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Statistics For Management II Assignment I

The document provides detailed calculations and results for various statistical analyses, including population means, sampling distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis tests for means and proportions, and sample size estimations. Key findings include the mean of the sampling distribution equaling the population mean, confidence intervals for proportions and means, and results from hypothesis tests indicating whether to reject null hypotheses based on significance levels. The document also covers specific case studies related to home ownership, battery life, idle time, and more, illustrating the application of statistical methods in real-world scenarios.

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Teferi Costa
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
2 views13 pages

Statistics For Management II Assignment I

The document provides detailed calculations and results for various statistical analyses, including population means, sampling distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis tests for means and proportions, and sample size estimations. Key findings include the mean of the sampling distribution equaling the population mean, confidence intervals for proportions and means, and results from hypothesis tests indicating whether to reject null hypotheses based on significance levels. The document also covers specific case studies related to home ownership, battery life, idle time, and more, illustrating the application of statistical methods in real-world scenarios.

Uploaded by

Teferi Costa
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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ANSWERS FOR QUESTIONS

1. Population: 7, 7, 8, 8, 7
A. Population Mean:
7+7 +8+8+7 37
μ= = =7.4
5 5
B. Sampling Distribution of Sample Means (n = 2):
List all possible samples without replacement and compute their means:

Sampl
e Mean
(7,7) 7
(7,8) 7.5
(7,8) 7.5
(7,7) 7
(7,8) 7.5
(7,8) 7.5
(8,8) 8
(8,7) 7.5
(8,7) 7.5
(7,7) 7

Unique sample means and their frequencies:


 7 → 3 times
 7.5 → 6 times
 8 → 1 time
C. Mean of the Sampling Distribution:
ˉ
3 ×7 +6 ×7.5+1 × 8 22.5+ 45+8 74
x sampling = = = =7.4
10 10 10
✅ The mean of the sampling distribution = Population mean

2. Probability sample proportion > 0.75


Given:
 Population proportion p=0.65
 Sample size n=150
 We want P ( ^p >0.75 )
Step 1: Compute standard error (SE)

SE=
√ p ( 1 − p)
n √
=
0.65 ×0.35
150
≈ 0.0391

Step 2: Compute z-score


0.75 −0.65
z= ≈ 2.56
0.0391
Step 3: Use z-table
P ( ^p >0.75 )=P ( z >2.56 ) ≈ 0.0052

3. Confidence Interval for Population Proportion


Given:
168
 x = 168, n = 200 → ^p= =0.84
200
 Confidence level = 90% → z=1.645
Step 1: SE

SE=
√ 0.84 ( 1 −0.84 )
200
=

0.1344
200
≈ 0.0259

Step 2: Margin of Error (ME)


ME=1.645 ×0.0259 ≈ 0.0426
Step 3: CI
CI =0.84 ± 0.0426=( 0.797 , 0.883 )

4. Confidence Interval for Mean (Sample Mean = 14.3, SE = 2)


 Confidence level = 95% → z=1.96
ˉ
 CI = x ± z ⋅SE

CI =14.3 ±1.96 × 2=14.3 ± 3.92=( 10.38 , 18.22 )

5. Sample Size for Estimating Mean Chips


Given:
 E (margin of error) = 2
 σ =10.1
 Confidence level = 99% → z=2.576

( ) ( )
2 2
z⋅ σ 2.576 ⋅10.1 2
 n= = =( 13.013 ) ≈ 169
E 2
6. Confidence Interval for Proportion
Given:
 ^p=0.39, n = 87
 Confidence level = 95% → z=1.96
Step 1: SE

SE=
√ 0.39 ×0.61
87
≈ 0.052

Step 2: ME
ME=1.96 ×0.052 ≈ 0.102
Step 3: CI
CI =0.39 ± 0.102=( 0.288 , 0.492 )

7. Hypothesis Test for Two Proportions (α = 0.10)


Given:
87
 Girls: p1= =0.58
150
123
 Boys: p2= =0.615
200
 Significance level = 0.10 → z crit=±1.645
Step 1: Pooled Proportion
87+123 210
p= = =0.6
150+200 350
Step 2: SE


SE= p ( 1− p ) ( 1501 + 2001 )=√ 0.6 ⋅0.4 ( 1501 + 2001 ) ≈ 0.055
Step 3: z-score
0.58 −0.615
z= ≈ −0.64
0.055
Since − 0.64>− 1.645, we fail to reject H₀.
Conclusion: No significant difference in proportions at 0.10 level. Great! Let’s walk through
questions 8 to 15, step-by-step:
8. Eastern vs. Western Home Ownership (Two-sample t-test)
ˉ
 Eastern: n1=40 , x1 =7.6 , s 1=2.3
ˉ
 Western: n2 =55 , x 2=8.1 , s 2=2.9
 Claim: Eastern homes are owned for a shorter time
 H 0 : μ1 ≥ μ2, H 1 : μ 1< μ 2
 α = 0.05
Step 1: Compute standard error (SE):

