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Course Handout - PS (MA 21001)

The document outlines the course handout for 'Probability and Statistics' at Kalinga Institute of Industrial Technology for the Autumn Semester 2024-25. It includes course objectives, outcomes, detailed topics to be covered, assessment components, and a lesson plan. The course aims to equip students with foundational knowledge in probability and statistics applicable to engineering and real-life problems.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
49 views5 pages

Course Handout - PS (MA 21001)

The document outlines the course handout for 'Probability and Statistics' at Kalinga Institute of Industrial Technology for the Autumn Semester 2024-25. It includes course objectives, outcomes, detailed topics to be covered, assessment components, and a lesson plan. The course aims to equip students with foundational knowledge in probability and statistics applicable to engineering and real-life problems.

Uploaded by

jhawardev11
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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KALINGA INSTITUTE OF INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY (KIIT)

(Deemed to be University)
DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS
SCHOOL OF APPLIED SCIENCES
AUTUMN SEMESTER 2024-25
COURSE HANDOUT
Date: 23.07.2024

1. Course Title:PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS


2. Course Code: MA 21001 Pre-mid : 22 July – 14 Sept
3. L-T-P Structure:3-1-0 Midsem: 17 Sept - 21 Sept
4. Course Faculty: Dr. Srikanta Behera Post-mid: 23 Sept – 16 Nov
5. Course Coordinator: Dr. Prasanta Kumar Das Endsem: 22 Nov -30 Nov

6. COURSE OBJECTIVE

The objective of this course is to familiarize the students with the foundation of probability and
statistics and to use it in solving the problems arises in engineering and real life applications.

7. COURSE OUTCOMES

At the end of the course, the students will be expected to:

CO1: understand basic probability and its applications


CO2: study probability distributions and can use it in real life data analysis
CO3: have a knowledge on univariate and bivariate distributions and their properties
CO4: measure the central tendency and dispersion of a data set to draw conclusion from the data
and interpret the data with the appropriate pictorial representation.
CO5: have good understanding of the Central Limit Theorem and its applications
CO6: analyze the statistical inference

8. COURSE DETAILS

Probability and random variables:

Basic concepts of sample space, events (with example), Axiom of Probability, Conditional Probability,
Bayes’ Theorem and its applications. Discrete random variable, probability mass function, cumulative
distribution function and Moment Generating function for discrete random variable, some special
distributions like Uniform distribution, Geometric distribution, Binomial distribution, Negative
Binomial distribution, Poisson distribution, Hypergeometric distribution, mean and variance.
Continuous random variable, density function, cumulative distribution function and Moment
Generating function. Uniform distribution, normal distribution, mean, variance, percentile and critical
value of normal distribution, normal approximation of the binomial distribution and exponential
distribution.

Joint probability and distributions:

Joint probability mass function and marginal probability mass function, joint probability density
function and marginal probability density function, concept of independent random variable (joint
probability), conditional probability mass function and conditional probability density function.
Expected value, covariance and correlation for jointly distributed random variable(both continuous
and discrete). Sum of two independent random variables, and weak law of large number.

Descriptive Statistics:

Frequency distribution, pictorial and tabular representation of data, stem and leaf display, dot plots,
histogram, box plots and comparative box plots. Basic concepts on mean, median and mode,
Skewness, Kurtosis, Correlation, Coefficient of Correlation, rank correlation, Regression Analysis
(Least square method).
Inferential statistics:

Population, sample, random sample, sampling distribution, distribution of sample mean, central limit
theorem, point estimator, point estimation of parameter using method of maximum likelihood
estimation, confidence interval, confidence interval for the mean of a normal population with known
and unknown variance, confidence interval for the variance of a normal population, hypothesis
testing, one sided and two sided alternatives, Tests for mean of the normal distribution with known
variance, Tests for mean of the normal distribution with unknown variance, tests for variance of the
normal distribution.

Text books:

T1. Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Sciences by J. L. Devore, CENGAGE
Learning, 9th Edition.
T2. Advanced Engineering Mathematics by Erwin Kreyszig, Wiley, INC, 10th Edition.

