1.

The Springfield Kings, a professional basketball team, has won 12 of its last
20 games and is expected to continue winning at the same percentage rate.
The team’s ticket manager is anxious to attract a large crowd to tomorrow’s
game but believes that depends on how well the Kings perform tonight against
the Galveston Comets. He assesses the probability of drawing a large crowd to
be 0.90 should the team win tonight. What is the probability that the team
wins tonight and that there will be a large crowd at tomorrow’s game?

2. Ace Machine Works estimates that the probability its lathe tool is properly
adjusted is 0.8. When the lathe is properly adjusted, there is a 0.9 probability
that the parts produced pass inspection. If the lathe is out of adjustment,
however, the probability of a good part being produced is only 0.2. A part ran
domly chosen is inspected and found to be accept able. At this point, what is
the posterior probability that the lathe tool is properly adjusted?

3. In a sample of 1,000 representing a survey from the entire population, 650

people were from Laketown, and the rest of the people were from River City.
Out of the sample, 19 people had some form of cancer. Thirteen of these people
were from Laketown.
a Are the events of living in Laketown and having some sort of cancer
independent?
b Which city would you prefer to live in, assuming that your main
objective was to avoid having cancer?
4.

5. There are 10 questions on a true–false test. A student feels unprepared for

this test and randomly guesses the answer for each of these.
a What is the probability that the student gets exactly 7 correct?
b What is the probability that the student gets exactly 8 correct?
c What is the probability that the student gets exactly 9 correct?
d What is the probability that the student gets exactly 10 correct?
e What is the probability that the student gets more than 6 correct?
6. Gary Schwartz is the top salesman for his company. Records indicate that he
makes a sale on 70% of his sales calls. If he calls on four potential clients,
what is the probability that he makes exactly 3 sales? What is the probability
that he makes exactly 4 sales?

7. An industrial oven used to cure sand cores for a factory manufacturing engine
blocks for small cars is able to maintain fairly constant temperatures. The
temperature range of the oven follows a normal distribution with a mean of
450°F and a standard deviation of 25°F. Leslie Larsen, president of the factory,
is concerned about the large number of defective cores that have been
produced in the past several months. If the oven gets hotter than 475°F, the
core is defective. What is the probability that the oven will cause a core to be
defective? What is the probability that the temperature of the oven will range
from 460° to 470°F?

8. Steve Goodman, production foreman for the Florida Gold Fruit Company,
estimates that the average sale of oranges is 4,700 and the standard deviation
is 500 oranges. Sales follow a normal distribution.
(a) What is the probability that sales will be greater than 5,500 oranges?
(b) What is the probability that sales will be greater than 4,500 oranges?
(c) What is the probability that sales will be less than 4,900 oranges?
(d) What is the probability that sales will be less than 4,300 oranges?

9. The time to complete a construction project is normally distributed with a

mean of 60 weeks and a standard deviation of 4 weeks.
(a) What is the probability the project will be finished in 62 weeks or less?
(b) What is the probability the project will be finished in 66 weeks or less?
(c) What is the probability the project will take longer than 65 weeks?

10. The Electro comp Corporation manufactures two electrical products: air
conditioners and large fans. The assembly process for each is similar in that
both require a certain amount of wiring and drilling. Each air conditioner
takes 3 hours of wiring and 2 hours of drilling. Each fan must go through 2
hours of wiring and 1 hour of drilling. During the next production period, 240
hours of wiring time are available and up to 140 hours of drilling time may be
used. Each air conditioner sold yields a profit of $25. Each fan assembled may
be sold for a $15 profit. Formulate and solve this LP production mix situation
to find the best combination of air conditioners and fans that yields the
highest profit. Use the corner point graphical approach.

11. A candidate for mayor in a small town has allocated $40,000 for last-minute
advertising in the days preceding the election. Two types of ads will be used:
radio and television. Each radio ad costs $200 and reaches an estimated 3,000
people. Each television ad costs $500 and reaches an estimated 7,000 people.
In planning the advertising campaign, the campaign manager would like to
reach as many people as possible, but she has stipulated that at least 10 ads
of each type must be used. Also, the number of radio ads must be at least as
 great as the number of television ads. How many ads of each type should be
used? How many people will this reach?

12. The dean of the Western College of Business must plan the school’s course
offerings for the fall semester. Student demands make it necessary to offer at
least 30 undergraduate and 20 graduate courses in the term. Faculty
contracts also dictate that at least 60 courses be offered in total. Each
undergraduate course taught costs the college an average of $2,500 in faculty
wages, and each graduate course costs $3,000. How many undergraduate and
graduate courses should be taught in the fall so that total faculty salaries are
kept to a minimum?

13.

14.
15. (College meal selection problem)Kathy Roniger, campus dietitian for a small Idaho college, is
responsible for formulating a nutritious meal plan for students. For an evening meal, she feels
that the following five meal-content requirements should be met: (1) between 900 and 1,500
calories; (2) at least 4 milligrams of iron; (3) no more than 50 grams of fat; (4) at least 26 grams
of protein; and (5) no more than 50 grams of carbohydrates. On a particular day, Roniger’s
food stock includes seven items that can be prepared and served for supper to meet these
requirements. The cost per pound for each food item and the contribution to each of the five
nutritional requirements are given in the table below. What combination and amounts of food
items will provide the nutrition Roniger requires at the least total food cost?
a Formulate as an LP problem.
b What is the cost per meal?
c Is this a well-balanced diet?

16. Eddie Kelly is running for re-election as mayor of a small town in Alabama. Jessica Martinez,
Kelly’s campaign manager during this election, is planning the marketing campaign, and there
is some stiff competition. Martinez has selected four ways to advertise: television ads, radio
ads, billboards, and newspaper ads. The costs of these, the audience reached by each type of
ad, and the maximum number of each is shown in the following table:

17. The Battery Park Stable feeds and houses the horses used to pull tourist-filled carriages
through the streets of Charleston’s historic waterfront area. The stable owner, an ex-
racehorse trainer, recognizes the need to set a nutritional diet for the horses in his care. At
the same time, he would like to keep the overall daily cost of feed to a minimum. The feed
mixes available for the horses’ diet are an oat product, a highly enriched grain, and a mineral
product. Each of these mixes contains a certain amount of five ingredients needed daily to
keep the average horse healthy. The table on this page shows these minimum requirements,
units of each ingredient per pound of feed mix, and costs for the three mixes. In addition, the
stable owner is aware that an overfed horse is a sluggish worker. Consequently, he determines
that 6 pounds of feed per day are the most that any horse needs to function properly. For
malate this problem and solve for the optimal daily mix of the three feeds.
18. Monohan Machinery specializes in developing weed harvesting equipment that is used to
clear small lakes of weeds. George Monohan, president of Monohan Machinery, is convinced
that harvesting weeds is far better than using chemicals to kill weeds. Chemicals cause
pollution, and the weeds seem to grow faster after chemicals have been used. George is
contemplating the construction of a machine that would harvest weeds on narrow rivers and
waterways. The activities that are necessary to build one of these experimental weed-
harvesting machines are listed in the following table. Construct a network for these activities.

19. Sid Davidson is the personnel director of Babson and Willcount, a company that specializes in
consulting and research. One of the training programs that Sid is considering for the middle-
level managers of Babson and Willcount is leadership training. Sid has listed a number of
activities that must be completed before a training program of this nature could be conducted.
The activities and immediate predecessors appear in the following table:
a) Develop a network for this problem.

20. Sid Davidson was able to determine the activity times for the leadership training program.
He would like to determine the total project completion time and the critical path. The
activity times appear in the following table (see Problem 12-12):