SE=
√ 2.32 2.92
+
40 55


5.29 8.41
40
+
55
≈ √ 0.1323+0.1529=√ 0.2852 ≈ 0.534

Step 2: t-statistic:
7.6 −8.1 −0.5
t= = ≈ −0.936
0.534 0.534
Step 3: Degrees of freedom (approx.) ≈ 85
Step 4: Critical value for one-tailed test at α = 0.05 → t 0.05 ,df =85 ≈ −1.664

Conclusion: Since − 0.936>−1.664 , we fail to reject H 0.


No significant evidence that eastern residents owned homes for shorter time.

9. Did the battery life increase? (One-sample t-test)


ˉ
 μ0=305, x =311, s=12, n=20, α = 0.05
 H 0 : μ ≤305 , H 1 : μ >305

311−305 6
t= = ≈ 2.236
12/ √ 20 2.683
df = 19 → t 0.05 ,df =19 ≈1.729

2.236 > 1.729 → Reject H 0


The battery life significantly increased.

10. Proportion of Men Driving Ride Cars (One-sample z-test)


170
 p0=0.52, ^p= =0.567 , n = 300
300
 α = 0.01
 H 0 : p ≤ 0.52, H 1 : p> 0.52

SE=
√ 0.52 (1 − 0.52 )
300
≈ 0.0288
0.567 −0.52
z= ≈ 1.63
0.0288
Critical z at α = 0.01 → 2.33
Since 1.63 < 2.33, fail to reject H 0
Not enough evidence to conclude more men are driving Ride cars.

11. Idle Time Exceeds 75 Minutes? (One-sample t-test)


ˉ
 μ0=75, x =84 , s=20, n=25
 α = 0.05
 H 0 : μ ≤75, H 1 : μ >75

84 −75 9
t= = =2.25
20/ √ 25 4
df = 24 → t 0.05 ,df =24 ≈ 1.711

2.25 > 1.711 → Reject H 0


Evidence that idle time exceeds 75 minutes

12. Health Club Weight Loss (Z-test, known σ)


ˉ
 μ0=10, x =9.2 , σ =2.4 , n=36

9.2− 10 − 0.8
z= = =−2.0
2.4 / √ 36 0.4
p-value = P(z < -2.0) ≈ 0.0228
 At α = 0.01: Do not reject H 0
 At α = 0.05: Reject H 0
➡️Depends on α. At 5% level, weight loss is significantly less than claimed. At 1%, it is not.

13. Fitness Center Claim: Average Loss ≥ 15 (One-sample t-test)


ˉ
 μ0=15, x =13 , s=3, n=45 , α = 0.05
 H 0 : μ ≥15 , H 1 : μ <15

13− 15 −2
t= = ≈ − 4.475
3/ √ 45 0.447
df = 44 → Critical t ≈ -1.68
-4.475 < -1.68 → Reject H 0
Weight loss is significantly less than claimed
14. New Food Machine Learning Time (Z-test)
ˉ
 μ0=90, x =85 , σ =7, n=20

85 −90 −5
z= = ≈− 3.194
7/ √ 20 1.565

p-value = 2 × P(z < -3.194) ≈ 2 × 0.0007 = 0.0014


 At α = 0.01 → p < α, reject H 0
Significant difference in learning time. The machine reduces learning time.

15. Parking Fees – Is Mean ≠ 125? (Z-test)


ˉ
 μ0=125, x =124 , σ =5, n=400, α = 0.01
124 −125 −1
 z= = =− 4.0
5 / √ 400 0.25
Critical z for α = 0.01 (two-tailed) = ±2.576
-4.0 < -2.576 → Reject H 0
Monthly parking fee significantly differs from 125 Birr

16. Mayor’s Claim on Net Worth


 Claim: Mean net worth ≥ $300,000
ˉ
 Sample: x =288 , 000, n=25, σ =80 , 000
 Test: One-sample Z-test (σ known), α = 0.025 (one-tailed)
Step 1:
H 0 : μ ≥300 , 000 , H 1 : μ< 300 ,000

Step 2: Compute Z:
288 , 000 −300 , 000 −12 ,000
z= = =−0.75
80 , 000 / √ 25 16 , 000

