 10
members 1,2,3,4. Consider
CO4 2,3 A population of four
which can be drawn from the
all possible samples of size 2
standard deviation(S.D) of
population. Find the mean and
thepopulation with replacement. 10
Find the unique fixed probability
vector of the regular |
5 CO5 1,3
stochastic matrix

whose rows each

Obtain A', AS, A approaches matrix are

ofthe fixed probability vector.

1
 PART-B

6 C01 | 1,3 State and prove Bayc's thcorem wth usual notations.
***
OR
CO1 2,3 n 500 families with 4 children each, how many families
would be expected to have (i)3boys(i)4girls(ii)Jeither 3 or 4
boys(iv)atleast3girls by assuming probabilities for boys and
girls are equal.
CO2
1,3 Obtain expressions for mean and variance ol
exponential
distribution.
OR Fif
9 CO2 | 2, 3 In
| a discrete
probability distribution the random variable
X take values -3,-2,-1,0,1,2,3 such that k,
2k, 3k, 4k, 3k,2k, k EEE
respectively. Find (i)the value of k(i)p(z < 1)iü)p(-1 <
10 C03 1,2 3).
The joint probability function of two discrete
random vari-| 10
ables XY are given
byf(z,y) cay for t =
1,2,3 and
= Hot
y =1,2,3 find c, E(X)andE(Y).
pm
11 OR
CO3 1,3 Suppose that the joint density function of two contimuous 10 EOutcor
random variables X&Y is
BEUnder:

fe,y) = *+?,0Szs1,0<v<2 nterp

0, otherwise
Obtair
then find p(y
12 CO4 1,2 < «). cchn:q
In au elementary school Hand
examination the
boys was 72 with a standard deviation of 8,mean grade of 32 | 10
wbile the mean lutior
grade of 36 girls was 75 with a standard deviation of 6. test Make
the hypohtesis that the i e s li
performance of girl is better than
boys at both 5% and 1% level of significance one tailed o0s.
test. by ions
a
OR
13 CO4 1,3 Random sample of 1000
engineering students from a city | 10
SUons
A and 800 from city B were taken.
It was found that 400 C
students in each of the sample were from
Does the data reveal a payment quota.
significant difference between the two
cities in respect of the payment
quota students at both 5%
and 1% level of significance
by two táiled test.
14 CO5 2,3 A gambler's luck follows a
pattern. if he wins a game, the | 10
probability of he winning the next game is 0.6. However if
he loses a game, the
probability of losing the next game is
0.7. There is an even chance of
gambler winning the first
game. if so,(i) what is the probability of he wins the second
game?(ii) what is the probability of he wins the third game?
OR
15 CO5 1,3 man's smoking habits are 10
A as follows. If hesmokes filter
cigarettes one week, he switches to non filter cigarettes the
nextweek with probability 0.2. On the other hand, if he
smokes non fitered cigarette one week there is a probability
of 0.7 that he will smoke non filtered cigarette the next week
as well. In the long run how often does he smoke filter
cigarattes?