your success = my concern

Tuks.t: 1~2 testing

Statistics Paper 2: [Time 3hrs]

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

Write your name and surname on the answer paper.

A blue or black pen is required for all the writing.

You may use a pencil for any diagrams or graphs.

Answer all questions in [Section A] and any five questions in [Section B].

If a numerical answer cannot be given exactly, and the accuracy required is

not specified in the question, then in the case of an angle it should be given
correct to the nearest degree, and in other cases it should be given correct
to 2 significant figures.

If a numerical value for 𝒈 is necessary, take 𝒈 = 𝟗. 𝟖𝟏𝐦𝐬 −𝟐.

INFORMATION FOR CANDIDATES

The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or

part question.

The total number of the marks for this paper is 120.

The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate.

You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.

[Turn over]

1
 Section A (40 marks)

Answer all questions in this section.

1. A company has a machine that produces an important part in a production line. At the
beginning of each day, the machine is set up correctly 90% of the time. If the machine
is set up correctly, it will produce good parts 80% of the time. If it is set up incorrectly,
it will produce good parts 30% of the time. The company is considering a testing
procedure.
a) What is the probability that the machine is set up and produces good parts? [2]
b) If the machine is set up and produces a good part, what is the probability that it was
set up correctly? [2]

2. Below is a stem-and-leaf diagram for the ages of people who went to a movie theatre.

0 7 9
1 1
2 0 0 5
3 8
5 1
Key: 3/1 means 31

a) State one advantage of using a stem and leaf diagram over a histogram. [1]
b) State the mode and median. [2]
c) Calculate the mean age of the people. [2]

3. A fruit grower inspects oranges for any defects. The probability that an orange is defective
in a particular batch is 0,10 independent of all other oranges.
a) A batch of 20 oranges is inspected. Calculate the probability that the number of good
oranges in the batch is
(i) between 4 and 6 exclusive, [2]
(ii) at least 3. [3]
b) A batch of 200 oranges is inspected. Find the probability that at most 8 oranges in the
batch are defective. [4]

2
4a) Distinguish between a binomial distribution and a poison distribution. [2]

b) A shoe store’s records show that 5% of customers making a purchase use credit cards to
make payment.

(i) Given that 20 customers purchased shoes, what is the probability that at least 3
but not more than 5 customers, used credit cards? [3]
(ii) Given that 60 customers purchased shoes, use a suitable approximation to find
the probability that exactly 4 customers used credit cards. [3]

5a) State the difference between a permutation and a combination. [2]

b) Two fuses are selected simultaneously and at random from a packet containing 5
good and 3 faulty fuses. Find the number of ways of selecting
(i) the2 fuses from the packet. [2]
(ii) one good and one faulty fuse from the packet. [2]
(iii) Hence or otherwise find the probability that exactly one faulty fuse is
selected. [2]

6. An unbiased tetrahedral die has faces marked 1; 2; 3 and 4. In a game, a player tosses
2 tetrahedral dice. X is the sum of scores on the 2 dice.
a) Construct a probability distribution of X. [3]
b) In order to play the game, a player pays $1. If the sum of scores is 2, 3 or 4 the player
wins nothing. If the sum is 5, 6 or 7 the player wins $2 and for a sum greater than 7,
the player wins $4.
Find the expected gain or loss from each game. [3]

3
 Section B (80 marks)
Answer any five questions from this section. Each question carries 16 marks.

7. The heights of people ℎ metres in a community are normally distributed with mean 𝜇
and standard deviation 𝛿. It is given that 𝑃(ℎ < 1,2) = 0,15 and 𝑃(ℎ > 1,6) = 0,10.
Calculate the
a) mean 𝜇 and standard deviation 𝛿 of the heights of the people, [7]
b) lower and upper quartiles, [4]
c) interquartile range, [2]
d) 𝑃(|ℎ − 𝜇|) < 0,1. [3]

8a) Explain what is meant by the term correlation. [1]

b) The research and development department of a light engineering company took a sample
of 9 employees from the production department. The following table shows employee
experience in weeks and the number of components which were rejected as unsatisfactory
in a particular week.