Step 3: Critical z for α = 0.025 (one-tailed) = -1.96


Step 4: Decision:
 Since − 0.75>−1.96 , we fail to reject H 0
 Conclusion: There is not enough evidence to reject the mayor’s claim.
17. TIV Telephone – Call Length Comparison
ˉ
 μ0=12.44, x =13.71, σ =2.65, n=150, α = 0.02 (two-tailed)
Step 1:
H 0 : μ=12.44 , H 1 : μ ≠12.44
Step 2: Z-statistic:
13.71− 12.44 1.27
z= = ≈ 5.87
2.65/ √150 0.2164

Step 3: Critical z for α = 0.02 (two-tailed) = ±2.326


Since 5.87 > 2.326 → Reject H 0
Conclusion: The mean length of calls is significantly different from 12.44 minutes.

18. Bottling Company – Underfilling Complaint


 Claimed mean: μ0=330ml
ˉ
 x =326 , s=20, n=81, α = 0.01 (one-tailed)
Step 1:
H 0 : μ ≥330 , H 1 : μ< 330

Step 2: Use t-test (since σ unknown):


326 −330 −4
t= = ≈ −1.80
20 / √ 81 2.222

df = 80 → Critical t for one-tailed test at α = 0.01 ≈ -2.38


Step 3: Decision:
 Since −1.80> −2.38, we fail to reject H 0
Conclusion: No strong evidence that the product is underfilled.
19. Investor & Household Income
ˉ
 μ0=12000, x =11800 , s=1000, n=100, α = 0.01 (one-tailed)
Step 1:
H 0 : μ ≥12000 , H 1 : μ< 12000

Step 2: t-statistic:
11800 −12000 −200
t= = =− 2.0
1000/ √ 100 100

df = 99 → Critical t at α = 0.01 ≈ -2.364


Step 3: Decision:
 Since −2.0> −2.364 , we fail to reject H 0
Conclusion: The investor should not reject the area based on this test. There is not
enough evidence to prove the income is below 12,000.
20. Hypothesis Test for Proportion (Two-Tailed Test)
 Claim: p=0.81
 Sample size (n): 1600
 **Sample proportion ( ^p) = 0.83
 **Significance level (α ) = 0.05
Step 1: Hypotheses
H 0 : p=0.81 H 1 : p ≠ 0.81

Step 2: Test Statistic


^p − p 0 0.83 −0.81
z= =

√ p0 ( 1 − p0 )
n √ 0.81 ( 0.19 )
1600

0.02 0.02
z= = ≈ 2.037
√ 0.000096375 0.009816
Step 3: P-Value
Using the z-table:
P ( Z >2.037 )=0.0208 , so
p-value = 2 × 0.0208 = 0.0416
Conclusion:
Since p-value = 0.0416 < 0.05, reject H 0.
There is evidence that the percentage of drivers who talk on their phones has changed from
81%.

21. Hypothesis Test for Proportion (One-Tailed Test)


 Claim: p ≤ 0.04
 Sample size (n): 200
12
 **Sample defective rate ^p= =0.06
200
 **Significance level (α =0.025 )
Step 1: Hypotheses
H 0 : p ≤ 0.04 H 1 : p>0.04

Step 2: Test Statistic


0.06 − 0.04 0.02 0.02
z= = = ≈ 1.443

√ 0.04 ( 0.96 )
200
√ 0.000192 0.013857
Step 3: P-Value
From z-tables:
P ( Z >1.443 )=0.0747
Conclusion:
Since p-value = 0.0747 > 0.025, do not reject H 0.
There is not enough evidence to conclude that the machine needs adjustment.

22. Confidence Interval for Difference of Means (Population σ Known)


ˉ
 Retailer A: n =50 , x =82 , σ =7
1 1 1
ˉ
 Retailer B: n =60 , x =78 , σ =6
2 2 2

 Confidence Level = 95%, Z 0.025=1.96


Formula:

( ) √
σ 21 σ 22
ˉ ˉ
CI = x 1 − x 2 ± Z ⋅ +
n1 n 2

¿ ( 82 −78 ) ± 1.96 ⋅
√ 49 36
+ =4 ±1.96 ⋅ √ 0.98+ 0.6=4 ± 1.96 ⋅ √ 1.58≈ 4 ± 1.96 ⋅1.257 ≈ 4 ± 2.464
50 60
Confidence Interval:
( 1.536 , 6.464 )
Interpretation: We are 95% confident that the true difference in average satisfaction (Retailer
A - Retailer B) is between 1.54 and 6.46. Retailer A likely has higher customer satisfaction.

