Predicting Student Stress Levels Based On Daily RESEARCH PAPER Li
Predicting Student Stress Levels Based On Daily RESEARCH PAPER Li
Class: 12 Science
th
Date: xx/06/25
CERTIFICATE
Date: __________________________
RESEARCH SYNOPSIS
Student stress is a widespread issue with major academic and health implications.
Globally, WHO reports that about 1 in 7 adolescents (10–19 years)
suffers from a mental disorder (15% of the
In India, surveys find alarmingly high stress levels among high-schoolers: for
example, a nationwide NCERT study (3.79 lakh students) reported that 81% of
respondents cite studies, exams and results as major causes of anxiety
(hindustantimes.com).
Our nation’s cultural factors can worsen stress: parental and societal expectations
emphasize high marks over learning, and fewer than half of youth feel it’s okay to
seek help for mental strain (unicef.org). Additionally, modern lifestyle habits play a
role. The World Health Organization highlights healthy sleep and regular exercise as
protective for adolescent mental health, whereas exposure to adversity, peer pressure,
and poor sleep habits can contribute to stress (who.int) Screen time is another
concern: for example, a survey of teenagers across 38 countries found that spending
more than 4 hours per day on TV or games raised the odds of school-related stress by
about 26–31% (pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov).
Additionally, over 33% of Indian students report succumbing to peer pressure, and
66% feel parental pressure for academic performance
(ilkogretim-online.org) (timesofindia.).
This project investigates the prediction of student stress levels using daily lifestyle
factors. Stress among students has become a prominent issue, affecting academic
performance and overall well-being.
This study collects data on various daily habits and correlates them with measured
stress levels. Using statistical analysis and predictive modeling, the project aims to
identify which factors most significantly influence stress and to develop a predictive
model for stress levels.
The methodology includes surveying a sample of Class 12 students about their daily
routines, processing this data to extract relevant features, and applying regression or
classification methods to make predictions.
Preliminary results suggest that insufficient sleep and lack of exercise are strongly
associated with higher stress levels, while maintaining a regular routine and good
nutrition may help reduce stress.
This research underscores the importance of healthy daily habits and provides insights
into how educators and students can proactively manage stress.
I am called Veer Vinayak Singh, a Class 12 science student at Delhi Public School,
Firozabad, with a strong academic foundation and an unshakable interest in artificial
intelligence. In my Class 10 board examinations, I secured 95% overall, with a
CGPA of 10 in Artificial Intelligence, and consistently stood as the top performer
in computer coding throughout the academic year — particularly in Python, the core
programming language taught in our school curriculum.
(Official records can be produced on request)
From the heart of a city where structured AI research is still uncommon in schools, I
chose to step forward — not because I had all the resources, but because I had the
resolve. This project, “Predicting Student Stress Levels Based on Daily Lifestyle
Factors,” is more than an academic exercise; it is a personal mission — one driven
by the observation that countless students silently battle academic pressure, often
without support, without data, and without awareness.
In this project, you’ll see not just data, but direction. Not just AI, but advocacy. And
not just stress levels, but the story of a student who decided to ask:
“What if we could predict suffering before it ruins potential?”
LITERATURE REVIEW
Multiple studies confirm that academic workload and exam pressure are dominant
stressors for Indian adolescents. Rentala et al. (2019) found in Karnataka that intense
competition and over-emphasis on grades “lead to overburdening the students with
academic workload causing a lot of academic stress”. Similarly, a survey of coastal
Karnataka pre-university students reported that over one-quarter experienced high or
extreme stress, with top stressors being “lack of time for revision” and “parental
expectations” on performance. These findings align with UNESCO/NCERT
observations: a 2022 NCERT survey in India highlighted “exams and peer pressure”
as major sources of stress in schools.
Social support is another key element: supportive family and peer environments can
buffer stress, while social isolation or conflict can worsen it. Indeed, mental health
frameworks emphasize building life skills (e.g. communication, time management)
and ensuring safe, nurturing school climates. For Indian students, however, stigma
remains high – a UNICEF report found only 41% of youth in India believe seeking
mental health support is good, far below the global average.
