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Lecture-6 (Fitting of A Exponential Curve-1)

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Lecture-6 (Fitting of A Exponential Curve-1)

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Lecture-6

CO4: Compare various statistical methods of study data samples


CO5: Analyze and evaluation of different sets of data using hypothesis testing.

FITTING OF EXPONENTIAL CURVE Y = aebx

Let 𝑌 = 𝑎𝑒 𝑏𝑋 (1)

be an exponential curve and we have a set of n points (xi, yi), i=1, 2, ..., n.

Here problem is to determine a and b such that equation (1) is the curve of best

fit.

Taking log both sides of equation (1)

log Y = log a + X b log e

Let log Y =U, log a = A and b log e = B

Now, equation (1) can be written as

U= A + BX (2)

(which is the equation of straight line)

Normal equations for equation (2) can be obtained as

u = nA + Bx (3)
ux = A x + B x2 (4)

We can get A and B from these normal equations.

𝐵
Then a = antilog A and 𝑏 =
𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑒

With these a and b, the exponential curve 𝑌 = 𝑎𝑒 𝑏𝑋 is the curve of best fit for the

given set of data.

Note: Here we are using log base 10.

Now let us solve a problem of fitting of exponential curve 𝑌 = 𝑎𝑒 𝑏𝑋 .

Example 5: Fit an exponential curve of the type 𝑌 = 𝑎𝑒 𝑏𝑋 . from the following

data.

X 1 2 4

Y 5 10 30

Solution: To fit the exponential curve 𝑌 = 𝑎𝑒 𝑏𝑋 normal equations are

u = nA + Bx

ux = A x + B x2

x y U=logy ux x2
1 5 0.6990 0.6990 1
2 10 1.0000 2.0000 4
4 30 1.4771 5.9085 16
x=7 y=45 u=301761 ux=8.6075  x2=21

Now the normal equations are

3A + 7 B = 3.1761

7A + 21B = 8.6075

By solving these equations as simultaneous equations, we get

A = 0.4604 and B = 0.2564

Then, a = antilog (A) = antilog (0.4604) = 2.8867

𝐵 0.2564 0.2564
𝑏= = = = 0.5904
𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑒 log(2.71828) 0.43429

Thus, the curve of best fit is Y=2.8867 e0.5904x.

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