23. Confidence Interval for Difference in Proportions


 Campaign A: n1=200 , x 1=60 ⇒ ^p1=0.30
 Campaign B: n2=250 , x 2=85 ⇒ ^p2 =0.34
 Confidence Level = 95%, Z=1.96
Formula:

CI =( ^p1 − ^p2 ) ± Z ⋅
√ ^p 1 ( 1 − ^p1 ) p^ 2 ( 1 − ^p2 )
n1
+
n2

¿ ( 0.30 − 0.34 ) ±1.96 ⋅


√ 0.30 ( 0.70 ) 0.34 ( 0.66 )
200
+
250
=− 0.04 ± 1.96⋅ √0.00105+ 0.0008976=−0.04 ± 1.96 ⋅ √ 0.0019476

¿ − 0.04 ±1.96 ⋅ 0.0441≈ − 0.04 ± 0.0865


Confidence Interval:
( − 0.1265 ,0.0465 )
Interpretation: We are 95% confident the true difference in awareness (A - B) is between -
12.65% and 4.65%.
Since the interval includes 0, we cannot conclude a significant difference in awareness
between the two campaigns.
We're looking to test whether family income and house type are statistically independent
using a Chi-Square Test of Independence at the 1% significance level. Let's solve it step by
step.

24. Step 1: Data (Contingency Table)


10 , 000 – 15,00
House Type < $10,000 0 > $15,000 Row Total
A 28 45 75 148
B 47 55 35 137
C 63 27 27 117
Col Total 138 127 137 402

Step 2: Hypotheses
 Null Hypothesis H 0: Family income and house type are independent.
 Alternative Hypothesis H 1: Family income and house type are not independent.

Step 3: Expected Frequencies


Use the formula:

( Row Total i )( Column Total j )


Eij =
Grand Total
For A:
148× 138
 A, <10k: ≈ 50.78
402
148× 127
 A, 10k–15k: ≈ 46.77
402
148× 137
 A, >15k: ≈ 50.45
402
For B:
137 ×138
 B, <10k: ≈ 47.08
402
137 ×127
 B, 10k–15k: ≈ 43.31
402
137 ×137
 B, >15k: ≈ 46.61
402
For C:
117 ×138
 C, <10k: ≈ 40.14
402
117 ×127
 C, 10k–15k: ≈ 37.92
402
117×137
 C, >15k: ≈ 39.94
402
Step 4: Chi-Square Test Statistic
( O − E )2
χ 2=∑
E
Compute for all cells:

Cell O E (O−E)²/E
A,<10k 2 50.78 10.29
8
A,10-15k 4 46.77 0.07
5
A,>15k 7 50.45 11.89
5
B,<10k 4 47.08 0.00
7
B,10-15k 5 43.31 3.16
5
B,>15k 3 46.61 2.89
5
C,<10k 6 40.14 13.03
3
C,10-15k 2 37.92 3.15
7
C,>15k 2 39.94 4.20
7

Total χ² ≈ 48.68

Step 5: Degrees of Freedom


df =( r −1 ) ( c − 1 )=( 3 −1 ) ( 3 −1 )=4

Step 6: Critical Value at 1% level, df = 4


From Chi-Square table:
**Critical value $ \chi^2_{0.01,4} = 13.277 **
Step 7: Conclusion
 Since χ² = 48.68 > 13.277, we reject the null hypothesis.
Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence at the 1% level to conclude that family income and
house type are not independent — there is a statistically significant relationship between
income and house type.

25.To test this, we perform an F-test for equality of variances.

Step 1: Hypotheses
We want to test if Employee A has more variation than Employee B.
Let ( \sigma_A^2 betℎevarianceofEmployeeAand \sigma_B^2 $ for Employee B.

 Null Hypothesis H 0: σ 2A ≤ σ 2B
 Alternative Hypothesis H 1: σ 2A >σ 2B (this is a one-tailed test)

Step 2: Sample Data


Employee Sample Size n Standard Deviation s Variance s2
2
A 10 2 2 =4
2
B 10 1.5 1.5 =2.25

Step 3: Test Statistic


2
sA 4
F= 2
= =1.78
sB
2.25

Step 4: Degrees of Freedom


 d f 1 =n A −1=9
 d f 2=nB −1=9

Step 5: Critical Value (Right-tailed test, α = 0.05)


From the F-distribution table:
At α =0.05 , d f 1 =9, d f 2=9
Critical F-value ≈ 3.18

Step 6: Decision
Since F=1.78<3.18 , we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
Conclusion:
At the 0.05 significance level, there is not enough evidence to conclude that Employee A has
more variation in the number of rejects per day than Employee B.

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