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Extrapolation Yield Curves

The document provides detailed calculations for the yield to maturity (YTM) of various bonds, including their settlement and maturity dates, coupon rates, and prices. It also includes a yield curve analysis for state bonds and a specific case for estimating the fair value of a bond issued by BetaHealth, using extrapolation along a yield curve of similar-quality bonds. The final fair value of the BetaHealth bond is calculated to be approximately 735,188.05 USD for the company's portfolio.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views13 pages

Extrapolation Yield Curves

The document provides detailed calculations for the yield to maturity (YTM) of various bonds, including their settlement and maturity dates, coupon rates, and prices. It also includes a yield curve analysis for state bonds and a specific case for estimating the fair value of a bond issued by BetaHealth, using extrapolation along a yield curve of similar-quality bonds. The final fair value of the BetaHealth bond is calculated to be approximately 735,188.05 USD for the company's portfolio.

Uploaded by

mamunkufinance
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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DATE: 12/31/2002

1. Calculation of Yield to Maturity

Bond settlement maturity coupon WA of coupon price redemption frequency basis YTM in %
131 12/31/2002 4/6/2005 9% 0.00 108.75 100 1 4 4.81%
132 12/31/2002 7/13/2005 8% 0.00 108.51 100 1 4 4.36%
133 12/31/2002 8/17/2010 8.50% 0.00 121.02 100 1 4 5.10%
134 12/31/2002 9/21/2007 8% 0.01 113.02 100 1 4 4.84%
142 12/31/2002 1/30/2006 8% 0.01 110.00 100 1 4 4.45%
161 12/31/2002 7/11/2011 8.14% 0.01 103.20 100 1 4 7.60%
163 12/31/2002 9/19/2011 8.30% 0.01 122.10 100 1 4 5.09%
166 12/31/2002 1/16/2007 7.80% 0.01 110.23 100 1 4 4.95%
170 12/31/2002 2/13/2007 7.65% 0.01 110.11 100 1 4 4.88%
174 12/31/2002 3/13/2012 7.50% 0.01 118.84 100 1 4 4.90%
7.95%
weighted average of coupon
1.30477318382925

2. Calculation of yield curve

State bond Maturity date Years to maturity YTM


131 4/6/2005 2.30 4.81
132 7/13/2005 2.57 4.36
142 1/30/2006 3.13 4.45
166 1/16/2007 4.10 4.95
170 2/13/2007 4.18 4.88
134 9/21/2007 4.79 4.84
133 8/17/2010 7.74 5.10
161 7/11/2011 8.65 7.60
163 9/19/2011 8.84 5.09
174 3/13/2012 9.33 4.90

Equation is calculated directly by the trendline function in the graph.

Yield curve - State bonds


YTM (%)

10.00
9.50
9.00
8.50
8.00
Yield curve - State bonds
YTM (%)

10.00
9.50
9.00
8.50
8.00
7.50
7.00
6.50
6.00
5.50
5.00
4.50
f(x) = − 0.0105136256121899 x² + 0.302651220662782 x
4.00
3.50
+ 3.81388711014287
3.00
2.50 R² = 0.298148861573107
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
roky

3. Calculation of YTM
priemerna splatnost zavazkov
Item Maturity date Years to maturity YTM
Odchodne 2/20/2024 21.4 5.48
Energia - súčas 11/13/2017 15.1 5.99
Odstupné V1 1/22/2011 8.2 5.59
Energia - dôcho 8/31/2009 6.8 5.38
Energia - súčas 8/1/2011 8.7 5.65
Odmena 50 roko 11/8/2013 11.0 5.87

4. Calculation of price (market value of bond mature in average maturity period)

Bond settlement maturity coupon redemption frequency basis YIELD price


Odchodne 12/31/2002 2/20/2024 7.95% 100.00 1 4 5.4800% 130.4551
Energia - súčas 12/31/2002 11/13/2017 7.95% 100.00 1 4 5.9900% 118.9182
Odstupné V1 12/31/2002 1/22/2011 7.95% 100.00 1 4 5.5900% 114.9741
Energia - dôcho 12/31/2002 8/31/2009 7.95% 100.00 1 4 5.3800% 114.0389
Energia - súčas 12/31/2002 8/1/2011 7.95% 100.00 1 4 5.6500% 115.2609
Odmena 50 roko 12/31/2002 11/8/2013 7.95% 100.00 1 4 5.8700% 116.3300
782 x