Reference Books:

R1. Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists by


S.M. Ross, Elsevier/AP, 6th Edition.
R2. Introduction to Probability and Statistics by J.S. Milton & J.C. Arnold, McGraw
Hill, 4th Edition.
R3. Introduction to Probability Theory and Statistical Inference by H.J. Larson,
John Wiley & Sons Inc, 3rd Edition.
R4. Fundamental of Mathematical Statistics by S.C. Gupta & V. K. Kapoor,
S. Chand, 12th Edition.

9. LESSON PLAN AND ACTIVITIES

Lect. Learning Topics to be covered Article No. CO


Unit Name
No. / Text Book Mapping
1. Introduction to course 3
2. Sample spaces, Events 2.1 (T1) CO1
3. Axiom of Probability, properties of 2.2 (T1) CO1
probability
4. Tutorial (Problem Solving) 2.1—2.2
(T1)
5. Conditional Probability, 2.4 (T1) CO1
Bayes’ Theorem
6. Independent events 2.5 (T1) CO1
7. Random variable, Discrete random variable, 3.1 (T1) CO2
Probability
Continuous random variable
and random
variables 8. Tutorial (Problem Solving) 2.4—2.5, CO1, CO2
3.1 (T1)
9. Probability mass function of discrete random 3.2 (T1) CO2
variable, Parameter of distribution
10. Geometric distribution, 3.2 (T1) CO2
Cumulative distribution function
11. Expected values, Variance, Standard 3.3 (T1) CO2
deviation, Expected values and variance of
Linear function
12. Tutorial (Problem Solving) 3.2 -- 3.3 CO2
Discrete Uniform distribution, (T1)
Mean and Variance of discrete uniform,
geometric distribution Chebyshev Inequality
13. Moments, Central moments, 24.6, 24.7 CO2
Moment Generating function (T2)
14. Binomial distribution, 3.4(T1) CO2
Mean and variance of Binomial distribution
15. Moment Generating function of Binomial 24.7 (T2)
distribution
16. Tutorial (Problem Solving) 24.5 (T2), CO2
3.4 (T1)
17. Hypergeometric distribution, Negative 3.5 (T1) CO2
Binomial distribution
18. Poisson distribution, 3.6 (T1) CO2
Mean and variance of Poisson distribution
19. Moment Generating function of Poisson 24.7 (T2) CO2
distribution, Poisson process 3.6 (T1)
20. Tutorial (Problem solving)
Quiz Test-1 Assignment-I
21. Probability density function of Continuous 4.1(T1) CO2
random variable, Continuous Uniform
distribution
22. Cumulative distribution function of 4.2(T1) CO2
Continuous random variable,
mean, variance of Continuous Uniform
distribution
23. percentile and median of Continuous 4.2(T1) CO2
Uniform distribution
24. Tutorial (Problem solving) 4.1-- 4.2 CO2
(T1)
25. Normal distribution, percentile and critical 4.3(T1) CO2
value of normal distribution
26. Normal approximation of the binomial 4.3(T1) CO2
distribution, Applications
27. Exponential distribution, Mean, variance and 4.4(T1) CO2
median
28. Tutorial (Problem solving) 4.3-- 4.4 CO2
(T1)
29. Joint probability mass function and marginal 5.1(T1) CO3
probability mass functions
30. Joint probability density function and 5.1(T1) CO3
marginal probability density function
31. Independent random variables, Conditional 5.1(T1) CO3
Joint distribution
probability
32. Tutorial (Problem solving) 5.1(T1) CO3
and
distributions 33. Expected values, covariance and 5.2(T1) CO3
Correlation coefficient for jointly distribution
34. Statistics, Random Sample 5.3(T1) CO3
35. The distribution of Sample mean. Mean 5.4(T1) CO3
Random variable, mean and variance of
mean random variable of the identically
independent random variables,
Central limit theorem
36. Tutorial (Problem solving) 5.2—5.4 CO3
(T1)
Quiz Test-II, Assignment-II
37. Stem and leaf display, Dotplots, Frequency 1.2(T1) CO4
distribution, pictorial and tabular
representation of data, Histogram
38. Basic concepts on mean, median and mode 1.3(T1) CO4
39. Sample variance and sample standard 1.4 (T1) CO4
deviation, box plots and comparative box
plots
40. Tutorial (Problem solving) 1.1--1.4 CO4
(T1)
Descriptive 41. Skewness, Kurtosis Correlation 24.6 (T2) CO4
Statistics 42. Coefficient of Correlation, rank correlation 25.9 (T2) CO4
43. Regression Analysis: Least square method 20.5 (T2) CO4
44. Tutorial (Problem solving) 24.6, 25.9,
20.5 (T2)
45. Linear regression 20.5 (T2) CO4
46. Problems solving on Linear regression 20.5 (T2) CO4
47. Regression: Fitting straight line using 25.9 (T2) CO4
correlation coefficient of the data
48. Tutorial (Problem solving) 25.9, 20.5 CO4
(T2)
Assignment-III
49. Population, sample, random sample, 25.1(T2) CO5
50. Sampling distribution, distribution of sample 25.1(T2) CO5
mean
51. Point estimator, point estimation of 25.2(T2) CO5
parameter using method of maximum
likelihood estimation
Estimation of parameter of normal
distribution
52. Tutorial (Problem solving) 25.1-- 25.2 CO5
Estimation of parameter of binomial, (T2)
geometric, poison, exponential
Inferential 53. Confidence interval, confidence interval for 25.3 (T2) CO6
statistics the mean of a normal population with
known variance
54. t-distribution, confidence interval for the 25.3(T2) CO6
mean of a normal population with unknown
variance
55. �2 -distribution, confidence interval for the 25.3(T2) CO6
variance of a normal population
56. Tutorial (Problem solving) 25.3(T2) CO6
57. Hypothesis testing, one sided and two-sided 25.4(T2) CO6
alternatives
58. Tests for mean of the normal distribution 25.4(T2) CO6
with known or unknown variance
59. Tests for variance of the normal distribution 25.4(T2) CO6
60. Tutorial (Problem solving) 25.4(T2) CO6
61. Previous Year’s question & answer
discussion
Assignment-IV (Critical Q. Sets), Quiz Test-III

