Chart and Patterns in Technical Analysis
Chart and Patterns in Technical Analysis
Technical analysis of financial markets relies heavily on chart patterns, which provide visual
representations of price movements over time. These patterns help traders identify potential
areas of support and resistance, and signal either reversals or continuations in trends.
Understanding these patterns is key to making informed trading decisions.
Support and Resistance
Support and resistance are fundamental concepts in technical analysis. Support refers to a
price level where a falling asset tends to find buying interest, preventing further decline.
Conversely, resistance is a price level where an asset faces selling pressure, capping its rise.
Support Levels: Formed when demand exceeds supply at a specific price, often marked by
prior lows.
Support is a price level where the falling price tends to slow down or reverse. This means
the price is more likely to “bounce” off this level rather than break through it. However, once
the price has passed this level, it will likely continue dropping until it finds another support
level.
Resistance Levels: Created when supply surpasses demand, typically seen at prior
highs.
Resistance is a price level where rising prices slow down or reverse. The price will likely
bounce back from this level rather than a breakthrough. However, a break above this level
opens further price growth until it finds another resistance level.
These levels are not absolute but zones where price action often reacts. Traders use them
to determine entry and exit points, setting stop-loss orders just below support or above
resistance.
Reversal Patterns
Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in the direction of a prevailing trend. Two
prominent examples are the Head and Shoulders and the Inverse Head and Shoulders
formations.
Head and Shoulders Formation
This pattern signals a bearish reversal in an uptrend. It consists of:
A left shoulder: A peak followed by a retracement (Retracement is a temporary change
in the direction of an asset's price movement, which goes against the established
trend. After a retracement, the price will eventually return to continue the overall trend.)
A head: A higher peak followed by another retracement.
A right shoulder: A lower peak than the head, followed by a breakdown below the
neckline (support).
When the price breaks the neckline, it often signifies the start of a downtrend. The distance
between the head and neckline is used to project the target price.
The neckline is a critical level in chart patterns, particularly in Head and Shoulders
and Inverse Head and Shoulders formations. It acts as a reference line for identifying
breakouts or confirming pattern completion.
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, proposes that market prices move in
repetitive cycles driven by investor psychology. It identifies two types of waves:
Elliot Wave Theory revolves around the concept of fractals—structures that are self-similar
at different scales and timeframes. Market trends often form a wave structure, which consists
of two primary types: impulsive waves and corrective waves.
The theory is based on a 5-3 wave structure: five waves that move in the direction of the overall
trend, followed by three waves that correct this movement.
Impulsive Move / Uptrend: These waves follow the main trend and consist of five sub-waves,
labeled 1 – 5. Within the five trend-following waves, the price forms three impulsive and 2
corrective waves.
1.
1. Impulsive waves: Trend waves that push the price higher in the ongoing uptrend.
Impulsive waves are longer and stronger than corrective waves.
2. Corrective waves: Shorter waves that go against the ongoing trend direction.
Corrective Move / Downtrend: These counter the primary trend and are typically made up
of three waves, labeled A-B-C. The start of the corrective move is confirmed when the first
wave breaks below the low of a previous impulsive wave.
Impulse Waves (5 waves): Follow the main trend, consisting of three advancing waves
(1, 3, 5) and two corrective waves (2, 4).
Corrective Waves (3 waves): Move against the trend, labeled as A, B, and C.
These patterns occur on all timeframes, helping traders predict future market movements. The
theory emphasizes fractals, meaning patterns are self-similar across different scales.
The neckline is a critical level in chart patterns, particularly in Head and Shoulders and
Inverse Head and Shoulders formations. It acts as a reference line for identifying breakouts
or confirming pattern completion.
Double Bottoms: Bullish reversal pattern with two troughs at similar levels, followed
by a breakout above the neckline.
The double bottom is also a trend reversal formation, but this time we are looking to
go long instead of short. These formations occur after extended downtrends when two
valleys or “bottoms” have been formed.
Rounding Bottoms
This pattern indicates a gradual reversal from a bearish trend to a bullish trend, characterized
by a smooth, rounded trough.