10
Years to maturity Yield to maturity
1 2%
2 4%
3 5%
4 7%
5 7%
6 7%
7 7%
Axis Y = Yield to maturity

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%
0 1 2 Axis X 3= Years 4to maturity
5 6 7 8
Years to maturity Yield to maturity
1 9% 2% 0.019
2 7% 2.40% 0.035
3 5% 3.30% 0.049
4 4% 4.10% 0.065
5 3% 5.30% 0.069
6 2% 6.90% 0.072
7 2% 8.50% 0.074
Axis Y = Yield to maturity

9%

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%
0 1 2 Axis X 3= Years 4to maturity
5 6 7 8
www.ifrsbox.com Extrapolation along yield curve

You work as a finance analyst and your CFO asked you to establish fair value of bonds in your company's portfolio as of 30 September 2010. You review
bond's portfolio finding that particularly 1 issue of bonds is not traded publicly, so market data is not available. It is a bond issued by big pharmaceutical
US company BetaHealth, who manufactures generic drugs and is considered as a high-quality debtor with a very small credit risk. Your company holds 6
pieces of this issue.
Bond's characteristics are as follows: face value = 100 000 USD, coupon rate = 5.4%, maturity date = 15 April 2018, redemption is at par, frequency of
coupon repayment is semi-annual.
Try to set fair value of this bond by extrapolation along a yield curve of similar-quality bonds.

Settlement date: 9/30/2010

1. Selection of bonds and calculation of Yield to Maturity

Issuer Maturity Years to maturity Coupon Price Redemption Frequency Basis YTM in %
Abbott Labs 5/27/2040 30.09 5.300% 112.72 100 2 1 4.52%
Abbott Labs 11/30/2017 7.27 5.600% 120.87 100 2 1 2.41%
Abbott Labs 5/15/2011 0.63 5.600% 105.57 100 2 1 -3.15%
Merck Co & Inc. 11/15/2036 26.51 5.750% 121.48 100 2 1 4.36%
Merck Co & Inc. 1/1/2026 15.48 6.300% 123.86 100 2 1 4.17%
Merck Co & Inc. 6/30/2019 8.88 5.000% 117.41 100 2 1 2.75%
Merck Co & Inc. 3/1/2015 4.48 4.750% 115.42 100 2 1 1.16%
Merck Co & Inc. 11/15/2011 1.14 5.125% 107.43 100 2 1 -1.40%
Pfizer Inc. 3/15/2039 28.87 7.200% 141.39 100 2 1 4.58%
Pfizer Inc. 3/15/2019 8.58 6.200% 124.12 100 2 1 2.96%
Pfizer Inc. 3/15/2015 4.52 5.350% 117.10 100 2 1 1.38%
Pfizer Inc. 3/15/2012 1.48 4.450% 107.54 100 2 1 -0.68%

Formula used:
YIELD(settlement;maturity;coupon;price;redemption;frequency;basis)

2. Yield curve
www.ifrsbox.com Extrapolation along yield curve

Chart Title
6.00%
5.00% f(x) = − 0.000168608030998747 x² + 0.00715924629942 x − 0.0218939862358149
R² = 0.943087382480064
4.00%
3.00%
2.00% YTM in %
1.00% Polynomial (YTM
in %)
0.00%
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00
-1.00%
-2.00%
-3.00%
-4.00%

3. Calculation of YTM for BetaHealth bond

Maturity: 4/15/2018 A

Settlement date: 9/30/2010 B

Years to maturity: 7.65 (A-B)/360

Yield to maturity (YTM): 2.15% using trendline equation from yield curve
(y=-0,0002*x*x+0,0072*x-0,0219)

4. Estimation of fair value of BetaHealth bond


www.ifrsbox.com Extrapolation along yield curve

Settlement date: 9/30/2010

Maturity: 4/15/2018

Coupon rate: 5.40%

Yield to maturity: 2.15%

Redemption: 100

Frequency: 2

Basis: 1
Formula used:
Fair value per 100 USD of face value: 122.53 PRICE(settlement;maturity;coupon;YTM;redemption;frequency;basis)

Fair value of bonds in portfolio: 735,188.05 USD


(6 pieces x 100 000 USD x 122,53 / 100)
www.ifrsbox.com Extrapolation along yield curve

ber 2010. You review


by big pharmaceutical
Your company holds 6

at par, frequency of

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