N.B: The problems in the tutorial classes may be solved by touching the specific parts taught in the
previous classes.

10. ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS

Sl. No. Assessment Component Duration Weightage / Nature of the


Marks Component
1 Mid Semester Examination 90 min 20 Closed Book
2 End Semester Examination 2.5 Hours 50 Closed Book
3 Problem Solving (Assignment) 3 days/ Assignment 15 Open Book
4 Quiz Test 30 min 10 Closed Book
5 Critical Thinking 5 days 05 Open Book

11. ACTIVITIES CALENDAR

Sl. Type of Activity/ Marks Schedule for Duration Publication of result Mapping
No. Nature of the Activities For with COs
Component Submission
1 Assignment-I 5 2nd week of 7 days 3rd week of August CO1 & CO2
(Open Book) August
2 Quiz -I 5 2 week of
nd
30min Same day CO1 & CO2
(Closed Book) August
3 Assignment-II 5 4th week of 7 days 1st week of September CO3 & CO4
(Open Book) August
4 Quiz -II 5 4 week of
th
30min Same day CO3 & CO4
(Closed Book) August
5 Assignment-III 5 4th week of 7 days 1st week of October CO3 & CO4
(Open Book) September
5 Critical Thinking 5 4th week of 15 days 2nd week of November CO1, CO2,
(Open Book) October CO3, CO4,
CO5 & CO6
6 Defaulter Quiz 1st week of 1 hour Same day CO1, CO2,
Test November (Teacher CO3, CO4,
(Closed Book) specific) CO5 & CO6

12. CHAMBER CONSULTATION: 3rd Floor, D-Block, Campus-3.

Dr. Prasanta Kumar Das


Course Coordinator

Dr. Mrutyunjay Das DEAN, SAS


Asso. Dean
Department of Mathematics

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