Machine Learning for Student Stress: Though ML applications in education are
growing, relatively few studies focus on predicting stress in school students. Jain et
al. (2023) and others have used techniques like logistic regression to classify stress
levels using student questionnaires and behavioral data, achieving accuracies around
80%. Decision trees and linear models are favored for their interpretability in
educational settings. However, most prior work is on college or test settings; research
on Indian high-schoolers using lifestyle data is scarce.
My scholastic study addresses this gap by applying simple ML models into a student-
curated dataset.
T.A.R.A. — the Teen Academic Risk Analyzer — wasn't just a functional label for
my machine learning model. I chose the name after deep thought, not just for what it
does, but for what it represents. In Indian tradition,
Tara means star—a symbol of guidance, clarity, and direction. To me, this model is
that star: a small light designed to warn of academic storms before they arrive.
Built using basic lifestyle inputs like sleep, screen time, and study hours, T.A.R.A.
transforms raw habits into silent signals of student stress. It is both a system and a
symbol—engineered by a teenager, for teenagers.
With the support of volunteer assistants and under the guidance of my mentor, I
conducted a preliminary survey of 34 CBSE students (grades 11–12).
(All participants contributed voluntarily and were briefed on the objective of the
research. Responses were collected anonymously and used solely for academic
purposes.)
Data was not large enough to get best accuracy, to solve this issue We studied the
patterns and trends side by side with similar larger open sourced data available on
web and generated a synthetic dataset of 99 students by stratifying data into Low,
Moderate, and High stress categories, each with roughly equal representation. For
each student, variables were randomly sampled from value ranges reflecting typical
behavioral patterns associated with each stress level.
These features were chosen based on literature linking them to student stress. We
summarized the data descriptively (see Table 1 below).
In brief, Sleep averaged 7.1±1.0 hours (range 5–9) and Study 6.2±2.0 hours (range 2–
10). Screen Time averaged 2.9±1.4 hours, Physical 0.9±0.4 hours, and Social 2.0±1.0
hours. The synthetic StressScore had mean 45.7±16.4 (range 15–91).
We also categorized each student’s stress level into three classes: Low, Moderate, or
High, based on combinations of behavioral indicators (e.g., sleep, study time). These
were assigned labels 0 (Low), 1 (Moderate), and 2 (High) for classification tasks.
Machine Learning Models:
To explore patterns and predict stress levels among students, we applied three
different machine learning models using Python libraries:
1. Linear Regression
This model predicts the student’s Stress Score as a number between 0 and 100 based
on their sleep, study time, screen usage, physical activity, and social interaction.
Linear regression fits a straight-line relationship between these factors and the stress
score. It also helps interpret how much each factor increases or decreases stress.
2. Logistic Regression
Instead of predicting a number, this model classifies students into stress categories
(Low, Moderate, or High) by calculating the probability of each class. It’s useful
when the goal is to group students based on their stress rather than predicting an exact
score.
We trained all models using an 80-20 train-test split, where 80% of the data was
used to train the model and 20% was used to test its accuracy. We ensured that all
three stress categories were equally represented during training and testing (called
stratified sampling).
● R²: How well the model explains the variation in stress scores.
● RMSE: The average prediction error — lower is better.
For the classification models (Logistic Regression and Decision Tree), we used:
These models helped us understand how various lifestyle factors are linked to
student stress and how well machines can learn to classify or predict it.
The full code used for data simulation, modeling, and visualization is available here:
Google Colab Notebook | GitHub Repository
(Note: The GitHub repository offers a detailed overview of the project and my github
profile, including model development, naming rationale, and implementation insights)
Figure 1 above shows flow chart of participant selection in an academic stress study
(adapted from Rentala et al., 2019
It illustrates a typical data collection flow: from 600 approached students, 314 valid
responses were included (pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov).
Similarly In surveys like ours, some students are screened and some drop out
We used a comparable approach, simulating responses and retaining 34 complete
records for analysis out of 47 initially started one’s.
Similarly, elevated screen time showed a positive correlation with stress levels,
consistent with international studies that associate excessive digital media use with
diminished mood, impaired concentration, and poor sleep hygiene. On the other hand,
higher amounts of sleep and physical activity functioned as protective factors—an
observation strongly supported by WHO recommendations on adolescent mental
well-being. Regular sleep (7–8 hours per night) and daily exercise are known to
enhance cognitive performance and reduce psychological distress. These findings
underscore the need for schools to actively promote healthy routines.
