MA241TA

USN

RV COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING
(Autonomous Institution Affiliated to VTU)
IV Semester BE Examinations, SEP – 2024
Branch: Common to AS, CH, CV, EE, EI, ET, ME
Course: Probability Theory and Linear Programming

MODEL QUESTION PAPER

Time: 03 Hours Maximum Marks: 100

Instructions to candidates:
1. Answer all questions from Part A. Part A question should be answered in first
three pages of the answer book only.
2. Answer FIVE full questions from Part B

PART – A

1. 1.1 If the probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is given as 02

Then find P(1 or 2)

1.2 Suppose and are random variables with joint density function, 02
, Find .
1.3 A sales firm receives, on average, 3 calls per hour on its toll free number. 02
For any given hour, find the probability that it will receive at least 3 calls
using Poisson distribution _____.

1.4 Assume that the life of a roller bearing follows a Weibull distribution 02

having c. d. f with parameters α = 1.5 and β = 1.

The probability that a bearing will last for 2 more hours, if it has lasted for
6 hours is _____ .

1.5 The mean and standard deviation of population are 9 and respectively. 02
For a sample of size 2, the mean and standard error are ____ and ____
respectively.

1.6 A recent study asked working adults if they worked most of their time 02
remotely. The study found that 30% of employees spend the majority of
their time working remotely. Suppose a sample of 150 working adults is
taken. What is the probability that at most 27% of the workers in the
sample work remotely most of the time?

1.7 Compute test statistic for one-sample t-test using the following statistics: n 02
= 5, = 3.871, s = 0.679 and the null hypothesis is μ = 5.0.
 1.8 A light bulb manufacture claims that the mean of the energy saving light 02
bulb is less than 60 days. Set up a hypothesis test to check this claim and
comment on what sort of test do we need to use.

1.9 The basic feasible solution of are ______ 02

1.10 For the LP problem maximize z = 2x + 3y the coordinates of the corner 02

points of the bounded feasible region are A(3, 3), B(20,3), C(20, 10), D(18,
12) and E(12, 12). The minimum value of z is ________.
PART - B
2. a. The probability density function of a continuous random variable is 8

Find value of and evaluate mean, variance and standard deviation of the
distribution.
8
b. Random variable and have the following joint distribution:

Find (i) Marginal distributions of and , (ii) ), (iii) correlation of

and Y. Are the variables independent random variables?

3. a In a large number of parts manufactured by a machine, the mean number 5

of defectives in a sample of is Out of such samples, how many
would be expected to contain at least defective parts?

b The mean weight of students at certain school is and the 5

standard deviation is . Assuming that the weights are normally
distributed, find the expected number of students weighing (i) between
and , and (ii) more than gs (iii) less than .

c The length of telephone conversation in a booth has been an exponential 6

distribution and found on an average to be 5 minutes. Find the probability
that a random call made from this booth (i) ends less than 5 minutes (ii)
between 5 and 10 minutes.
OR
4. a Given that of the fuses manufactured by a firm are defective, find by 5
using Poisson distribution, the probability that a box containing fuses
has (i) no defective fuses (ii) at least one defective fuse, (iii) between and
defective fuses.
 b A sample of dry battery cells produced by a certain company were 5
tested for their lengths of life and the test yielded the mean life of hours
and the standard deviation of hours. Using normal distribution, find
how many cells are expected to have their life lengths (i) greater than
hours, (ii) between and hours (iii) less than 6 hours.

c A uniform distribution has 6

Obtain its mean and variance. Also find

5. a. The weights of workers in a factory are normally distributed with 5

mean and standard deviation . If samples consisting of
workers each are obtained, what would be the mean and standard
deviation of the sampling distribution of means if sampling were done
with replacement,
without replacement,
The probability that the weights are between and in a
sample with replacement.

b. In a quality department of manufacturing paints at the time of dispatch of 5

decorators of the containers are found to be defective. If a random
sample of is drawn with replacement from the population. What is the
probability that the sample proportion will be less than defective?

c Strength of wire produced by a company has mean and of 6

, company has mean of and of . if wires of a
company and wires of company are selected at random and tested
for strength. What is the probability that the sample mean strength of A
will be at least more than that of .
OR
6. a An economist wishes to estimate the average family income in a certain 5
population. The population standard deviation is known to be and
the economist uses the random sample of size . What is the
probability that the sample mean will fail within of the population
mean?

b A machine produces a large number of items of which 15% are found to be 5

defective. If a random sample of 200 items is taken from the population
and sample proportion is calculated then find
(i) Mean and standard error of sampling distribution of proportion.
(ii) The probability that less than or equal to 12% defectives are found in
the sample.

c Suppose of machine produced by a company are defective and of 6

machine produced by a company are defective. A random sample of
machines are taken from company and a random sample of
machines from company what is the probability that the difference in
sample proportion is less than or equal to
7. a. To test the hypothesis that a coin is fair, the following rule of decision is 5
adopted: Accept the hypothesis if the number of heads in a sample of
tosses is between and , reject the hypothesis otherwise. Find the
probability of occurrence of Type I error.

b. A die was thrown times and a throw of or was obtained 5

times. On the assumption of random throwing, does the data indicate an
unbiased die at level of significance.

c. A city health department wishes to determine if the mean bacteria count 6

per unit volume of water at a lake beach is within the safety level of .
A researcher collected water samples of unit volume and found the
bacteria count to be:

Does the data indicate that the bacteria count is within the safety level?
Test at the and level using t-test.

OR
8. a. A sample of items is found to have the mean equal to . Can it be 5
reasonably regarded as a truly random sample from a large population wit
mean and standard deviation

b. The following data relate to the number of items produced in a shift 5

by two workers A and B for some days:

If the sample was drawn from the normal population, can it be

inferred that is more consistent worker compared to ? Use -test.

c. The measurements of the same object on an instrument are given 6

below:
.
If the measurement of the instrument follows normal distribution. Carry
out chi-square test at level of significance that variance in the
measurement of the instrument is less than .

9. a. Three nutrient components namely, thiamine, phosphorus and iron are 8

found in a diet of two food items and . The amount of each nutrient (in
milligrams per ounce mg/oz) is given below:

Thiamine
Phosphorus
Iron
The cost of food and are per oz and per oz. respectively.
The minimum daily requirements of these nutrients are at least .
of thiamine of phosphorus and of iron. Find graphically
the feasible region corresponding to the linear programming problem given
above.
 b. Use Simplex method to minimize subject to the 8
constraints

OR
10. a. A manufacturer of packing material manufactures two types of packing 8
tins, round and flat. Major production facilities involved are cutting and
joining. The cutting department can process round tins or flat tins
per hour. The joining department can process round tins or flat
tins per hour. If the contribution towards profit for the round tin is the
same as that of a flat tin, By using graphical method find the optimum
production level?

b Maximize – subject to the constraints 8