7.SP.8c - Compound Events & Simulations 1 - 10Q
7.SP.8c - Compound Events & Simulations 1 - 10Q
Mr. Kinsey and his wife each booked a flight to Los Angeles for different dates. Mr. Kinsey wants to find
the probability of both flights being randomly assigned to land at Terminal 1 of the Los Angeles airport.
There are eight terminals at the airport that have arrivals from their hometown.
He designs a simulation where an eight -sided die is rolled twice. If the die shows a 1 on both of their
rolls, both of their flights will land at Terminal 1. Otherwise, at least one of their flights will not land at
Terminal 1. They repeat this process 90 times.
B. Mr. Kinsey should expect the simulation to show that he and his wife will arrive at
Terminal 1 about 1.56% of the time.
C. Mr. Kinsey should expect the simulation to show that he and his wife will arrive at the
same terminal about 25% of the time.
D. Mr. Kinsey should expect the simulation to show that both flights will arrive at the same
terminal about 1.56% of the time.
Question 2 .
Jason has a 17% chance of winning a game of chess against a very strong player. He wants to know
the probability of it taking at least three games for him to win against the strong player.
B. Model A: Flip a coin. For one trial, flip the coin three times. Count the trial if, only on
the third flip, it is heads. Repeat this process for 50 trials.
C. Model D: Use a standard six-sided die. For one trial, roll the die until the die lands on a
1. Count the trial if the die lands on a 1 during the third roll or later. Repeat this process
for 200 trials.
D. Model C: Use a random number generator to generate 200 three-digit numbers from
000 to 999. Count the number if only the last digit is a 1 or a 2.
Question 3 .
Out of nine 7th grade classes, one class is randomly chosen each day to participate in the morning
announcements. Liam wants to find the probability of his class being chosen two days in a row.
He designs a simulation using nine lettered cards with the letters, A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H, and I. He
draws one card, replaces it, and then draws another card. If he draws the card with the letter A twice,
then his class will be selected two days in a row. Otherwise, his class will not be chosen at least one of
the two days. He repeats this process 30 times.
B. Liam should expect the same class to be chosen the next two days about 22.22% of
the time.
C. Liam should expect his class to be chosen the next two days about 22.22% of the
time.
D. Liam should expect his class to be chosen the next two days about 1.23% of the time.
Question 4 .
Jane wants to select a random shirt from her wardrobe while blindfolded. She has a 10% chance of
finding a blue shirt while blindfolded. She wants to know the probability of it taking at least four shirts to
find a blue shirt.
B. Model C: Draw a marble from a bag containing ten different-colored marbles. For
one trial, draw the marbles until a blue marble is drawn. Count the trial if the blue
marble is drawn on the fourth draw or later. Repeat the process for 100 trials.
C. Model D: Use a standard deck of cards. Randomly draw one card from the deck. After
drawing a card, place it back in the deck and shuffle. For one trial, draw a card from
the deck four times. Count the trial if, only on the fourth draw, the card is a spade.
Repeat the process for 200 trials.
D. Model B: Use a spinner with ten different colors of equal area. For one trial, spin the
spinner four times. Count the trial if, only on the fourth spin, the spinner lands on
brown. Repeat this process for 20 trials.
Question 5 .
Mr. Jensen and Mr. Barry will each be randomly assigned to one of four opening day soccer matches in
a soccer tournament. Mr. Jensen wants to find the probability of being assigned to referee Match 1 with
Mr. Barry.
Mr. Jensen designs a simulation where four aces from a standard deck of playing cards are placed into
a pile. Mr. Jensen draws a card, replaces it, and then Mr. Barry draws a card. If they both draw the ace
of spades, then they will both be referees of Match 1. Otherwise, at least one of them will not be a
referee of Match 1. Mr. Jensen repeats this process 100 times.
B. Mr. Jensen should expect the simulation to show that he and Mr. Barry will be referees
for Match 1 about 50% of the time.
C. Mr. Jensen should expect the simulation to show that he and Mr. Barry will be referees
for the same match about 6.25% of the time.
D. Mr. Jensen should expect the simulation to show that he and Mr. Barry will be referees
for the same match about 50% of the time.
Question 6 .
Kobe is on his school basketball team. He wants to find the probability that he will start the next
two games. There are eight players on the team, and five players start each game.
Kobe designs a simulation where he draws a letter from a bag and replaces it. The bag contains
five vowels: A, E, I, O, U. If Kobe draws the A on his first attempt, he will start the next two games.
Kobe repeats this for 90 trials.
B. He should draw a letter from a bag that contains the first ten letters of the alphabet,
A through J. If he draws the A on his first attempt, he will start the next two games.
Repeat this for 100 trials.
C. He should use a spinner with eight colors of equal areas. For each trial, he should spin
the spinner five times. If the spinner lands on red on or before the fifth spin, he will
start the next two games. He should repeat this process for 20 trials.
D. From a standard deck of cards, he should place the four aces and the king of spades
in a bag. He should draw a card from the bag, replace it, and then draw a card again. If
Kobe draws the king of spades both times, he will start the next two games. He should
repeat this for 70 trials.
Question 7 .
Ms. Kelly and Ms. Robinson will soon be working in the same store. Ms. Kelly wants to find the
probability that she and Ms. Robinson will work in the same department. There are eight departments
in the store.
Ms. Kelly designs a simulation where she and Ms. Robinson each spin a spinner with four colored
sections of equal areas. If the spinner lands on red both times, they will work in the same department.
Ms. Kelly and Ms. Robinson repeat this for six trials.
B. Ms. Kelly should toss a fair coin three times. If the coin lands on tails all three times,
they will be working in the same department. She should repeat this for 75 trials.
C. Ms. Kelly should roll an eight-sided die twice. If the die shows the same number on
both rolls, they will work in the same department. She should repeat this for 100 trials.
D. Ms. Kelly should use a spinner with four colors of equal area, twice. If the spinner
lands on blue on both spins, they will be working in the same department. She should
repeat this for 60 trials.
Question 8 .
Question 9 .
Determine the probability that two of Ben's family members were both born on a Monday.
Using the new simulation criteria, Ben should expect that the probability of two of his family
members both being born on a Monday to be about .
Question 10 .
Rick is a soccer player practicing his free kicks. He has a 20% chance of scoring a goal on a free kick.
He wants to know the probability that it takes at least five free kicks to score a goal.
B. Model C: Use a spinner with five different colors of equal area. For one trial, spin the
spinner until it lands on red. Count the trial if the spinner lands on red during the fifth
spin or later. Repeat this process for 150 trials.
C. Model A: Flip a coin. For one trial, flip the coin five times. Count the trial if, only on the
fifth flip, it is heads. Repeat this process for 200 trials.
D. Model B: Draw a marble from a bag containing five different-colored marbles. For
one trial, draw the marbles, with replacement, until the yellow marble is drawn. Count
the trial if the yellow marble is drawn on the fifth draw or later. Repeat the process for
50 trials.