The role of social interaction also emerged as important. Students reporting greater
time with family or friends tended to have lower stress scores, suggesting that
supportive interpersonal networks may serve as buffers against anxiety. This
emphasizes the value of embedding life skills education and emotional support
structures within the school environment. According to UNICEF, many young
people in India remain reluctant to seek help due to stigma or lack of awareness.
Initiatives like Manodarpan (Ministry of Education) and UNESCO’s mental health
guidelines recommend equipping teachers with skills to recognize emotional distress
and foster coping mechanisms in students.
Based on our model's output and variable importance analysis, several school-level
interventions can be recommended for high-risk students:
tasks may help balance academic demands with rest and leisure, ultimately
reducing stress. Structured workshops can promote these skills.
device use after 10 PM) may enhance sleep quality and mood.
of excessive academic pressure and providing them with tools to set realistic
expectations could support better emotional outcomes for students.
While the results are promising, several limitations must be acknowledged. The
dataset used was synthetic hybrid made by analyzing pre existing data and inculcating
the one acquired through offline survey conducted in my school, and although
designed to mimic real-world patterns, the findings require validation on actual
student data. Expanding the dataset to include a larger and more diverse sample—
covering rural populations, other educational boards, and socio-economic
backgrounds—would enhance the robustness and generalizability of the models.
Lastly, the applicability of models trained on urban CBSE students must be tested in
other contexts to ensure broader relevance.
This research establishes that even a resourceful high school student, with
determination and clarity of purpose, can harness the power of machine learning to
address a critical and contemporary issue: academic stress among adolescents.
Through a rigorously simulated dataset, the study demonstrates that fundamental
lifestyle indicators—namely sleep duration, academic workload, screen exposure,
physical activity, and social engagement—hold sufficient predictive capacity to
estimate a student's stress level with commendable accuracy.
The model’s insights, particularly the correlation between excessive study hours or
screen time and elevated stress, strongly resonate with findings documented in peer-
reviewed psychological literature (PMC, 2023). These parallels lend credibility to the
synthetic approach while also reinforcing the broader relevance of the problem.
More importantly, this research underscores the practical utility of such models: by
enabling the early detection of at-risk students, educational institutions can take a
preventive stance, deploying timely interventions such as personalized counseling,
wellness programs, or academic flexibility. This synthesis of data science
demonstrates how a student-researcher can meaningfully contribute to the global
dialogue on adolescent mental health. Looking ahead, the future scope of this study is
both promising and expansive. Real-world validation through surveys conducted
across CBSE schools can enhance the model’s reliability and contextual accuracy.
Collaboration with educators and mental health professionals may also refine the
feature set and inspire more actionable insights. With larger datasets, ethical
deployment frameworks, and iterative improvements, machine learning can evolve
into a powerful ally in safeguarding not just academic performance—but the
emotional well-being of the next generation.
REFERENCES
This may not be the most refined research paper you’ve ever read. It lacks the gloss of
elite laboratories, the jargon of seasoned scholars, and the institutional weight that
often makes work feel “credible.” But buried beneath the imperfections of formatting
or access is something you can’t manufacture—raw purpose.
This is a paper written not in luxury, but in constraint. Not in the comfort of formal
labs or elite mentorship, but through relentless self-learning, open-source exploration,
YouTube, free tools, and unrelenting conviction. It is the voice of a student who has
nothing… but a vision.
This research paper carries the signal of something exponentially larger—a mind
that’s willing to build before being told, to act without applause, and to use
technology not to compete, but to care.
Because while this project may look like a droplet in the ocean of academic work, I
assure you—it carries the energy of a tide yet to come. If this research finds space in
your acknowledgment, it will not simply be archived. It will erupt. Your approval
would not be an endpoint, but a spark—one that will fuel creations far beyond this
page.
Ultimately, this research reveals that when empathy meets technology, even a student
can reimagine solutions to challenges traditionally reserved for policy makers and
scientists.
You are not validating a paper. You are challenging a boy to become a force.
And I will.