Weeks of 3 5 6 8 9 10 11 13 15
experience (𝒙)
Number of rejects (𝒚) 22 21 15 16 13 13 11 12 14

(i) Plot a scatter diagram of the data. [3]

(ii) Calculate 𝑥̅ , 𝑦̅ and the regression line of rejects on experience. Give your answers
correct to three significant figures. [4]
(iii) Plot the point (𝑥̅ ; 𝑦̅) and the regression line on your scatter diagram. [2]
(iv) Use the linear model obtained in (ii) to estimate the number of rejects expected
from an employee with 7 weeks of experience. [2]
(v) Calculate the coefficient of determination and comment on its significance. [4]

4
9. The mass of a large loaf of bread is a normal variable with mean 420 g and standard
deviation 30 g. The mass of a small loaf of bread is also a normal variable with mean
220 g and standard deviation 10 g.
Find the probability that
a) 5 large loaves weigh more than 2,1 kg, [3]
b) 5 large loaves weigh less than 10 small loaves, [4]
c) the total mass of 5 large loaves and 10 small loaves lies between 4,25 kg and 4,4 kg, [4]
d) a large loaf weighs twice as much as a small loaf. [5]

10. Patients are admitted at a medical centre as they arrive at a mean rate of 2 patients each day.

a) Suggest a suitable model for the admission of patients each day at the centre. [1]
b) Describe, in the context of this question, two assumptions you have made in part (a)
for this model to be suitable. [2]
c) Evaluate the probability that on a particular day there will be no admissions. [2]
d) At the beginning of one day, the hospital has five beds available. Calculate the
probability that this will be an insufficient number for the day. [5]
e) Calculate the probability that there will be exactly three admissions altogether
on two consecutive days. [3]
f) 150 patients are attended to, at the centre on a particular day and the probability
that a patient will be admitted is 0,02.
Using a suitable approximation, find the probability that exactly 4 patients are
admitted. [3]

11. In a group of students studying A-level at a certain school, 63% are boys and 37% are
2
girls. The probability of a girl studying Mathematics is and that of a boy studying
7
1
Mathematics is .
9
a) Find the probability that
(i) a student selected at random from this group is a boy studying Mathematics. [2]
(ii) a student selected at random from this group is not studying Mathematics. [3]
(iii) a Mathematics student selected at random from this group is a female. [4]
b) By use of a tree diagram or otherwise find the probability that a student doing
3
Mathematics will pass given that the probability of passing is . [7]
5

5
12. A sample of 80 steel rods taken from the output of a production line was measured to the
nearest mm and gave the following results.
Length 92 − 93 94 − 95 96 − 97 98 − 99 100 − 101 101 − 103
(mm)
Number of 2 7 18 37 12 4
steel rods

a) State the largest and greatest possible lenghts of a steel rod in the sample. [2]
b) Choose a suitable scale and draw a cumulative frequency curve for the distribution. [6]
c) Use the graph to estimate the
(i) median, [2]
(ii) semi-interquartile range, [2]
(iii) 80th percentile of the lenghts of the steel rods. [2]
d) A steel rod is rejected if its length is less than 94,5 mm. Assuming that the sample is
typical of the output, estimate the percentage of steel rods which have to be rejected. [2]

13a) A town council plans to plant 12 trees along the centre of a main road. The council buys
the trees from a garden centre which has 4 different gum trees, 9 different jacaranda
trees and 2 different pine trees for sale.
(i) How many different selections of 12 trees can be made if there must be at least
2 of each type of tree. [4]
The counil buys 4 gum trees, 6 jacaranda trees and 2 pine trees.
(ii) How many different arrangements of these 12 trees can be made if the gum trees
have to be next to each other, the jacaranda trees have to be next to each other and
the pine trees have to be next to each other. [3]
(iii) How many different arrangements of these 12 trees can be made if no gum tree is
next to another gum tree. [3]

b) John has 11 different CDs, of which 6 are pop music, 3 are jazz and 2 are sungura.
(i) How many different arrangements of all 11 CDs on a shelf are there if the jazz
CDs are all next to each other. [3]
(ii) John makes a selection of 2 pop music CDs, 2 jazz CDs and 1 sungura CD.
How many different possible selections can be made. [3]

End of test